AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence)
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70%
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge
Disagreement
Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity.
Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations:
Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
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