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Beyond Technical Analysis

Bitcoin chartline shape of a phoenix risingDuring the BTC $100k ATH I noticed the phoenix rising shape in the chartline and have not heard anyone else mention it. Here I have outlined the phoenix and noted its wings, head and beak. It seems to be rising high up out of the flames. For effect I have stylized it in fire colors to help visualize it. It seems fitting that the phoenix appeared in the time that it did, as an omen of how meaningful Bitcoin will always be. Maybe the flames at the bottom are all of those fiat dollars on fire?
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ACDL
1
S&P 500 ... ES1! ... SPY... a Gann review from 2000Basically performed another Gann Box copy-n-Stack technique and have aligned everything exactly on the daily and then switched to the 4hr Some interesting levels occur and seems like that gap fill at 5566.25 or so or possible run to 5600 would be in the cards...but a lot of levels are smashing all together. Make sure to expand the chart by using you mouse along the bottom of the scale, pull it left to expand or right to shrink.... Make sure to also click in the bottom right corner, hover you mouse over where price meets the date on the scale and click the "L" Log function to see if anything else comes up that different from my yellow "attention getting" marks. Well....that's about all I got for doodles for tonight....enjoy. weekly view to see the stacking and the duration of this run since 2000..thats quick high up eh?? 1 hr view with gap highlighted: 5min close up with lower gap highlighted....so green path if good earnings week/economic data, or red path which trends to that gap fill...the choice is the investor's
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CYQOTEK
USDCHF – breakout (down), retest and bearish continuation The area between 0.8410 and 0.8330 has been a solid support but recently, price broke (to the downside). Now, price has been pulling back for a re-test and I believe that next week we may see a bearish continuation. Price will also come closer to the 20ema that I rely on as a guide to the mean. I will be watching this area on a lower time frame, looking for bearish price action to go short. If bearish price action does resume, we are likely to see the round number 0.8000 be achieved. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
Millions Of Trades Liquidated —Bitcoin Flash Jump Beyond $100KMillions of people are about to get liquidated. The thing is that they set up their orders so that liquidation only happens above 100K and they think they will be able to close their position before Bitcoin reaches that level if it doesn't break down. First, Bitcoin is not breaking down. Just notice that every time there is any type of bearish action it is quickly bought. Second. No, no second that's all. Bitcoin is set to grow and will do so in a flash. Rather than a flash crash, a flash advance. Bitcoin always surprises so prepare because this is what will happen. Rather than going down as the majority actually expect, Bitcoin will break-up and do so strong, so strong that there will be no time to react. People will be caught in the shock and while they wait to look around and see what happens, Bitcoin will be moving up. Instead of $100,000, it will go to $102,000 or $104,000 or higher just to make sure that all the over-leveraged are kicked out before additional growth. This is just a friendly reminder. Pray for the dead bears and people without a clue, they are about to lose everything, for them, it will be tough. On our side though... Enjoy the profits as they come. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
8
Aptos, Bottom Pattern: Growth Now Imminent —Alert!It does not matter the pattern shape or what name we give it; after it forms, we know the next thing that happens is growth. When a bottom pattern forms, it is followed by a period of growth. Some growth periods are bigger than others but it is always growth. The last bottom pattern happened between mid- to late 2024 and it preceded a small sized bullish wave. The bottom pattern, accumulation zone or consolidation period, lasted some 90 days (3 months). This time around is exactly the same. I am seeing drawings on the charts made by the candles that are exactly the same as 7 years ago. It is amazing. The exact same dynamics, always... It is so easy to spot a true bottom when the market is trading low. Ok. Current bottom formation is some 85 days old. The same thing as before. The shape doesn't matter nor the name. There was a bullish wave that ended in the current situation, an accumulation zone or consolidation period, and this will be followed by a bull market. So this case is different to the previous one. 2024 was still part of the transition, 2025 is the bull market year. The only reason we can know these things is because of experience and the charts. Without experience, it is really hard to make sense of what is going and to understand the market. Sometimes I detach for several months and I when I comeback I start from zero and wow, I understand why people become anxious when I am not publishing these charts. It is just hard to read, how to understand. If someone like me is doing this work daily, a bigger picture of the market develops, a broader perspective develops and you can grasp easily, understand what is happening and you can also hold easy long-term. Just watch. I will show you by disappearing for a few days or weeks when the market shakes. Even though I've been sharing the bigger picture you'll see how your mind becomes clouded... It is just hard when we don't know what to look for. That will be a lesson for another day. Today, I am revealing everything the market will do before it does it. Thanks a lot for your continued support. » Aptos is about to enter a strong bullish wave. 100% certainty level. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Bull in a China Shop. The S&P 500 Index After 100 Days of TrumpPresident Donald Trump's first 100 days in office were the worst for the stock market in any postwar four-year U.S. presidential cycle since the 1970s. The S&P 500's 7.9% drop from Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 to the close on April 25 is the second-worst first 100 days since President Richard Nixon's second term. Nixon, after taking office as President of the United States (for the second time) on January 20, 1973, witnessed the S&P 500 index fall by 9.9% in his first 100 days in office, due to the unsuccessful economic measures he took to combat inflation, which led to the recession of 1973-1975 when the S&P 500 index losses of nearly to 50 percent. It all started in January 1973 in the best soap opera traditions of Wall Street, at the historical peaks of the S&P 500 index.. ..But less than two years later it quickly grew into a Western with a good dose of Horror, because the scenario of a 2-fold reduction of the S&P 500 index was unheard those times for financial tycoons and ordinary onlookers on the street, since the Great Depression of the 1930s, that is, for the entire post-war time span since World War II ended, or almost for forty years. Nixon later resigned in 1974 amid the Watergate scandal. On average, the S&P 500 rises 2.1% in the first 100 days of any president's term, according to CFRA, based on data from election years 1944 through 2020. The severity of the stock market slide early in Trump's presidency stands in stark contrast to the initial "The Future is Bright as Never" euphoria following his election victory in November, when the S&P 500 jumped to all-time highs on the belief that Mr. Trump would shake off the clouds, end the war in Ukraine overnight, and deliver long-awaited tax cuts and deregulation. Growth slowed and then, alas, plummeted as Trump used his first days in office to push other campaign promises that investors took less seriously, notably an aggressive approach to trade that many fear will fuel inflation and push the U.S. into recession. The S&P 500 fell sharply in April, losing 10% in just two days and briefly entering a bear market after Trump announced “reciprocal” tariffs, amid a national emergency that gave him free rein to push through tariffs without congressional oversight. Then Trump began yanking the tariff switch back and forth, reversing part of that tariff decision and giving countries a 90-day window to renegotiate, calming some investor fears. Many fear more downside is ahead. Everyone is looking for a bottom. But it could just be a bear market rally, a short-term bounce of sorts. And it's not certain that we're out of the woods yet, given the lack of clarity and ongoing uncertainty in Washington. Time will tell only... -- Best 'China shop' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
It’s Not Always the Strategy — Sometimes It’s the Wrong PairMany traders endlessly tweak their strategies, thinking small losses or missed trades are always a sign the system itself is broken. But in reality, sometimes the real problem isn't the strategy — it's the market you're applying it to. Different forex pairs have different "personalities." Some are cleaner, trending smoothly with respect to structure, while others are choppier, heavily manipulated, or extremely news-sensitive. A structure-based strategy might perform well on pairs like GBP/JPY, where price respects support, resistance, and supply-demand zones cleanly. But the same strategy could struggle badly on a pair like EUR/USD, where high liquidity and institutional manipulation cause frequent fakeouts and liquidity sweeps. Choosing the right pair for your strategy is just as important as the rules of the system itself. A good strategy in the wrong market will feel like a broken strategy. Before doubting your edge, ask: "Am I applying my system in the right place?" Adapt your focus. Match your strategy with a market that suits its nature — and you'll be surprised how much smoother your trading becomes. #forex #tradingpsychology #forexeducation #gbpjpy #eurusd #forextrading #tradingview
Education
by fxtrends28
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision — Smart Money Moves Only📆 XAUUSD Daily Plan – April 29, 2025 🔥 Macro & Market Context: Gold continues its tactical chess game between premium supply traps and reactive support zones. Price is currently hovering around 3342, teasing a breakout or another trap inside the 3340–3355 resistance block. Tomorrow we also have important USD news: 🔵 CB Consumer Confidence 🔵 JOLTS Job Openings Expect potential volatility during NY session — stay adaptive, not predictive. 🎯 Bias Overview: HTF Bias (H4–Daily): Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows structure still intact) LTF Flow (M15–H1): Corrective bullish retrace inside HTF uptrend 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3340–3355 → Minor Premium Resistance (currently being tested) 3372–3376 → Strong Trap Sell Zone (next immediate target above) 3380–3390 → Major Liquidity Pool (big decision area if price pumps further) 🔻 Support Zones: 3284–3288 → Intraday Demand + Bounce Zone 3233–3237 → HTF Major Reversal Demand 🎯 Refined Sniper Zones: 🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3284–3288 (H1 demand cluster + previous clean reaction) 🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3233–3237 (Deep HTF OB + untapped liquidity anchor) 🟥 Sell Zone #1: 3372–3376 (M15–H1 OB + liquidity trap setup) 🟥 Sell Zone #2: 3380–3390 (Premium supply and major liquidity sweep) 👀 Eyes On: Reaction at 3372–3390: Weak rejections = tactical sell opportunities. Respect for 3284–3288: Bullish continuation if defended strongly. Violation below 3230: HTF momentum shift possible toward deeper discount. 📢 Final Message: Gold’s setting traps for both bulls and bears — but we’re hunting precision, not chaos. 🏹 Patience = Power. Confirmation = Survival. 🔥 Trading Focus Tip: "First wicks grab liquidity. First breakouts fool emotions. We wait for the second reaction — that's where the sniper eats." If this map helps you stay focused, smash that ❤️ and follow, drop your thoughts below, and let's trade the smart flow together! 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly-Daily-H4 Outlook – April 28, 2025"Gold’s Game: Range Trap... or Breakout Incoming?" 👀⚡ 🔥 Macro + Micro Context: Macroflow: No major macro catalysts today — market sentiment driven mostly by technicals, liquidity behavior, and late-week reactions. Bias: HTF (D1–W1): Still bullish-biased long-term, unless 3220–3235 breaks cleanly. LTF (H4–M30): Currently trapped in a wide distribution range 3380–3260, showing signs of both liquidity sweeps and engineered traps. Liquidity Dynamics: Both upside and downside liquidity have been targeted multiple times. Equal highs/lows patterns forming, suggesting fakeouts are highly probable before any real move. 📈 STRUCTURAL RANGE: 🔵 Main Range: • Top: 3380–3395 → major flip zone (premium side) • Bottom: 3260–3280 → major demand zone (discount side) 📚 Inside the range: • Liquidity is being farmed on both sides — expect fake spikes, stop hunts, and whipsaw moves before breakout. 🔑 H4 Key Zones (Above Current Price): Level Type Notes 3380–3395 Major Supply + Flip Zone HTF orderblock + FVG + previous sell trap 3410–3415 Minor Supply Zone M30–H1 imbalance + small FVG 3448–3455 Major Premium Supply HTF OB + FIBO 1.618 extension + historical premium trap 3490–3500 ATH Area Strong psychological level + institutional interest 🔑 H4 Key Zones (Below Current Price): Level Type Notes 3260–3280 Major Discount Demand Strong H1-H4 unmitigated OB + liquidity grab zone 3220–3235 HTF Reversal Demand Last HTF pivot for bullish bias 📊 Expected Scenarios: Bullish Path: Hold 3260–3280 → Break 3380–3395 → Target 3415 → Then 3450–3500 range sweep. Bearish Path: Fail at 3380–3395 → Sharp rejections back into 3280 → Potential crash toward 3235 and 3210. 👀 EYES ON: Watch the 3380–3395 flip zone closely. If price fails there with heavy wicks and low volume, bulls are trapped again. If price holds above 3395–3415 cleanly, bulls regain control for 3450+. 🧠 FINAL MESSAGE: "The best traders don’t predict. They prepare." "Trap or breakout — it’s all about reaction, not prediction. Stay sharp, stay liquid, and don’t chase the donkey moves." 🔔 Follow for real-time smart updates 💬 Comment your bias below: bull 🐂 or bear 🐻? Let’s grow the community together! #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #SmartMoney #RangeTrap #GoldOutlook
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Well, Large Speculator Did it Again Trading BitcoinWell, Large Speculators did it again. They covered their longs, went net-short last week, and Bitcoin continued to rally now ~20% higher than the recent lows two weeks ago. That is when Large Specs first covered half their longs. It would be an impressive record if they continue to sell as Bitcoin makes news highs, which has happened a few times in the past few years and added great fuel to the rally. Although not yet back tested, the number of times Large Specs were wrong when they were net-long Bitcoin the last few years is significant. Curious to see what they do this week, which we will find out about on Friday when the CFTC releases the new COT data and we get to look at the charts.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Crowded_Market_Report
2
Bitcoin - Back Under Intersecting Bearish TrendlinesBitcoin is back underneath these two intersecting bearish trendlines. I have laid out two potential paths Bitcoin could take to play this out. When an asset in crypto goes only up for so long, it leaves behind a trail of leveraged liquidity in the form of stop losses. These wide open gaps filled with long stop losses, is the fuel that would make such a move possible. In other words, the sell orders are already in the chart in order to make this possible. Personally, I expect this to happen. DXY is showing a major breakdown and bearish retest at the moment - with a falling dollar over the next 2-3 years, that translates to a true bull market for Bitcoin and related assets. The market has a very small time window to recollect all of the long position liquidity in the chart, which is in the billions. See my previous posts to see confluences, liquidity mapping, etc. Happy trading and I will be trading this myself.
Short
by DickDandy
Snipers Only: Gold's Next Killzone Is LIVE – Eyes on 3295 -3373🔍 Macro + Context: Gold continues to dance between uncertainty and calculated aggression. After rejecting cleanly from the premium zone at 3370, price dropped overnight into 3287, fulfilling our sniper buy setup from 3310 and hitting TP2 at 3370 with precision. Now? Price is hovering at 3298, teasing a bigger directional play as we head into NY session. With inflation jitters, geopolitical undercurrents, and mixed USD sentiment, gold remains a reactionary beast—not a predictive one. Let structure speak. 📐 Technical Structure: 🧱 H1 Structural Key Levels: 🔸 3370–3376 = Premium Supply Zone – Clean rejection + break of structure 🔸 3345 = Previous lower high – Minor liquidity zone, watch for manipulation 🔸 3310 = Former TP1 & demand flip – Local structural retest 🔸 3285–3287 = Current HL attempt – LTF liquidity pool, key bounce zone 🔸 3233–3237 = HTF Discount OB – HTF demand, possible reversal anchor 🧠 Trend & Flow: HTF Bias: Bullish (Daily still in higher-low territory) LTF Flow: Bearish correction within HTF context BOS/CHoCH: Clear BOS from 3370 to the downside Liquidity: Swept at 3370 and now resting near 3287 lows EMAs: LTF bearish slope, but HTF structure intact RSI: Reset on M15–H1, hinting at potential momentum rebuild 🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (Clean, No Fluff): 🟩 BUY ZONE #1 (Reactive Entry) 3284 – 3288 Structure: H1–H4 Demand + Liquidity Sweep Confluence: EQ of last push + M15 OB 🟩 BUY ZONE #2 (Deeper Reversal Only) 3233 – 3237 Structure: HTF OB + Untapped Daily Liquidity 🟥 SELL ZONE #1 (Intraday) 3372 – 3376 Structure: M15–H1 OB + Prior HTF Reaction 🟥 SELL ZONE #2 (Extreme Supply Test) 3448 – 3455 Structure: HTF FVG + Upper imbalance ⚠️ Eyes On: Don’t trust the first breakout above 3345—it’s likely liquidity. Watch how price reacts around 3295: bounce = bull continuation, crack = deeper dive into 3230s. Momentum could explode NY session—wait for confirmation and never chase. 💬 Final Message : Gold’s moving—but so are we.💡If this helped map your zones, smash that ❤️ and drop your bias in the comments. Are you stalking 3285 or waiting to trap sellers at 3370 again? Let’s catch these sniper plays together. TradingView’s been too quiet lately – if you vibe with clean structure > hopium, show some love and let’s grow this smart gold tribe. 👇👇👇 Smart plans. No fluff. Just logic. Drop a 💡 and let’s connect.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
8
XAUUSD Market Update – April 28, 2025 NY🎯 Quick Context: Price successfully defended the support + liquidity pocket zone (around 3272–3288). A bullish intraday reaction followed, but we are still trapped inside a consolidation range for now. ✅ Valid Zones Remaining from Daily Plan: Support + Liquidity Pocket (3272–3288): ✅ Still active and valid as strong support. Minor Resistance Level Inside Range (3350–3360): ✅ Remains relevant for possible rejections. Major Flip + Resistance Zone (3380–3395): ✅ Still untouched and valid — upper upside target if bullish continuation happens. ⚠️ Zones Weakened or Invalidated: Micro Support 3310–3315: ⚠️ Structure failed to hold cleanly — now treated as a neutral zone (no strong bias here). Intraday Pivot 3260–3265: ⚠️ Previously breached — weak support for now, not a major focus. 🔥 Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario 🟢 Holding above 3272–3288 = potential rally toward 3310–3315, then 3350–3360. Solid break and close above 3360 = bullish continuation potential toward 3380–3395. Bearish Scenario 🔴 Clear loss of 3272–3288 = risk of a sharper selloff toward lower discount zones (~3220–3240). 🧠 Extra Observations: Current structure = sideways/consolidation between buyers and sellers. Short-term momentum (M15–M30) is trying to lean bullish but without a confirmed HH yet. HTF bias (H1–H4) remains slightly bullish as long as price holds above the 3272–3288 support zone. 📢 Final Note: 🏹 Patience is key. Let price react around the zones — we are ready and disciplined to execute based on real confirmation, not emotions. ✨ Final Friendly Message: "We’ve already done the heavy lifting by marking the battlefield. 🛡️ Now it’s all about patience, precision, and letting Goldie show its next move. 📈✨ Stay sharp, stay humble – and remember: we react, not predict. 🎯 Let’s make this a week where we checkmate the market together! ♟️ If you enjoyed this update, leave a like, drop a comment, or just say hi – you’re part of the GoldFxMinds crew! 🚀💬❤️"
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Random Monero God Candle??The "reason" KRAKEN:XMRUSD RIPPED to $339 overnight was because of a hack: Nine hours ago a suspicious transfer was made from a potential victim for 3520 BTC ($330.7M) Theft address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g Shortly after the funds began to be laundered via 6+ instant exchanges and was swapped for XMR causing the XMR price to spike 50%. Apparently it was an OG Bitcoiner that had funds on a CEX (Centralized Exchange). The hacker spent upwards of 7 figured in fees across different exchanges to convert the Bitcoin into Monero. This event is in line with Bullish thesis: Very public arrests of the Bitfinex and Silk Road hackers from tracing their surveillance chain (Bitcoin) makes it obvious that privacy is of highest value. Monero has low liquidity: expect more random god candles. The relative outperformance of Monero versus Bitcoin BITFINEX:XMRBTC continues this year:
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok