Go_noGo #XAUUSDAI Analysis and Strategy Suggestion
1. Key Support Level:
- The 3,330.000–3,335.000 range is considered the "green zone" (support area).
- A price return to this zone, coupled with bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer candlestick, double bottom), could signal a buying opportunity.
2. Entry Conditions:
- Buy in the 3,330.000–3,335.000 range if confirmed by:
- Price reaction to support + increased buying volume.
- Confluence with indicators (e.g., RSI > 30, MACD reversal to bullish).
3. Profit Targets (TP):
- Short-term target: 3,340.000 (near-term resistance).
- Mid-term target: 3,355.000 (stronger resistance).
4. Stop-Loss (SL):
- Place SL below 3,325.000 (just under key support to avoid a stop hunt).
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### Cautionary Notes:
- Support Break: If the price breaks below 3,325.000 with high volume, the reversal scenario is invalidated, and a stronger downtrend may emerge.
- News Impact: Economic data (e.g., Fed rate decisions, inflation) or geopolitical tensions could abruptly shift price direction.
- Higher Timeframes: Confirm alignment with the broader trend using daily or 4-hour charts.
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### Summary:
If the price retests the green zone (3,330–3,335) and shows bullish reversal signals (e.g., rising volume, positive candlestick patterns), a long position with a favorable risk-reward ratio becomes viable. However, strict risk management via stop-loss placement is essential.
📌 Important Note: This analysis is based on limited data and is not financial advice. For decision-making, conduct deeper analysis or consult professionals.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
TRADING IS READING A STORY + COMMON SENSE!! All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Azul Brazilian Airlines S.A ABCD pattern has been formed , Bottom reached and Stock Rebounded from 0.4800 $
Stock as we can see 👀 on Ending Diagonal shape, and its target price 2.80 $ - 2.88 $ near future coming ( 1 - 2 Months) - short term
Last couple of days, it formed a bullish shape called [ ]
We expected today breaks up Resistance level ( down Trend line ) at 1.10 $
Then , a Motive wave will start up to 1.55 $ - 1.60 $ .
If the wave is Motive and Powerful, it can continue to 2.59 $ and above to 2.88 $ ( open free zone depends on liquidity and Stock Maker ♥️) .
Highly recommended for Buy as much as you have 💯
Gold evaluation using Trend Fib extension...dual peaksAs you can see from the lower picture...I took two retrace peaks and traced the move with the fib tool and made the smaller one the solid line and the farther one the dashed line...
Kinda fits pretty neatly in those lines eh??
Not much more to say, make up what you think the move action will be, I just provide the lines...
And the numeration for those lines to be calculated is based off Pi and Fib percentages...so its not an actual default setting...can go into my other ideas where I actually give a table of all the numbers to enter in to achieve said result you see above and below...
Both Trend Fibs are with the reverse setting on...
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10 min
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1 day far
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This Trend is with the reverse setting off: weekly overview:
and the closer daily...notice that 2000 quad peak:
and yet closer view...see that bottom line under the sideways consolidation is like almost the same as previous...:
finally the 10 min close up:
everything but the two arrows is the same from above...so you get a nice overall price consolidation with these lines...
S&P futures ES1! .. or SPY parallel channels for this weekNot much to explain here...since so many these days can't last through even a half a paragraph....but, the two lines capture a decent amount of stuff and show the most recent action of today with the ping-pong whipsaw.
Does it hit the question mark or stay in the lower parallel...it all depends on how Amazon and Apple can 'Tim cook-their books' and show the world that raging credit defaults and stagnating US with tensions going to hell around the globe doesn't matter.
Would guess from Wed-Thursday that:
Microsoft dips early and then trends sideways before a slight tilt down....
Meta just rips cause I have no idea how they achieve anything except cooking so...
Qualcomm makes up a guidance that show modest 2nd half recovery after "The current tariff uncertainty is stabilized and the need for technology advancement outshines global tensions" or something to that affect.
Amazon and Apple are a repeat of what I said before....Amazon will say they had strong buying heading into the tariffs but they see a slight pull back in consumer willingness to spend. Their cloud-whatever will somehow deliver them through the earnings call with some like 2.37% beat or some crap- but they will probably use 3 words that some algo doesn't want to hear and their stock will initially pop and then retrace the pop and pullback the equivalent move but to the downside. And lastly, Apple....don't care for them and will just say this- "We see strong foreign demand for the iPhone abroad with a high interest from India now that manufacturing will be shifted to that market(minus the fact it is only for the US market...all foreign production will be in China still and the "made in India" will be a quasi fulfillment slight of hand). While we are wading through the uncertainty of China-US relations in regard to tariffs- we see a sustained interest in iPhone sales with an increase in Apple cloud/whatever they call it- services maybe- from foreigners". So.......Apple goes initially down on some like margin metric being a miss or like revenue being like .8% off...but then Cook squeaks a fat steamer on the intercom which allows for the short reversal to the upside, which will kinda die out by next Monday.
Or.....All the above get slammed and the puts go into the weekend happy. Check OptionCharts.io for the open interest for the 30th and may 1st...decent action on the put positions already hitting almost 3/4 million...also just be understanding that Wednesday may be window dressing day for monthly hedge fund/brokerage portfolio allocations...So if there are bad earnings they may dump stock to let their people know they aren't exposed as heavy...but if good earnings you may get a ripping short squeeze from them trying to load up their customers with the big 7...so be careful out there...
Play with the money you have...and not with the money you can't afford to lose....for margins make marginal gains and massive losses when things go wrong- just see the Japanese Pensions unloading treasuries...some benefit...many lose... :)
5 min view:
Addition of one more parallel on the 30 min:
and a 5 min view of the one above on this week's lines:
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 29th April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-JOLTS Jobs Opening
Analysis:
-Strong pullback on asian session
-Looking retest to 0.236 fib level
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Count: Preparing for Final ImpulseXAU/USD appears to be in a textbook 5-wave impulsive structure on the 4H chart, with the market now completing Wave 4 as a classic ABC corrective flat/pennant.
The impulsive move from the Wave 2 low has formed clear internal substructures, with Wave 3 exhibiting extended price action, consistent with Elliott Wave guidelines.
Currently, price is consolidating in a contracting pattern labeled Wave 4 (A-B-C), which looks to be near completion. Based on wave symmetry and Fibonacci projections, a strong upside move is anticipated once Wave 4 concludes, leading into the final Wave 5 rally.
Entry Zone: 3286.875
Target: 3367.440– 3410.210
Stop Loss: Below 3260.190.
The Most Important Chart Right NowThe Dollar Index is one of the most important charts right now. A weak dollar means looser financial conditions. This is good for US stocks, bitcoin and gold.
The fundamentals are bearish. Both the US and China want a weaker dollar. There are issues in the US bond market, and it's a self-reinforcing cycle as US stock positions need to be currency hedged.
The backdrop to all this is, of course, massive debt and dollar debasement with more money printing on the horizon.
I like the technical picture here, and it's not a bad spot to add to shorts or enter fresh ones. Ideally, we see a pullback to 1.12 on the EUR, but we might not get it, so adding a bit now here is ok.
As always, remember trading is about risk-adjusted returns, so use a stop and keep your position size small unless you are very experienced.
Bitcoin chartline shape of a phoenix risingDuring the BTC $100k ATH I noticed the phoenix rising shape in the chartline and have not heard anyone else mention it. Here I have outlined the phoenix and noted its wings, head and beak. It seems to be rising high up out of the flames. For effect I have stylized it in fire colors to help visualize it. It seems fitting that the phoenix appeared in the time that it did, as an omen of how meaningful Bitcoin will always be. Maybe the flames at the bottom are all of those fiat dollars on fire?
S&P 500 ... ES1! ... SPY... a Gann review from 2000Basically performed another Gann Box copy-n-Stack technique and have aligned everything exactly on the daily and then switched to the 4hr
Some interesting levels occur and seems like that gap fill at 5566.25 or so or possible run to 5600 would be in the cards...but a lot of levels are smashing all together.
Make sure to expand the chart by using you mouse along the bottom of the scale, pull it left to expand or right to shrink....
Make sure to also click in the bottom right corner, hover you mouse over where price meets the date on the scale and click the "L" Log function to see if anything else comes up that different from my yellow "attention getting" marks.
Well....that's about all I got for doodles for tonight....enjoy.
weekly view to see the stacking and the duration of this run since 2000..thats quick high up eh??
1 hr view with gap highlighted:
5min close up with lower gap highlighted....so green path if good earnings week/economic data, or red path which trends to that gap fill...the choice is the investor's
USDCHF – breakout (down), retest and bearish continuation The area between 0.8410 and 0.8330 has been a solid support but recently, price broke (to the downside). Now, price has been pulling back for a re-test and I believe that next week we may see a bearish continuation. Price will also come closer to the 20ema that I rely on as a guide to the mean.
I will be watching this area on a lower time frame, looking for bearish price action to go short. If bearish price action does resume, we are likely to see the round number 0.8000 be achieved.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Millions Of Trades Liquidated —Bitcoin Flash Jump Beyond $100KMillions of people are about to get liquidated. The thing is that they set up their orders so that liquidation only happens above 100K and they think they will be able to close their position before Bitcoin reaches that level if it doesn't break down.
First, Bitcoin is not breaking down. Just notice that every time there is any type of bearish action it is quickly bought.
Second. No, no second that's all.
Bitcoin is set to grow and will do so in a flash. Rather than a flash crash, a flash advance.
Bitcoin always surprises so prepare because this is what will happen. Rather than going down as the majority actually expect, Bitcoin will break-up and do so strong, so strong that there will be no time to react. People will be caught in the shock and while they wait to look around and see what happens, Bitcoin will be moving up.
Instead of $100,000, it will go to $102,000 or $104,000 or higher just to make sure that all the over-leveraged are kicked out before additional growth.
This is just a friendly reminder.
Pray for the dead bears and people without a clue, they are about to lose everything, for them, it will be tough.
On our side though... Enjoy the profits as they come.
Namaste.
Aptos, Bottom Pattern: Growth Now Imminent —Alert!It does not matter the pattern shape or what name we give it; after it forms, we know the next thing that happens is growth. When a bottom pattern forms, it is followed by a period of growth. Some growth periods are bigger than others but it is always growth.
The last bottom pattern happened between mid- to late 2024 and it preceded a small sized bullish wave. The bottom pattern, accumulation zone or consolidation period, lasted some 90 days (3 months).
This time around is exactly the same. I am seeing drawings on the charts made by the candles that are exactly the same as 7 years ago. It is amazing. The exact same dynamics, always... It is so easy to spot a true bottom when the market is trading low.
Ok. Current bottom formation is some 85 days old. The same thing as before. The shape doesn't matter nor the name. There was a bullish wave that ended in the current situation, an accumulation zone or consolidation period, and this will be followed by a bull market. So this case is different to the previous one. 2024 was still part of the transition, 2025 is the bull market year.
The only reason we can know these things is because of experience and the charts.
Without experience, it is really hard to make sense of what is going and to understand the market.
Sometimes I detach for several months and I when I comeback I start from zero and wow, I understand why people become anxious when I am not publishing these charts. It is just hard to read, how to understand. If someone like me is doing this work daily, a bigger picture of the market develops, a broader perspective develops and you can grasp easily, understand what is happening and you can also hold easy long-term.
Just watch. I will show you by disappearing for a few days or weeks when the market shakes. Even though I've been sharing the bigger picture you'll see how your mind becomes clouded... It is just hard when we don't know what to look for. That will be a lesson for another day.
Today, I am revealing everything the market will do before it does it.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
» Aptos is about to enter a strong bullish wave. 100% certainty level.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bull in a China Shop. The S&P 500 Index After 100 Days of TrumpPresident Donald Trump's first 100 days in office were the worst for the stock market in any postwar four-year U.S. presidential cycle since the 1970s.
The S&P 500's 7.9% drop from Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 to the close on April 25 is the second-worst first 100 days since President Richard Nixon's second term.
Nixon, after taking office as President of the United States (for the second time) on January 20, 1973, witnessed the S&P 500 index fall by 9.9% in his first 100 days in office, due to the unsuccessful economic measures he took to combat inflation, which led to the recession of 1973-1975 when the S&P 500 index losses of nearly to 50 percent.
It all started in January 1973 in the best soap opera traditions of Wall Street, at the historical peaks of the S&P 500 index..
..But less than two years later it quickly grew into a Western with a good dose of Horror, because the scenario of a 2-fold reduction of the S&P 500 index was unheard those times for financial tycoons and ordinary onlookers on the street, since the Great Depression of the 1930s, that is, for the entire post-war time span since World War II ended, or almost for forty years.
Nixon later resigned in 1974 amid the Watergate scandal.
On average, the S&P 500 rises 2.1% in the first 100 days of any president's term, according to CFRA, based on data from election years 1944 through 2020.
The severity of the stock market slide early in Trump's presidency stands in stark contrast to the initial "The Future is Bright as Never" euphoria following his election victory in November, when the S&P 500 jumped to all-time highs on the belief that Mr. Trump would shake off the clouds, end the war in Ukraine overnight, and deliver long-awaited tax cuts and deregulation.
Growth slowed and then, alas, plummeted as Trump used his first days in office to push other campaign promises that investors took less seriously, notably an aggressive approach to trade that many fear will fuel inflation and push the U.S. into recession.
The S&P 500 fell sharply in April, losing 10% in just two days and briefly entering a bear market after Trump announced “reciprocal” tariffs, amid a national emergency that gave him free rein to push through tariffs without congressional oversight.
Then Trump began yanking the tariff switch back and forth, reversing part of that tariff decision and giving countries a 90-day window to renegotiate, calming some investor fears.
Many fear more downside is ahead.
Everyone is looking for a bottom. But it could just be a bear market rally, a short-term bounce of sorts.
And it's not certain that we're out of the woods yet, given the lack of clarity and ongoing uncertainty in Washington.
Time will tell only...
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Best 'China shop' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
It’s Not Always the Strategy — Sometimes It’s the Wrong PairMany traders endlessly tweak their strategies, thinking small losses or missed trades are always a sign the system itself is broken. But in reality, sometimes the real problem isn't the strategy — it's the market you're applying it to.
Different forex pairs have different "personalities." Some are cleaner, trending smoothly with respect to structure, while others are choppier, heavily manipulated, or extremely news-sensitive. A structure-based strategy might perform well on pairs like GBP/JPY, where price respects support, resistance, and supply-demand zones cleanly. But the same strategy could struggle badly on a pair like EUR/USD, where high liquidity and institutional manipulation cause frequent fakeouts and liquidity sweeps.
Choosing the right pair for your strategy is just as important as the rules of the system itself. A good strategy in the wrong market will feel like a broken strategy. Before doubting your edge, ask: "Am I applying my system in the right place?"
Adapt your focus. Match your strategy with a market that suits its nature — and you'll be surprised how much smoother your trading becomes.
#forex #tradingpsychology #forexeducation #gbpjpy #eurusd #forextrading #tradingview
GBP_CAD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GBP_CA D made a bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and after a potential
Pullback we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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