Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

4/28 Gold Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold retested the 3260 support zone for the second time. After confirming support, prices began to climb steadily, and our low-entry long positions have already delivered impressive returns. From a technical perspective, the broader structure still resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, but recently, a double-bottom pattern has formed around the right shoulder, signaling an intense battle between bulls and bears—mainly influenced by geopolitical tensions. Here, I would like to propose a bold yet speculative thought: Could the current turmoil possibly lead to a regime change for Trump, or trigger massive nationwide protests? If such scenarios unfold, it would likely be extremely bullish for gold, potentially pushing prices toward 4000. On the other hand, if Trump softens his trade policies under pressure, it would be bearish for gold, making a decline toward 2800 highly probable. Of course, this is purely my personal speculation, and I don't claim deep expertise in international politics. Focusing back on the technicals: The 3260 support is critical. A breakdown could see prices moving toward the 3245–3213 range, or even lower toward around 3190. Any rebound from there should be carefully watched near the 3260 resistance; failure to break above would suggest a potential further drop toward 3153–3137. If the double-bottom pattern holds firmly, a return to above 3400 this week is highly likely. 🔥 Today's Trading Plan: Sell zone: 3407–3418 Buy zone: 3273–3241 Scalping zones: 3288–3323 / 3386–3344 Manage your positions wisely and stay flexible!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
From Financial Markets to Pope Francis' Funeral From Easter to April 28, 2025, financial markets have been in a period of great turbulence, influenced by economic, geopolitical and social events. The Forex market, in particular, has reacted to central bank decisions, commodity fluctuations, global trade tensions and the major event of Pope Francis' funeral, which has seen the participation of world leaders and talks that could have a lasting impact on international relations. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the key events of these weeks. 1. Monetary Policies and Forex Markets The decisions of major central banks have dominated the movements of currency markets. The Federal Reserve, in an attempt to balance recession and inflation risks, has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. This approach has caused a temporary weakness in the US dollar, prompting many traders to move towards more stable currencies such as the euro and the pound. In Europe, the European Central Bank took a more hawkish stance, hinting at a possible tightening of monetary policy to combat inflation. This move boosted the euro, which posted significant gains against major currencies. The Bank of Japan, on the other hand, continued its ultra-accommodative policy, causing the yen to weaken further. Traders then showed a preference for the dollar and the euro over the Japanese currency. 2. Commodity Prices and Impact on Related Currencies The commodity market saw significant movements. Oil prices fell, influenced by a rise in inventories in the United States and weak global demand. This trend penalized currencies that are highly correlated to commodities, such as the Canadian dollar (CAD) and the Australian dollar (AUD). On the other hand, gold continued to gradually increase, with investors choosing it as a safe haven in a context of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold’s strength had an indirect impact on currencies tied to the precious metal. 3. Geopolitics and Conversations During Pope Francis’ Funeral The funeral of Pope Francis, held on April 26, 2025 in Rome, was a crucial moment for global diplomacy. The participation of world leaders allowed for significant discussions: Meeting between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky: During the ceremony, a possible peaceful solution to the conflict in Ukraine was discussed. The opening to a ceasefire represents a real possibility for stability in the region. Statement by Vladimir Putin: The Russian president expressed Russia’s willingness to negotiate without preconditions, a signal that could positively influence global tensions. Focus on dialogue and peace: The funeral itself emphasized the importance of building bridges between nations, a central message of Pope Francis’ pontificate. These talks, if followed up with concrete actions, could have long-term effects not only on geopolitical relations, but also on investor confidence and, consequently, on financial markets. 4. Economic Data and Influence on Forex Markets Economic data released during this period played a central role in the movements of the Forex market: United States: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slowdown, suggesting that inflationary pressure could ease. This fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in the coming months. Eurozone: Inflation exceeded expectations, strengthening the euro and increasing the likelihood that the ECB will adopt further monetary tightening measures. Fluctuations in economic data caused greater volatility in the Forex market, offering opportunities and risks for traders. 5. Implications for the Future Looking ahead, investors should carefully monitor geopolitical developments stemming from Pope Francis’ funeral talks, central bank decisions, and key economic data. The combination of these factors could continue to generate volatility in currency markets, making FX a dynamic and complex space for the coming months.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys! Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds. ✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance. ⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $90,900 Resistance: $95,700
by melikatrader94
11
Stock market, fundamental highlights to watch this weekWhile equity markets have rebounded from their low point in early April, this week, straddling the end of April and the beginning of May, sees the release of top-tier fundamental data. The trade war is the new dominant fundamental factor. But the market is most interested in the impact on US inflation and the US labor market. The US PCE inflation report on Wednesday April 30 and the NFP report on Friday May 2 should therefore be kept under review. Only the path of trade diplomacy can keep the trajectory of US disinflation intact and thus enable the Federal Reserve to resume cutting its federal funds rate for a sound reason (i.e. inflation trending towards 2% and a stable unemployment rate of around 4% of the working population). This resumption of the Fed funds rate cut is essential to validate the S&P500's major low on the 4800 point support. Here are 4 reasons why we believe the trade war is unlikely to cause a second wave of inflation. The PCE index on Wednesday April 30 should see a resumption of the decline in the nominal inflation rate towards 2%. Reason 1: The first all-out trade war between China and the USA between 2017 and 2019 did not cause an inflationary wave, and even ended with a trade agreement between China and the USA in December 2019 (Phase One Trade Deal) Reason 2: The trade war directly concerns agricultural products and manufactured goods, but no services are directly affected. Services account for 70% of the calculation of US inflation rates, and the USA is a service economy accounting for 80% of its GDP. Reason 3: With the risk of a global economic slowdown against the backdrop of the trade war, the price of oil has plummeted on the stock market, and this will have a strong downward impact on the nominal inflation rate, with a direct + indirect effect estimated at 10% in the calculation of inflation rates. Reason 4: Disinflation in the real estate sector is structural, accounting for 30% of the inflation calculation, and has no connection with the trade war. The NFP report on Friday May 2 will enable us to assess whether or not the trade war has already begun to damage the US labor market. This is the ultimate barometer for assessing the likelihood of an economic recession. CONCLUSION: this week, we'll be keeping a very close eye on US PCE inflation, the NFP report and, of course, all the news surrounding trade diplomacy and the Trump/Powell relationship (ahead of the FED's decision on Wednesday May 7). DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Swissquote
Fibonacci Setup: SUI Targeting 4.40 With 26% Upside RoomHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for SUI 🔍📈. SUI has demonstrated remarkable growth in recent days and is now nearing a key resistance level. Based on Fibonacci analysis, I anticipate an additional 26% upside potential. My primary price target is set at 4.40, with key support levels clearly identified.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 SUI has surged recently, is close to major resistance, and with support mapped by Fibonacci, I’m aiming for a main target of 4.40 — expecting about 26% more upside.📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
8
Meta: Is the Plunge Inevitable?Despite its vast reach and market presence, Meta Platforms faces significant and compounding challenges that suggest a potentially turbulent future. While appearing dominant, the company is increasingly vulnerable to external pressures stemming from legal, regulatory, and competitive fronts. These growing headwinds threaten to erode its financial stability and alter its fundamental business model. A critical area of concern involves the human cost of content moderation. Meta faces multiple lawsuits in Africa, alleging severe psychological harm to moderators exposed to disturbing content. These legal actions, particularly in Ghana and Kenya, argue that Meta bears responsibility for the well-being of these outsourced workers, citing inadequate support and exploitative conditions. A loss in these cases could set costly precedents, forcing Meta to significantly invest in or restructure its global content moderation operations and potentially face substantial liabilities. Simultaneously, Meta confronts escalating regulatory action, particularly in Europe. Recent significant fines from the EU under the Digital Markets Act highlight regulatory intent to control how tech giants handle user data and maintain market dominance. These penalties, including a substantial fine over its "consent or pay" model and a previous one for unfair trading practices, signal a global trend towards stricter oversight that could constrain Meta's core advertising business model. Adding to this pressure is the ongoing US FTC antitrust trial, which seeks to unwind Meta's key acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp, citing anti-competitive practices. The potential forced divestiture of these highly lucrative platforms represents an existential threat, as Instagram alone accounts for a significant portion of Meta's advertising revenue. These intertwined legal and regulatory battles, combined with intense competition in the digital landscape and the uncertain return on large investments like the Metaverse, create a challenging outlook for Meta. The cumulative effect of these pressures could significantly impact the company's profitability, market share, and public perception. Navigating this complex environment requires Meta to address these fundamental issues effectively, or face the increasing likelihood of a substantial downturn.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by UDIS_View
Trade Idea: Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXEL)EXEL is offering a compelling setup, trading just above its 50-day moving average — a key technical level that has historically provided strong support. The stock belongs to a high-quality company with solid financials, reinforcing confidence in the broader trend. With the price stabilizing above this important moving average, a small initial long position looks attractive to participate in potential upside continuation. Entry Strategy: Enter a small long position just above the 50-day moving average to align with the resumption of bullish momentum. Risk Management: Set a protective stop-loss at $35.30, providing a well-defined risk level should the trade move against us. Important Note: Be mindful that earnings are scheduled for May 13th, which could introduce heightened volatility. Consider adjusting position sizing accordingly or tightening risk management ahead of the announcement. DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
NASDAQ:EXELLong
by Gihanhemachandra
RARE / -13R / SHORT....SAS @ .5318 Rare but rewarding ! sell limit.... SAS @ 0.5318 💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉 in engineering....we call this BUCKLE ;) expecting min DD < 15p max RRR > 13 TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system. Sorry, alert is not based on TA like BoS or OB or SnR SnD PP or Fibs or even ICT etc....since designed to induce and seduce...rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see 🙈 IF u like this...would appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement... 🥂
Short
by ADVISOR_fx
Forget Candlestick Patterns -Who is in control BUYERS or SELLERSAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
2
Nasdaq vs SQQQ, 1 year daily chartThe pattern emerging shows the convergence between the two trend lines. The trend lines show the change from zero, indicating positive or negative trend. The trends are currently at a point where SQQQ is beginning to trend positively, as Nasdaq tests the negative direction. That leads to the cross over as the trends change. A longer view shows a better picture of where they have come in the past few years to have gotten where they are now. This helps to understand the ultimate outcome of the current cross-over. Legend: Nasdaq-hollow candles SQQQ-solid candles
NASDAQ:SQQQ
by Tradadada
Gold Vs. Nasdaq, since 2022Fairly clear here that Gold and Nasdaq correlated in direction until December 2024, at which time the equities market peaked. The two continued to correlate in trend direction until February, where, after several years divergence finally occurred. Gold continues upward, equities continue lower. This seems to be a clear indication that equities, in this case the Nasdaq, will continue into downward correctional territory while Gold continues into a positive trending direction.
IG:NASDAQ
by Tradadada
DXY ... Dollar Index looks not as clean Gann reviewNot too much to explain here...just see the highlighted areas and see that the Gann box Stacking strikes again with some interesting levels. The light angles are kinds nice, but the most recent one where the price is now seems to be the only thing holding it back from being a green face smash to 96... Mor Tariff... Mor pain for the Dolla Dolla Bill y' all This is the larger picture and see as to how I come to these Gann box alignments: Again...You just find pivots and span them with the box- then stack or slide them with points all being contiguous and you have your price action analysis. Above chart is the weekly. Just imagine if there was any significance to the 2001 high and then the 2008 lows when it comes to geopolitics or financial situations....one could say: Its almost like a twin peak, one with a tower on it, just suddenly got hit out of nowhere and then crashed down to the Great Financial Center down below..hmmm VV
TVC:DXY
by CYQOTEK
Trade Idea: Supply Network Limited (ASX: SNL)SNL has demonstrated impressive resilience, staging a sharp V-shaped recovery and returning to all-time highs despite broader market uncertainties. The stock’s ability to maintain strength through news-driven volatility highlights robust underlying momentum. With overall market volatility currently at manageable levels, a small initial position is warranted to participate in the ongoing uptrend, while maintaining disciplined risk management. Entry Strategy: Initiate a small long position at current levels to capitalize on potential continuation of the uptrend. Risk Management: Set an initial stop-loss at $36.21, representing a controlled downside risk of approximately 5.7% from current levels. This setup allows for participation in the momentum while maintaining tight risk controls in case the trend fails to follow through. ⸻ DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
ASX:SNLLong
by Gihanhemachandra
Gann Box stacking and Gold...funny things alignNot much to explain here...just the boxes all aligned and stacked up onto each other starting from the 1999 low to the bull run high of 2011, and then copied and stacked to show current price action. However, there is a weird thing with boxes of the Gann type. Usually 25 and 75 time allotments, or 1st and last boxes, are the most aggressive moves. But this one has already almost broken the box in the first panel of the 25%. So you will either have a stagnation and then slight down or up drift until you hit the later 75% box at the most right....or you just go "nah, Irish goodbye to yah lad" and jump to the next box up...we shall see. But those lines do hold some weight and you can see the Gann angles had a few good pivots and one generally good line to follow through this initial explosion up. But we go sidesways if the house of bird poo color can clean up their act...pull a Styx and "Come sail away with me..." to the next box up and run to the like 5K limit, who shall know.... -------- from 1999 summer to 2011 summer to move the height of the box.... and its been achieved in merely 2 some years as of this point...oh boy VVVV Notice the 3 peaks at 1900 perfectly aligning with that box edge before the next box is stacked up to accommodate current price action... Your thoughts...right...wrong...or just a :) all welcome PS...These boxes arent made to fit this chart...It is just a pivot low to pivot high and then copied and stacked/extended....But see how that 2nd box times the triple peak and explosion into the newest up move...crazy hmm
COMEX:GC1!
by CYQOTEK