EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has pulled back after reaching the top of the ascending channel and encountering a resistance zone.
We expect the correction to continue at least toward the identified support level.
After completing the correction, a new bullish wave is expected to begin, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels.
Will EURUSD resume its uptrend after the pullback? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Beyond Technical Analysis
Accumulation Underway: Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Be ViolentBitcoin has shown a strong recovery after reclaiming the 50 EMA, which had been a major dynamic resistance across multiple levels. After accumulating between $83,000–$87,000, BTC broke out sharply and is now consolidating again just below a major resistance zone at $95,000–$97,000.
The current price action shows another accumulation phase just under resistance — similar to the previous pattern before the breakout.
A clean breakout above this resistance zone could explode Bitcoin toward $100,000+.
On the downside, if rejection occurs, the 50 EMA around $87,000 could act as strong support once again.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart.
If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal.
From a quantitative perspective:
If we calculate the raw historical success rate using:
Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90%
In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using:
Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83%
Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior.
Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest?
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
Solana's rise is not long-term...On the 4-hour Solana chart, there is also confirmation of the downward movement of the candles... Based on the candle structure in the 4-hour timeframe, the main zone breakdown is confirmed again and the candles are moving to the $40 range in the medium term... In addition, the pale green equilibrium line has been broken and the candles will soon touch the bright green dynamic equilibrium level... Solana is not bullish in the medium term and the equilibrium analysis tells us that we may have growth in the short term, but we will move downward in the medium term... Solana's rise is not long-term and we will reach the $40 range...
Solana's medium term target; the $40 range..!On the daily chart of Solana, based on the equilibrium view and the equilibrium Fibonacci, on April 6, the main zone broke down and in the medium term the candles are moving towards the middle zone and the $40 range.... The equilibrium view of the chart is a macro and big image view of the market and will predict the movement of the candles on the chart, perhaps with a slight delay, but definitely and accurately... The market sentiment will soon change to a downward direction in the medium term... Solana's medium term target; the $40 range..!
Every top on the Ethereum chart is a bullish trap..!This analysis is based on equilibrium levels and a special type of precise equilibrium Fibonacci... As you can see, the equilibrium levels are drawn from two ceilings in purple and orange colors... After breaking the main purple zone, the candles are moving towards the middle purple zone, which coincides with the dense area of the support in the range of $ 1200... Ethereum will soon return to the lower dense area in the picture and the middle purple zone... Every top on the Ethereum chart is a bullish trap..!
XAUUSD CRAZY MOVES🚨 XAUUSD CRAZY MOVES Full Timeline (with full reasons) 🚨
2008 ───📉 (Oct) -$240 Crash
– Global Financial Crisis (GFC) hits hard: Banks collapse, stock markets crash.
– Investors dump everything (even gold) for cash (USD liquidity panic).
– Margin calls everywhere. Fear at extreme levels.
2011 ───📉 (Sept) -$385 Crash
– Eurozone debt crisis explodes (Greece, Italy, Spain on edge).
– US loses AAA credit rating (S&P downgrade), shocking global markets.
– Gold hit a parabolic top ($1900+), sharp correction follows as panic peaks.
2011 ───📉 (Dec) -$240 Crash
– Ongoing Eurozone collapse fear.
– ECB emergency actions create temporary calm, triggering gold sell-off.
– Investors rotate back into USD and bonds, dumping gold for safety.
2013 ───📉 (Apr) -$270 Crash
– Fed hints at tapering QE (Quantitative Easing) — "Taper Tantrum".
– Massive hedge fund liquidations triggered (forced sales).
– Gold broke key support levels → Panic selling flood.
2013–2019 ──▶▶▶ Sideways ($1000–$1400)
– Strong USD strengthens further as US economy recovers.
– Low inflation, rising interest rates (Fed hikes 9 times).
– No real inflation fear = no reason for gold bulls to attack. 😴
2020 ───📉 (Mar) -$240 Doji
– COVID-19 pandemic explodes globally.
– Massive stock market crash → margin calls hit gold too.
– Gold dumped for cash during extreme liquidity panic → but quickly rebounded after.
2020–2023 ──▶▶▶ Sideways ($1730–$2080)
– Inflation spikes globally (highest since the '80s) 📈
– Central banks (especially the Fed) launch aggressive rate hikes to kill inflation.
– Tug of war: Inflation fears (bullish for gold) vs Rising rates & strong USD (bearish for gold).
2024 ───📈 (Mar) Bullish Breakout
– Regional banks collapse (credit tightening starts).
– Growing fears of a full-blown recession.
– Fed forced to stop hiking, dollar weakens — gold surges.
2025 ───🚀 (Apr) +$530 Mega Bull Candle
– Trump wins US election — announces massive new tariffs (Trade War 2.0).
– Global recession risks explode 🌍
– Inflation reignites as tariffs hit goods prices hard.
– Financial markets tremble → Gold explodes to new all-time highs.
DOGEUSDT is gonna pump hard this time wait for above 0.5$As we said before the red trendline is broke and market after 70% fall now is ready for another bull run here and we are looking for same targets like previous time for DOGEUSDT also if and only if 0.45$ break this time to the upside we can expect more rise to the targets like 0.75$ and more even.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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ETH ShortLast night got a distribution model 1 on ETH confirmed with a BOS on the 15 min. Technical target is the range low, but since we are above a 15 day range this could evolve into a PO3 which would bring ETH to new lows. I would love to see BTC's distibution model and USDT's accumulation model to confirm for more validation. Invalidation for ETH is above the recent high.
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3)XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3)
Current Structure:
Massive bullish momentum intact — we are still climbing into extreme premium territory.
Price has broken all previous structure highs and is trading well above the last known CHoCH (confirmed weekly bullish flow).
Current Weekly candle is showing minor exhaustion but no clear reversal confirmation yet.
Key Weekly Observations:
Premium Zone: 3350–3500 → extreme overbought territory, where distribution/reversal could begin forming.
Immediate Support: 3110–3150 → previous major liquidity grab + breakout area (could act as reaccumulation if retested).
Unmitigated Zones Below:
~2900–2950 → old FVG left behind (possible bounce if deeper correction happens).
Strong demand clusters still much lower, around 2050–2100 (only relevant if a major cycle shift occurs).
Liquidity and Flow:
Liquidity has been swept above all major highs — now hunting for fresh liquidity pools either at extreme highs (above 3350) or deeper below (below 3200).
Strong liquidity vacuum between 3280 and 3150 zones if a weekly rejection happens.
Bias:
Still bullish but hyper-extended — smart money will likely start hunting liquidity pockets on both sides soon.
Watching for early signs of weekly exhaustion or topping (large wicks, strong engulfing candle).
✅ Weekly Bias: Cautious bullish, watching for early topping patterns
✅ Key Levels to Watch: 3350–3500 (resistance), 3150–3110 (support)
🌟 Final Note for the Community:
We’re flying at premium altitudes — but don’t get drunk on heights! 🛫 Stay sharp, stay humble. Gold doesn’t ask, it takes. Let’s keep mastering the game, one sniper move at a time.
👉 Follow, like, and comment your outlook — let’s grow this smart community together! 🚀✨
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #WeeklyOutlook
Positive trade talks could send gold prices lower next week🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold reversed its Thursday recovery and slipped to around $3,300 per ounce by the weekend as market sentiment continued to improve, driven by optimism over positive developments in the U.S.-China trade dispute. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the United States and South Korea could reach a "mutual understanding" on trade as early as next week, according to Bloomberg. The growing number of headlines suggesting potential trade agreements is adding downward pressure on gold prices.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Positive trade agreements are emerging, and the market is gradually pricing in positive news, causing gold to continue to decline early next week
➡️ Note: The trade war remains the focus and any negative news could affect gold prices and cause the upward trend to resume.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3370 - 3433 - 3500
Support zone: 3270 - 3253 - 3145
FM wishes you a successful trading week💰💰💰
Targeting 1.185: Strategies for Navigating Euro Volatility!A few thoughts on the results of the analysis of Friday's stock exchange reports on the euro/dollar pair
We noticed a portfolio that has entered the market with a target of 1.185, and only have 12 days until expiration. With the current volatility at 10.23, the future price at expiration is expected to be in the range of 1.0993 to 1.1849 — a 95% probability. Interesting, right?
Now, let’s consider two possible scenarios.
The first option : if the price is rapidly moving towards 1.185, it might be wise to think about selling the asset. Why? Because this price will act as a strong resistance level. Two reasons:
First , the expected price range is based on a mathematical formula and statistical data. Second , using leverage embedded in options that are deep out of the money (i.e., far from the current price) presents an excellent opportunity to create a synthetic short position without any risk, even if the market continues to move upward! Sounds unreal? Start learning about options, and a new world of opportunities will open up for you. Your perspective on risk and opportunities will change dramatically!
OK, now let's get back to the point of the post. The second option : if the price consolidates above 1.1436 on the futures, this could signal a buying opportunity.
Taking into account other factors (you can dig deeper using our website's data), the current sentiment is quite bullish and the continuation of the uptrend seems more likely than a correction.
Which path will you choose? Share your thoughts in the comments!
That’s where our market research comes in. Think of it as your “bias detector.” We’ve developed and use it daily to get a second opinion on trades. It’s like having a pro trader whisper, “Hey, this isn’t looking good— think twice.”.
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