Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease.
➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270
❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Beyond Technical Analysis
The Candles Are Bullish… BUT Is a Reversal on the Horizon?Back on April 28th, we talked about the ES potentially pushing higher — and guess what? It did exactly that! 🎯
Now we find ourselves at a key crossroads.
A new month is here, and with the previous monthly candle officially closed, there’s a strong case to be made for even higher prices — possibly up to the 5776 level. 📈 That said, I’ll be diving into the analysis today where I’ll also touch on some reasons why short-term selling could still show up.
To be fair, the price action from April (1st–30th) hasn’t given us a lot of evidence for a major reversal, but as always, it’s our job as analysts to stay sharp and open to all possibilities — especially in today’s climate.
Right now, I’m still on board the bullish train 🚂 and the charts continue to suggest upward momentum. But I’ll be watching closely for any shifts that might hint at a change.
What about you? What’s your take on the current setup? Let’s get the conversation going — I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Let's Keep Studying - One Candlestick At A Time!
MSTR - Next Wave UpJust made a new high.
That is likely a clue of what happens next with Bitcoin.
It was a running 3 wave 1:0.618 Golden Window correction.
That is a weak ratio and ideal for a continuing uptrend.
But most importantly it was a re-test for support:
That dip buy was there to be gobbled up.
If you didn't see it then this probably goes up and up from here 👍.
Not advice
Ethereum Rebounds from Key Confluence Zone$ETH/USDT Weekly Chart Analysis
Ethereum is holding a major long-term uptrend as the price bounces off the ascending trendline support. This level also aligns with a strong historical resistance-turned-support zone, adding more confluence to the current bounce.
As long as ETH stays above this structure, it suggests a potential macro bullish continuation, with eyes on the upper resistance line near $3,200–$3,500.
A strong defense at this zone reinforces long-term bullish sentiment.
Crude Oil Outlook and Trading Tips for Next WeekThe expected production increase by OPEC+, trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the risk aversion sentiment in the global economy dominate the price trend of crude oil. On Saturday, OPEC+ confirmed a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in June, intensifying concerns about oversupply. Technically, the bearish trend dominates the crude oil market. Due to the low liquidity in the Asian market caused by holidays next Monday, the oil price is likely to fluctuate significantly.
Last week, crude oil continued to decline and closed with a large bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Next week, the focus is on whether the oil price will break below the previous double-bottom support. In the short term, the oil price has been fluctuating within a range. Currently, it is under pressure and adjusting around $64.88 per barrel, and there are signs of it encountering resistance for the second time around the $60.2 resistance level.
In conclusion, it is highly probable that crude oil will continue to be under pressure. On Monday, it is advisable to mainly consider shorting on rebounds and supplement with going long at low levels. Pay attention to the resistance levels of $59.3 - $60.3 per barrel on the upside and the support levels of $57.7 - $56.3 per barrel on the downside.
USOIL
sell@59.5-59.20
tp:58.00-57.50
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Bitcoin to create new All Time High?Fundamental Analysis
Uncertainty with the Dollar.
Institutional adoption of Bitcoin undergoing unprecedented acceleration.
COT report(Bitcoin Micro Futures) as of: April 29, 2025 shows Non-commercial traders still net short(-3,958) however, a larger percentage of investors who were short the previous week have closed their short positions(-17,401) as opposed to those long(-758).
Technical analysis(Daily TF)
Possible low of the year formed in April(on the 7th)
Displacement of sellers with buy stops above previous highs(2nd & 24th March)
-2 scenarios possible;
1. Correction to fill the liquidity void created on 20th-24th of April then continuation of the bull run or
2. If the daily FVG formed on the 1st of May holds, it could support price higher.
Gold Outlook: After Breaking 3,260 — Is 3,000 the Magnet?Gold Weekly Forecast
Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level.
We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000.
Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300
• Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your view in the comments.
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025
Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions
as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize.
this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect
for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes.
this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
BTCUSDTI’ve cancelled this trade. The new setup will be the one I’m sharing now. 🔄📉
A potential short signal is forming on BTCUSDT. However, it's not ideal to open the sell position right now — we need to wait for the price to reach a specific level. Once it does, we can execute the trade.
So, what are the entry, TP, and SL levels for this setup?
If you’ve just started following me, let’s get started!
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 95652.05
✔️ Take Profit: 95300.05
✔️ Stop Loss: 95827.73
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Gold 1H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th 2025🔥 XAUUSD – H1 Outlook | May 4, 2025
Bias: ⚠ Short-term neutral to bearish — price reacting from a weak CHoCH + premium rejection.
Flow: Intraday trapped between 3240 demand and 3280–3300 supply. Next move decides the breakout.
🔎 Market Structure:
❗ Clean CHoCH + BOS sequence from 3285 → confirms bearish LTF momentum
🟠 Current HL attempt rejected off imbalance around 3268–3275
🔹 Structure still building under H4 LH (3315), supply remains in control unless flipped
🗝 Key H1 Levels (with confluence):
🔵 3233–3244 → Micro OB + FVG Support
🔄 Key short-term HL zone
⚡ RSI oversold bounce last touch
EMA5/21 zone → bounce risk
🟡 3268–3275 → FVG + OB + Last CHoCH Zone
🚩 This is the first sell POI
💧 Liquidity just above (equal highs)
Ideal for LTF short scalp if price rejects again
🔺 3288–3302 → H1–H4 Confluence Supply
🔥 Strong bearish OB + liquidity sweep area
🧱 Reaction zone for swing shorts (supply locked)
Confluence with premium fib retracement
🔻 3190–3200 → Extreme Demand Zone
🧲 Weak low + imbalance + discount OB
🔑 Watch for possible NY reversal trap if price collapses
💡 Plan:
We’re in the battlefield between weak HLs and greedy supply zones.
If 3275 rejects again → scalp sells back to 3240.
If 3240 fails → 3200 could be the "trap long" to flip everything.
🧠 Final Note:
Patience beats precision. Let the chart show its cards — no need to guess when liquidity does the talking.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
POLUSDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring POLUSDT for a buying opportunity around 0.2220 zone, POLUSDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.2220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025)
Trend:
🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420.
🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone.
🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320.
🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences
🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG
🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally
🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap
🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it
🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move)
🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone)
📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation
🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ
⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320
🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet
💧 Internal liquidity build-up
🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF
🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push
🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG
⛔ Major HTF demand below current price
🔄 EMA100 crossover area
🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes
⚠ Summary:
Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220.
Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation.
Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥”
📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025
After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down.
🧱 Macro Structure:
🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation
🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains
🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone
🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence:
📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters
3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed
3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone
3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base
3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet
2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense
🔎 Weekly Confluences:
✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds
📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse
📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down
🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool
🧭 Bias Summary:
Bullish overall, but watching for:
A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone)
🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Crypto psychology *special ep* : Short conversation with Wojack Wojack: Yo Monstralian, guess what—I just found this new coin that’s gonna absolutely crush it this year! It’s tied to AI, RWA, blockchain, Solana, and even AI agents.
Me: Oh really? How’d you hear about it?
Wojack: Bro, everyone’s talking about it all over social media! It already did a 5x from the bottom. I just bought in. This is my shot to finally pull a 10x and make back all the money I’ve lost.
Me: So you’re saying everyone on social media buying now is gonna get that 10x too?
Wojack: Not everyone, man. Some people don’t have the funds, others aren’t paying attention. Only a few of us are smart enough to buy at these prices.
Me: Hmm… but if it’s such a good deal, why didn’t the influencers hype it up earlier, when it was at the bottom? Why only now, after it’s already pumped 5x?
Wojack: That’s ‘cause the project just announced some huge news and big partnerships!
Me: But wouldn’t it have made more sense for them to announce that news when the price was still low?
Wojack: Bro, you’re overthinking this. People who overthink always miss out. I guarantee you’ll be chasing in once it’s up 10x—while I’m the one dumping on you!
* Bogdanoff receiving a call ...
Phone : "Master , he just went all in "
Bogdanoff : He bought ? ... (I let you say it in the comments)
BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Gold Daily Outlook - XAUUSD May 4thXAUUSD Daily Outlook – May 5, 2025
Structure doesn’t lie. Gold is cooling off – but the real game might just be starting.
📊 Trend & Structure:
HTF Bias: Bullish (intact), but showing signs of exhaustion.
Daily Market Flow: Strong rejection from 3500 ATH → bearish correction underway.
Latest Daily Candle: Bearish with large upper wick – confirms aggressive selling after liquidity grab.
🔹 Key Daily Levels:
🔻 Premium Rejection Zone
Zone: 3475–3500
Confluence: Previous ATH + liquidity sweep + FVG + overextension
Note: Reversal confirmed. Sellers aggressively stepped in.
🔻 Active Imbalance Zone
Zone: 3375–3400
Context: Unmitigated bearish FVG formed after ATH rejection
What to expect: Intraday bounces possible, but mostly mitigation unless reclaimed.
🔹 Current Reaction Zone
Zone: 3220–3255
Structure: Micro CHoCH + fresh demand reaction + FVG fill
Note: Bulls defending here. Breakdown = lower retracement likely.
🔻 Key Mid-Term Support
Zone: 3050–3080
Reason: Daily demand + OB + prior BOS
Expectation: Strongest support if price breaks 3200 – ideal HTF reentry.
🔢 Fibonacci Extension Targets (if 3500 breaks)
Using impulse leg 2970 → 3500 with retrace to 3204.50:
Extension Level
Target Price
Commentary
1.0
3500
ATH (already hit)
1.12
3558
First extension zone, minor reaction possible
1.272
3610
Institutional TP1 zone
1.414
3660
Premium FVG / liquidity target
1.618
3730
Strong continuation target, reversal zone
1.786
3785
Final blow-off area, low probability without macro push
📊 Summary:
Gold reached a major milestone at 3500, swept liquidity, and is now in correction mode. As long as 3220–3255 holds, bulls may stage a short-term defense. However, failure to hold opens the door to 3050–3080, the next major structure zone.
Above 3500, use extension zones to track sentiment traps and profit-taking waves.
🧠 Final Thought:
From greed at 3500 to fear at 3200 — markets reset sentiment before the next move. Smart money isn’t emotional. Stay with structure, not ego.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
EURCHF new bearish push expecting
OANDA:EURCHF FALLING WEDGE we are have, in moment its be breaked, price is also be and on trend line with FW, i am expect price will continue pushing, but looks like we will have break of trend line and bounce on sup zone 0.93950
SUP zone: 0.94000
RES zone: 0.92450, 0.92000
XAUUSD Setup: Strong Support Bounce – Eyes on 3,300+🔔 XAUUSD (Gold) - Possible Bullish Reversal
Gold has bounced from a strong support zone (highlighted in purple), showing signs of recovery. If price holds above this level, we may see a move toward the next resistance levels at:
📈 **Target 1:** 3,261
📈 **Target 2:** 3,286
📈 **Target 3:** 3,309
This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio. The market structure suggests higher lows forming, which could lead to a breakout to the upside. Watch for bullish confirmation on lower timeframes before entry.
🔍 Volume is also increasing near the support, adding strength to the potential move.
💬 What’s your view? Are you bullish or bearish on gold Next week?
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishScenario