When to Change Bias in TradingHello Traders!
Do you ever wonder, "When is the trend ending?" or "When should I change my directional bias?"
Many traders find it hard to figure out not only how to choose a directional bias for the day, or how to change their bias if they are on the wrong side of the trade.
In this educational video tutorial, I provide simple confirmations to discern when to change your bias and how to look for your next entry!
Traders, we would love to hear your opinion and how you determine directional bias. Write in the comments and share with us!
Cheers,
- BKH
Bias
E-Mini S&P 500 December Contract2021.11.19 Analysis
Daily Chart
Daily Bullish Bias remains on break above market structure point B @4723.50. Since 2021.11.10 low point A @4625.25 price has not had a 50% retracement to qualify for a change in market structure. Therefore overall Daily Bias remains Bullish.
1 Hour Chart
7 hours after the break above daily market structure @4711.75, price has moved lower into the previous internal swing 70.7% @4684.25 or point a, and then back towards the high 70% @~ 4712.00 or point b. It would appear to be a possible start of a Bearish internal market structure.
Bearish Price Projection favors a break below point a @4684.25 and lower to pair up sell stops @ 4668.00 and lower into the 1LC @4665 as a minimum price target.
Bullish Price Projection would see a continuation to the upside and a break back above points b and B on the daily chart in line with the previous break in market structure @4711.75.
BTC Analysis1-What's BTC market bias as of now?
-Price has formed (or 90% formed) an ascending wedge (red lines), which indicates a down movement possiblity.
-Price is near monthly support (63K zone). If price breaks it, it will continue downward. If it bounces back, it will go to the wedge's upper limit (mentioned in a).
-Volume (yellow line at the bottom) is decreasing; less and less money has been used to buy BTC. This indicates a lack of interest in the market which drives people to avoid it or use as little amount of money as possible. Usually, this ends up with the price moving downward.
-The volume profile of the market shows that since the start of the year, large amount of money was poured in when the BTC price was around 31K-40K. The next wave of money poured in was around 45K-50K, and last one when the price was around 54K-60K. The amount of money used decreased respectively (shown in the left side of the chart as horizontal bars). Again, this has the same conclusion as the point above.
*Conclusion: market bias >>> Down movement.
2-Where would the price go to in that case?
-The regions mentioned above (31K-40K/45K-50K/54K-60K) act as support levels and the price will most likely move to one of them starting from the nearest (54K-60K) and bounce back up. If price doesn't bounce up, it will go to the region below it. In case the price falls below 31K-40K region, we can expect a market crash.
Nasdaq structure shift 2021-11-09Long or short? what do you think?
in the picture you see trend lines and fibbonacci retracement
and SMA 21 50 200
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NZDCHF BULLISH CONTINUATION FROM KEY LEVELNZDCHF is very bullish from the beginning of October.
Setting a new high last week the price retraced to a key level.
Retesting key support the price started to grow.
Bulls managed to violate a falling wedge pattern, and duplicate the bullish breakout.
Expect new wave upward to the key resistance level.
The bias for the NZD remains firmly titled to the upside, and as rates keeps rising
Also note that the RBNZ delivered on expectations to raise the OCR to 0.50%. As the hike was already fully priced, the lack of new hawkish tones we saw a textbook buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact reaction in the NZD pushing lower.
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✅GOLD UPDATE|SHORT 🔥
✅GOLD is still trading below a resistance level
And we've see a bearish reaction from the area
Which proves our bearish bias on Gold
I still think that we will see a move down
To retest the support blow
And the likelihood of such a move increased
SHORT🔥
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USD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is now retracing from the local highs
And I think that given the DXY weakness
We might expect the pair to move down slowly
With an aim of reaching a horizontal support below
Buy!
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See other ideas below too!
EUR-USD Bearish Continuation! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is broke the support line
And keeps being bearish on multiple timeframes
Given the latest movements I think the pair will keep falling
And the downtrend will continue at least until the nearest strong support is hit
Sell!
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EUR-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a downtrend on Weekly
And the pair is suppressed by the horizontal resistance
And a weekly falling resistance line
As we can see, EUR-NZD fell from the resistance level again
Clearly lacking power to break it
However, the pair is now fallen to the rising support level
And I think that we might see a rebound from this level
And a retest of the horizontal one
Mixed bias, but local long
Buy!
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GBP-NZD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD has hit a resistance cluster and retraced
This nice bearish reaction along with the strong resistance
Make us bearish biased and we are expecting the pair to fall
After the potential retest of the resistance slightly higher than before
The implied short trade is risky, thus wait for the confirmation
Sell!
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See other ideas below too!
EUR/USD nestling support! Both looking susceptible to steeper depreciation vs their US rival, with the Euro only just recovering from a stop-chase through the 18 DMA (1.2060) in time to avoid more sell orders sitting at or beneath 1.2050.
Nevertheless, EUR/USD also faces heavy and layered option expiry interest from the round number above to 1.2150, including 1.3 bn at 1.2100, 1 bn from 1.2115-35 and the same size between 1.2140-50.
Overall further upside is anticipated over the coming weeks.
DOGE COIN vs. USDPrice has already pierced above the 161.8 External Retracement and 127.2 Alternate Price Projection Confluence. 22:30 Hrs. Volume is Low.
Current Bias is to the Downside.
This is not an invitation to trade and is my own personal analysis that I am sharing.
***Please do your own research.
USDJPY BuyDo your own analysis ...
Dont Forget Moving Stop-loss At Break-even
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. You must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
Long Term Bias on XauUsdDo your own analysis ...
Dont Forget Moving Stop-loss At Break-even
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. You must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.