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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
Bitcoin Laguerre Weekly Setup – Road to $110K or Breakdown Risk?📈 Idea: Bitcoin continues to hold above key weekly support, consolidating after its recent move up. Using the Laguerre system as confirmation, we’re now watching a high-stakes setup with two clear paths: 🔸 Bullish Scenario: A breakout from the current wedge structure could ignite momentum toward the $110,000 target zone, aligning with Laguerre mid-band strength and upper Bollinger expansion. That orange line is the roadmap — breakout, retest, push. 🔻 Bearish Risk: If price fails to hold the ~$80K region, the structure breaks down — risk increases sharply. The 50-week EMA and Laguerre zone below offer possible support, but the setup weakens significantly. 🧠 Why It Matters: Laguerre momentum curling up from key zones Clean trend structure with well-defined risk Weekly compression often leads to expansion 🎯 Target: $110,000 🛑 Risk Line: $80,000 📅 Timeframe: Weekly 🔍 System: Laguerre + Trend Structure Drop your thoughts 👇 Are we gearing up for the next leg or prepping for a flush? #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Laguerre #TradingView #WeeklySetup #JTraderEdge
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JTRADERCO
Bitcoin AnalysisBitcoin is currently moving within a defined price channel, and at the moment, it is trading near the top (resistance) of the channel. This area often acts as a supply zone, where sellers tend to step in. Therefore, it may be a good opportunity to consider a short position, especially if it's supported by confirmation signals like divergence, reversal candlestick patterns, or other technical resistances. As always, don’t forget to apply proper risk management, set your Take Profit levels, and consider Risk-Free strategies in case the market turns unexpectedly — especially in the high-volatility crypto environment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by amrmrp
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next (chart)b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Video idea here: Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives. We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries . And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet. 🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model? This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between: • Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction • Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions And here’s the magic: These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market. 🧠 Where Are We Now? We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one. • TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again • Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop • The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level That level? 📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004 It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past. 📉 My Expectation: • TLT continues sliding lower • It finds support around 71–76 • Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again • Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends. 📊 Why This Model Matters This isn't just about price. It’s about trust . It’s about rotation . It’s about macro capital flow . Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin). When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises. When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in. This is not just a macro hedge. This is the new cycle narrative . 🔍 What to Watch: • Does TLT drop to 71? • Do we find a bottom and reverse? • Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115? If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg . This post builds on the foundation I laid here: 📌 📌 This is part 3. The signal is there. The rotation is happening. The trust is shifting. Are you watching? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know we’re not talking about your average halving theory anymore. We're entering a new era of Bitcoin cycle analysis — and this model may change the way we look at macro rotation forever. This is an update to The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a cyclical framework built around one question: When trust flows in and out of traditional assets like Treasury bonds... what does Bitcoin do? In this post, we zoom into the latest data: • TLT is testing key support again • Bitcoin is still rising — but in an inverted period • The next major reversion event may be approaching I'll walk you through what happens when correlation flips , why these cycles compress over time, and how we could be approaching the next Bitcoin surge — not because of supply, but because of macro trust flow . If you’ve been wondering what’s really moving the market... this might be the chart you’ve been missing. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉 COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone. 🔍 Key Setup: There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it. This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario. Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support. ✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short. Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly! 💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
Short
by Sober_Trading
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels. From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation. The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete. June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end. Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #68👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York. 🔄 Yesterday's Analysis In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that since the 84363 level was broken, RSI had entered Oversell, and selling volume had increased — if sellers were truly stronger than buyers, the price could drop to 83233. But if that didn’t happen and the price returned above 84363, we could say the move was fake and both the momentum and selling pressure were also fake — and the price could move upward. 👀 As you can see, that’s exactly what happened. The move turned out to be a fake break, and the price reversed. With this fakeout, we could have opened a position in the lower timeframes — as shown in the chart I provided. In the 15-minute time frame, after the fakeout of 84363, the price formed a top at 84633, and with a strong breakout candle, the trigger was activated and the price moved upward — reaching a 15:1 risk-to-reward ratio so far. 🚀 Another position could have been opened in the 1-hour time frame, where we could have entered after breaking 85126. As you can see, the candle closed above this level, the price moved up, and the position reached a 5:1 risk-to-reward. ⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price moved up to 87562 and has now been rejected from this level. The RSI has also exited the Overbuy zone. ✔️ To continue the upward trend and open a long position, for now — since the market hasn’t formed much structure yet — you can enter on the break of 87562. But if more structure forms, you can enter on the break of the new structure or a pullback to the SMA25. 📉 For a short position, we need to wait for now, because market momentum is bullish, and in my opinion, we shouldn’t trade against the trend. So, if you want to short, wait for a trend reversal, or for the price to fall back below 85550, which would invalidate the whole move as a fakeout. 💥 Keep an eye on momentum oscillators like RSI today. If RSI enters Overbuy again, there’s a strong chance of a new bullish wave starting. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin Dominance also moved upward yesterday in sync with the overall market, reaching 64.12. ☘️ If the price can stabilize above 64.12, the next bullish leg of BTC dominance will start. The first trigger for a bearish shift in BTC dominance is the break of 63.67. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, the 965 level was broken and the price moved up to 980, but — just like Bitcoin — it was rejected from that level and is now pulling back. 🔼 To continue the bullish move, breaking 980 will be a valid trigger. For short positions, we need to wait for a trend reversal. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D), as you can see, it also had a sharp move yesterday, breaking 5.44 and 5.39, and reaching 5.32. ✨ The key support for the past few days was at 5.39, and now that this level is broken, the price dropped to 5.32 where it found support. 🎲 Continuation of the bearish trend in USDT dominance requires a break of 5.32. For a bullish reversal, we need to wait for a clear change in trend. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
5
BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis — Potential Reversal or Trend Continuati📊 BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis Technical Outlook — April 21, 2025 🔍 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin is trading within a long-term ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. Price is approaching a crucial decision zone around $87,000–$90,000, marked by previous resistance and mid-channel structure. 🧩 Key Technical Highlights: Price is retesting midline of the ascending channel. Stochastic shows potential bullish cross from the oversold area. Multiple resistance zones ahead: $90K, $100K, and $110K. Support below at $75K and then 54K levels. Structure suggests potential for a bounce or a deeper correction. 📈 Possible Scenarios: Bullish: If BTC breaks and holds above $90,000, we may see a continuation towards $100K and $110K. A bullish Stochastic cross would strengthen this case. Bearish: Failure to break $90,000 and a rejection from resistance could send BTC back toward $75K or even worse $54K. Watch for bearish divergence or weakness in momentum indicators. 📌 Important Note: BTC is at a pivotal zone; traders should monitor macroeconomic news and market sentiment closely, especially with halving hype potentially priced in. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk IndicatorIn this idea, I’ll walk you through the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator — a tool based on the well-known Pi Cycle Top Indicator. By the end, we’ll have a new lens to analyze INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. 👇 First, a quick recap of the original Pi Cycle Top Indicator. It uses two moving averages: — 111-day MA (111DMA) — 350-day MA × 2 (350DMA x 2) A bullish crossover (111DMA crossing above 350DMA×2) historically predicted BTC tops within 3 days. However, one sould know that in 2021 the signal occurred in April (the first peak). The higher November peak didn’t trigger the indicator. Now let’s take the ratio: 111DMA / (350DMA × 2) → this gives us the Pi Cycle Top Ratio (orange line). When the ratio crosses 1 from below, that’s equivalent to the original Pi Cycle Top signal. As you can see: each new major peak is lower than the previous. In 2021, the ratio barely touched 1. This implies that in this cycle, the moving averages may not cross — and Pi Cycle Top Indicator may not generate a signal . Can we forecast the next peak of the Ratio? (Keep in mind: Ratio peaks ≠ BTC price peaks but we'll get back to it later.) Turns out the Ratio peaks fit nicely along a logarithmic curve — let’s plot it. And the lows sit on a straight line. We add both bounds, plus a midline. Now we have a band within which the Ratio tends to move — useful for anticipating turning points. Next, let’s normalize the Ratio within this band: — bottom bound = 0 — top bound = 1 This gives us the Pi Cycle Top Risk indicator — a clean, scaled version of market risk. Currently, it sits at 0.47 , right around the mid-range. Now let’s compare Pi Cycle Top Risk to past BTC tops and bottoms (using daily closes). We’ll treat April 2021 as the last cycle top. The chart shows: — BTC tops occurred when Risk ≥ 0.79 — Bottoms occurred when Risk ≤ 0.24 (or ≤ 0.10 excluding 2011) Summary: 1. Right now, Pi Cycle Top Risk ≈ 0.47 and has been hovering near 0.5 for the past year. This reflects a relatively low volatility during this market cycle — BTC has been rising steadily, with pauses for consolidation, no mania phase and blow-off top. 2. How can we use this going forward? I can’t say whether the Risk will rise or fall — and there’s no guarantee it’ll hit the boundaries. But if it's ever: — Above 0.9 (bright-red zone) → strong signal to consider selling — Below 0.1 (bright-green zone) → potentially good buy opportunities Not financial advice. We’ll keep tracking it.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ChartNChill
1
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week we reached a significant sell area. At the moment, there were strong volume anomalies from the seller. Our main scenario was a correction. But by the middle of the week, after a prolonged flat, the seller began to weaken noticeably. Attempts to update the local minimum didn’t bring results. The scenario was rearranged in the direction of long-range movement. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? We’ve already updated the local maximum on an increased volume. The main priority is long. After updating the $88,800 extreme, the road to $95,000 will be opened. At the same time, the price of $87,000 will act as a support level for a decline. At the moment, strong buyer activity is recorded on it. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume), $97,500–$98,400 (initiative volume pushing upward), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area), Level at $74,800, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). IMPORTANT DATES The macroeconomic events this week: • Wednesday, April 23, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the US manufacturing and services sectors for April; • Wednesday, April 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for March; • Thursday, April 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, April 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales in the secondary housing market in the United States for March. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
4
Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈 🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal . 📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025 Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context: 2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50 Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥 2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50 Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch 2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25 Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️ 2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50 Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path 🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game #1 producer AND importer Keeps all domestic production Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm) Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon? China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution. 💱 CPI From Fire to Frost 2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥 2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty. 🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600 Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000 China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+ Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives. 🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself? In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge. Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin . China stockpiles gold U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin Trade wars have become currency wars This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift . 🔮 Final Thoughts We stand at the crossroads of history . Gold has already chosen its path. Bitcoin is waiting in the wings. And fiat? Under pressure. Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
8
Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line. A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day. When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies. In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends. Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023. The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024. As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up. In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run. But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19 Last weeks low: $83,112.72 Midpoint: $84,802.45 Is the market finally showing its hand? After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA. Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move. Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction? The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick? I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
by ProR35
3
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys! Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario. The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: – Support area around $83,000 – $82,500 – A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal. Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
Short
by melikatrader94
8
88.5KHappy Easter, So, our bullish trade is started well. But for now we wouldn't consider too extended targets. Based on AB=CD that we have on 4H chart , next extension is around 93K. But here is a tricky moment exists and it relates to the H&S shape and strong 87-89K daily resistance. The point is that the right arm is yet to be formed, and it could be started right around 88.5K 1H chart targets. That's why we're focused on just near standing targets. If Somehow, BTC will jump above 90K, then, the different scenario could appear. But for now we think it would be better to not take more risk and try to extract as much as good result from current positive position.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer. --- 1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) . - A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level. - Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders. - This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence. This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern. --- 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill. - These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance. - The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier. - FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value. This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab. --- 3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries. - The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear. - This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups. This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal. --- 4. Market Structure Context From a structural point of view: - Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep. - The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow. Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside. --- 5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative: - Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing. - The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery. - Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic. The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below. --- Conclusion: This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery: - Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions. This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Short
by Louigi_24
31