The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
BTC-D
BTC - has she bottomed? Welp, this is the 1st structural signs of life I have seen in BTC in a long time. There is almost zero chance she can go make a new low any time soon. At worst she goes sideways. At best she works through this blue down channel, and takes a solid rally. Either way. Shorts should be closing. And long positions should be opened. Breaks over $85K become Uber bullish. But we are also right now Uber bullish short term.
BITCOIN SENTIMENTPrice recently broke structure to the upside but is now showing signs of a pullback. I’m expecting a drop toward the support zone, which is highlighted with the white marker. This area aligns with a volume cluster and previous structure, making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction.
Higher timeframe sentiment remains bullish, so I’ll be watching this level for a potential bounce and continuation to the upside. If this zone fails, deeper support levels come into play.
Bitcoin BTCUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K– FWB:73K region.
🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
⚠️ Watch price action closely around this level for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
BTC — Bulls in Full Control | Next Stop $87K+?Bitcoin just smashed through the resistance around $84,300, and the bullish momentum is 🔥
Now we’re heading straight into the next key zone at $87,000–$88,765, which lines up perfectly with previous supply.
If bulls keep this pace — a clean push toward 87K looks very real in the coming sessions.
Entry: $84,500 – $85,500
TP: $86,800 – $87,000
SL: $83,500
More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava
Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're interested.
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC - breakout or bull trap in progress?Yesterday, Bitcoin broke out of the descending trendline it had been respecting for several days, forming a clear double bottom in the process — a classic reversal pattern suggesting bullish intent. Since then, price action has shifted into a consolidation phase, hovering just beneath a key liquidity zone filled with stop-loss orders from prior short positions.
This area aligns closely with the previous 4H lower high, above which lies a fair value gap (FVG) that hasn't yet been fully filled. A move into this region seems likely, especially with liquidity resting above the prior high. We could see BTC targeting a partial fill — around the 50% mark — of that 4H FVG before any significant reaction occurs.
On the way up, BTC also created another 4H FVG. It’s likely that price could revisit and partially fill this imbalance before continuing its move higher. This zone could serve as an ideal retracement area for bulls to re-enter, especially if the market seeks to rebalance before making a stronger push.
Looking ahead, the $85.5K level stands out as a highly probable target. It marks a key psychological and technical resistance zone and is a magnet for liquidity. With momentum building and the current structure leaning bullish in the short term, a sweep of that level in the coming days is entirely plausible.
However, it's important to zoom out. Despite this bullish momentum, the broader market structure remains bearish. Unless BTC breaks above and holds above this larger structure convincingly, rallies are more likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true trend reversals. Once $85.5K is tagged, there's a real possibility of a sharp rejection — potentially sending price back toward local lows or even printing new ones.
BTC - Will it be able to close above 86k?As long as BTC holds above $84,000 (the current VAH/POC cluster), we may see continuation toward $86,300–$87,500 where previous inefficiencies and liquidity lie. A failure to hold $84,000 may trigger a retracement back to $82,600–$81,800 zone where buyers could defend again. Short-term bias remains bullish, but volume tapering suggests the move could slow down soon unless new buyers step in with momentum.
this is what the Profile says, but my doodle is prediciting this, offcourse with a news! Drawn is two outcomes to get settled!
Bitcoin’s 80-Day Correction Ending!?(Signs)Today, I want to share with you a mid-term analysis of Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I hope it will be useful for you.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin started to fall last week due to the tariffs that Donald Trump imposed on countries around the world. In general, since last week, Bitcoin has become more correlated with US stock market indices (such as FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) than before.
But yesterday, Donald Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs for 90 days , except for China , which caused the US stock market indices to grow rapidly, and Bitcoin did not miss out on this growth. So, for the next 90 days , we should wait for news of bilateral tariffs between China and the US , which is likely to make an agreement between the two countries. What do you think!?
Also, just minutes ago, key U.S. inflation data was released — and it came in softer than expected.
The CPI m/m dropped to -0.1%, and Core CPI m/m slowed to 0.1% , both missing forecasts. This drop in inflation significantly reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance . With inflation cooling off, the market is now pricing in a more dovish Fed , which has historically been a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin .
Also, in the last 24 hours , another positive news came for Bitcoin: " China and Russia are using Bitcoin to settle energy trades ," which could be effective in increasing the price of Bitcoin .
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Now, based on the above explanation, let's focus on analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame .
Bitcoin started to rise quickly after touching the Heavy Support zone($73,780-$59,000) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and 50_SMA(Weekly) . It seems that the Important Uptrend line breakout has NOT been successfully completed. One sign of a return could be the formation of a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern , which has also been accompanied by good volume .
Bitcoin has been moving in a descending channel for the past 80 days since its All-Time High(ATH=$109,588) , so a break of the upper line of this descending channel could be a significant sign of a rebound for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) . The price that is important for Bitcoin right now is $84,000 ; if Bitcoin can close a candle on the 4-hour time frame above the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) and $84,000 , we can hope for a breakout of the descending channel.
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have been in a Double Three Correction(WXY) for the past 80 days. A break of the descending channel could reconfirm the end of this correction.
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($85,940-$85,240) after breaking the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) in the first step and make the first attack on 50_SMA(Daily) . If the descending channel breaks, the second target could be around $88,000 , where there is an important Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($89,319-$88,375) .
Also, if Bitcoin moves in a range between $90,000 and $85,000 , we can expect an Altseason , given the conditions of BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ). What do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $77,200, we should expect further declines.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,000-$88,500), we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 12-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XRP, Bloodbath is ComingBINANCE:XRPUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:XRPUSDT is showing strong bearish momentum after BINANCE:BTCUSD and BINANCE:ETHUSD broken bellow resistance. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the high of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
XRP Continues to Mirror BTC's Macro Pirce-Action; Only Slower.XRP since it was listed on Poloniex back in 2014 seems to have mirrored the overall price action of BTC over the years but at a much slower pace.
It would appear that BTC makes the move first then XRP takes about 65% longer to make a move of equal significance.
We can see that BTC had a Major Pump in 2013 and that from there it traded within a range until 2017 before rising 5,424%
XRP's story appears to be the same but with the small twist that it is still trading within it's Multi-Year-Range that it's found itself trading within after a huge 2017 rise.
2022 will be coming to and end soon and it will soon be that XRP has traded 6 Years within this range and just like BTC in the past it appears to be holding on to a trendline, if XRP goes like how BTC went, then we should expect XRP to be nearing or even above the top of the range Several Months after it's first test of the trendline which would point us to February 2023.
If XRP's Multi-Year-Range Breakout lives up to BTC's, I would expect to see an approximate 5,400% pump from XRP's Range Highs which would take it up to the seemingly insane and "unreachable" target of $120.94
We even have some added Monthly MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence to back XRP up.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Technical and Fundamental Analysis 1DBTC has formed a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, indicating a possible bullish breakout. A clean break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $86,485 may trigger an impulsive move to the upside. Price is bouncing from wave (4) and challenging the descending trendline. RSI is recovering, suggesting renewed buying momentum, and MACD shows signs of a bullish reversal.
Fundamental Factors
Bitcoin remains supported by strong institutional demand and optimism around crypto ETFs. Expectations of lower interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to drive interest in BTC as a hedge. Meanwhile, on-chain data reflects accumulation, with exchange outflows increasing in recent sessions.
Scenarios:
Main scenario – breakout above 0.618 targeting $96,595 and $109,474, with a potential extension toward $125,842.
Alternative scenario – pullback toward $79,384. If this level fails to hold, further correction to $72,283 and $63,497 is possible. The $79K level remains a key support for bulls.
Bitcoin 5X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 710%)Bitcoin is presenting us with a very clear and strong bullish bias. The action is happening within a very tight falling wedge pattern. All market conditions are bullish, technical and fundamentals. Everything is pointing up starting several days ago. 7-April Bitcoin produced its 2025 market bottom low. From this date on, we will see growth until late 2025 or maybe until early 2026 or beyond.
This is a high probability trade setup. The market produced many shakeouts already and the majority of weak hands have been removed. All the people around now, all remaining participants, are solid players with diamond hands. These people, you, have a plan and know how to play the long-term game.
For people like us, the market is making this opportunity available.
Make the best of it. Aim high.
Full trade-numbers below:
_____
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 5X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $82,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $95,000
2) $104,250
3) $120,000
4) $131,400
5) $143,300
11) $165,000
12) $181,000
13) $203,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $74,000
Potential profits: 710%
Capital allocation: 5%
_____
Strategy: Buy and hold. If prices drop, buy some more. The market will take care of the rest.
Just make sure to keep your position active, do not allow to be liquidated. That's the only important point. Bitcoin will soon grow.
Patience is key.
Use low risk.
Success is yours.
Namaste.
HelenP. I After strong impulse up, BTC can start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. BTC has recently shown a strong recovery after reaching the support zone between 77000 and 76200 points. This area had already acted as a base twice in the past, and the price once again reacted from it with a sharp bullish impulse. The rise brought Bitcoin back into the resistance zone between 83500 and 84300 points - a level that has proven significant in the past. At the same time, BTC approached the descending trend line that forms the upper boundary of the wedge pattern visible on the chart. The reaction from this confluence zone was immediate. The price got rejected right at the intersection of the trend line and resistance zone, forming a clear rejection candle and showing weakness from buyers. This area is now holding Bitcoin down once again and proving itself as a strong supply zone. At the moment, BTC is trading below the trend line and under pressure from resistance. Given the recent price action, multiple rejections from the same zone, and position relative to the wedge, I expect Bitcoin to decline again toward 78000 points - my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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BTC — Bullish Momentum in Play. Key Levels to WatchYesterday’s impulse lit up the market and set a bullish tone.
Short-term, I’d like to see continuation — 83,588 is the nearest resistance. Break above it, and bulls could easily push toward 88,500.
On the downside, keep an eye on 77,649 and 74,508 — the origin of the impulse and weekly low. Key spots for bears to defend.
Stay locked in. Big moves often follow clean structure.
BTC Is Going to 85k...
Description:
Timeframe: 15m
Pair: BTC/USD
Bias: Short term Bullish (after liquidity sweep & imbalance fill)
---
Analysis:
Price is currently in a distribution phase, targeting sell-side liquidity just below recent consolidation.
We can clearly see:
Liquidity Pool: Multiple equal lows — perfect trap for retail longs.
Imbalance Zone: Price is likely to dip into the imbalance to grab orders.
Expected Move: After the sell-side liquidity is taken and imbalance is filled, a bullish reversal targeting external liquidity at higher levels (~85,000) is expected.
This setup aligns with a typical “Trap the Trapper” scenario — where smart money triggers panic selling, fills long positions, and then aggressively pushes price up.
---
Trade Plan (Example):
Entry: After confirmation near imbalance (~82,500 zone)
Stop Loss: Below 82,200
Take Profit: 84,800 / 85,000 zone
---
Hashtags:
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #Imbalance #TrapTheTrapper #PriceAction #Forex #Crypto
The key to trading is finding support and resistance points
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a short-term uptrend.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 89294.25 point, it can be interpreted that it has not yet escaped the low point.
Therefore, it is recommended to trade with a short and quick response such as scalping or day trading until the price rises above 89294.25 and maintains.
I think the rising trend line (2) is an important trend line that changes the trend.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise along the rising trend line (2).
Therefore, it is important to see whether it rises above the rising trend line (2) after passing the next volatility period, around April 14 (April 13-15).
If it fails to rise, that is, fails to rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is expected that it will eventually show a downward trend again.
Since the StochRSI indicator has risen above the midpoint, it is better to start focusing on finding a selling point rather than a buying point.
In summary, in order to rise above 89294.25, I think it is possible if the StochRSI indicator shows a wave that moves from the overbought zone to the oversold zone and from the oversold zone to the overbought zone, and it is supported near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, and it goes up right away and touches the area around 89294.25, there is a possibility that the area around 89294.25 will act as resistance.
-
(30m chart)
I think the important thing is where to start and where to end the trade.
The indicators used to find the answer are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
When the HA-Low indicator is first created, if it receives support and rises and the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend, it is a buying period.
In other words, when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is an aggressive buying period.
Then, when it rises and meets the HA-High indicator, that is the first selling period.
The HA-High indicator, like the HA-Low indicator, also receives resistance and falls when the HA-High is newly created and the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend, it is a selling period.
In other words, when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator, it is the first selling period.
In the case of futures trading, it is the aggressive selling (SHORT) period.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators can be used as criteria for creating trading strategies.
Most of the trading is in the sideways and box sections within the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator range.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you should switch to a trading strategy in the trend.
Therefore, if you bought near the HA-Low indicator, you can sell first near the HA-High indicator and then respond according to the situation.
-
Rather than thinking about how far it will rise or fall before starting a trade, it is more important to find out which points are important support and resistance points.
Once you find that point, you can boldly start trading and respond to the rest according to the situation.
I use the HA-Low, HA-High indicators as the standard.
The most important indicators for creating a trading strategy are, of course, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
I use the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts as reference indicators for buying or selling from the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators for conducting detailed corresponding transactions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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