Buy gold, there is a rebound in the short term!Fundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold fell below 3290 as expected, and even fell below 3280 beyond expectations. Our short positions also made a lot of money. At present, gold continues to fall to around 3272. Although the short momentum is relatively obvious, it is already close to the recent low support of 3265-3260. I think that before the NFP market, gold may not form a unilateral downward trend, so there are still repeated ups and downs in the short-term trend. Therefore, when approaching the low support area of 3265-3260, we might as well consider short-term long gold.
Trading strategy:
Consider going long gold in the 3275-3265 area, hoping that gold can rebound to the 3285-3295 area.
Candlestick Analysis
Nasdaq: Where should I buy from next? New bullish orderblockWe are hunting the next buyzone already. The correction zone is printing now.
This is how you accurately forecast your next entry ahead of time. Learn how corrections should work. Long below higher time frame (Hourly/Daily/Weekly) lows is the name of the game.
This should be easy work, and you can feel free to look for longs below 15m lows on the way to the targets above. Once we hit those, we should look for correction after closing below hourly candles, the same way we were able to freely take long after close above hourly candles today just as I prescribed while it was dropping.
This is just the rules of the game 🔓 gotta be sharp enough to observe them and trust the mechanics. Thanks for tuning in
Wide fluctuations, short at high levels and long at low levelsIn terms of news, we need to pay close attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the recent conflict between India and Pakistan. Initial jobless claims and PMI data will be released on Thursday, and the unemployment rate and non-farm data for April will be watched on Friday.
Technical side, from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of 3320-3330, and further focuses on the suppression of 3345-56. The intraday rebound relies on 3320-3330 to short and continue to fall. The lower support is 3300-3290, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3270-3260. Before the daily level loses this position, continue to see long-short fluctuations, and participate in high-altitude low-multiple cycles. Do not chase orders.
Intraday trading strategy
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3300-3290
BUY 3260-3270
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical Analysis: Ethereum (ETH) — April 30, 2025📊 Outlook
Ethereum is trading in a tight range with slight upward momentum. Current RSI is neutral, and price remains above the 50-day SMA, hinting at a sustained bullish trend. The Fear & Greed Index supports this positive sentiment. A break above $2,000 could confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below $1,700 may shift sentiment to bearish.
📌 Analyst Note: Maintain bullish bias while ETH remains above $1,790.66. Monitor resistance at $2,000 for breakout confirmation.
🔍 Indicators
RSI (14): 51.60 — Neutral
SMA 50: $1,790.66 — Price slightly above → Bullish
30-Day Volatility: 4.97%
Fear & Greed Index: 61 (Greed)
Technical Sentiment: Bullish
📈 Levels
Next Resistance: ~$2,000
Next Support: ~$1,700
Short-Term Price Target: $1,804.35 by May 30, 2025
Nasdaq - In The Cards For Premium PricesIn comparison to S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Nasdaq is in the lead, steam rolling through short term buy stops this week which was a failure for ES and YM.
Going forward, i'd love to see how Sundays NWOG affects market structure and whether we continue to climb into the premium price range
S&P 500 - Low Resistance Liquidity Run To $5,600?Over 10 days has been spent trading inside of Wednesday 9th April 2025 daily candle with Friday 25th being the day that we witnessed expansion through buyside liquidity.
I would like to see a continuation further inside of the weekly SIBI of $5,649.75 - $5,532 C.E.
Low hanging fruits going into next week guys!
ZB1! - Low Hanging Fruits Pays The Bills!Please refer to US10Y Yields if you want a detailed, 360 analysis of the bond and yields market as I cover the reasons why price action has been soo tricky recently and what to expect going forward.
Low hanging fruits if important right now and studying the daily timeframe throughout next week will give me the indication whether 116.18 will be a good price for the bonds to reverse from or a springboard for higher prices
Short gold, gold may continue to fall to 3245-3235Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
The rebound momentum of gold has gradually weakened, and gold has failed to effectively break through the 3320-3330 resistance zone many times recently, and has built multiple short-term top structures in this area, which has limited the height of gold rebound and further strengthened the bearish sentiment in the market, which is conducive to further decline of gold. In addition, gold has tested the area near 3260 many times, which has weakened the support strength of this area to a certain extent. Gold may fall below this area at any time and continue to the 3245-235 zone.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold again with the 3315-3325 zone as resistance, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and continue to the 3245-3235 zone.
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
Share with a friend in need of real guidance 🫡
Short gold after the rebound!Fundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although gold once rebounded from around 3267 under the circumstances of the ADP data being significantly positive, reversing the downward trend in the short term. However, the recent rebound high of gold only stopped at around 3330, and multiple top turning points were built in the 3320-3330 area, which greatly limited the height of gold’s rebound and further the bearish sentiment in the market. Therefore, I think the area around 3260 is not the low point of this round of decline. I think gold is very likely to continue to fall and continue to the 3240-3230 area, or even lower.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and completely open up the downward space!
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
How to position the market after gold falls to around 3280Gold began to fall after rebounding to around 3313, and has now fallen below the important support of 3300. Looking at it now, gold is most likely to be a relay of the decline. The rebound of gold will continue to be bearish. The current 1-hour moving average of gold tends to stick together and diverge downward, and the decline is a bit sharp. If it continues to cross downwards to form a dead cross, then there is still room for gold shorts to fall. It is recommended to wait and see the support of the previous low of 3260. If the support is not broken, then consider going long. In the evening, we need to pay attention to the fluctuations that may be caused by ADP and PCE data.
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OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold: Bearish Shooting Star Reversal?The trend in gold is higher and no doubt it can go higher still.. BUT
There is a possible short setup
because:
A) It's very overbought relative to its weekly average
B) A Weekly shooting star reveral pattern took place on the weekly chart
C) The daily chart shows a possible breakdown
Thoughts?
AUDCAD: Bearish Wave Continues 🇦🇺🇨🇦
I think that there is a high chance that AUDCAD
will continue falling from the underlined yellow resistance.
Next support - 0.8818
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USDJPY – Potential Volatility AheadUSDJPY started the week with a 1.3% fall on Monday, where it fell from opening levels around its weekly highs at 143.88, to a low at 141.92 and has since stayed relatively quiet. However, that could all change as we move through towards Friday, as FX markets move into a 3-day period packed with important scheduled events.
Risk sentiment towards US assets, and USDJPY in particularly, could be impacted by todays preliminary US Q1 GDP release at 1330 BST, which could indicate whether the US economy experienced a bigger slowdown at the start of 2025 than initially anticipated.
Then, later in the day the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the PCE Index is released at 1500 BST, and this is followed by the earnings updates from US technology giants Microsoft and Meta later in the evening.
If that wasn’t enough to potentially increase USDJPY volatility, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will post its interest rate decision early on Thursday morning. Although no change is expected due to the current uncertain tariff impacted climate and on-going trade deal negotiations with the US, the press conference led by BoJ Governor Ueda could contain some market moving commentary.
This all culminates on Friday’s US Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST, where all eyes may well be focused on the unemployment rate print, currently 4.2%, to see if the US labour market is weakening, which if it is, could open the possibility of Fed rate cuts.
Technical Update: 144.06 Resistance Holds Latest Recovery
Having approached 139.58, the September 16th 2024 low trade, USDJPY has seen a recovery in price. However it could be argued, this appears a reaction to what were likely over-extended downside conditions, in place after the 7.50% decline from 151.21, the March 28th 2025 high.
Importantly, latest price strength has been held and so far, reversed by 144.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March 28th to April 22nd weakness, which traders are likely to continue to focus on, as a potential resistance.
The BoJ announcement and data releases this week have potential to be important sentiment drivers for USDJPY, and we must be aware of support and resistance levels that may help us gauge the next direction of future price moves.
Resistance Levels:
As we have said, so far, recent recovery themes have been unable to break above 144.06 retracement resistance, which will likely be an area that needs to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength.
While much will depend on the market’s reaction to up and coming events and future price trends, 144.06 closing breaks might suggest scope towards 145.43 the higher 50% Fibonacci level, even 146.80, the 62% retracement.
Support Levels:
Having seen Monday’s decline, price activity is back to what might be a support focus for traders at 142.00, equal to half recent strength.
Closing breaks of 142.00 may be an indication of potential for further declines, although it is possible the 139.58 September 16th 2024 low may need to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of increasing downside pressure on price.
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NZDCAD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.55
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.