cl, oil, trading for Oct 15thtrading near settlement price of the day prior and looking decently balanced so will be looking for either a test of the red zone or a break out or the same zone. how i trade will depend on the response around the red zone top and bottom.
Both higher and lower are possible so will have to be observant to pick off good trades today.
CL
cl, oil, trading for Oct 14thAfter a strong up move we have returned back into the 6 day consolidation zone, this is either a market finding support to move back to Fridays range or a market wanting to be complacent and move back to it's comfort zone of the prior weeks common range. I will be watching close to see if we get a upward reaction or further complacency.
cl, oil, trading Oct 10ththe last 6 settlements on oil have been inside a 60 cent range so oil has been going no place, so very balanced. Balance leads to unbalance and could have a large move coming so will be watching close for that.
There is good back and forth action inside this balance zone so will trading that sloshing until we find clear direction
Crude Oil - 4h Chart AnalysisThe trend remains bearish for now but it`s possible to see a retrace towards the Resistance Level of 53.25 with the condition that the price will cross the Pivot Level.
But if the price will bounce back from the Pivot Level, the main scenario remains the one according to which the target price is the Support Level of 52$/barrel.
cl, oil, trading for Oct 9thtoday is inventory report day so I will be very selective until post report.
Oil is in a big balancing zone between 53.30 and 52 and has no clear directional bias until we move outside this range. however inside this range can provide some very good trading spots so i will be focusing on the top and bottom of this range, and look at the middle of the range as a hard to trade chop zone.
oil, cl, trades for Oct 8thThe current move is bearish and could be signaling a further down move. I will be looking for a bounce up to 52.63-73 area and if it rejects will find a short to get on. If we impulse up to this point I will see if pattern is good for a long trade back into prior higher range. The down move looks like it could take us to 51 if that is the direction oil goes.
cl, oil, wti trading for Oct 4thafter teh big down move a few days back the oil markets are consolidating and forming a balanced trade zone. Balance leads to unbalance so the next move will be a readjustment out of this area and this is looking more to be a long move than short, but will let action control the trade not my bias.
will watch the aprox 1 point range for back and forth trades and then pick a side on a break of the red zone.
Oil's buying Opportunity - A return back to 60s Levels?Fundamental Analysis: It’s been nearly three years since the world’s top oil exporter and OPEC’s de facto leader Saudi Arabia forged an alliance with Russia to start managing oil supply with the hope of rebalancing the market and ensuring, in their words, market stability, in other words—higher oil prices.
While they have managed to put a floor under oil prices, the allies in the OPEC+ deal have failed to materially move prices higher. With fears of demand faltering, the leaders of the pact—Saudi Arabia and Russia—face a tough test ahead.
On top of these questions, the leaders of the OPEC+ coalition are now facing another force on the oil market—increased unpredictability in geopolitics, as the attacks on vital Saudi oil infrastructure that knocked 5 percent of global oil supply offline for a few weeks showed.
Technical Analysis: The WTI Crude Oil market initially fell during the trading session on Thursday, before bouncing significantly to form a hammer later in the day. All things been equal though, the $50 level underneath will probably be attempted but a short-term bounce may happen between now and then. If we were to break down below the $50 level, that would be an extraordinarily negative sign. The RSI has now reached the bullish pressure line, increasing the odds of a reversal. A push upside will lead oil to the institutional levels at 60$ per barrel.
Holdings: Bought Oil @52.60, USOU @16.91 and UWT @9.27.
Daily and Weekly Analysis on US OIL by ThinkingAntsOkUse this as a guide to develop your own setup
Main items we see on the Daily chart:
a)The price is on a key level, we need to wait for Bearish or Bullish Reaction
b)Why this level is important? Because we will have solid clues to think on Bullish or Bearish Setups depending if the price consolidates above or below this zone
c)If the Bearish Scenario happens, we will wait for consolidation on the Support Zone, that will be a Strong Signal to think on a bearish Setup.
d)If the Bullish Scenario happens, we will wait for consolidation, but we don't have a good identified level yet.
e)By the moment we will not enter the market we will just observe the price behaviors on this week
Weekly Analysis
cl, oil, day trade for Sep 27th updateOil might have settled down enough to get a levels idea post out will be watching the red zone for a break, a move above will have us looking to retrace the prior days range and a break below can give a nice short, however i will be looking for a trade inside this range that benefits from one of these mentioned breaks.
oil, cl, day trading levels for Sep 27yhThe levels I am pointing out are directional signaling areas and are not always the trade trigger. after a direction is established for my trade i then need to have a triggering event. The trigger can be right at the break point but often is not and the market will have to provide me some real time info to actually create the trigger so the action can be fired upon. I look at trades as 2 parts one is a directional signal and second a trigger or action point. Action point will be looking at things like possible reward and possible risk and is the action cooperating with the signalling direction.
In the live trading room my software create triggers it is up to the trader to see if the trigger matches there personal risk reward.
I point this out because I have been getting lots of questions as of late on what my red zone means.
I will not be adding much about the market today due to the fact the red zone was broken lower as of this typing and will possibly provide a second post today after the break move has digested.
oil, cl, day trading for Sep 23rdoil has been in a large consolidation for the last 4 sessions and is not showing much direction. I will be looking to long from bottom of red zone and short from red zone top. I will keep doing this until we break from this zone, and when we break a good sized move to a few of the shown targets is very probable.