Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week.
I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41).
Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders.
And some data:
The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%.
The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week.
Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Commodities
Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
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GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD formed a bearish
Triangle pattern and then
Made a bearish breakout
Hinting at a coming bearish
Correction that was long
Overdue so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
After a potential pullback
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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Gold - Bearish continuation towards a strong support!Gold has been in a strong and consistent uptrend, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and a favorable risk environment. However, on the lower timeframes, price action is showing signs of temporary weakness following a sharp sell-off a few days ago.
Currently, on the 4h chart, Gold appears to be forming a bearish continuation pattern, specifically a pennant. This type of consolidation after a fast drop often suggests potential for further downside. If the pennant breaks to the downside, the projected target aligns with the golden pocket of the latest bullish move, between $3,165 and $3,147. Notably, this level also coincides with a strong support zone, making it a high-interest area for potential long setups.
Despite the bearish pennant, the broader trend remains bullish, which means a break to the upside is still possible. However, given the current 4h structure, I'm leaning cautiously bearish in the short term and will be watching closely for signs of strength at the key support.
My plan is to look for long opportunities near the golden pocket, but only if certain criteria are met, primarily, signs of downside exhaustion such as a bullish candlestick formation on the lower timeframes. It's critical not to "catch a falling knife"; confirmation is essential before entering any long trade.
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After falling below 3260, the downward space opens upYesterday's US ADP data did not make gold rise straight. The gold price only rebounded slightly and then fell straight in the US market. At present, the trend of gold has fallen below the support of 3230. New downward space has been opened. For our short-term investors, we just need to follow the trend!
The first point of the day is that we first focus on the top and bottom conversion position of 3250, and then the high point where the NY market began to fall. In the Asian session, we will follow the trend in short-term operations. When gold rebounds to around 3250, we can find opportunities to short. Pay attention to the long-short watershed of 3280 during the day. As long as gold is still running below 3280, we will maintain a bearish view!
Buying range: 3220-3218, SL: 3208, TP: 3260-3265
Selling range: 3260-3262, SL: 3272, TP: 3230-3220
Key points:
First support level: 3220, second support level: 3210, third support level: 3200
First resistance level: 3260, second resistance level: 3270, third resistance level: 3280
More sharing, free viewing
GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides.
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1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone
The highlighted upper green zone marks:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse.
- Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation.
This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity.
---
2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone
The lower blue zone serves as:
- FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support.
- Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests.
This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower.
---
3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides
The market structure hints at:
- Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance.
- Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs.
- Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation.
This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions.
---
4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area
Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone:
- Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion.
- Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance.
Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality.
---
5. Summary:
- Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias
- Lower FVG Support → Long Bias
- Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity
This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
GOLD drops sharply to $43, important support areaOANDA:XAUUSD encountered a sudden sell-off in early Asian trading on Thursday (May 1). The current price of gold is around $3,245/ounce, down sharply by $43 on the day and at a key technical position.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell for a third consecutive day as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing reduced demand for safe-haven assets, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. China Central Television said the United States has been in touch with China through various channels.
Bloomberg noted that concerns about the global trade outlook were also eased by news that the Trump administration was close to announcing the first of a series of deals that would reduce planned tariffs on several countries.
OANDA:XAUUSD have risen about 25% this year, largely as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset as U.S. President Donald Trump’s rapidly shifting trade policies have roiled markets and stoked fears of a global economic slowdown.
However, inflows into gold ETFs, central bank buying and strong speculative demand from China will also provide fundamental support for gold prices.
Looking ahead, Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report could reveal the initial impact of Trump’s trade policies on the economy.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is trading at a crucial support area for long-term bullish expectations with support from Ema21 converging with the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. If gold is sold below $3,228, it could continue to decline further with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also approaching the 50 level after a period of correction, which in this case acts as the nearest support.
It can be said that with the current position, gold has the most support with EMA21 converging with Fibonacci retracement 0.50% in terms of trend, and RSI approaching 50 is support in terms of momentum.
During the day, the current position still shows that gold has the potential to increase in price and the notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 - 3,228 USD
Resistance: 3,267 - 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3295 - 3293⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3299
→Take Profit 1 3287
↨
→Take Profit 2 3281
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3195 - 3197⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3191
→Take Profit 1 3203
↨
→Take Profit 2 3209
XAUUSD/GOLD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey There,
Guys, I advise you to just wait for the breakout in gold. This is swing trading. I am just waiting for a breakout; if this breakout is to the downside, the target will be at least 3.215 level.
I hope this matches your desired tone.
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Wide fluctuations, short at high levels and long at low levelsIn terms of news, we need to pay close attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the recent conflict between India and Pakistan. Initial jobless claims and PMI data will be released on Thursday, and the unemployment rate and non-farm data for April will be watched on Friday.
Technical side, from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of 3320-3330, and further focuses on the suppression of 3345-56. The intraday rebound relies on 3320-3330 to short and continue to fall. The lower support is 3300-3290, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3270-3260. Before the daily level loses this position, continue to see long-short fluctuations, and participate in high-altitude low-multiple cycles. Do not chase orders.
Intraday trading strategy
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3300-3290
BUY 3260-3270
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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GOLD RISKY LONG|
✅GOLD will soon retest a key support level of 3260$
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 3323$
LONG🚀
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BTCUSD Short Setup Rejection from Major Resistance Targeting 89kThis BTC/USD chart shows a clear sell bias as the price repeatedly fails to break above a major resistance zone marked near the $95,500 level. Multiple rejections (highlighted with red arrows) indicate strong selling pressure. The suggested path shows a potential drop toward the 1st target around $91,530, and if momentum continues, further decline toward the 2nd target near $89,000, which aligns with a broader support zone.
Entry Zone:
Between $94,800 – $95,300 (inside the major resistance zone)
Stop-Loss (SL):
Just above the resistance zone, around
Take Profit Levels (TPs):
TP1: $93,200 – First minor support zone (lock partial profits, move SL to entry)
TP2: $91,500 – Key horizontal support (major reaction zone, good for larger partials)
TP3: $89,200 – Close to the lower support zone (final target for full exit)
This setup offers a solid Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3, depending on exact entry.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-30 : Moving Into FlaggingThis quick update video should help you understand how my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern could represent a move into FLAGGING within an inverted EPP pattern.
If my research is correct, the next move for the market will be a moderate downward price trend that will represent the FLAGGING portion of the inverted EPP pattern.
You've all see how bullish EPP patterns play out over the past 3 to 5+ months. Now we get to see how this recent SPY low near 480 turns into an inverted EPP pattern. This is basically the same pattern - but forming in an inverted mode.
As we transition through this inverted EPP pattern, what I'm looking for is a breakdown move to create the new FLAGGING formation. This move aligns perfectly with my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern and could be a perfect setup for the attempted "breaking of the Flag High" in late May 2025.
I'm watching Gold and Silver stay relatively strong today. So I'm seeing today's market move as a "reversion move" - not really a breakdown move (yet).
It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
If the markets move into Flagging, as I expect, the big opportunities will be to ride the Flagging & Breakdown patterns over the next 30+ days before we move into either an INVALIDATION or CONTINUATION phase of the inverted EPP pattern.
Price is the ultimate indicator - you just need to know what to look for.
Get some.
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Gold (XAUUSD, 2H) Potential Triangle Structure Near CompletionOn the 2-hour timeframe, gold continues to consolidate inside a well-defined contracting triangle, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows, suggesting reduced volatility before a directional move. The structure appears to follow a five-leg correction (waves 1–5), which may now be nearing completion.
The focus is now on how price reacts to the upper boundary of the triangle, but $3,310 is not a decisive level. Instead, the key signal will come from a breakout from the triangle itself with confirmed follow-through and volume.
Technical view:
– Structure: classic five-leg triangle forming inside the broader retracement
– Volume is increasing on approach to the upper boundary
– Fibonacci retracement levels in play above:
• $3,351 (0.618)
• $3,380 (0.5)
• $3,443 (0.236)
– Critical support remains along the lower triangle base and near the $3,258–$3,192 zone
– Breakdown below $3,192 would invalidate the bullish scenario
Scenario outlook:
This is a hypothetical pattern completion. If the triangle resolves upward, momentum could push price toward $3,350+, aligning with Fibonacci recovery targets.
Conclusion:
Gold is moving toward the decision point inside a contracting triangle. Watch for breakout confirmation from the structure itself — not individual levels. Until confirmed, this remains a potential scenario, not an active signal.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on April 30:
1. News analysis: Bullish and bearish factors are intertwined, gold is under pressure but safe-haven support is still there
The strengthening of the US dollar suppresses gold prices
Trade optimism boosts the US dollar: The progress of negotiations between the United States and major trading partners (such as China and India) has eased market concerns about tariff escalation, and the recovery of risk appetite has driven demand for the US dollar, and the attractiveness of gold as an interest-free asset has declined.
Focus on US economic data: If this week's "super week" data (ADP, initial jobless claims, non-agricultural) performs strongly, it may further strengthen the Fed's expectations of suspending interest rate cuts, which is bearish for gold.
Geopolitical risk aversion supports gold prices
India-Pakistan conflict escalates: Geopolitical tensions (such as the Kashmir issue) may limit the decline of gold, and we need to pay close attention to the evolution of events.
Trump's softening policy toward China: If the China-US trade agreement achieves a breakthrough, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; but if there are new variables, risk aversion will return quickly.
Market sentiment is contradictory
Despite the strengthening of the US dollar, the gold daily line closed with a "hammer line", showing strong buying support below, indicating that the bears have not completely controlled the market.
2. Technical analysis: range oscillation to be broken through, pay attention to key positions
Daily level
Form: high-level hammer small positive line, suggesting bull resistance, but the 3360-3370 area forms a double top suppression, and we need to be alert to the risk of peaking.
Key position:
Support: 3260-3268 (multi-bottom support), 3300 (psychological barrier).
Resistance: 3325-3330 (Bollinger middle rail), 3360-3370 (double top).
4-hour level
Range oscillation: Gold prices are in a wide range of 3260-3370, and the short-term direction needs to be confirmed by a breakthrough.
Bollinger band signal:
The middle rail 3325 is the watershed of intraday strength and weakness. If the rebound is blocked here, you can try a short order.
If the lower rail 3300 falls below, it may test the support of 3285-3260.
Hourly level
Short-term trend: After rebounding to 3325 on Tuesday, it fell back, indicating that there is selling pressure at this position. If the attack fails again, the shorts may dominate the short-term trend.
3. Operation strategy: sell high and buy low, keep a close eye on the breakthrough
Intraday short-term (conservative)
Short on rebound
Entry: 3325-3330 (Bollinger middle rail + previous high resistance).
Target: 3300→3285, break to see 3260.
Stop loss: above 3335.
Long on callback
Entry: around 3300 (previous low support), give up if it breaks down quickly.
Target: 3320-3325.
Stop loss: below 3290.
Mid-term layout (breakthrough and follow)
Break above 3370: chase long, target 3400-3420, stop loss 3350.
Break below 3260: chase short, target 3220-3200, stop loss 3280.
IV. Risk warning
Data risk: This week's US employment data (especially non-agricultural) may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to lighten positions or wait and see before the data.
Geopolitical events: India-Pakistan conflict and sudden news of Sino-US trade negotiations may reverse short-term trends.
Liquidity risk: Thin trading during Asian hours (such as Chinese holidays) may amplify fluctuations, so position management needs to be prudent.
Gold at $3,260: Buy the Fourth Dip?Gold prices have stabilized today after experiencing an earlier decline that represents the fourth dip down to the $3260 level over the past few sessions. The repeated defense of this support level could indicate strong buyer interest at these prices.
Recent reports suggest an easing of trade tensions which might be weakening demand for gold. But have tensions really eased to any great extent? Commerce Sectary Howard Lutnick announced yesterday the U.S. is close to 1 trade agreement with 1 mystery trade partner (rumored to be India? But why not brag about that if true) isn't the kind of progress that consoles me.
But is it time to buy?
The consistent support at $3,260 coupled with a potential move above $3,375 could provide the technical confirmation needed for renewed confidence in this kind of trade.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4h chart route map today after 2 days of smashing targets on the 1h chart idea.
Once again another great day on the markets today. We got our Bearish 3282 and our Bullish 3343 targets hit. No cross and lock on either level, so we are seeing tennis between both Goldturns.
We will look for a ema5 cross and lock on either level to determine the next move. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,300.87 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,322.41.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD