GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,278.91.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,328.53 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Commodities
DeGRAM | GOLD Held the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold is basing at $3 290; defending this demand band keeps $3 500 – 3 520 viable.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman raised its year-end target to $3 700 on robust demand.
✨ Summary
Fundamentals are in line with chart support, favoring a bounce towards $3 500 - $3 520 while maintaining $3 290.
-------------------
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XAUUSD: 30/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3330, and the support level is 3260.
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3307, and the support level is 3275.
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3300, and the support level is 3280.
The 4H cycle is a horizontal box operation. This week is a data week. The gold price is greatly affected by the news. Wait for the NFP data on Friday to break the box operation. Due to the recent market fluctuations, the entry position is very critical. For the time being, focus on the previous support of 3300 today. If the US market stands at 3300, it can be bullish to the 3320~3330 area. On the contrary, if it falls below the 4H and daily support of 3260 US dollars, it may touch the monthly support level of 3230~3200.
There are many news about the US market data today. Wait for the data to be released before trading! Avoid losses caused by increased liquidity during the news release.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 3265 SL:3260
Buy: 3300 SL:3295
Sell: 3330 SL:3335
Sell: 3260 SL:3265
Only provide trading direction, specific entry price, SL/TP need to wait for real-time liquidity confirmation
USOIL BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 59.70
Target Level: 63.67
Stop Loss: 57.06
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,321.1
Target Level: 3,263.1
Stop Loss: 3,359.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Oil : April Could Be the Worst Month in Three and a Half YearsOil Prices: April Could Be the Worst Month in Three and a Half Years
As the XTI/USD chart shows:
→ at the beginning of April, WTI crude was trading above $71 per barrel;
→ this morning, on the last day of the month, the price has fallen below $60.
The overall decline may reach 16% — the worst monthly performance since November 2021.
Why Is Oil Falling?
The primary driver behind the sharp drop in oil prices earlier this month was the introduction of new US tariffs, particularly targeting China and the EU. This raised concerns that a potential global trade war could slow economic growth and, in turn, reduce global oil demand.
According to a Reuters poll, the tariffs imposed by Trump have made a global recession in 2025 a realistic risk.
In addition, growing attention is being paid to OPEC+ and its plans to increase oil production. The next meeting is scheduled for 5 May.
Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart
Oil price fluctuations in 2025 have formed a descending channel (highlighted in red), with lower highs and lower lows reflecting continued bearish sentiment.
Bulls may hope for support to emerge around the $58.85 level, as:
→ this has acted as support before (as indicated by arrows);
→ this level aligns with the lower boundary of a local upward trend (shown in blue), which formed after news broke that Trump had postponed the implementation of some tariffs — triggering a sharp rebound in oil prices from the 9 April low.
Nevertheless, the broader structure remains bearish: the rise towards point C appears to be a corrective recovery following the impulse drop from A to B. Given the potential impact of upcoming news — including statements from the White House and OPEC+ decisions — a bearish breakout below the blue channel cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD trades around $3,300, market lacks major impactOANDA:XAUUSD sare trading lower around the $3,300/oz flatline as easing US-China trade tensions dampen the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while investors await US economic data to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD have been trading in a narrow range recently as the market awaits details of the first trade deal, which is expected to be announced this week or next.
OANDA:XAUUSD has reversed to a downside correction since last week as Trump made some very positive comments and the risk of stagflation was further ruled out, and gold prices continued to fall. Stagflation has pushed gold higher and as the market starts to price in this risk, a correction is natural, especially considering that “buying gold” has become the top trade and it is technically in overbought territory.
Looking at the larger picture, gold prices remain in an uptrend as real yields are likely to continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing. But in the short term, more positive news on tariffs could see gold prices continue to fall as the market adjusts to the new conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD , traditionally seen as a hedge against political and financial uncertainty, hit a record high of $3,500.05 last week amid heightened uncertainty.
Investors will be watching economic data for the rest of the week, including Wednesday's personal consumption expenditure report and Friday's non-farm payrolls report.
Technical Outlook OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to move sideways as the accumulation state takes place as the market has no fundamental impact of any sudden change. With the current position, gold is not qualified to increase or decrease significantly with the sideway area of attention in the range of 3,371 - 3,292 USD being the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, overall, gold is still inclined to increase in the long term with the price channel as the main trend and support from EMA21 as the main support. As long as gold remains above/within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has the technical conditions for the main trend to be up, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections and not an official trend.
During the day, the sideways accumulation state with the main uptrend will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,292 – 3,267 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3382 - 3380⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3386
→Take Profit 1 3374
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3285⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3279
→Take Profit 1 3291
↨
→Take Profit 2 3297
Hanzo | Gold15 min Retest – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3327
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3300
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3336
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3300 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3300 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 3345 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3370 – Equal highs
Gold Regains Momentum Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week📌 Gold Regains Momentum – Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week 🔥📊
📈 Technical Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week with a strong recovery after last week’s sharp drop. Price is currently stabilizing near the major support zone around 3,274 – 3,292, forming a fresh consolidation range that could lead to a bullish continuation — if key support holds.
Last week’s weaker-than-expected US employment data weakened the Dollar Index (DXY), supporting a rebound in gold. However, the market remains cautious ahead of today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment release, which could serve as a directional catalyst.
So far, gold is trading sideways, with mild corrective pullbacks, waiting for clear confirmation from upcoming data.
🔍 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance: 3,336 – 3,352 – 3,357 – 3,366
Support: 3,305 – 3,292 – 3,274
🎯 Trade Setups for Today
🔵 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3,274 – 3,276
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,284 → 3,291 → 3,301 → 3,336
📝 A deeper dip into the 3,274 area could offer another long opportunity, but confirmation is key before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE 1
Entry: 3,350 – 3,352
SL: 3,356
TP: 3,346 → 3,342 → 3,338 → 3,334 → 3,330 → 3,320
📝 Watch for rejection near 3,350. If price fails to break above, this zone could offer a solid intraday short.
🔴 SELL ZONE 2
Entry: 3,366 – 3,368
SL: 3,372
TP: 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📝 If price is unable to hold above 3,366 resistance, look for sell opportunities targeting a drop back to 3,350 and below.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today’s session may be volatile due to ADP Non-Farm Employment expectations.
Geopolitical tension in Asia may also impact gold, so remain alert to surprise headlines.
Apply strict SL/TP risk management as markets prepare for Friday’s NFP release.
✅ Conclusion
We’re entering a pivotal session where gold is testing key zones just ahead of critical employment data. Use tight stops and clear confirmations for all trades.
🚨 Trade with discipline — stay patient, and be prepared for volatility.
💬 What’s your setup for today’s gold session? Watching for a breakout or fading the highs? Drop your view below! 👇👇👇
Gold Stuck in Limbo- Sell Rallies, Ride the DropAfter the explosive rally that pushed Gold up to the 3500 area, the market quickly reversed with a sharp sell-off on April 22–23, dropping almost 2500 pips.
Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase.
Initially, the range was between 3270 and 3370, but since yesterday, the range has started to tighten — a classic sign that a breakout is approaching.
Looking at the structure, we’re dealing with a blow-off top followed by a range with clear support and resistance levels. In this context, I lean toward a downside breakout.
The key support is now at 3300 — and a break below it would likely expose 3270 again.
However, I don’t expect the move to stop there. If 3300 is broken, a continuation toward the 3200 zone becomes very likely.
🔹 Trading Plan:
As long as price stays below the 3360–3370 resistance zone, the strategy is to sell rallies, especially when price approaches the upper boundary of the range. Entries can be taken on rejection candles or confirmation patterns near resistance, with stops just above 3370. If 3300 breaks, watch for continuation setups toward 3200.
Only a sustained breakout above 3370 with strong bullish momentum would invalidate the bearish scenario and call for a reassessment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold chart breakdownTHIS CHART ANALYSI IS A BREAKDOWN OF GOLD MOVEMENT
we are at a critical price in the gold market indicated by zones at 3305-3280, it has been indicated in the analysis by a rectangle . if the rectangle region holds us up then we could further hedge bullish but if it doesnt, the market could fall more as bears may take over.
Note that there may be slight changes as the markets goes by due to other external factors like news and dxy .
updates would be given as time goes by.......
Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data 🌐 Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data – Time to Prepare for the Storm?
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trapped within a narrow consolidation zone, with traders across global markets awaiting critical economic events in the second half of this week. The bounce from the 3290–3270 support zones confirms strong buying interest, yet bulls seem cautious ahead of the ADP employment report today and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.
Despite dovish signs from recent labor data and declining US bond yields, gold has not been able to regain strong upward momentum. This hesitance is attributed to mixed market sentiment fueled by ongoing US-China trade negotiations, potential interest rate outlook shifts from the Fed, and end-of-month positioning across major asset classes.
💼 What’s happening behind the scenes?
US 10Y yields dropped, signaling weaker inflation outlooks — usually bullish for gold.
DXY remains fragile but still attracts safe-haven inflows amid global political tensions.
Investors are cautious ahead of back-to-back economic events and might delay large trades until Friday.
With a bank holiday looming in Asia and Europe tomorrow, liquidity could tighten and amplify volatility. Gold might continue trading in a compressed range between 3274–3357 until NFP injects a fresh directional impulse.
🔍 Technical Roadmap:
🔺 Resistance Levels to Monitor:
3328
3336
3352
3357
3366
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
3305
3292
3274
📌 Trade Strategy (30m–1H timeframe bias)
🔵 BUY ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3292 – 3290
🎯 SL: 3287
🎯 TP: 3295 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320
🔵 BUY ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3275 – 3273
🎯 SL: 3268
🎯 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3350 – 3352
🎯 SL: 3356
🎯 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3365 – 3367
🎯 SL: 3371
🎯 TP: 3361 → 3357 → 3352 → 3347 → 3340
📣 Final Thoughts:
We are in the "calm before the storm" phase. Price is coiling in tight ranges with declining volume and momentum. Today's ADP report could trigger intraday volatility, but major players may still remain on the sidelines until Friday's NFP.
As it’s also the last day of the month, be alert for liquidity grabs and potential stop hunts. Stick to your risk management plan and avoid revenge trades in volatile setups.
🛡️ Stay patient. Trade smart. Let the market reveal the direction.
OIL TRADE IDAHello
Hi everyone. Regarding oil movements, I see a long opportunity at the level of 59.61. If the price closes below 58.56, there is a possibility of a temporary rise before continuing to drop to 55.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Market Analysis and Trading Strategy of USOILThe USOIL market has witnessed significant fluctuations recently. Yesterday, the price broke below the key support level of $61.5, and then it has been declining all the way. As of today, it has approached the vicinity of $59.5. This downward trend reflects that the bearish force currently dominates the market.
From a technical analysis perspective, once the support level of $61.5 is broken, its nature will transform into a strong resistance level. The rapid decline of the price to $59.5 indicates strong bearish momentum. Currently, the focus of the market is on the $59 mark, which is of crucial importance. If this support level is breached, according to the continuity of the price trend and the technical pattern, USOIL is highly likely to continue to decline further. The next important support level is around $57.5. Conversely, if the price can be effectively supported near $59, based on the technical repair demand after being oversold, the price is expected to rebound.
Based on the above analysis, in terms of trading strategy, investors can consider taking a short position near $60. If the price breaks below $59, the short position can be held, with the target price set at $57.5. If the price stabilizes and rebounds near $59, the stop-loss order should be executed in a timely manner to avoid expanding losses. Given the frequent release of important data recently and the significant impact of these data, market volatility will increase significantly. Investors must trade with caution, strictly control their positions, and set reasonable stop-loss levels to cope with the possible sharp price fluctuations.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold weakens under pressure from USD and bondsOn the morning of April 30, the world gold price fell to 3,318 USD/ounce, down 20 USD compared to the same time the previous day. The strong increase in USD and high US bond yields at 4.23% made gold lose its appeal in the eyes of investors.
The recovery of US stocks and the decline in oil prices further depressed market sentiment. On the H4 chart, gold has not yet escaped the sideways zone around EMA34 - a sign that buying power is weakening.
Gold starts to fluctuate at a high level, will it fall or rise iFrom the 4-hour chart of gold: From the above chart, the current trend may be a convergent triangle consolidation, with the high point gradually moving down and the low point gradually moving up. When the space can no longer be expanded, a breakthrough in a certain direction will be obtained. At present, the upper track is at 3344 and the lower track is at 3273. It may not be able to completely touch the upper and lower tracks, but there is a certain support or pressure performance near them; now the key middle track has been lost again, under pressure at 3315, and there is still a chance to explore and approach the lower track tonight; from the hourly chart: the trend of the Asian session in the past few days has been relatively smooth, with better continuity. Once it reaches the European session, it is a volatile oscillation back and forth; the current 3330 line is today's Feng Shui Ridge. If it can withstand pressure here, there is still room for a second exploration.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to sell on rebounds as the main strategy, and buy on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3330-3340 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3300-3290 line of support.
Buying range: 3302-3300, SL: 3290, TP: 3320-3335
Selling range: 3333-3335, SL: 3345, TP: 3320-3315
Key points:
First support: 3300, second support: 3295, third support: 3290
First resistance: 3330, second resistance: 3335, third resistance: 3345
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context:
Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe).
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332
Current Price: 3,312.650
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend & Moving Averages:
EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment.
Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term.
2. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370
Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders.
Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305
Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers.
Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275
A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested.
3. Price Action:
Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness.
A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal.
4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection):
Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts).
A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected.
This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management.
📈 Trade Outlook:
🟢 Bullish Bias:
If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly.
Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Bias:
If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower.
Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250.
✅ Conclusion:
Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds.
Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295.
Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
GOLD Buy Setup by KechFx📈 GOLD Buy Setup by KechFx
This script highlights a bullish opportunity on GOLD/USD based on technical structure and price reaction.
🔹 Entry Zone: 3314.804
🔺 Stop Loss: 3298.768
✅ Take Profit: 3340.247
📌 The idea is based on price respecting a demand zone and forming a potential bullish move towards a key resistance level. Ideal for traders looking to follow momentum with a well-defined risk-reward ratio.
Use this script to track the setup and align with the potential upward move!
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$USO to $29-42 before a bottom is inAMEX:USO broke down from a long term that started in March 2020 and is now breaking down below support at $67.
The most likely outcome is a continuation down to the lower support levels at $29-33.
I won't rule out the possibility of one more retest of the trend line ($73-75) before continuing down further. An invalidation of the short would be a break over the $83 level.
Otherwise, downside is the most likely outcome from here.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming months.