6 Back-to-Back Winning Trades Using Ellipse Price Action.6 Back-to-Back Winning Trades Using Ellipse Price Action Indicator (Crude Oil · 1H)
Ellipse Price Action Indicator captured 6 clean winning entries on MCX Crude Oil (1-Hour).
The system is simple:
✔ Indicator gives Buy/Sell Signal (Green/Red Triangle or Orange Arrow)
✔ Take entry only when price is outside the Ellipse boundary
✔ Exit strictly at the Moving Average (MA)
✔ Never trade in the middle zone or when price is sitting on the MA
✔ Follow stop loss at opposite side of the ellipse
Trade-by-Trade Breakdown
1.🔻 Signal-1 → Short Entry → WIN
Indicator gave Short Signal-1 at ellipse top
Price dropped smoothly
Take Profit at MA for Trade-1
✔ Clean reversal trade
2.🟢 Signal-2 → Long Entry → WIN
Oversold conditions + indicator gave Long Signal-2
Strong bounce from lower ellipse
Exit at Moving Average for trade-2
✔ System worked beautifully — TP hit immediately
3.🟢 Signal-3 → Long Entry → WIN
Price again touched lower ellipse
Indicator gave Long Signal-3
Clean breakout candle
Take Profit at MA for trade-3
✔ Another textbook reversal
4.🟢 Signal-4 → Long Entry → WIN
Third buying zone from ellipse bottom
Long Signal-4 triggered
Strong continuation move
Take Profit at MA for trade-4
✔ Perfect bounce-to-MA setup
5. 🔻 Signal-5 → Short Entry → WIN
Price rejected exactly at upper ellipse boundary
Indicator gave Short Signal-5
Trend followed down toward MA
Take Profit at MA for trade -5
✔ High-probability entry in sell zone
6. 🔻 Signal-6 → Short Entry → WIN
Compression high + overbought zone
Short Signal-6 activated
Smooth drop
Take Profit at MA for trade-6
✔ Final clean short as per system rules
4️⃣ BEST ENTRY ZONES
Long at Lower Ellipse Boundary
Short at Upper Ellipse Boundary
Avoid central zone completely
2️⃣ EXIT RULE (VERY IMPORTANT)
✔ Exit 100% of the trade at the Moving Average
This rule alone protects profits and avoids reversals.
5️⃣ RISK MANAGEMENT
0.5–1% risk per trade
Never add positions in the middle zone
Trade only clear signals with confirmed direction
🔥 Why This Indicator Works So Well
Your screenshot demonstrates:
✔ Automatic reversal detection
✔ Early trend shifts
✔ Compression + expansion zones
✔ Perfect MA exits
✔ No repainting structure
✔ High-probability entries at ellipse extremes
📌 FINAL POST CAPTION (Copy–Paste for TradingView)
"6 Winning Trades in a Row — Ellipse Price Action Indicator (Crude Oil 1H).
Buy/Sell Signals only at boundaries. Strict exit at MA.
Zero trades in middle zone → Zero noise → Maximum accuracy."
(Follow and Boost Script and Idea) MCX:CRUDEOILM1!
Commodities
Gold Reversal in Motion: Head & Shoulders Breakdown Hi!
Market Structure
Gold has been moving inside a clean ascending channel, with price respecting both upper and lower boundaries for several days. Earlier in the trend, we saw the first compression phase along the dashed mid-line, which later fueled the strong push toward the channel top.
Liquidity Zone – Hunt or Breakout?
At the channel’s upper boundary, price tapped a key horizontal level. The spike above it looks more like a liquidity hunt than a real breakout—buyers were trapped, and the market quickly rejected from this zone.
Reversal Pattern – Head & Shoulders
After the rejection, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern formed exactly at the top of the channel
The neckline was positioned just above the dashed trendline. Once the neckline broke, momentum shifted sharply bearish, confirming the pattern.
Target & Expected Path
The chart shows the target of the Head and Shoulders, aligned perfectly with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This creates a strong confluence around the 4,160 area.
The projected move suggests a possible minor pullback or neckline retest before continuing downward.
Overall, the chart signals a short-term trend reversal within a long-term bullish channel, driven by liquidity sweep behavior and a confirmed Head & Shoulders breakdown.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrendXAUUSD – Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrend
Brian – Short sell correction, prioritize Buy according to the major trend
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold has just broken the upward Dow structure and completed 5 small waves – a common signal before an ABC correction.
The larger trend is still a very strong uptrend: gold is on track for its best year since 1979, up more than 60% in 2025, with the YTD performance gap between XAU and BTC continuing to widen.
Therefore: selling is only a short-term strategy, while the priority position for next week remains to buy on deep corrections.
2. Technical structure – Elliott H1
H1: 5 upward waves have completed → the base scenario is for the price to create a wave A down – B retrace – C down before continuing the trend.
The price area above 4,227–4,238 is a zone with selling liquidity + retesting the structure after breaking the H1 peak.
The 4,183–4,173 area (Fibo 0.618 of the most recent increase) is the main demand zone, reasonable to watch for buying in line with the trend with a good R:R.
3. Trading plan for next week
Scenario 1 – Short sell ABC correction (counter-trend)
Idea: take advantage of the A/B correction wave after 5 upward waves on H1.
Sell watch area: 4,227–4,238
SL: 4,246
Reference targets:
TP1: area 4,200–4,195
TP2: towards the Fibo/Buy zone 4,183–4,173
Note: this is a counter-trend order, only suitable for accounts accepting intraday risk, volume should be smaller than buy orders.
Scenario 2 – Buy according to the major trend at Fibo 0.618 (priority)
Idea: wait for the ABC correction to complete, buy at the "discount" price area according to Elliott and Fibo.
Buy watch area: 4,183–4,173 (Fibo 0.618 + technical support area).
SL: 4,166
Target direction:
Initially: return to the 4,220–4,230 area
Extended: depending on developments, it may aim for new highs in the context of a record growth year.
4. Fundamental context – Why prioritize Buy on deep corrections?
Gold increased +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive month of gains.
Previously it was +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September – a very rare series of increases, reinforcing the long-term bull market story.
When an asset has risen strongly but still maintains momentum for many consecutive months, ABC-type corrections on H1 are often just opportunities for new money to participate, rather than trend reversals.
EURUSD – H1 | Premium Retracement Reaction & Potential ContinuatPrice has completed a premium retracement into higher-timeframe supply and is now showing signs of exhaustion. After sweeping the previous high, the market printed a BOS to the downside, followed by a CHoCH inside the intraday range, suggesting a potential shift back toward discounted pricing.
I'm watching how price reacts around the mitigation zone / demand block highlighted below. Failure to reclaim the internal structure highs may confirm continuation lower toward the 1.15800–1.15600 liquidity pocket.
Points of interest:
✔️ Clear liquidity grab above the swing high
✔️ BOS confirming bearish intent
✔️ Price retesting lower-timeframe supply
✔️ Potential continuation toward unmitigated demand zones
⚠️ Reclaiming 1.16400 would invalidate the bearish outlook
This setup remains valid as long as price holds below the retracement premium zone.
Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective for educational purposes.
USOIL Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 59.116.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 58.630 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 2ndGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4330, Support: 4131
4-Hour Resistance: 4220, Support: 4150
1-Hour Resistance: 4210, Support: 4175
Yesterday, the gold market exhibited significant volatility. Gold prices surged, reaching a high of around 4264, demonstrating strong upward momentum. However, upon entering the New York session, the market sentiment shifted dramatically, and gold prices began to fluctuate and decline. The 4-hour chart shows that gold has successfully broken out of a clear symmetrical triangle pattern, a breakout signal indicating a continuation of the bullish trend. Although momentum has improved after the breakout, the RSI indicator remains in overbought territory around 65, making chasing the price higher risky in the short term. The short-term battleground between bulls and bears is around 4200.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4200near
SELL: 4210near
SELL: 4225near
More Analysis →
EURUSD: descending channel🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, EURUSD is clearly moving within a descending channel, with price currently testing a major confluence of resistance. This resistance cluster is formed by the channel's upper trendline, the 100 and 200 SMAs, and a horizontal static zone around 1.1607. The "Global bearish signal" (Death Cross) identified earlier remains valid, reinforcing the downtrend. The projected trade anticipates a rejection from this heavy resistance, pushing the price back down toward the lower support zones, with an ultimate target near the channel's bottom at 1.1380.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Market liquidity is thin today in the wake of the US Thanksgiving holiday, which can lead to unpredictable or muted price action. Focus is shifting to next week's high-impact data, including Eurozone 'Flash' Inflation (Dec 2) and the crucial US Non-Farm Payrolls report (Dec 7). These releases will be vital in shaping the market's expectations for future ECB and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, directly impacting the EURUSD exchange rate.
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Sell on rejection from the resistance zone (approx. 1.1600 – 1.1630)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1468, medium-term target at 1.1380
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the resistance structure (approx. 1.1671)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
GBPUSD: short-term buy🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, GBPUSD has successfully broken out of its long-term descending channel and reclaimed the critical 200 SMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Currently, the pair is forming a bullish triangle pattern just above the 1.3200 support zone, consolidating recent gains. The projected setup anticipates a continuation of this momentum, with a breakout above the triangle targeting the next major resistance level at 1.3356.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: The Pound is gaining traction as the market prepares for a heavy week of US economic data, specifically the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). If US labor data shows signs of cooling, it could further weigh on the US Dollar, providing fuel for the British Pound to extend its rally. Additionally, month-end flows and positioning ahead of December central bank decisions are keeping volatility elevated.
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on the confirmed breakout of the triangle pattern (approx. 1.3245 – 1.3260)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3356
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the local consolidation structure (approx. 1.3170)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
XAUUSD - The Golden Retest Zone!📈Gold remains overall bullish , respecting its rising structure and printing higher lows along the way. Each corrective dip has been met with strong buying pressure, keeping the broader trend intact.
📉As price pulls back, it is now approaching a key blue structure zone that aligns perfectly with the lower blue trendline. This intersection forms a high-confluence area where we will be looking for trend-following longs.
⚔️As long as Gold holds this zone, the bullish scenario remains dominant, with the next potential push targeting the previous ATH highlighted on the chart.
🏹A clean reaction here could be the catalyst for the next leg of the uptrend.
Will the bulls defend the golden zone again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 4192.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4210.4
Recommended Stop Loss - 4182.6
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4218 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4325 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Risk/Reward 2.24 on XAUUSD-GOLD – Is Opportunity Coming?Good Morning Guys
I’ve put together a 4-hour timeframe analysis on XAUUSD – GOLD.
Once the harmonic pattern completes, I’m expectin’ a correction right around the 4215.0 level.
That’s where the pattern should wrap up, and from there price is likely to pull back.
✅ Entry Level: 4215.0
🛑 Stop: 4270.0
🎯 TP1: 4189.0
🎯 TP2: 4149.0
🎯 TP3: 4097.0
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.24
Also, the Supply-Demand zone sits between 4045.0 – 4000.0.
If price drops into that area, I’ll be lookin’ to buy.
Once we hit that zone, I’ll drop another signal for y’all.
Every single like from you guys keeps me motivated to share these analyses.
Big thanks to all my friends who support me with their likes – y’all are the reason I keep postin’.
DeGRAM | GOLD will break the $4250 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD broke out of a long-term triangle and retested the confluence of trendline support and the 4,190 zone, confirming bullish continuation.
● Price is now moving inside an ascending channel, targeting the 4,300–4,380 resistance region as momentum strengthens after the breakout.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Falling U.S. yields and renewed safe-haven demand support further upside in gold as markets price in a softer Fed stance.
✨ Summary
● Bullish bias above 4,190. Targets: 4,300 → 4,377. Key support: 4,190.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Is Entering a Danger Zone—A Sharp Drop May Hit Before....📌 SETUP SIGNAL (GOLD – 4H)
Strategy: Sell the Downward Channel – Follow the Correction
1️⃣ Sell Setup
Entry: 4188–4175 (after a confirmed 4H close below 4188)
Stop-Loss: 4240
Take Profit:
TP1: 4120
TP2: 4050
Main Target: 4000–3990
Reason:
- Price is moving cleanly inside a descending correction channel.
- Repeated sell-offs + weak bullish reactions show sellers are still in control.
- Breaking 4188 confirms continuation toward the lower liquidity zone.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario (Low Probability)
Bullish invalidation: Only if price breaks above 4280 (4H close).
→ Then the market may shift upward toward 4365–4370 liquidity.
📉 QUICK MARKET OUTLOOK – GOLD 4H (Rejection + Bearish Channel Forming)
Based on the current 4H structure, Gold is showing a clear pattern of repeating deep corrections every time it reaches major resistance/liquidity zones.
The latest price action continues to repeat this same behavior:
Key Observations
- Price has once again rejected strongly from the 4270–4280 zone (same rejection region as previous drops).
- A descending bearish channel is forming → indicating controlled distribution.
- The recent downward legs are consistent with past moves:
-8.47%, -11.31%, -5.60%, -2.21% → the market has a clear history of sharp sell-offs.
- Current structure suggests a continuing corrective wave until deeper support.
📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Price continues moving inside the descending channel and breaks the short-term support.
Targets → 4120 → 4050 → 4000
Major liquidity & demand zone sits at 3990 – 3980
→ where large buyers historically step in.
If panic selling accelerates, price may extend toward: → 3888 – 3900
📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
Only activated if Gold breaks OUTSIDE the descending channel and reclaims: → 4280
This invalidates the bearish outlook and reopens the path to 4365 – 4370 liquidity.
🎯 FINAL CONCLUSION
Gold is currently in a corrective downtrend, moving exactly within a well-defined bearish channel.
Unless buyers break the structure, the market is likely heading for deeper retracement toward the 4000 zone before any meaningful bullish continuation.
"Stay patient. Stay disciplined. Let the market come to your levels."
Gold Slows at Channel Top — Market Targets 4,150 Before Move UpHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAU/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the broader consolidation phase, gold continued to move within a rising channel, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows along the Support Line. Buyers maintained strong momentum as the price pushed toward the Resistance Line, which aligns with the major Resistance Level near 4,240. However, after reaching this upper boundary, the market showed clear signs of exhaustion, indicating that buyers are struggling to push further into the resistance zone. This reaction suggests that the price may soon initiate a corrective move. At the moment, XAU/USD is trading inside a narrowing rising structure, with the Support and Resistance Lines converging, creating compression. As long as the price holds above the local Support Level around 4,150, the bullish structure remains intact. A pullback from the Resistance Line toward this area is the most likely short-term scenario before buyers attempt another push. This zone aligns with the first target TP1, which also acts as a key reaction zone from previous price behavior. A successful rebound from support could allow bulls to regain strength and attempt another test of the 4,240 resistance. If a breakout occurs, it would open the door for further bullish continuation. However, if the price fails to hold the Support Line or breaks back below the 4,150 zone, the structure may shift to a deeper correction, exposing gold to lower support areas. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USOIL: Wait for a pullback to $59 to buy.During Monday’s Asian trading session, NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures rose 1.7%, trading around $59.30 per barrel. Oil prices opened strongly as OPEC+ agreed to halt production increases starting from Q1 2026, providing solid buying support at the open.
On the 1-hour chart, crude oil is showing high-level consolidation, with prices repeatedly oscillating around the moving average system, indicating a short-term neutral, range-bound objective trend.
However, from a subjective trend perspective, the bias remains to the upside. The MACD fast and slow lines have pulled back toward the zero axis and are about to form a bullish crossover, suggesting that bullish momentum is building.
There is a high probability that crude oil will break to new intraday highs today.
Intraday Trading Plan:
Buy near: $59.00
Take Profit 1: $60.00
Take Profit 2: $60.50
Stop-loss: Adjust based on individual risk tolerance
GBP/USD 1H chart:GBP/USD 1H chart:
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📉 Analysis – Bearish Setup
My chart shows:
Trendline break ✔
Price retesting the broken trendline + cloud resistance
Clear supply zone above: 1.3260 – 1.3280
Bearish continuation arrow marked on my chart
This setup is valid bearish as long as price stays below 1.3280.
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🎯 Targets (1H)
Entry Zone
🔻 1.3220 – 1.3240
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🎯 TARGET 1
➡️ 1.3160 – 1.3140
(First demand zone – shown on your chart)
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🎯 TARGET 2
➡️ 1.3080 – 1.3060
(This is my second target in the screenshot)
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🎯 TARGET 3 (Extended)
➡️ 1.3020
(If strong selling continues – optional swing target)
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❌ Invalidation Level
If GBP/USD closes above 1.3285 (1H candle)
👉 Trend turns bullish and targets are invalid.
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📌 Summary (Quick)
Sell below: 1.3280
TP1: 1.3160
TP2: 1.3060
SL: 1.3290/1.3300
BTC/USD 1H chart..BTC/USD 1H chart:
📉 Current Market Structure (Bearish)
Price has broken the uptrend line clearly.
Strong impulse sell candle from 91,000 → 86,000.
Price retested the supply zone (87,300 – 87,900) and got rejected.
Ichimoku cloud also showing strong bearish pressure.
🎯 Targets (Downside)
As per My chart, price is likely forming a continuation move.
Entry Zone:
🔻 86,400 – 86,900 (current retest area)
Targets:
1️⃣ TP1 → 85,200 (nearest demand zone)
2️⃣ TP2 → 83,800 (liquidity zone under last swing)
3️⃣ TP3 → 81,000 – 81,300 (My chart’s marked target zone)
📌 Notes
Main target highlighted in My analysis chart = 81,000
This target is valid as long as BTC stays below 87,900 supply.
⚠️ Invalidation
❌ If BTC closes above 88,000 on 1H, bearish setup invalid.
Technical corrections do not mean reversal of the bullish trend#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
📊 From the current structure, gold rebounded to a high of around 4264 yesterday before fluctuating downwards.
💠 However, the price of gold has not yet effectively broken below the daily MA5 and MA10, and there is still some support below.
📈 The brief pullback is a build-up for a better rise later.
🌈 As I said yesterday, the technical indicators showed a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Therefore, it is not surprising that gold prices will fall in the short term.
💡 The key focus for today is the daily MA5 and MA10. The first support level is at 4205-4195. If the price retraces to this level, you can consider a small long position in gold, with appropriate SL orders.
💡 If the price falls below the 4205-4195 support zone, it is advisable to remain on the sidelines and not rush into further trading. Because the downside potential may open up, the price may fall back to the 4160-4140 Fibonacci retracement zone in the short term. This area will determine whether the upward trend can continue. Pay close attention to any stabilization signals in this area during the day.
Xauusd.Chart Pattern...✅ TARGET Visible on my XAUUSD Chart
I have one main target marked with a blue upward arrow:
📍 Target Point: ~ 4,240 – 4,245 USD
This is the horizontal zone I highlighted above the current price, likely projected from the previous range height.
📈 What the Chart Structure Suggests (Based on What my Drew)
Price is riding an ascending trendline.
It’s above the Ichimoku cloud, which I'm using as bullish confirmation.
Breakout from a consolidation box appears to be measured and projected upward → giving the ~4,240 target.
Silver prices surge due to the supply tightnessSilver briefly hit another record high at 78, then stabilized at above 57 due to the concern over the lack of supply in LME and SHFE. Meanwhile, demand from not only Solar PV but also EV and data center continues to surge, putting more pressure on the storage.
Meanwhile, China’s silver exports hit a record 660 tons in Oct, underscoring strong demand amid tightening global supply.
However, the gold/silver ratio fell to 74, near the average 25-year of 69, which could limit the rally.
XAGUSD rebounded from EMA21 and formed higher swings within the ascending channel. Diverging bullish EMAs reinforce its uptrend.
A break above the channel’s upper bound near 60.00 could prompt a rally toward the potential resistance at 63.00.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategis at Exness






















