What if Kid Rock ran the Fed?Gold has broken above $3,400 for the first time, setting a new all-time high as investor confidence in the United States continues to decline.
Citi forecasts gold could reach $3,500 within the next three months. However, this projection might be underestimating Trump’s potential to further undermine confidence in the US.
On Monday, President Trump intensified pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, calling him a “major loser” and demanding immediate interest rate cuts. Last week the President said, "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough,".
A move to dismiss Powell would likely trigger significant market volatility. Markets generally view Powell as a stabilizing figure, and history shows that a less independent central bank is less effective at keeping inflation under control.
I think it might be fair to wonder what a Federal Reserve Chairman Kid Rock would do for the price of gold.
Commodities
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.56
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review🟨 XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review
🔹 Price Action:
Gold made another aggressive high into ATH 3430, reaching full premium territory with strong upside momentum through London into NY. But the reaction near 3430 was sharp — indicating potential short-term exhaustion.
🔍 What Worked Today
✅ Liquidity sweep complete – Price ran clean through the previous weak high and liquidity above 3425, grabbing the top before rejecting.
✅ Bullish BOS confirmed – Structure remained bullish on all timeframes, with no valid CHoCH break on H1 or H4.
✅ Sniper bias confirmed – Directional buys played perfectly from lower OBs (especially the ones marked pre-Asia and pre-London).
🔍 What Didn’t Happen
❌ No mitigation of lower H1/H4 FVGs – Zones between 3361 and 3387 remain completely untouched.
❌ The 3305–3315 OB area wasn’t retested – Meaning any breakout traders looking for retests were left hanging.
❌ No real signs of reversal structure – Despite the reaction off ATH, we’ve yet to see a proper CHoCH + BOS sequence on H1 or H4.
⚠️ Unmitigated Key Zones
🟦 H1 FVG – 3361
🟦 H4 FVG – 3285.00–3300.00
🟧 H4 OB block – 3224 (untouched, still a strong magnet if sell momentum kicks in)
These levels remain high interest for any future discount buy setups if price starts pulling back.
📉 What Was Rejected Today
🔼 3430 – New ATH. Price wicked into this level and rejected instantly with visible CHoCH on M15 and M5, leaving a clear bearish reaction.
🔼 M15 OB – The supply zone around 3425–3430 acted as short-term resistance with an intraday bearish sequence into NY close.
🧠 Market Sentiment
🔸 Still bullish on HTF, but intraday shows clear profit-taking behavior.
🔸 Dollar weakness and geopolitical premium still holding gold up — but overextension risk is real above 3425.
📍 Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend but may be showing short-term exhaustion after hitting ATH 3430. With unmitigated OBs and FVGs below, any deeper pullback will be liquidity-driven, not structural bearishness… yet.
We'll prep the sniper plan separately soon — stay ready. 🧠⚔️
Gold (XAU/USD) Surges to Record Highs – No Signs of Slowing DownGold exploded higher again on Monday, climbing to $3,413, a new all-time high. The uptrend remains unstoppable for now:
🚀 Price is up nearly +2.6% on the day
📈 Strong support from rising trendline and 50-day SMA
📊 MACD is accelerating, signaling strong momentum
⚠️ RSI has entered overbought territory at 76.83, but no bearish divergence yet
The trend is your friend – and for now, bulls remain firmly in control. Traders eye $3,500 as the next major psychological milestone, while any pullbacks may find support near $3,300 or the trendline.
XAUUSD Possible Move 21-04-2025XAU/USD Technical Analysis — April 21, 2025
The Gold shows a bullish trend continuation pattern, with price currently testing a key resistance area. Three key levels have been identified for potential buy entries depending on how price reacts:
🔴 1st Buying Level: $3,396 - Breakout and Retest Zone
Entry Strategy: Buy only if price breaks above this level and successfully retests it.
Condition for Buying: A clear breakout followed by a minor retest confirming support.
Condition for Selling: If price gets rejected at this level and shows weakness on a minor retest, a short position could be considered.
⚫ 2nd Buying Level: Around $3,370
Entry Strategy: Buy if price pulls back to this level and it holds as support.
Note: This is a more conservative buy zone, ideal if the breakout fails and price retraces.
Confirmation Needed: Look for bullish price action like a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle at this level.
⚫ 3rd Buying Level: Around $3,355 (Ideal Entry)
Entry Strategy: This is considered the “perfect” buying level.
Reason: It aligns with previous structure and demand zone.
Best For: Traders looking for a deep pullback with optimal risk-reward potential.
🎯 Bullish Target: $3,425
If price breaks and sustains above the $3,396 level, the next potential upside target is $3,425.
Kindly, follow, comment, and like.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out perfectly completing all our targets.
We started with our Bullish target at 3341 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3362 and 3382, as ema5 didn't catch up for the lock due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation. The final gap at 3410 did give us the ema5 cross and lock confirmation above 3384 opening 3410 and then completed the target perfectly!!
This 1H chart idea is now complete. We can now move onto our 4H chart idea for the remaining targets to track and trade throughout the week. However, If we see price fall back into the 1h chart range, then we can continue to use the levels bellow, as they should be respected.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.755 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,422.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,375.96..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) – Shining Bright in 2025 Company Snapshot:
First Majestic NYSE:AG is emerging as a top-tier silver producer, with a strong focus on sustainable mining and community alignment. Operational discipline, paired with rising commodity prices and robust ESG scores, positions AG for long-term upside.
Key Catalysts:
Record Silver Output 📈
Q1 2025: 3.7M ounces of silver, up 88% YoY
Operational turnaround across four Mexican mines driving momentum
Efficiency gains enhance margins as silver prices rally
Silver Market Tailwinds ⚡
Rising demand for silver in green energy, EVs, and inflation hedging
AG is well-leveraged to price appreciation with a pure-play silver exposure
ESG Excellence 🌍
Ranked in top 20% of global miners by ISS
Strong ratings from S&P, Sustainalytics, and LSEG
$1.2M in community investments = 89% drop in local complaints—a key to operational stability
Strategic Appeal to ESG Investors 📊
Increasing alignment with institutional mandates for sustainable resource extraction
Low controversy score enhances potential for index inclusion and fund flows
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $5.75–$6.00
🚀 Target Range: $9.50–$10.00
🔑 Growth Drivers: Operational scale-up, ESG leadership, and tailwinds from rising silver demand
📢 AG: Where high-grade output meets high-impact sustainability.
#SilverStocks #ESGMining #AG #Commodities #PreciousMetals #GreenEnergy
GOLD at its peak, Trump and Powell in focusSpot OANDA:XAUUSD surged, with gold just hitting a new record high of $3,384.62 an ounce. Gold is now up more than $60 on the day. Trump's comments and the Powell "conspiracy" have combined to trigger market activity.
Earlier, US President Donald Trump released his insights into the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying that "the golden rule of negotiation and success is that he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold will have the upper hand. This post on gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Gold prices have surged to a record high as the U.S.-led trade war fuels safe-haven demand and the dollar weakens, Bloomberg reported, and data in the coming days could highlight early signs of damage to the global economy.
The International Monetary Fund is expected to cut its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, while the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) the following day will provide a snapshot of economic activity since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs.
Gold prices have hit record highs this year as trade conflicts have roiled global markets, denting demand for riskier assets while spurring a rush to safe havens among investors.
Gold ETF holdings have risen for a 12-week streak, the longest such streak since 2022. Central banks have also increased their holdings of gold, supporting strong global demand.
Bloomberg notes that the sell-off in the US dollar intensified on Monday as US President Trump weighs whether to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Powell's possible removal could undermine investor confidence as the Fed's independence is seen as a key factor in investing in US assets. However, given that Trump has previously said he welcomes a weaker currency because it makes US products more competitive, he may welcome a weaker US dollar.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the technical chart, the short correction last Friday ended quickly as gold continued to rise along the short-term price channel.
The increase broke the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, giving gold the conditions to continue to rise with the target of the 3,400 USD price point in the short term, more than the 3,420 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension.
It is difficult to expect a significant correction in the current context, but the RSI down through 80 can be considered a good signal for the expectation of a short-term correction.
However, with the current position, the main technical outlook for gold is still bullish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: 3,372 – 3,357 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,420 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3414 - 3412⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3418
→Take Profit 1 3406
↨
→Take Profit 2 3400
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
→Take Profit 1 3324
↨
→Take Profit 2 3330
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – April 21, 2025🧭 Market Overview:
XAUUSD just printed new ATH at 3396, with price now pushing again into premium, currently testing 3392.7–3393.6 — a zone with weak high inducement. Price action is extremely vertical, with no clear pullback since 3285.
📈 H1 Structure:
Bullish CHoCH and BOS series from April 9
Trend is vertical, clean impulsive waves
No internal sign of exhaustion — yet
🧠 Context:
H1 candles show price slowing slightly around the weak high area. Smart money will look to trap late buyers above 3396 if price does not break cleanly.
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🧲 Weak High Zone 3393.6–3396.0 Current zone – may act as final inducement trap
🎯 Fibo 1.0 Extension 3405–3415 First proper extension level for late buyers’ liquidation
🚨 Fibo 1.272 Zone 3445–3455 If we spike irrationally → this zone becomes the macro reversal trap
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Micro Demand 3340–3345 Small M15 OB zone – valid for reaction scalps only
🟢 Confirmed OB Zone 3284–3288 Last valid H1 OB + FVG confluence → strong buy reentry
⚓️ Macro Demand Base 3220–3235 Institutional reaccumulation zone from previous rally
🎯 H1 Bias:
Still bullish — but close to final exhaustion levels.
📌 Look for LTF reversal signs around 3393–3405 to consider safe short entries.
Great Chance To Buy OIL To Get 500 Pips , Do You Agree ?Here is a very simple analysis on OIL . We have a broken res and very good price action , so i`m waiting the price to enter new trade on this pair , will wait for bullish Price Action on 1H / 2H Time frames to confirm my entry .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-21 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside Breakaway pattern may not show up as I would expect.
An Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the OPEN will be within the Body range of the previous bar - I don't see that happening today.
The Breakaway portion of the pattern is much more likely to happen today with Gold/Silver moving much higher and BTCUSD moving slightly higher today. It appears Safe-Haven assets are THE THING right now.
That would suggest the US Dollar and US-Dollar based assed would continue to fall (move downward) as devaluation and contraction in the global economy continues to play out.
If you watched my video (posted late last night), you already know my data suggests there is almost no reason for the markets to mount a rally right now. The only thing I can see that would drive a big rally from these lows would be some incredible news that the world is immediately going back to somewhat normal in terms of GCB spending and Global Trade. I don't see that happening.
I know there are a lot of emotions related to these Tariff wars and global trade. Heck, almost anything that goes on in the world right now is full of emotions.
I urge all traders to STEP BACK. Think of the markets like an engine that runs on the quality of AIR, FUEL, SPARK, LUBRICATION, STRUCTURAL MECHANICAL PARTS, & INTAKE/OUTPUT CAPACITY.
If you start to think about the markets (global markets) as a big engine, while thinking of individual economies (by country) as smaller engines, it starts to make a little more sense (at least in my mind).
Every country runs its own engine (see the components above). If some of those components are failing, then that country's economy will falter a bit.
And that faltering economy may put additional pressure on the global economy/engine.
It takes a lot to destroy a functional economy. I mean A LOT. War, Total Destruction of government/law/society. Maybe even some type of internal conflict.
But, even then, the economy will still have roots and will fall back to core elements.
So, don't worry about all of these people telling you "the world is going to CRASH in the next 2 years because of Trump". That is highly unlikely.
What is more likely is that the world will "re-settle expectations" related to future growth and output. Strengthening economies where needed and building up the core elements of global trade/economies over many months.
So, if you are worried or don't know what to do right now, move your positions into CASH and wait it out a bit.
There will be lots of opportunities for you to pick the right time to start trading again.
There is no reason why you have to try to FORCE the markets to adhere to your wants (they never do that anyway).
Just wait it out, keep learning, and plan/time your trade efficiently.
Get some...
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold Trades I'm Taking Today 2
Last week was a success. This week, this is my vibe (don't take my trades without proper research) I'm still going for buys at least till a much stronger resistance. Gold has been breaking levels and i don't think she's stopping anytime soon.
In situations like this, we BUY!!!!..
Let me know what you think.
Gold hits new record — Next stop: $4000!Gold has soared above $3,300 per ounce, setting a new all-time high. Since the beginning of the year, XAUUSD has gained over 20% , and analysts are warning: this may just be the beginning of a rally toward $4,000. As geopolitical tensions flare, supply chains for critical minerals falter, and traditional risk assets crumble, the spotlight is back on gold as the ultimate safe haven.
FreshForex analysts have been forecasting this surge since November 2023. We believe gold will remain a strong investment, supported by a range of powerful factors:
Trade war escalation: Donald Trump has signed executive orders targeting the reduction of U.S. reliance on imported strategic minerals like uranium, cobalt, and rare earths — the market reacted instantly. Conflicts, wars, sanctions, and international tension typically drive investors to seek refuge in gold.
Fed at a crossroads: The probability of a rate cut in May is 92.3% (CME data). Lower interest rates reduce returns on traditional fixed-income instruments like bonds, making gold a more appealing option for investors.
Central banks are stockpiling gold: In Q1 2025, global gold purchases surged 41% compared to 2024. Gold ETFs are holding a record $345.5 billion. Many countries are ramping up gold reserves to diversify away from the U.S. dollar, fueling further demand for physical gold.
Inflation and structural debt crisis in the U.S.: The University of Michigan forecasts consumer inflation at 6.7% — the highest since 1981. Rising yields, budget deficits, and political instability are accelerating capital flight from the dollar.
Goldman Sachs analysts (#GoldmanSac) have once again raised their gold forecast. The investment bank expects gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of this year and $4,000 by mid-2026. Meanwhile, FreshForex believes the $4,000 mark could be tested as early as this year!
DeGRAM | GOLD Slows Under Resistance📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD failed to break out above the resistance line near $3 400 and is retreating from overbought levels; low volatility signals weakening momentum and a likely pullback toward support around $3 325.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Short-term macro drivers also tilt bearish. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are making gold less attractive, while hawkish Fed signals fueled by strong U.S. data have strengthened the dollar.
✨ Summary
Technical and fundamental factors point to a short-term bearish correction in XAUUSD.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD - Price can make correction and then continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price broke out from the lower wedge line and started climbing with confidence, building momentum step by step.
After bouncing off the $3215 zone, it pushed higher and touched the wedge resistance without major rejection.
The current candle formation shows signs of slowing down, hinting at a possible short-term pullback ahead.
Despite that, the structure remains bullish, and buyers are likely to defend local support if the price dips slightly.
With the breakout zones holding firm, I expect Gold to make a correction and then resume the upward path.
My target is set at $3500, where the upper wedge boundary might once again act as key resistance.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USOIL Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 63.114.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.050 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD - When will the gold trend reverse?!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
The global gold market has experienced notable shifts in trade flows following the removal of retaliatory tariffs on metals imposed by the Trump administration. According to data, a significant portion of gold that had been moved to New York since December is now being returned to Switzerland, its original destination.
Swiss customs data reveals that gold imports from the United States surged to 25.5 metric tons in March—the highest level in 13 months—up from just 12.1 tons in February. In contrast, gold exports from Switzerland to the U.S. dropped by 32%, falling to 103.2 tons.
For the first time in over 14 months, Comex-approved warehouses, part of the CME Group, have recorded consistent outflows of gold. These outflows indicate a reduction in U.S. futures premiums and a decline in trader anxiety following the removal of tariffs.
Switzerland has once again emerged as the primary destination for gold leaving American vaults, reaffirming its central role in global gold refining and logistics. Nevertheless, a portion of the gold stored in U.S. warehouses continues to serve as a hedge against market uncertainties.
In an average year, the U.S.consumes around 115 metric tons of gold in the form of physical coins and bars. Current data suggests that kilobar inventories held in CME warehouses are sufficient to meet this demand for nearly 12 years.
The gold market remains heavily influenced by geopolitical and economic factors. These developments highlight Switzerland’s importance in refining and transportation, as well as the United States’ significant role in gold storage and resource management.
Meanwhile, a growing number of economic forecasts are warning that the U.S. may be entering a period of “stagflation”—a situation characterized by stagnating economic growth coupled with persistently high inflation. Tariffs have the potential to drive up consumer prices while simultaneously slowing growth, placing financial pressure on households, particularly if the labor market deteriorates.
Central banks face serious challenges in responding to stagflation through monetary policy, as efforts to address one side of the issue often exacerbate the other. Even if the U.S. economy avoids a recession triggered by tariffs, many economists foresee rising risks of a painful stagflationary period.
While economic experts remain divided on whether former President Trump’s trade wars will ultimately tip the economy into recession, a large number of recent forecasts underscore the increasing threat of prolonged inflation combined with sluggish growth. Numerous analysts, including Federal Reserve officials, argue that tariffs are likely to hamper economic expansion and weaken the labor market, all while elevating consumer prices.
However, Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Financial, is among those who believe the labor market and consumers remain resilient enough to help the economy steer clear of a full-blown recession—assuming recently announced tariffs are eventually scaled back.
HelenP. I Gold will start to decline, after long upward moveHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Recently, price has shown a powerful rally after breaking out from a prolonged consolidation phase that lasted several days. This sideways movement was confined inside the buyer zone near 2855 - 2835 points, which acted as a reliable base for bulls. After forming a solid structure in that area, the price started to move higher, eventually breaking through the resistance of the range and forming a clear uptrend supported by a well-defined trend line. After climbing steadily, the price reached the 3160 support level, which turned into a retest zone later on. A strong impulse followed, pushing Gold above the trend line and into a new higher range. The bullish momentum continued, bringing the price above the 3180 - 3160 zone, and establishing a new local high. Currently, XAUUSD is trading near 3327 points after forming a local peak. It’s showing early signs of a pullback from the top, and the structure suggests a potential correction. I expect the price to decline toward the trend line and reach the 3265 points, which coincides with the trend line. That's why it's my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️