How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Commodities
Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Natural GasWelcome to Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Commodities with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS ...
Our Team has identified that this code is at a point of particular interest & potential volatility.
After re-rating Natural Gas's momentum to Bullish on the 26th of Nov 2024, our Team has again set eyes on the commodity, noting the following important reference point...
If price can hold above $2.950 ... Significant Bullish potential may be unlocked.
If however price falls below $2.950 ... Significant Bearish risk may come into play.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil TumblesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Tumbles
WTI Crude oil is down over 10% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $60.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $57.25 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $60.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $58.00.
There was a steady decline below the $57.75 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $56.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $55.00 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $55.01, and the price is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the $55.50 level. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $56.10 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The next resistance is near the $57.25 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $57.25. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The main resistance is near a trend line at $57.75. A clear move above the $57.75 zone could send the price toward $59.45. The next key resistance is near $62.25. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $63.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $65.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $55.00 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $53.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $52.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $50.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 59.71 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 55.10 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Oil on high time frame
"Regarding WTI oil, the price trend on high time frames is bearish, especially on the daily chart. After completing its pullback on the 4-hour chart, there are indications of further downside potential.
The market's volatility may be influenced by geopolitical tensions and political factors between Iran and the USA, as well as tariff issues. Despite these fluctuations, candle formations suggest the potential for prices to drop towards the $58 zone."
If you require more assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Breadbasket Basics: Trading Wheat Futures🟡 1. Introduction
Wheat may be a breakfast-table staple, but for traders, it’s a globally sensitive asset — a commodity that reacts to geopolitics, climate patterns, and shifting demand from dozens of countries.
Despite its critical role in food security and its status as one of the most traded agricultural commodities, wheat is often overlooked by traders who focus on corn or soybeans. Yet wheat offers a unique combination of liquidity, volatility, and macro sensitivity that makes it highly attractive for both hedgers and speculators.
If you’re new to trading wheat, this guide gives you a solid foundation: how the wheat market works, who the key players are, and what makes wheat such a dynamic futures product.
🌍 2. Types of Wheat and Where It Grows
One of the first things traders need to understand is that wheat is not a single, uniform product. It’s a diverse group of grain types, each with its own characteristics, end uses, and pricing dynamics.
The major classes of wheat include:
Hard Red Winter (HRW): High-protein wheat grown in the central U.S. — used in bread and baking.
Soft Red Winter (SRW): Lower protein, used for pastries and crackers.
Hard Red Spring (HRS): Grown in the Northern Plains; prized for high gluten content.
Durum Wheat: Used for pasta, grown mainly in North Dakota and Canada.
White Wheat: Grown in the Pacific Northwest; used for noodles and cereals.
Each class responds differently to weather, demand, and regional risks — giving traders multiple ways to diversify or hedge.
Major global producers include:
United States
Russia
Canada
Ukraine
European Union
Australia
India
These regions experience different planting and harvesting calendars — and their weather cycles are often out of sync. This creates trading opportunities year-round.
🛠️ 3. CME Group Wheat Contracts
Wheat futures are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), part of the CME Group.
Here are the two key contracts:
o Standard Wheat
Ticker: ZW
Size = 5,000 bushels
Tick = 0.0025 = $12.50
Margin = ~$1,750
o Micro Wheat
Ticker: MZW
Size = 500 bushels
Tick = 0.0050 = $2.50
Margin = ~$175
Keep in mind that margins are subject to change — always confirm with your broker. Micro contracts are ideal for scaling in/out of trades or learning market structure without large capital risk.
📅 4. Wheat’s Seasonality and Supply Chain
Unlike corn or soybeans, wheat is planted and harvested across multiple seasons depending on the variety and geography.
In the U.S., winter wheat (HRW and SRW) is planted in the fall (September–November) and harvested in early summer (May–July). Spring wheat (HRS) is planted in spring (April–May) and harvested late summer.
Globally, things get even more staggered:
Australia’s wheat is harvested in November–December
Ukraine and Russia harvest in June–August
Argentina’s crop comes off the fields in December–January
This scattered global schedule means news headlines about one country’s weather or war (think Ukraine in 2022) can quickly shift sentiment across the entire futures curve.
📈 5. Who Trades Wheat and Why
Wheat is traded by a wide range of participants — each with their own objectives and strategies. Understanding their behavior can give you an edge in anticipating market moves.
Commercial hedgers:
Farmers lock in prices to protect against adverse weather or market crashes.
Grain elevators and exporters use futures to manage inventory risk.
Flour mills hedge their input costs to protect profit margins.
Speculators:
Hedge funds and CTAs trade wheat based on global macro trends, weather anomalies, or technical setups.
Retail traders increasingly use micro contracts to gain exposure to agricultural markets with lower capital risk.
Spread traders bet on pricing differences between wheat classes or harvest years.
🔍 For retail traders especially, micro contracts like XW open the door to professional markets without oversized exposure.
🧠 6. What Makes Wheat Unique in Futures Markets
Wheat is often considered the most geopolitically sensitive of the major grains. Here’s why:
Price can spike fast — even on rumor alone (e.g., export bans or missile strikes near ports).
Production risks are global — the market reacts not just to the U.S. crop, but to conditions in Russia, Ukraine, and Australia.
Storage and quality matter — protein levels and moisture content affect milling demand.
Unlike corn, wheat doesn’t have a single dominant industrial use (like ethanol). This means food demand is king, and food security often drives policy decisions that affect futures pricing.
📌 7. Summary / Takeaway
Wheat may not get as much media attention as corn or soybeans, but it’s a deeply important — and deeply tradable — market. Its global footprint, class differences, and sensitivity to weather and politics make it a must-know for serious agricultural futures traders.
Whether you're just starting out or looking to diversify your trading playbook, understanding wheat is an essential step. Learn its rhythms, follow its news, and respect the fact that every crop cycle brings a new story to the market.
🧭 This article is part of an ongoing educational series exploring futures trading in agricultural commodities.
📅 Watch for the next release: “Soybeans: The Global Protein Powerhouse.”
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Silver H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 32.46, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 31.50, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 33.15, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Today's gold short-term analysisOn Friday, stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm data showed that tariff uncertainty has not yet hit the U.S. job market, prompting traders to reduce bets on an impending rate cut. However, although the non-farm data was relatively solid, it failed to reverse the overall weakness of U.S. economic data last week. In addition, there was some optimism about tariffs in the market. The dollar index eventually closed down 0.15% at 100.03 that day; the offshore renminbi rose above the 7.21 mark against the U.S. dollar, up nearly 700 basis points during the day.
U.S. Treasury yields rebounded for the second consecutive day, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.314%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.832%.
Gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened due to strong U.S. employment data and progress in international trade negotiations. Spot gold closed near the flat plate, barely holding the $3,240 mark
From the daily performance of gold, gold started to bottom out and rebound overnight, and finally closed above the middle track of the Bollinger Band. Then the market rebounded and continued to rise. Although the Asian session fell back and tested around 3227, it finally held the support level. The MACD technical indicator showed a dead cross downward. Although the selling was dominant, it was difficult to change the potential of the short-term market rebound.
From the perspective of gold in 4 hours, the market lows are constantly rising, and the highs are also refreshed. Buying is still the mainstream in the short term. The MACD technical indicator began to show a golden cross upward. The upper suppression level focuses on the vicinity of 3273-3278, and the short-term support focuses on the support near 3235-3228. It is still not recommended to sell in short-term trading. Last Friday was also an important date for the market to have a turning point. If gold starts to rise from the bottom, then this round of adjustment may also be temporarily over.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to buy on pullbacks and sell on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3280-3290 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3240-3235 support.
Buy in the range: 3240-3238, SL: 3228, TP: 3260-3270
Sell in the range: 3280-3282, SL: 3292, TP: 3250-3260
Key points:
First support: 3240, second support: 3230, third support: 3220
First resistance: 3280, second resistance: 3290, third resistance: 3300
More sharing, free viewing
Gold Setup: Range or Rip? Here's the PlaybookGold’s been on a tear lately — driven by safe haven demand as real yields soften and global uncertainty lingers.
But here’s where things get interesting...
We’re now watching what could be a textbook head and shoulders pattern start to take shape.
📊 Current Range:
Right now, price is stuck between 3380 and 3280 — and it’s acting like it knows it.
⚡ Possible Scenarios:
🔁 Scenario 1: Range Play
Short near 3380
Long near 3280
Let it ping-pong and catch the edges.
📈 Scenario 2: Breakout Long
Confirmation above 3380
Look for momentum follow-through into 3420+
📉 Scenario 3: Breakdown Short
Break below 3280
Eyes on the 3220s for a potential flush
🧠 The key? Drop to the lower time frames near these zones and wait for clean setups during active sessions — especially NY open or post-data volatility.
💬 How are you playing this? Breakout or bounce? Drop your take 👇
#gold #tradingview #futures #technicalanalysis #metals #xauusd #tradingstrategy #macro
Gold: Will 3,260 Flip From Supply to Springboard?Micro Gold Futures — 30 min chart
BULLISH ABOVE 3,260 | BEARISH BELOW
🗺️ Structure in Focus
Macro bias (4 h/1 D): remains bearish — lower highs & lows since late‑April.
Intraday context: price climbing in a rising channel; buyers defend each channel low since 1 May.
Grey zone 3 255‑3 260:
• 61 %‑78 % Fib retrace of the last leg down
• Breakdown base now acting as supply
• Mid‑channel + intraday VWAP overhead
A decisive H1 close above 3 260 plus a bullish retest flips the bias long toward ≈ 3 280.
🧭 Trade Map
🔴 Base‑case short
• Trigger – bearish reaction inside / below 3 255‑60
• Targets – 3 230, then 3 210 (-27 % Fib extension)
• Invalidation – H1/H4 close > 3 260
🟢 Flip‑bull plan
• Trigger – H1 close above 3 260 and zone holds as support
• Target – 3 280 supply (channel top + prior S/R)
• Invalidation – H1 close back under 3 250
(Risk ≤ 1 % per idea; scale out at interim levels.)
📊 Narrative to Watch
Fed speakers & US data could jolt real yields and gold flow.
Asia session often sets the tone—watch Shanghai physical premium chatter.
Softening DXY gives the upside‑break thesis a tail‑wind.
What’s your play—fade the zone or ride the breakout? Smash the boost 🔥 and follow for live updates!
Not financial advice; just sharing my plan.
Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #Futures #PriceAction #Fib #TechnicalAnalysis
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, crude oil prices have consecutively closed with bearish candles and declined. On the 4-hour chart, there are four consecutive bearish candles exerting pressure. On Saturday, the OPEC+ convened a meeting ahead of schedule and confirmed the decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which further intensifies the market's concerns about oversupply. It is recommended that for crude oil trading next Monday, short positions should be mainly taken at the resistance level during rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
sell@59.5-58.5
TP:57-55
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,148.98
1st Support: 3,051.82
1st Resistance: 3,430.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears defended the breakout area and kept the market in a bear trend. Bulls tried to print a higher low with a decent bull reversal bar on Thursday. Now what? No idea. Oil below 60 is a big thing and staying below is somewhat low probability, given the past 6 years. The chart is still pretty bearish and if you want to be a bull and look at this, would you be thrilled to buy it at 58? I’m not sure. If you could hold below 53 and add lower as well, sure but as of now, bulls have not done enough to convice me this is a credible bottom.
current market cycle: trading range on monthly tf and bear trend on the daily
key levels: 54 - 65
bull case: Bulls want to keep Thursday the higher low and go up from here. Above 60 they are slightly favored to test 62/64 again but one could also draw another bear trend line from 71.66 to 63.9 from last Monday. So buying here is not favorable, no matter how you look at this chart. Only above 65 do bulls take control again and can test the next bigger bear trend line around 67.
Invalidation is below 54.
bear case: Bears kept the bounce around the breakout area from the W1 low. Now they need to make lower lows to confirm the acceleration of this bear trend. If they fail, this will become fuel for the bulls to test back up to either 67 or even the W2 high at 71.66. My line in the sand for the bears is a daily bull bar close above the daily 20ema. If bulls can get that, I think more bears will give up. Until then, bears are slightly favored, especially below 56.29 to test 54.48 again.
Invalidation is a daily close above 62 and for sure anything above 65.
short term: Neutral around 58. Below 56.29 I think we can do 54.48 or lower and above 62 I expect more upside for 64 or higher.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-27: This does look like another bear trap below 60, which was to be expected.
Silver is Again in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU / GOLD🌟 GOLD: THE BIGGEST TRADE OF SUMMER 2025
XAU/USD Forecast
📈 PHASE 1: SHORT-TERM RALLY (after small correction to 3172$)
We expect a bounce toward the $3,789–$3,800 resistance zone.
🔴 PHASE 2: THE SHAKEOUT
May 27 SELL ZONE.
After May 27, the cycle flips.
Expect a violent correction, retracing into key support around $2,880–$2,970 or even lower.
🟢 PHASE 3: THE BUY ZONE — July 13 +/- few days.
Mid-July marks the ideal long-term entry into TVC:GOLD before the explosive move.
🚀 PHASE 4: THE BREAKOUT
Target: ATH above $4,000 by late summer
Yes, EUROTLX:4K + gold is coming — but only after the market resets.
GOLD - Is this the end of the Bull Run?Gold has once again followed my previous analysis — turning bearish right at key levels! 🚩 After an incredible bull run where price kept making new highs, signs are now pointing to a possible top. We could be entering a short-term bearish phase here, with potential for a deeper correction if momentum builds.
Right now, I’m holding a bearish bias. I’ll be watching for solid sell setups, especially around those well-defined resistance zones. There’s also an unfilled gap below that could attract price action — keep an eye on that level (chart shows the zone clearly 🔎).
I’ll be looking for confirmation through structure breaks and clean retests before entering shorts.
What’s your take — are we seeing a reversal brewing, or is this just a dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below!
If this analysis helps, a boost or follow would mean a lot — and keeps you in the loop for the next moves! 🚀
A Preliminary Double Bottom Support Pattern May Be FormingCurrently, factors such as geopolitics, OPEC+ policies, and the trend of the US dollar all have a two-sided impact on USOIL. Only the technical aspect reveals directional signals.
This week, the crude oil price rebounded rapidly after hitting a low of $56. It has formed the embryonic form of a double bottom with the previous low point, and this pattern may become a turning point in the market trend. According to the theory we proposed earlier, "A deep correction breeds a strong rebound," the price of $56 has become a key support level. If the oil price stabilizes at this level next week, the double bottom pattern is expected to be confirmed, which will in turn trigger a technical rebound. Conversely, once this key level is effectively broken, it is likely to trigger a concentrated sell-off of stop-loss orders, intensifying the downward pressure on the price.
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Crude Oil Outlook and Trading Tips for Next WeekThe expected production increase by OPEC+, trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the risk aversion sentiment in the global economy dominate the price trend of crude oil. On Saturday, OPEC+ confirmed a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in June, intensifying concerns about oversupply. Technically, the bearish trend dominates the crude oil market. Due to the low liquidity in the Asian market caused by holidays next Monday, the oil price is likely to fluctuate significantly.
Last week, crude oil continued to decline and closed with a large bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Next week, the focus is on whether the oil price will break below the previous double-bottom support. In the short term, the oil price has been fluctuating within a range. Currently, it is under pressure and adjusting around $64.88 per barrel, and there are signs of it encountering resistance for the second time around the $60.2 resistance level.
In conclusion, it is highly probable that crude oil will continue to be under pressure. On Monday, it is advisable to mainly consider shorting on rebounds and supplement with going long at low levels. Pay attention to the resistance levels of $59.3 - $60.3 per barrel on the upside and the support levels of $57.7 - $56.3 per barrel on the downside.
USOIL
sell@59.5-59.20
tp:58.00-57.50
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