Gold Strengthens on Trade Tensions and Safe-Haven DemandGold prices climbed toward $2,900 per ounce on Tuesday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and rising safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty and escalating trade tensions. President Trump acknowledged recession risks after the U.S. delayed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, while China imposed new tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited economic concerns but ruled out immediate rate cuts. Investors are now awaiting U.S. inflation data for further guidance on the Fed’s policy outlook.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
Dailyanalysis
UK Budget Forecasts and GDP Data Set to Shape Pound’s Next MoveThe pound hovered around $1.29, staying near a four-month high as dollar weakness persisted amid U.S. economic concerns and tariff risks. Sterling remained supported by expectations that UK interest rates will stay high, with traders adjusting BoE rate cut forecasts to 52 bps for 2025. Investors now await January GDP data for economic insights, while the UK’s budget watchdog will release updated economic and borrowing forecasts on March 26, potentially influencing market sentiment.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
EUR/USD Flat Amid Market Uncertainty and Recession FearsThe EUR/USD pair remained stable on Tuesday, showing little movement as traders entered a data-heavy week in the U.S. markets. On Monday, global equities experienced a sharp sell-off, driven by rising recession fears, leading to broad market declines. However, EUR/USD traders are taking a cautious approach, awaiting key U.S. inflation data before committing to any major moves.
Key resistance is at 1.0850, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
Safe-Haven Yen Gains on Economic Risks, BOJ Policy UncertaintyThe yen rose to 147 per dollar, its strongest in five months, as US recession fears fueled safe-haven demand. Trump acknowledged economic risks, while Japan’s GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8% due to weak consumption. The BOJ is expected to hold rates in March but may hike later this year. Finance Minister Kato warned of the real-world impact of FX volatility.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #29👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual on Mondays, I will also review last week's weekly candle for you and examine the long-term scenarios.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the candle that closed yesterday is a completely bearish candle that registered without a shadow and a large body, and the price has again reached the 0.382 Fibonacci area.
✨ Since this candle was within the previous candle and did not show more volatility, we can say that the market will range in the upcoming candles because the volatility range of the chart has decreased. Therefore, the likelihood that the next candle will be a range is very high.
💫 However, if the market wants to fluctuate, the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci areas, which overlap with the 75000 and 71000 areas, can act as supports in case of a decline. For a market upturn, the significant areas are 90000 and 104000.
📊 The market volume has also been bearish in the last two candles and in favor of the sellers, but an important point is in the RSI. The area at 44.20 is a very important support that has started the next upward leg each time the RSI has reached this area during this uptrend.
✅ Breaking this area in the RSI would mean the loss of market upward momentum and we would receive the first sign of a trend change.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after breaking 92354 and the price pulling back to this area, the price has moved downward and has again reached the support range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci.
🔽 If this range is lost, the price will move towards further support areas like 72753.
🎲 Market volume has also increased last week, which is because the price has finally exited the box between 92354 and 106283, and more volume has entered the market.
☘️ If the price is supported by the Fibonacci range and moves upwards, the main trigger for confirming a trend change will be 92354.
⭐️ The current main resistance area in Bitcoin is at 106283, and breaking this area could potentially lead to further movements and the recording of new ATHs.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the trend line, the trigger was activated, and the price moved downward yesterday.
📉 I told you yesterday that the price could drop to the 83151 area. As you can see, this has happened, and the price has even fallen more than 83151 and now seems to be pulling back to this area.
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe to check today's triggers.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the one-hour timeframe, as you see, after breaking 85552, the price made a downward move and dropped to around the 80000 area.
🔽 Currently, the price has moved towards the 83151 area and, after a fake break, has returned below this area.
🧩 If the price reacts to the 83550 area again, I will move the 83151 line, but if this break is a fake, a downward momentum could enter the market, and in this case, with the break of 81288, we can open a short position.
👀 The current main support that the price has is at 78940, and breaking this area would also register another corrective leg.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of BTC.D. As you see, yesterday dominance faked above its range box and after breaking 61.61 moved downward again, and now it can move downward with more momentum.
💥 The main trigger for the dominance to turn bearish is at 61.08; the next support in this case will be 60.40. For the dominance to turn bullish, our trigger remains the break of 61.61.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of Total2. As you observe, after the support at 1.07 was broken yesterday, Total2 made another downward leg and reached its main support at 1.01. As you see, Total2 is at a lower level than Bitcoin because yesterday, as the market fell, Bitcoin dominance increased, causing altcoins to drop more than Bitcoin.
🧲 The trigger for opening a short position today is the break of 1.01, and for now, we have no trigger for a long position and must wait until the price creates a suitable structure for a long.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to the analysis of Tether dominance, as you see, after breaking 5.14, we witnessed an upward leg that continued up to the ceiling of 5.50, and currently, a box has formed between 5.30 and 5.50.
🔑 If the 5.50 area is broken, we will see an upside expansion, and dominance might move towards higher targets. However, if dominance again falls below 5.30, it will move
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #28👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll review the futures session triggers for New York.
✨ Market conditions haven’t changed at all compared to yesterday, and Bitcoin has a ranging box that might break today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, in the 1-hour timeframe, after breaking the trendline, the 85552 trigger is crucial. If this level is broken, it confirms the trendline break, which means the price could move toward lower support levels.
✅ Currently, the price has broken this area, and the RSI trigger has also been activated. If you opened a position with this break, I recommend waiting to see from which area the price gets rejected.
🔽 For a short position today, there isn’t really any specific trigger, so if you don’t have a position, you should observe for now. However, if the 85552 break turns out to be fake, bullish momentum could enter the market. In that case, you can enter a position with a break of 86949.
⚡️ I don’t have any other moves for Bitcoin because the short trigger is already activated, and today is Sunday, so there’s no need to focus too much on altcoins. Let’s move on to dominance analysis to assess altcoins' conditions.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, you can see that it is still ranging and hasn’t started any particular trend yet.
🧲 If 61.61 breaks, it confirms bullish dominance, while a break of 61.08 would confirm bearish dominance. The main range is between 60.40 and 62.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Checking Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index has also activated its entry trigger and is moving downward.
🎲 Currently, after breaking the 1.07 area, the next support level is at 1.01, and the probability of reaching this level is high. If this downward move turns out to be fake, the 1.09 trigger would be suitable for a long position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, you can see that after yesterday’s pullback to 5.08, the 5.14 trigger has been activated, and dominance is moving upward.
💫 The issue I mentioned yesterday was that there was no momentum, but now bullish momentum is visible. The target it can move towards is the 5.30 area.
📊 If the 5.14 break turns out to be fake, the 5.08 trigger would be suitable for confirming the fake break.
🧩 Overall, there aren’t any significant triggers in the charts today. If you didn’t open a position during the London session and want to have one, you should look for altcoins that haven’t activated their triggers yet.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Different Time FramesMonthly View:
Monthly Support is around 11200 - 11500
Important Resistance is around 12500 -12700
Weekly View:
Weekly Closing above 12000 is Important for
touching the Resistance of 12500 - 12700.
Daily View:
Hidden Bullish Divergence has appeared which
is a positive sign.
If the Selling Pressure continues, we may expect a
bounce back from 11500 - 11600. Otherwise
today's Closing above 11820 can be a Positive Sign.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #27👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. Today, as usual, I want to review the important futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Yesterday, Trump and Powell had speeches, but contrary to expectations, they didn't make any significant statements. As you can see, their remarks had little to no impact on the charts.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as observed, Bitcoin hasn’t reacted to yesterday’s events, and price action has been normal, with no unusual candles. Therefore, we will ignore the news and focus on our regular trading triggers.
✅ Currently, Bitcoin has broken the trendline formed yesterday and is near its trigger level at 85,552. Market volume is extremely low, which indicates that a big move is approaching. If this level breaks, a position can be opened.
📊 However, keep in mind that one reason for the low volume is that today is Saturday, a market holiday, meaning the price might continue ranging, and volume could drop even further.
📉 Regardless, the break of 85,552 is a crucial trigger, and if this level fails, Bitcoin could drop to lower supports like 83,151 and 78,940. Therefore, I will open a short position if this trigger is activated. The break of 37.93 on RSI will confirm this position.
🔼 For a long position, a major resistance has formed at 86,849, and if this level breaks, the trendline breakdown will be invalidated, and the price could push higher.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance, as seen on the chart, nothing has changed—BTC.D is still ranging.
⚡️ If BTC.D breaks below 61.08, it could drop to 60.40.If BTC.D breaks above 61.61, more capital will flow into Bitcoin.
🎲 Overall, BTC dominance has been ranging for a long time, making it hard to analyze. As a result, there aren't many scenarios to discuss.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now, let’s analyze Total2 and find suitable triggers for this index.
⚡️ The trigger for this index has not yet been activated.For a short position, enter if 1.07 is broken.For a long position, the closest trigger is at 1.13.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to Tether dominance, this index has finally confirmed a breakout above 5.08 and even pulled back to retest this level.
💥 However, as seen from the candles above this area, there is no strong momentum in either direction. The price has no clear upward or downward acceleration.
🌿 A strong bullish confirmation for USDT.D would be a powerful green candle closing above this zone.
🔽 A bearish confirmation would be a drop back below 5.08, which would serve as the first sign of weakness in Tether dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #26👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into Bitcoin analysis. Today is a pivotal day for the market with significant news and meetings that could greatly impact the market's future direction.
✨ Today, instead of dominance analysis, I want to explore the potential outcomes of today's sessions.
✅ The first session tonight is the Federal Reserve meeting where Jerome Powell will speak and announce the U.S. central bank's policies.
📈 In this session, if Powell announces a rate cut, we will definitely witness a market pump. This scenario seems plausible as U.S. inflation is currently under control, and there's no reason for an interest rate hike.
📊 If the interest rates are announced to remain steady and Powell indicates that no cuts are planned for a long duration, the market will likely fall. If the rates are raised, it will induce panic in the market, leading to significant drops.
⚡️ The next session is Trump's speech about the Crypto Reserve. Officially, it was decided yesterday that the U.S. will have a Crypto Reserve, but it will not enter the market as a buyer for now. Instead, it will introduce blocked funds, such as those from Silk Road, into this reserve.
🧲 Today's session where Trump speaks is crucial as it's the first time a U.S. president will hold a session specifically about crypto, making every statement he makes significant.
🔼 If he speaks positively about crypto, we will definitely witness a market pump, especially among American altcoins. Considering Trump himself owns a significant amount of crypto, it's highly likely he'll speak positively.
💫 On the other hand, there's no reason for Trump to speak negatively about crypto as it would undermine the enactment of the Crypto Reserve, which is very important to him.
💥 However, given the significant differences between Trump and Powell regarding crypto, these differing views could lead to unusual market volatility.
☘️ For instance, Powell might keep the interest rates steady or even increase them, which would cause the market to drop. On the other hand, to assert his influence, Trump might speak very positively about crypto, causing the prices to pump.
🔍 These manipulations in the short term lead to severe volatility and are not good for the market, but we need to see how these two sessions conclude and the statements made to carry out a long-term analysis.
📄 Here's a list of attendees at Trump's session:
🔹 Senior officials and figures from the crypto industry at the White House.
🔹 A crypto summit held by Trump at the White House on March 7th is one of the most significant events in history. The list of confirmed guests at this summit is as follows:
✅ Confirmed officials from the White House:
Bo Hines - Executive Director of the Presidential Advisory Council on Digital Assets
David Sacks - Special Advisor on AI and Digital Currencies
Mark Uyeda - Interim Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
Caroline Pham - Interim Chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
✅ Confirmed figures from the crypto industry:
Michael Saylor - Founder of Strategy
David Bailey - CEO of Bitcoin Magazine
Matt Huang - Co-founder of Paradigm
JP Richardson - CEO of Exodus
Kyle Samani - Managing Partner at Multicoin Capital
Zach Witkoff - Co-founder of Trump-linked World Liberty Financial
Sergey Nazarov - Co-founder of Chainlink
Brian Armstrong - CEO of Coinbase
Vlad Tenev - CEO of Robinhood
Arjun Sethi - CEO of Kraken
Kris Marszalek - CEO of Crypto.com
Brad Garlinghouse - CEO of Ripple
🎲In the unconfirmed section, notable names such as Vitalik Buterin, Scott Bessent, and Hoskinson are seen, though they have not been officially confirmed yet.
⭐️ Now that we've reviewed these sessions, let's move on to Bitcoin analysis to see what technical events might occur today.
⏳ In the 1-hour timeframe, it's clear that traders are waiting for Trump's and Powell's speeches to decide their actions based on today's meetings.
📈 I can't give you a specific trigger today because any position you open will be influenced by the news, and opening positions today is akin to gambling, entirely dependent on the statements made in the sessions.
🔽 If the news is negative, the important support areas are 86802, 83151, and 78940, which can prevent a price drop if the news is negative but doesn't induce panic.
📉 If the news causes panic, we might even see a 20% red candle, in which case no support levels will be respected, and we'll have to see when the market panic ends.
🔼 If the news is positive for the market, the significant resistance areas are 94355 and 98482, which can act as supply zones.
⚡️ That's all for today's analysis. Be very cautious with the market today, and I recommend that you closely monitor the market during the session to experience this significant event.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Dollar Decline Propels Silver Above $32Silver extended its rally beyond $32 per ounce in early March, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. imposed new tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, prompting Canada’s 25% counter-tariffs and China’s additional levies of 10%-15%, along with export restrictions on select U.S. entities.
Investors now focus on Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Policy Volatility Keeps Gold at $2,900Gold hovered around $2,900 per ounce, set for a weekly gain. While Trump temporarily paused 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs remain, and China’s countermeasures take effect next week.
U.S. labor data showed mixed signals as layoffs hit a 2020 high per the Challenger report, while jobless claims fell more than expected. Investors now await the non-farm payrolls report for further labor market insights and potential Fed policy impact.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
GBP/USD at 1.2880, Awaits NFP ReportGBP/USD holds modest gains around 1.2880 in Friday’s Asian session, recovering from the previous decline as investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its five-day decline, pressured by falling Treasury yields, with the 2-year at 3.94% and the 10-year at 4.24%. Markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive rate-cutting stance due to economic growth concerns.
Analysts at MUFG Bank suggest the Fed may shift focus from inflation control to economic growth, especially amid tariff uncertainties. Consumer confidence has weakened, reflecting rising household concerns.
In the UK, expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2025 have dropped below 50 basis points. BoE’s Catherine Mann stated that gradual rate changes are ineffective in volatile markets, advocating for larger cuts to provide clearer policy signals.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
Euro Surges Above $1.08 on ECB Rate CutThe euro rose above $1.08, hitting a four-month high after the ECB’s expected 25bps rate cut. The central bank signaled a less restrictive stance but hinted at a pause in further cuts, shifting its rhetoric away from "restrictive policy." Markets now anticipate one or two more 25bps cuts this year.
The euro also gained support from expectations of increased government spending. EU leaders are meeting for a special defense session, where Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed an €800 billion plan, including €150 billion in loans, to strengthen defense capabilities despite budget constraints.
Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #25👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. Today, I want to review the important futures triggers for the New York session. Yesterday, the market made an upward leg. Let’s analyze to see what triggers are suitable for today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As observed in the 1-hour timeframe, following the activation of the trigger at 88258, the price moved upwards and broke through the 90513 area, and is currently pulling back to this area.
⚡️ An interesting point about the Fibonacci zones is that even now, as the price is projecting after correction, it is respecting the Fibonacci zones as resistance. As seen, breaking through each of these zones results in a short upward leg that can be traded in shorter timeframes.
✅ A negative aspect visible from yesterday till now is the divergence in volume, which is decreasing during upward legs and seems to increase during corrections, indicating a divergence.
📊 Given that the price has not yet reached the 94355 ceiling and is currently forming a lower peak relative to this area, breaking 90513 and 53.29 on the RSI could allow for a risky short position. Be cautious as this position isn't very secure due to the weak trend momentum, potentially preempting a trend change.
🔼 The primary short position can be entered upon the breach of 88258. This area is currently a significant support, and if the price consolidates below this area, it could move towards 83151.
🛒 For long positions, the only trigger we currently have is 94355, and I can't provide an earlier trigger because the price is very close to this area. Taking a long position before this area is breached might lead to a stop-out. However, if you're eager for a long position and a pullback to 90513 is confirmed, you might consider entering a very risky long position.
🔑 If you already have multiple open positions from previous triggers, you might consider securing profits or closing one. If you have a single position open, you need to decide whether to take the risk of Trump’s session and keep it open in hopes of a market pump or play it safe and close it beforehand.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As observed, dominance continues to oscillate between 60.40 and 61.61, having been rejected from the 61.61 ceiling and returned to the box.
🎲 Given the current downward momentum of dominance, we can expect a continued decline to the bottom of the box, which could potentially propel altcoins upwards. However, if dominance successfully closes above 61.61, more capital will flow into Bitcoin, pushing it higher.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, we saw an upward movement in Total2 after it solidified above the 1.13 area, allowing some altcoins to make an upward leap. We don’t have a specific trigger for long positions in Total2 today, but a crucial note about altcoins is that American-origin altcoins like HBAR, AAVE, XRP, ADA could pump significantly if Trump makes positive remarks about crypto, so keep an eye on these if they trigger.
🎲 For short positions, the only trigger in Total2 currently is the fake breaking of the 1.13 breach.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance found support at 4.82 and formed a green candle on this level. Given it had previously faked a break of this area, we might prematurely confirm its bullish turn.
🌿 If the 4.82 level is broken again, we can confirm the downward trend in dominance, which could cause the market to move upward. For a bullish confirmation, a higher low and high above 4.82 would confirm a bearish market direction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
Pound Surges on BoE Policy OutlookThe British pound climbed to 1.289, its highest since November 12, increased by a weaker dollar, US economic concerns, and tariff effects. Expectations of prolonged high UK rates also supported the pound. BoE Deputy Governor Ramsden warned of persistent wage-driven inflation but noted rate cuts could accelerate if needed. The pound appears less exposed to US tariffs after Trump hinted at a possible UK trade deal.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week.
Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
Yen Steady Near 149 as BOJ Hints at Possible Rate HikesThe yen held near 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from a weaker dollar amid a stronger euro and Trump’s tariffs. While Trump eased tariffs for some automakers, retaliatory measures pressured the dollar. BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida signaled potential rate hikes if economic forecasts hold, noting financial conditions remain loose with minimal JGB reductions.
Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 148.60, followed by 147.10 and 145.80.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #24👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key cryptocurrency indicators. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Before we start the analysis, let's review the positions we could have opened yesterday. I mentioned that if the area of 83151 was breached, you could enter a short position. As you can see, that happened, and the candle stabilized below this area, and I opened a short position which then hit the stop loss.
⚡️ However, after this occurred, we observed a very strong support candle at this level, which caused this break to be a fakeout, and the price started to move upwards. If you recall, I mentioned that if the price could stabilize above the ceiling, a new upward leg could start, which is why I had placed a stop buy above this area. With the fakeout of the lower support, this stop buy was triggered, and the price began its upward movement.
🧲 Currently, as you can see, the price has also passed the 0.382 Fibonacci area, breaking through it and moving upwards. An important resistance that we had previously charted was at 89318, which, as you see, the price is stabilizing above. If this happens, we could see the price potentially reaching back up to 94355. It's challenging to give a trigger for today because our main trigger, the 0.382 Fibonacci area, has unfortunately been activated in recent candles.
📊 We need to wait for the market to form a structure now. If the break of either the 89318 area or the 0.382 Fibonacci turns out to be a fake, you could consider finding a trigger in lower time frames to open a short position. The reason is that the price is making a lower high compared to 94355. But overall, be cautious about opening risky positions on Bitcoin today and tomorrow because Trump's speech on Friday could move the market significantly, and the market might be less volatile in these two days.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at the Bitcoin dominance, it continues to range between 60.40 and 61.41. As you can see, it's really hard to predict the movements of the dominance as it's mostly ranging between these two levels.
🔼 Currently, it's moving towards the upper limit with a green candle. A higher low has been made compared to the 60.40 area, which increases the chances of breaking out from the top of the box.
🔍 If this occurs, the next resistances are at 62.19 and 62.66. If Bitcoin dominance rises, and the market drops, altcoins will likely fall significantly. If the market rises, Bitcoin might perform better than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As observed, we saw an upward movement in Total2 yesterday after consolidating above the 1.07 area, starting a new upward leg. Currently, this index has reached the resistance at 1.13, and we need to wait and see if it can break this area. Currently, the trigger for a long position is precisely this break of the 1.13 area.
🧩 If this area is breached, the price could move to further resistances at 1.18 or even 1.23. However, if Total 2 is rejected from this area, we might expect another drop, potentially reaching back down to 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As seen, yesterday after USDT.D pulled back to the 5.30 area and failed to consolidate above it, we witnessed a significant drop. This initial downward leg saw the price even rise above the 5.08 area, and this morning, after pulling back to this area, as you can see, dominance continues to trend downward with the next significant support at 4.82, which I believe could be reached.
🎲 I don't have much else to say about this dominance because I don't have any specific triggers for today.
📌 Overall, I don't have any specific triggers in the market today; we had one yesterday that was activated, but today I can't specify any particular triggers for you, and it's better to be an observer and wait for significant news from the US, especially the meeting that Trump is expected to hold on Friday, which could be very decisive for the market's future.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #23👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other important crypto indices. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session. Yesterday, the market was rejected from a significant area and experienced a bearish leg.
📰 Before starting the analysis, it's worth noting that today Trump has a very important speech about tariffs, and if he discusses cryptocurrencies, the market may experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, be cautious about opening high-risk positions today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as observed yesterday, after the price rose from the 91422 area, I mentioned that if the 94355 resistance were broken, we could enter a long position, and if the 91422 area were broken, we could enter a short position.
🔍 That exact scenario occurred, and after the price created a lower high compared to 94355, we witnessed a significant bearish momentum, resulting in a large bearish candle that engulfed several previous candles, broke the 91422 support, and reached the 89318 area.
⚡️ After this event and several resting and pullback candles that hit the 0.382 Fibonacci area, the price proceeded with its next bearish leg, breaking the 89318 area near the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. With this PRZ break, we can say that all bullish market momentum was wiped out, and the price fully corrected relative to the bullish leg it had previously made, reaching the 85204 area.
✅ This morning, this area was also breached, and the price executed a Downside Extension to the 1.272 Fibonacci Retracement, meaning the market has fully engulfed the bullish leg and even dropped an additional 27% from that leg to date.
📉 Currently, there is support at the 83151 area, which coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci. If this area is breached, we can expect the Downside Extension to continue, with the next support at the Fibonacci 1.618, a crucial Fibonacci zone. If this area is also breached, there is a static support at 78940.
💥 In the RSI, note the significant bearish momentum in the market. If the RSI can re-enter and stay in the Oversell zone, the likelihood of breaking 83151 or even 78940 will increase.
📊 Regarding volume, as you can see, it mostly shows a ranging structure with a few high-volume candles within this range that can be considered Selloff candles. After these candles, the price had several resting and corrective candles.
✨ Overall, the volume is ranging, and we will see whether buying or selling volume enters the market based on Trump's statements.
🔼 For a risky long position today, you can open a long position with the breakout of 85204. I suggest this trigger because Trump has a speech today, and if this news is favorable for crypto, Bitcoin could move upward again under the news influence, and I think the risk is worth taking if this area breaks.
❌ However, open this position with the minimal risk your strategy allows, and ensure that no more than 0.5% or 0.25% of your capital is at risk if this position hits a stop-loss.
💫 No more to discuss about Bitcoin; let's move on to the analysis of dominances to see what triggers we can find for altcoins.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's look at the Bitcoin dominance analysis. As you can see, yesterday I defined a resistance area at 61.48 for you and mentioned that the price might get rejected from this area and the dominance might turn bearish again, which did happen, albeit slightly off at 61.61.
⭐️ Therefore, I have moved this line and adjusted it to this area. Currently, we are witnessing several bearish candles in a row from Bitcoin's dominance, and it seems likely that the dominance could move back down to the 60.40 floor with the bearish momentum it has, and as I've said in the past few days, I still see Bitcoin's dominance trend as ranging.
🎯 The dominance is not very analyzable at the moment, and we need to wait and see which side the box will break. If the box breaks from the 62.19 area, we can say that a lot of money is likely to enter Bitcoin, and Bitcoin could move more than altcoins. If the dominance breaks from the 60.40 area downwards, we can say that more money will enter altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday I told you that if the 1.14 level is broken, you could enter a short position if Bitcoin's dominance was rising, which indeed occurred, and the dominance of Bitcoin was rising while this break happened, and the dominance had not yet been rejected from the ceiling, which is why the short position you opened on altcoins could have been much more profitable.
🎲 However, as you can see, I have moved this trigger and transferred it to the 1.13 area because I think this area is cleaner, and as you can see, the price has reacted to it once and is likely to react to this area more in the future than to the 1.14 area.
🔑 Overall, the gray areas you see drawn on the chart are not very important supports and resistances, so I easily move them if the price does not show the reaction I want, and it is not very important to me if their position changes.
☘️ However, as you can see, after the price broke the 1.13 area, it executed its main bearish leg downwards, even breaking the 1.07 area and hitting a shadow to the 1.01 area as you can see, and is currently in a corrective phase.
🔽 The 1.07 area could be very important today, and if this area is broken, we can say that the price could make a deeper correction. But if this does not happen and the price is rejected from this area, we can say that altcoins are ready to execute their next bearish leg at least down to the 1.01 area.
✅ Depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open a position on Bitcoin itself today or on altcoins. As you can see, the dominance candles being set suggest a bearish dominance, so if the market gives a short position, Bitcoin will be better than altcoins, but while you are reading this analysis, if you want to open a position, it might be that the dominance turns bullish, in which case a short position on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's look at the Tether dominance analysis. As I told you yesterday, if the 4.82 level was broken, the dominance could start a bullish leg, which did happen, and the market activated its short trigger in Total2 and altcoins, and the dominance moved upwards, even breaking the 5.08 area and with a pullback to this area, reached 5.30.
🧲 This area was previously around 5.21, but as I told you, I easily move lines that are gray if the price does not respect them, and for this reason, I moved this area to 5.30, as you can see, the price has reacted to it and now seems to be correcting.
📊 Unfortunately, I don't have a specific trigger for a bearish turn in Tether dominance, but this 5.30 trigger is a very suitable one for it to turn more bullish, and in my opinion, if the dominance wants to turn more bullish and break this area, it could move again up to the 5.50 area.
🔼 But in case of a correction in dominance, the first very important support exists at 5.08, and the dominance could correct to this area.
📌 Final Words Overall, I think the market today is not very analyzable and can have a lot of sharp and emotional movements, and everything depends on Trump's speech.
❗️ I suggest that if you think the market will go up with Trump's speech, hold a long position, and if you think it will go down, hold a short position if triggers are activated.
🎲 But open this position with the minimum risk you can and are allowed to take because Trump's speech can create a lot of sharp movements in the market, and if you do not risk manage and set a stop-loss, your position can easily be liquidated, so be careful to risk the minimum amount that your strategy allows you to open these positions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
USDJPY - at potential Buy SetupOANDA:USDJPY is nearing a significant support area that has reversed bearish trends into bullish momentum. This support level aligns with prior price reactions and represents a strong foundation for potential upward moves.
If buyers confirm their presence with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, I expect the price to go toward 151,100. Also, a break below this support could signal further bearish continuation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!