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Dxyanalysis

#DXY#dollar_index #Update According to the previous analysis, the second scenario that was mentioned can be completed in the area of 107 to 109 movement units... But according to the structure, I found it necessary to do this update, because according to the type of movement behavior, we should see a movement towards the ceiling. 1- This movement wave can at least return 100% of the wave, which is the red box range. 2- If a failure occurs, the 1.272 and 1.618 targets will be activated. Therefore, the post will be updated up to 100% if necessary. 3- This upward movement will form the big B wave, which will then have to wait for the big C, which will have a sharp break and acceleration. Therefore, this wave should be a triple wave. 4-According to the analysis of #gold, ( HERE )there is a big super cycle in gold for the next step of its growth, which we should probably witness big changes.
TVC:DXY
by alikze
2
Expectations for the US Dollar Market from May to August 2024Expectations for the US Dollar Market from May to August 2024 May to Early July 2024: The US dollar is anticipated to remain strong, with the market reaching a high of 108.459 by July 1, 2024. First Three Days of July 2024: After peaking, the dollar is expected to decline, potentially dropping to 105.785 by July 25, 2024. Stay updated with our forecasts to navigate the US dollar market effectively. Keywords: US dollar forecast, USD market trends, dollar strength 2024, USD predictions, currency market analysis, USD outlook May to August 2024, forex trading, financial forecasts, USD high and low, July 2024 USD predictions. Feel free to share your thoughts and join the conversation on the US dollar market outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by xcherroudx
What's next for Silver and Gold?OANDA:XAGUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY Finally 😎 Silver broke through $30. So what's next? Long-term: I would say there is nothing on its way to go for $50. BUT, what would support Silver to go for $50? where's the demand for silver? How would supply change in the coming years? .... I would say, let's not get ahead of ourselves and focus on what's going on now, then I try to prepare a separate post for the reasons I have for staying bullish on silver in the coming years. Short-term: As you might have noticed, on 15 May, after the US Fed announced the CPI data, silver started its rally to $30. The recent CPI y/y data came out at the expected level of 3.4% and the CPI m/m was at 0.3% which was lower than the market expectations. So, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued his recent interviews with a dovish tone which signals that we are very close to a rate cut **. For now, the first rate cut is expected to happen in September. Long story short, gold and silver are pricing in the rate cuts now as this sentiment pulling DXY down. So, in the short-term , I would like to see Silver between $33.6 - $36.4 and Gold entering the $2580 - $2650 area. In the meantime, DXY can reach to 103. I have highlighted these areas on the chart 😊. ** Watch out for unemployment numbers as the Fed shifts its focus on that. If you are a day trader, you can expect higher volatility around unemployment news than before and you expect this number to have a higher impact on the longer-term trends of DXY. ** Also, keep that in mind, if they want to normalize the 3% inflation rather than 2%, it means we can expect higher levels of interest rates for a longer period of time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SamanFx0
May 20, DXY & GBPUSD: Key Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings, Traders! Welcome to an exciting and insightful video where we dive deep into the DXY and GBPUSD pairs. This week, both pairs have hit crucial junctures, making it the perfect time to analyze and adjust our trading strategies. We'll explore significant retracements and pinpoint key points of interest, providing you with a comprehensive outlook on potential price movements. What trading opportunities lie ahead? Let's uncover the strategies that could make this week profitable for you. April 29, Long-term Video Analysis (DXY & GBPUSD): March 15, SMT Divergence (Educational Lecture Explaining how to use it): Tomorrow's my birthday, happy trading, Traders! The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
DXY Price analysis 19 May 2024Monthly: The price come down after creating the M-Mss+, as there is no space left for M-FVG now so our bulish bias is invalid now. Monthly Bias: Consolidation. Weekly: The price has taken the W-FVG+ & closed bellow, Creating a W-MSS -, & there are 2 Target bellow situated in 103.921 level, so now our target is to go for the W-SSL. Weekly Bias: Bearish. Daily: The price has been rejected the W-FVG, now D-MSS- has been formed with a D-FVG- & the Price already rejected from that level, So the daily price is clearly showing that the we are going down, towards-103.921 level. Daily Bias: Bearish H4: In this level the price has been formed a h4 Cisd- from the daily FVG, so now we are confirmed that we are going towards down. H4 :Bias Bearish.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXShort
by Trader_PKR
DXY - USD Sinking To A Bottomless Pit The Fundamentals When I think of U.S. Federal Reserve and U.S. Government infinite debt ceiling, the title of the movie, "The Gods Must Be Crazy" comes to my mind. What they are doing has only one end result, the destruction of the U.S. $ and its economy. There are new sheriffs in town (BRICS - Economic Sheriffs, Russia, China, Iran - Military Sheriffs), the U.S. no longer has military nor economic hegemony, this is what's behind the power of the U.S. $, imagine being powerless to protect their interests in the red sea, where there's a new sheriff in town called Iran camouflaged as Houthis :D or being kicked out of Niger? Some genius decades ago, had the bright idea that backing the U.S. $ by military power was a great idea, moving factories to China for the sake of increasing profits was also a bright idea, and at the same time antagonizing China. The Technical Analysis Counting the waves, looks like we've completed wave B of wave 5 which means wave C could take the USD below 92. Coincidently that's close to 0.5 and 0.618 Fibs. Wave 1 and 2 of wave C looks completed now brace for impact! Mayday! Mayday! The Bullish Scenario Wave B of wave 5 could be an extended wave and take the USD all ze vay to 119 and crash afterwards.
INDEX:DXYShort
by ankhramsiswmriimn
DXY : The USD continues to weakenThe USD plummeted as expectations of the Fed lowering interest rates increased after US inflation data The dollar slid to a multi-month low on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit a three-year low and retail sales were flat, raising expectations of lower interest rates in the economy. largest economy in the world. US government bonds recovered after economic data along with the sell-off of Japanese bonds. The gap between US and Japanese 10-year government bond yields narrowed nearly 20bps this week. The DXY index recorded its biggest decline of the year, falling 0.75% and penetrating below the MA 200 line. DXY is currently trading around its 5-week low at 104.17 at the beginning of the Asian session.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY : The USD will continue to weakenOn the morning of May 15, the State Bank (SBV) announced the central exchange rate USD/VND at 24,269 VND, an increase of 3 VND. The exchange rate range allowed for transactions at Commercial Banks ranges from 23,400 - 25,450 VND. The USD/VND exchange rate was also brought to the trading range of 23,400 - 25,450 VND by the SBV Exchange. This morning's exchange rate increased slightly at commercial banks. Specifically, Vietcombank has a buying level of 25,152 and a selling level of 25,482, an increase of 3 dong in both buying and selling directions compared to yesterday. Meanwhile, the exchange rate on the free market increased more strongly. In Hanoi at 05:15, the exchange rate fluctuated around 25,768 - 25,848 VND, an increase of 10 VND on the buying side and an increase of 20 VND on the selling side compared to yesterday. The DXY index yesterday almost lost the 105.00 mark after the PPI data was released. Currency pairs also fluctuated accordingly, even the USD/VND exchange rate in the forex market also decreased sharply. However, somehow miraculously, the listed exchange rate still increased slightly.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY(Dollar Index):🟢Possible scenarios🟢(Details on caption)Well hello, traders. Here is my view on the DXY daily chart. As you can see the price left the buy-side liquidity which formed as an equal high, and then respected to the 50% of bullish FVG which is internal range liquidity. In this condition usually, the price seeks to the external range liquidity. So the first scenario is bullish and I follow this scenario (High probability scenario) The second scenario is bearish, if the price respects the bearish order block or mean threshold of this order block we will see the price move down. All in all, if the bearish order block can not hold the price we will see a bullish week, and if the price respects the bearish order block the weekly candle will be bearish. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️01/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
TVC:DXYLong
by VahidTradingCR
1
DXY : USD is forecast to weaken at the end of the yearFor USD, the weekend before May 10, the SBV announced the central exchange rate of 24,271 VND, an increase of 6 VND compared to the previously listed rate, the reference exchange rate at the SBV Exchange was at 23,400 - 25,450 VND. . Buying prices at commercial banks currently fluctuate between 25,120 - 25,225 VND while selling prices reach 25,484 VND. On the black market, the buying and selling price of USD is at 25,670 - 25,750 VND. Despite trading in a week lacking directional data, the DXY index remained quite volatile and overall had a bullish week of trading. The index is currently still trading above the key support level of 105.00 at the time of writing. This week, the market will be quite busy when the US economic calendar thickens with PPI, CPI and Retail Sales,... announced. Most important will be the CPI, which has a significant influence on market expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY observations (short term bearish trend)DOLLAR OBSERVATIONS As price continues its downward trajectory, it has shifted its trend to the downside, leaving behind clear supply zones. One of these zones was previously identified and respected as per last week's forecast. I anticipate this short-term bearish trend to persist until it reaches the 104.200 mark. At that point, I expect a bullish reversal to occur, especially considering the presence of an imbalance just above this level. Additionally, with price currently in a downtrend, my bullish biases on GU and EU align accordingly. This correlation is logical until either of them reaches the supply zone on the daily chart, which should coincide with the same daily demand zone marked out on DXY.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
DOLLAR INDEX DXY Bearish Side Heist PlanHola Ola Hello Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of DXY market. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone it is High risk Dangerous area Consolidation will happen Bull Trend will continue to go Upside.. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Loot and escape near the target 🎯 support our robbery plan we can make money take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
TVC:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
Shorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker DollarShorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker Dollar, But Beware the Dragons The DXY, or US Dollar Index, measures the greenback's strength against a basket of major currencies. With rising global tensions and a potential shift in global power dynamics, the question lingers: is it time to short the DXY, betting on a weakening dollar? Let's explore the arguments for and against this strategy. The Case for Shorting DXY: A Multi-Pronged Approach • America's Shrinking Lead: The US, while still a dominant economic force, faces challenges. Its manufacturing base has shrunk, its national debt is ballooning, and infrastructure crumbles. These factors could erode confidence in the dollar's long-term stability. • The Rise of the Rest: China's economic power is undeniable. The yuan's internationalization efforts are gaining traction, potentially chipping away at the dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency. Other economies like the Eurozone are also maturing, offering alternatives. • A Concerted Effort: Imagine a scenario where the US's major allies, concerned about American dominance, decide to weaken the dollar. This could involve measures like central banks diversifying reserves away from the US or pegging their currencies to a basket that excludes the dollar. While a hypothetical scenario, it can't be entirely dismissed. China: The Dragon in the Room China's displeasure with a weakening dollar is a significant risk factor. A weaker dollar makes Chinese exports more expensive, hindering their economic growth. China holds a significant amount of US Treasuries, and a devalued dollar would erode the value of those holdings. This could lead to China dumping US Treasuries, further weakening the dollar in a vicious cycle. Beyond China: Other Considerations • US Response: The US Federal Reserve has tools at its disposal to counter a weakening dollar. Raising interest rates, for instance, could entice investors back to the dollar for higher yields. • Global Instability: A devalued dollar could create global economic turmoil as countries scramble to adjust exchange rates and inflation spikes. This could be particularly damaging for developing economies. • Unpredictable Markets: Shorting any asset is inherently risky, and the currency market is especially volatile. Unforeseen events can drastically alter currency valuations. So, Should You Short DXY? The decision to short DXY depends on your risk tolerance and investment goals. Here's a breakdown: • For Aggressive Investors: If you believe in a long-term decline of the US dollar and have a high tolerance for risk, shorting DXY could be a potential strategy. However, careful risk management is crucial. • For Cautious Investors: The potential consequences of a weakening dollar, particularly China's reaction, are significant. It might be wiser to stick with less volatile investments or consider options strategies that limit your downside risk. Alternative Strategies Instead of shorting DXY directly, consider these alternatives: • Invest in a Diversified Currency Basket: Spread your risk by investing in a basket of major currencies, potentially benefiting from a weakening dollar while mitigating some of the risk. • Look to Emerging Markets: If you believe in the rise of other economic powers, consider investing in their currencies or stocks poised to benefit from a weaker dollar. The Final Bite The future of the US dollar is uncertain. A combination of factors could lead to its decline. However, the potential consequences, particularly China's response, are significant risks to consider. Carefully weigh the arguments before taking a short position on DXY. Remember, diversification and a measured approach are key in navigating the ever-fluctuating currency markets.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY : DXY is likely to weaken following the dataAs of the time of writing, the DXY index extended its recovery for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 105.50 and at the same time putting pressure on major currency pairs. In the early morning of May 9, the State Bank announced that the central exchange rate USD/VND increased by 6 VND, currently at 24,249 VND. The reference exchange rate at the State Bank's Buying - Selling Exchange remains unchanged at: 23,400 VND - 25,450 VND.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY : Weakening USD creates momentum for goldThe DXY index is currently trading around the 105.00 mark, recording a slight decrease during Monday's trading session. The dollar remains supported by persistent inflation concerns, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has warned. However, the weaker-than-expected jobs report released last Friday showed signs that the US economy may be slowing and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in September are higher than ever. out, there is a potential risk of pushing the USD even lower. The US economy is currently painting a rather complicated picture. On one hand, consumer demand remains strong and the labor market is stable. However, April employment data showed some signs of weakness, making investors worried about future economic growth. However, Fed Chairman Jorome Powell's caution, highlighting trend instability and uncertain progress in controlling inflation, could help boost the USD if upcoming economic data shows signs of positive.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY (dollar index) weekly ideaCurrently, the dollar trend indicates a bearish direction, suggesting that pairs I typically trade, such as GU, EU, and gold, may rise. Presently, I anticipate a retracement to occur towards an 8-hour supply zone I've identified, facilitating the continuation of the bearish trajectory. This ideally aligns with my strategy until the price drops to around the 104 level, potentially sparking a bullish rally upwards. At that point, I'll need to seek selling opportunities for my other pairs. The dollar's price action appears clear, and there are still imbalances below that require fulfilment. Have a great trading week guys!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
DXY : USD will decline after many strong fluctuations.The DXY index fell sharply last week, reaching its lowest level since April 10. This sell-off mainly stemmed from a decrease in US government bond yields after the Fed's somewhat "dovish" statement and weaker-than-expected employment data. Accordingly, DXY fell nearly 1%. However, the weekend session saw a rather strong withdrawal, somewhat narrowing the downward momentum. Accordingly, the major currency pairs also have similar fluctuations.
TVC:DXYShort
by SantaTradeGold
DXY's Final Leg: Charting the Course to 106Recent Achievements: DXY has reached our previously set targets as mentioned in DXY Descent Alert: Path to 102.800 - 102.280 . Post-achievement, the focus was on determining the subsequent direction of DXY. Trend Line Breakthrough: Following its last ascent, DXY broke through the monthly trend line, a detail observable in our previous analyses, peaking around 104.500. Correction Wave Insight: This movement suggests that the correction wave, initiated at 100.617, is not yet complete. It merely finished its first leg at 104.976 and is on course to complete the third leg around 106, manifesting a complex WXY correction wave. Detailed Wave Analysis: Formation of Wave W: The journey from 100.617 to 104.976 forms the W wave, which is a wxy wave in itself. Main Wave X: A descent to 102.358 represents our main Wave X. Progress into Wave Y: Wave Y's first leg has concluded, characterized by 5 waves that shape Wave A from Y. DXY is currently descending to form Wave B, which, in the primary scenario, is expected to end around 103.800-103.500. Subsequently, Wave C would propel DXY towards approximately 106, completing a Zigzag correction. Potential Corrections: If Wave B extends deeper, a flat correction might conclude around 105-105.500, leading to a truncated Wave Y, or progress into a more complex correction. This scenario could result in a nested wxy pattern, similar to the main Wave W, aiming for the 106 mark. Observations & Next Steps: Continuous monitoring will be in place, with a commitment to providing additional analyses should there be any significant developments. Post-Correction Predictions: After completing its correction wave, DXY is anticipated to experience a downturn. Further analysis will be conducted to identify new targets at that juncture. Invalidation Criterion: A key invalidation point would be the breach of the price channel. It is always prudent to await retests before drawing conclusions. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TVC:DXYLong
by ahmadsaad83