DeGRAM | Dollar Index longDXY is in a bullish trend and broke and closed above the 106.000 level.
Price action is trading in the ascending channel. If price pullbacks to support level,we can look for buying opportunities.
We expect the resistance zone to be tested because the price broke a significant level of resistance.
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Dxyanalysis
"DXY's Upward Trajectory Amid September Caution"In the upcoming week, my optimism remains steadfast. The DXY continues to exhibit an upward trajectory, with its target poised in that direction. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) formation on a higher time frame solidifies my conviction in the DXY's potential for further up move. However, a measure of caution stems as approaching month of September. It's worth noting that historical DXY seasonality contradicts the current chart dynamics.
My focus will be keenly set on the upcoming week, particularly post Wednesday. The release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news will undoubtedly steer market sentiments, presenting us with intriguing opportunities. To me, Tuesday and Wednesday hold significance, as these days dedicated to capitalize on potential market moves. In case the circumstances do not align favorably, I will sit and wait for good opportunity
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside.
I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does.
Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
DXY, attempting to break upside significantly.DXY has just broken resistance trendline spanning back from September 2022. The DXY broke trendline coinciding with a key level at 106.
If this break does not end up been a false break, DXY could swing to 109 within weeks and ultimately further grow to 114 in 2024.
DXY, Ready to ShortThe last week DXY movement fulfilled my idea which I predicted price to hit the key level at 105.8
For the past 13 -14 weeks, the DXY has been on an ascending trend from 99.23 to 105.756. The current resistance has been a key level since 1st December 2022.
Price is currently reacting on a resistance trendline of the main ascending channel since 26th September 2022.
The resistance trendline coincides with the 105.834 key resistance which has historically driven the DXY down.
The DXY could initiate a BEARISH WAVE first to 103.100 to retest the Daily EMA-200 & 50.
The FED could consider a rate hike in the last quarter of 2023 in the midst of a possible DXY bearish waves.
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)Past couple of weeks we've the DXY continually rebalancing immediately and pushing higher.
Last week's high stopped right in its tracks at the Mean Threshold of a NMOG. Random, right?
Other than that, nothing of too much in interest in terms of a swing trade POI. However, I will still be expecting price to push higher.
(See previous analysis on the DXY).
Celebrating the Soaring US Dollar and Its Impact on Oil and the The US dollar has been on an impressive rise, leading to a remarkable domino effect on the oil market while simultaneously lowering the Euro. Let's dive into the details and explore the exciting opportunities this presents for all of us!
First and foremost, let's celebrate the recent surge in the US dollar. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of robust economic indicators, positive investor sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining a stable currency. As traders, we understand the significance of a strong US dollar, and it's time to capitalize on this favorable trend!
The rising US dollar has an immediate impact on the oil market, as it becomes more expensive for countries with weaker currencies to purchase oil. This translates into increased demand for the US dollar in oil transactions, further driving up its value. So, let's keep an eye on the oil market and identify potential trading opportunities that can be leveraged to our advantage.
Simultaneously, the Euro has experienced a decline against the US dollar. This can be attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainties, political developments, and the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. As traders, we can seize this opportunity to capitalize on the Euro's weakness and further strengthen our positions in the US dollar.
Now, let's move on to the call-to-action! I encourage each and every one of you to continue to long the US dollar, as it shows no signs of slowing down. By strategically aligning our trading decisions with this ongoing trend, we can maximize our profits and achieve extraordinary success in the currency markets.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a significant impact. Stay informed, keep a close eye on the latest economic news, and utilize the tools at our disposal to make well-informed trading decisions.
As always, I am here to support and guide you on this exciting journey. If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your success stories, please don't hesitate to comment. Let's make the most of this golden opportunity and continue to thrive in the world of trading!
Wishing you fruitful trades and abundant profits!
DXY Analysis 18Sep2023After Sunday and Monday's closure, the price seems to have stabilized. I have highlighted the area where the price remained. It would be wise to wait for the price to move out of the lower box region. If the price breaks through the bearish trend, there could be a chance of a reversal. However, if the price breaks through the bullish trend, the price will continue to rise.
DXY Analysis 14Sep2023Dxy Bullish is unstoppable. With last week's analysis, we estimate that the price will approach the QM area. Here we can observe first, even though the price will be in the QM area not necessarily a reversal immediately. There is a possibility that the price will be consolidated for some time.
Dollar Under Pressure as Japan and China Defend Their CurrencyIntroduction:
In recent times, the US dollar has faced increasing challenges as both Japan and China take measures to defend their respective currencies. This shift in global dynamics has raised concerns among traders and investors who heavily rely on the US dollar as their primary asset. However, this situation also presents an opportunity for us to reassess our investment strategies and consider diversifying our portfolios. In this article, we delve into the current state of the US dollar, the actions taken by Japan and China, and why it's time to consider allocating less to the US dollar.
The US Dollar's Vulnerability:
For decades, the US dollar has held its position as the world's primary reserve currency. However, recent economic developments have put pressure on its supremacy. Japan and China, two of the largest economies globally, have taken proactive steps to defend their currencies, challenging the US dollar's dominance. Japan's commitment to maintaining a weaker yen and China's efforts to stabilize the renminbi have created a more balanced global currency landscape.
The Rise of Japan and China:
Both Japan and China have demonstrated their determination to protect their currencies. Japan's monetary policies, such as negative interest rates and quantitative easing, have contributed to a weaker yen, boosting its export competitiveness. China, on the other hand, has implemented measures to stabilize the renminbi, preventing excessive depreciation and promoting stability in international trade.
The Benefits of Diversification:
While the US dollar remains a significant player in the global economy, recent events highlight the importance of diversifying our investment portfolios. Allocating less to the US dollar and exploring alternative currencies can provide numerous benefits, including:
1. Reduced Risk: Diversification allows us to spread risk across different currencies and economies, mitigating the impact of any potential downturn in the US dollar.
2. Increased Opportunities: By diversifying, we gain exposure to emerging markets and currencies that may offer higher growth potential, providing us with new investment opportunities.
3. Enhanced Resilience: A diversified portfolio is more resilient in the face of currency fluctuations, economic uncertainties, or geopolitical events, ensuring our investments remain stable over the long term.
4. Improved Returns: Diversification helps us capture the potential gains from different currencies, reducing the reliance on a single currency's performance.
Call-to-Action: Embrace Diversification Today!
As traders, we have the power to adapt to changing market conditions and seize opportunities when they arise. The current scenario, with Japan and China defending their currencies, presents an ideal moment to reassess our investment strategies and allocate less to the US dollar.
Consider exploring alternative currencies such as the yen or renminbi, which offer potential benefits and diversification advantages. Additionally, explore other investment avenues like emerging markets or commodities, which can further enhance the resilience and growth potential of your portfolio.
In conclusion, let us embrace this shift in global dynamics as an opportunity to diversify our portfolios, reducing our reliance on the US dollar. By embracing diversification, we position ourselves for greater resilience, increased opportunities, and improved returns. Now is the time to act and adapt our investment strategies to navigate the evolving global currency landscape successfully.
🚨DXY Index is Ready to Fall🚨(1-hour)🏃♂️The DXY Index is moving in a 🔴Heavy Resistance Zone🔴.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index is near the end of five impulsive waves .
🔔I expect wave 5 to end near the Resistance line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and start to fall.
DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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Dollar Index ($DXY): "The next Step"At the beginning of the year I already showed my idea about the upside potential of the US dollar (see chart below), and today I can only confirm what I said earlier. If from a technical point of view, my idea continues to be bearish on stocks markets, these considerations of mine could also have a logical sense and the scenario shown on chart could really happen.
In my previous analysis (February 2023) I showed the potential dollar rally from the area around $101, hence the Price Action showed something like a "Double Bottom" Pattern on daily and intraday chart:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
If we look at the S&P500 index over the long term, from a technical point of view, it may have completed a first bull cycle that started way back in 1872:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
At the same time, this potential "Perfect Storm" should also affect the real estate sector in the mid-term, with a contraction in prices (U.S. Case Shiller Home Price):
(Click & Play on Chart below)
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DXY, to continue its upward swing to 105.843DXY is on its path to continue the upwards string since it broke out of its descending channel since 24th August, 2023. Price has continued its new ascending channel for the past 8 weeks.
Last week's fundamental on new unemployment claims strengthen the course of the dollar which is currently consolidating above the resistance trendline of the ascending channel.
The consolidation above the 104.643 support could build more buying power that can propel the movement up to 105.834 and potentially to 107.342 depending on the outcome of the fundamentals for the week.
Important fundamentals coming;
Wednesday : CPI
Thursday: PPI, retail sales and unemployment claims
Friday: Empire State Manufacturing Index and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment