Solana Soars Close to Record: What Could Drive Prices in 2025?Crypto markets are betting big on Solana — the Ethereum rival pressed higher even as the broader digital-asset market pulled back last week. Now Solana needs a few stars to align so it could rocket to a fresh all-time high, surpassing its 2021 record of $260. And by the common consensus, record territory could be a few sessions away while a fuller, hulking dominance could be on the cards for 2025.
Solana SOLUSD is on a roll. Early on Tuesday, Solana neared its record high of $260 set back in 2021 when crypto bros were going all in on their favorite coins (birthing some meme coins in the process.)
The Solana token, which runs on the layer-1 blockchain of the same name, shot up to $245, staging a monster recovery from $8 a piece back in January 2023 when crypto markets were reeling from the fabulous implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX and its sister company, trading house Alameda Research. (SBF was an early buyer of Solana, scooping it up for as low as 20 cents.)
Now Solana is no longer associated with the fallen crypto mogul who’s serving a 25-year prison sentence. Instead, the digital coin is running free and carving out its own reputation. And fast. Almost as fast as its ability to process transactions on the blockchain.
Solana is touted as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum ETHUSD , the second-largest coin with a valuation of $375 billion. That’s some $260 billion more than Solana’s own market cap of about $115 billion.
Still, Solana’s gains outshine these of Ethereum:
Solana year-to-date gains: 142%
Ethereum year-to-date gains: 40%
Bitcoin year-to-date gains: 107%
Solana’s performance hinges on three very different sets of circumstances:
Its ability to handle the technical workload as a payment processor
Its infrastructure capacity for building up various projects
Its appeal as an investment asset (or why you’re here)
On the first one — payment processor — Solana boasts lightning-fast transactions to the tune of 50,000 per second. Ethereum? That’s about 15 to 45 transactions per second. Visa? A wide range between 1,500 and 65,000 (depends who you’re asking.) And Bitcoin gets you about 2 to 7 transactions per second (but no one really cares about this.)
With breakneck speed, Solana is shaping up as a worthy opponent to traditional payment processors, flexing high volumes in a decentralized environment.
On the second one — building grounds for projects — Solana is considered the go-to place to launch meme tokens based on dogs, cats and even politicians and business people. It has been handling these pretty well, considering the massive influx of dog-themed and Elon Musk-themed tokens.
On the third one — investing and trading — Solana is staring into exciting prospects for 2025. The cryptocurrency might get its own US spot exchange-traded fund soon and traders are buzzing from excitement. A Solana-based spot ETF could be a reality as soon as 2025 (most likely after Securities and Exchange Commission boss Gary Gensler gets fired.) Only two other cryptocurrencies have been granted permission to strut down the traditional ETF pathway — eleven Bitcoin ETFs and nine Ethereum ETFs .
Now that Donald Trump has secured another four years in the White House, the crypto industry expects big things to come its way.
The President-elect has embraced digital assets and even announced his own crypto gig — a Bitcoin strategic reserve . Which was shortly after complemented by the cost-cutting DOGE department led by Elon Musk.
All in all, Washington is expected to be super friendly to crypto, especially after large industry players such as Andreessen Horowitz and Coinbase spent $135 million backing more than 50 Congress candidates, most of them winning seats.
Where do you think Solana is heading next? Do you see lots of bullish momentum going into 2025? Or maybe you’re more inclined to believe it’ll come crashing down? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
Community ideas
The TradingView Show: Post-Election Trades with TradeStationJoin us for our recurring series as we dive deep into the latest market movements, emerging trends, and key financial news with @TradeStation. This monthly show is designed to keep traders and investors up to date on the developments that truly move the markets. Don’t forget to explore our comprehensive video library on our profile—scroll back to catch past episodes, and follow our TradingView account to stay in the loop.
In this episode, we’ll provide actionable insights and educational resources for new traders, including charting tips and an introduction to market dynamics.
Here’s what we’ll be covering this time:
- A detailed analysis of NVIDIA’s earnings and what they mean for tech and semiconductor stocks
- How rising interest rates are influencing market sentiment and trading strategies
- Post-election trades: positioning for the rest of the year
- End-of-year trading opportunities: sectors and stocks to watch
- A look at the energy sector and how oil prices are affecting energy stocks
- Insights into the banking sector’s recent breakout and its potential impact
- Key ratio charts to help inform your strategy
- And much more!
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Euro can reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.0450Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the top part and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later, EUR entered to this area, where it reached the bottom part of the range and some time traded near, after which started to grow to the top part of the range. Also, when the price rose, it made a gap and after it reached the top part of the range, the EUR turned around and made impulse down. Price exited from the range broke the 1.0805 resistance level, and continued to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern, the price first rose to the resistance area and tried to break the 1.0805 level, but failed and continued to decline to the 1.0600 current resistance level. Soon, the price broke this level too and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which a not long time ago rebounded up. Now, the price trying to exit from the wedge, so, in my mind, the Euro can reach the seller zone and then turn around and start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Ripple XRP 11-years Super Cycle Is Coming to End!Hello, Skyrexians!
Couple of days ago BITSTAMP:XRPUSD has awaken after 4 years of consolidation. This growth can cause euphoria for XRP holders. Is it pump real or price will go down as usual? Today we will try to give answer in our global forecast.
Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see that the first wave has been finished in early 2013, more than 10 years ago. After that we saw correction and legendary wave 3 which has been finished with the red dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . Last 4 years price is moving sideways, we can interpret it as a correction in wave 4 in shape of triangle. Yesterday this triangle has been broken finishing this correction!
In our opinion XPR now is in the last wave 5 in this first global super cycle. Target for this wave is between $2.5 and $3.8. The second target is more likely because wave 5 in 90% of cases set the higher high than wave 3. We want also you to notice the bullish reversal bar and green dot on the indicator at the end of the subway C. On the monthly time frame this is the strong bullish sign which will likely lead the price to the final target.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BUY SILVER (XAGUSD) - Price action entry strategy explainedTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Double Top on Tech?Technology stocks had a strong first half but could be ending the year on a weak note. Is the sector finally losing its leadership?
Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Technology Fund highlights the July 10 closing high of $237.68. XLK stalled around that same level a week ago, resulting in a potential double top on the fund.
Second, prices have slipped below October's closing high of $233.73. That stands in contrast with other big sectors like Communications, Financials and Consumer Discretionaries.
Third, relative strength in the lower study shows fading leadership in technology versus the broader market.
We end with a look at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which has been a major driver of the sector this year. Notice the sharply rising lower trendline and the higher trendline with less of an upward slope. That kind of rising wedge is a potential reversal pattern.
It could also raise the stakes headed into NVDA’s big earnings report after the closing bell next Wednesday, November 20.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Technology ETF (XLK)
1-year: +35.50%
5-years: +165.61%
10-year: +448.20%
(As of October 31, 2024)
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Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up
Highlights for Today
- Trends and Market Share
- Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise
- Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway
- Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges
- Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges
In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest
1. Trends and Market Share
Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025.
Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense.
Key Trends to Watch
-Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative.
-Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix.
-YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion.
-Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix.
2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise
Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter.
-Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers.
-Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024.
- Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled.
- Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets.
- Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum.
Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership.
3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring
-Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million.
-Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year.
-Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas.
-Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID.
-Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user.
Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical.
4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges
-Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022.
-Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%.
-Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom.
-Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability.
-CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization.
Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability.
5.Paramount: Streaming Growth
-Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter.
-TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%.
-Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders.
-Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs.
-Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline.
Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
Long-Term Investment: Building Wealth for the FutureHave you ever thought about the astounding fact that the S&P 500 has achieved approximately a 10% average annual return over the last ninety years? This statistic serves as a powerful reminder of the effectiveness of long-term investment strategies for accumulating wealth. In contrast to short-term trading, long-term investing emphasizes the gradual growth of your financial assets through the benefits of compounding returns and the overall growth of the market.
Yearly Chart of the S&P 500
For individuals seeking financial security and stability, embracing a long-term investment approach is essential. This strategy involves holding onto investments—such as stocks, bonds, or real estate—over extended periods, enabling them to endure market volatility and benefit from economic growth. By concentrating on long-term objectives, you establish a strong foundation for sustainable wealth, making it suitable for those in pursuit of financial independence and a prosperous future.
Grasping the fundamentals of long-term investing and applying effective strategies can help you sidestep impulsive decisions and distractions associated with short-term market movements, keeping your attention focused on achieving lasting wealth.
- The Importance of Long-Term Investments for Wealth Creation -
Long-term investments are crucial for wealth creation, primarily because of the advantages of compound returns. Compounding allows your initial returns to generate further earnings, leading to exponential growth over time. The longer you stay invested, the more substantial the effects of compound interest become, facilitating significant wealth accumulation.
Consider this example: if you invest $10,000 at an 8% annual interest rate, at the end of the first year, your investment will grow to $10,800. In the following year, interest is calculated on $10,800 rather than the original $10,000, boosting the total to $11,664. Over decades, this compounding phenomenon can lead to remarkable increases in wealth, underscoring the effectiveness of long-term investments.
In addition to the benefits of compounding, long-term investments help mitigate risk. While short-term market fluctuations can be erratic, historical evidence shows that markets generally trend upward over time. Holding investments over more extended periods allows you to ride out volatility and avoid rash decisions during downturns. This approach encourages a mindset of patience and commitment, reducing the likelihood of common errors, like panic selling during market declines.
Achieving success in long-term wealth accumulation requires a disciplined approach—sticking to your investment plan despite market fluctuations. Coupled with the advantages of compound interest, long-term investing becomes a dependable pathway toward financial growth and the fulfillment of your aspirations.
- Key Long-Term Investment Options -
When considering your options for long-term investments, it's imperative to assess choices based on your risk tolerance, growth prospects, and their alignment with your broader financial strategy. Here are several proven avenues for long-term investors to explore:
1 - Stock Market
The stock market is a favorite among long-term investors, offering multiple avenues for wealth-building. Index funds and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are particularly appealing due to their broad market exposure. Index funds are designed to track major indices such as the S&P 500, which has historically provided an average annual return of around 10% over the past nine decades. These funds are not only cost-effective but also inherently diversified, making them an excellent choice for novice investors and experienced portfolios alike.
ETFs share many similarities with index funds but offer more flexibility as they can be traded like individual stocks. For those inclined to take a more active role, investing in individual stocks can be rewarding, provided thorough research is conducted and a focus is maintained on companies with strong growth potential. However, it's essential to balance investments in individual stocks with safer alternatives, especially within a long-term strategy.
2 - Real Estate
Real estate represents another robust option for long-term investing, known for generating consistent returns through property appreciation and rental income. It provides a tangible asset, generating ongoing cash flow and serving as a hedge against inflation. Historically, property values have shown a tendency to increase over time, making real estate a fundamental piece of many long-term wealth-building strategies.
Investing in real estate can take various forms, such as acquiring residential or commercial properties, or investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), which allow for real estate investment without the need for direct management. Leveraging real estate through mortgages can maximize its potential as a long-term wealth generator, although it’s crucial to consider associated costs like property maintenance and taxes.
Key factors to consider when investing in real estate include location, property condition, and prevailing market trends. Properties situated in high-demand or growing areas usually appreciate at a faster rate and tend to attract more reliable tenants. Understanding local market dynamics and regulations can enhance your investment decisions and outcomes.
3 - Bonds
Bonds are often regarded as the safety net within an investment portfolio, providing stable and fixed income, along with lower volatility compared to stocks. They are well-suited for investors who prioritize security or are approaching retirement. Government bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds, are typically the safest option but come with lower yields, while corporate bonds offer higher returns but carry additional risks.
Incorporating bonds into your investment portfolio can help cushion against stock market fluctuations, ensuring steady returns and protection from extreme volatility. For beginners, bonds can particularly aid in maintaining portfolio stability over time.
When considering bonds, it’s essential to evaluate the issuer's credit rating, as this significantly influences the bond's risk profile. Higher-rated bonds (e.g., AAA) tend to be less risky but offer lower returns, while lower-rated bonds (e.g., junk bonds) may yield higher returns at an elevated risk. Diversifying your bond holdings across different issuers and maturities can also aid in risk management.
4- Retirement Accounts (401(k), IRAs)
Retirement accounts such as 401(k)s and IRAs are vital for accumulating wealth in a tax-efficient manner. These accounts afford substantial tax benefits: contributions to traditional IRAs and 401(k)s are tax-deductible, with earnings growing tax-deferred until retirement. Roth IRAs necessitate after-tax contributions, enabling tax-free withdrawals in retirement.
Retirement accounts facilitate consistent investing over decades, capitalizing on employer matching programs available with 401(k)s. This type of compounding can transform modest contributions into significant sums, making retirement accounts a crucial vehicle for long-term financial success.
When utilizing retirement accounts, it’s important to contemplate your retirement timeline and the investment options within these accounts. Traditional accounts may be advantageous for those expecting to be in a lower tax bracket during retirement, while Roth accounts could benefit individuals anticipating higher tax burdens in the future. Regular reviews and adjustments based on your investment goals and risk tolerance are also essential.
- Crafting a Long-Term Investment Strategy -
Creating a long-term investment strategy entails careful planning and steadfast execution. Whether you are embarking on your investment journey or refining an existing plan, these steps will guide you towards sustainable financial growth:
1- Define Your Financial Goals and Assess Risk Tolerance
Before diving into investments, outlining your financial objectives and understanding your risk tolerance are critical. Clarify what you aim to achieve—be it retirement preparation, purchasing a home, or funding education. Clearly defined goals will steer your investment choices and help you remain focused during market fluctuations.
Equally important is gauging your risk appetite. Younger investors typically have the flexibility to take on more risk, while those nearing retirement may gravitate towards conservative strategies that emphasize capital preservation through bonds and lower-risk assets.
For instance, if you aim to retire in 30 years, a portfolio with a heavier allocation to stocks may be appropriate, given their potential for higher returns despite short-term volatility. Conversely, those closer to retirement may want to shift towards bonds and dividend-paying stocks to reduce risk while ensuring a consistent income.
2- Diversify Your Portfolio
Diversification is an integral aspect of any long-term investment strategy. It involves allocating your investments across different asset classes—stocks, bonds, and real estate—to mitigate risk. By diversifying, you shield your portfolio from the detrimental effects of poor performance in any one area.
For example, if equities suffer during an economic downturn, your bond or real estate investments may yield positive returns, buffering against significant losses. This balanced approach is key to navigating market volatility and enhancing overall performance.
Additionally, consider diversifying within asset classes. In the stock segment, this may involve investing in various sectors and industries. For bonds, diversification means holding an array of types with varied maturities and credit ratings. A well-structured portfolio could include a mix of domestic and international stocks, government and corporate bonds, in addition to real estate investments. By broadening your investments across asset classes and geographical areas, you effectively mitigate risks tied to any single investment or market.
3- Implement Dollar-Cost Averaging
Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy that entails investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, independent of market conditions. This approach allows you to buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high, gradually reducing your average cost per share over time.
This method helps mitigate the emotional impact of market volatility, proving particularly beneficial for novice investors. By focusing on the long-term while minimizing the effects of short-term fluctuations, dollar-cost averaging can promote the growth of your wealth.
To optimize dollar-cost averaging, consider setting up automatic contributions to your investment accounts. This ensures consistent investment practices and makes it easier to resist impulsive decisions based on market activity.
4-Regularly Rebalance Your Investments
Over time, some of your investments may outperform others, resulting in your portfolio shifting away from its intended allocation. For example, if stocks exceed bonds in performance, your portfolio may become skewed toward equities. To maintain your desired risk profile, it is crucial to periodically rebalance your investments.
Rebalancing involves selling portions of assets that have performed well and reinvesting the proceeds into underperforming assets, thus maintaining your risk tolerance and capturing growth opportunities in undervalued investments. Keeping your portfolio aligned with your long-term strategy fosters steady financial growth.
Establish a rebalancing schedule that corresponds with your investment style and market conditions. Some investors may opt to rebalance annually, while others might prefer quarterly or semi-annual adjustments. Additionally, consider rebalancing in response to significant market changes or personal circumstances that impact your financial goals or risk appetite.
5- Review and Refine Your Strategy
Long-term investing necessitates ongoing attention. Regularly reviewing your portfolio, monitoring performance, and adjusting your strategy according to shifts in your goals or market conditions can help keep your investments aligned with your objectives. Conducting yearly reviews or quarterly assessments enables you to stay on track and make informed decisions.
Monitoring entails evaluating how your investments stack up against your goals and making adjustments when necessary. For instance, if there’s a substantial change in your risk tolerance due to major life events such as marriage or retirement, you may need to alter your asset allocation accordingly.
Stay updated on market trends and economic indicators that may influence your investments. While it’s important to avoid overreacting to short-term market changes, being informed allows you to make educated decisions and adapt your strategy when the situation demands it.
By adhering to these principles and embracing a long-term perspective, you can lay the groundwork for substantial wealth accumulation and financial independence in the future.
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BTCUSD - Using Fibonacci To ScalpGood morning everyone!
A bit of a different video today - more of an educational video. This is how I use fibonacci when I do trading. Over the last couple days, Bitcoin has been a great asset to scalp. I don't leverage trade often, but when I do, I try and look for the high probability setups.
Using the 61.8% internal retracement fibonacci (fib) level, you can find a great place to make a trade, both long or short. After dropping from 93k to 88k, we can measure that move and find where the price action would move 61.8% within it. That's where you attack.
Risk management? Well, from there, you need to give yourself some wiggle room. As you can see from the video, price action navigated within my stop territory, but you can use the 78.6% fib level (beyond the 61.8 level) as a stop. Typically, if price action gets to that 78.6% level, it's not going to stop.
Target? I outlined two ways to get a target, but typically when you do get a rejection off that 61.8, you should be targeting the -23.6% fib extension target. That's basically exactly where bitcoin landed - around 87k.
That is the general rule of thumb when trading with fibonacci - which as I mentioned in my video update - is one of the ONLY leading indicators - meaning it can give you insights into the future vs just explaining in many ways what has already happened.
Have a great day everyone!
Grasping Forex Volatility: How to Trade in Choppy & Calm WatersWhen it comes to the forex market , volatility isn’t just a side effect—it’s the main event. The constant ebb and flow of currency prices can be exhilarating or exasperating, depending on how good you are.
Volatility can shift from a calm sea to a rogue wave, often without warning, leaving traders either riding high or clutching their lifebuoys. To help you navigate the forex waters like a pro, especially if you’re a newcomer, we’ve whipped up this Idea with some key insights and revelations.
The Art of Trading During High Volatility
High volatility tends to be thrilling—big price swings, rapid moves, and plenty of adrenaline. For the well-prepared trader, these market conditions are like surfacing a giant wave; the payoff can be huge, but it demands skill, timing, and control.
Why High Volatility Happens
Interest rate announcements, economic releases, geopolitical turmoil—high-impact events send volatility soaring. During these times, spreads can widen, price slippage creeps in, and liquidity often gets tighter, making precision essential. While the reward potential is high, the risks are right there with it. Think of high-volatility periods as power tools; they’re incredibly effective in the right hands but can quickly cause damage if used recklessly.
Strategizing in the Fast Lane
When volatility spikes, flexibility is key. One popular approach is to shorten your trading timeframe. Rather than holding out for the moon, focus on capturing smaller, rapid gains and set tighter stop-loss levels to limit downside. Pay attention to the economic calendar —if the Federal Reserve is set to speak, or if non-farm payrolls data is due, get ready to adapt fast. And if you’re following price trends, make sure to use a healthy dose of confirmation bias: watch those moving averages , MACD signals , and RSI readings , and let them do their job before you jump in.
Finding Opportunity in Low Volatility Markets
At the opposite end of the spectrum, low volatility often gets a bad rap. Price moves seem sluggish, the market consolidates, and excitement seems as far away as Friday on a Monday. But low volatility doesn’t mean no opportunity. It simply requires a shift in tactics.
Why Markets Go Quiet
Periods of low volatility often occur in the absence of major news or when traders are holding back, waiting for an upcoming event. These consolidating markets are common around holidays, just before important announcements, or in times of economic stability.
Reading Between the Lines
Trading in a low-volatility environment means you’re often dealing with range-bound markets. Here, the game is all about patience and precision. Use support and resistance levels as guardrails—when prices reach the top of a range, it’s often time to sell; when they reach the bottom, consider buying.
But a word to the wise: low volatility doesn’t stay that way forever. A period of consolidation can quickly give way to breakout action. Keep an eye on breakout indicators like Bollinger Bands ; when they start expanding, it might signal the market’s about to wake up from its nap.
Choosing the Right Pair
Certain currency pairs are naturally more volatile than others. Major pairs like EUR/USD , GBP/USD , and USD/JPY see consistent action due to their high trading volume, but if you’re hunting high-pitch volatility, take a look at pairs like GBP/JPY , EUR/JPY , or any pair involving emerging market currencies like the Mexican Peso or South African Rand. Keep in mind, though, that with higher volatility comes a need for tighter risk control.
On the other hand, when markets are in a lull, the majors are often your best bet. During low-volatility periods, the big, liquid pairs are less prone to the kind of wild fluctuations that can eat away at gains. Trading low-volatility pairs in a low-volatility market can keep you out of whipsaw territory and add some consistency to your returns.
Leverage: Powerful yet Dangerous, and Not Always Your Friend
Let’s get something straight: leverage in a high-volatility market can be like playing with fireworks. It’s all great until you get burned. When markets are moving fast, a little leverage goes a long way, but too much can quickly wipe out gains (and accounts). Dialing down leverage during volatile times can keep your trade within control without losing out on potential returns.
In low-volatility markets, leverage might seem tempting as a way to amplify those smaller moves. But here’s the catch—just because volatility is low doesn’t mean you’re free from risk. Markets can turn on a dime, and it’s always better to live to trade another day. Use leverage sparingly, no matter what the market mood may be.
Liquidity: The Grease That Keeps the Forex Machine Running Smoothly
If volatility is the main character, then liquidity is the supporting cast, keeping everything steady when the markets get choppy. High liquidity—think major pairs like euro-dollar and dollar-yen—means your orders are filled fast and spreads stay tight, giving you a bit of breathing room. But liquidity can shrink fast in low-volume sessions, during major events, or with exotic pairs. That’s when spreads can widen unexpectedly, slippage sneaks in, and you might get more excitement than you bargained for.
When volatility is high, liquidity can drop as big players step back, causing prices to jump erratically between buy and sell points. If you’re trading into the storm, consider the liquidity squeeze a warning: stick with high-liquidity pairs, watch those spreads, and avoid getting caught in thin markets. In fast-moving conditions, liquidity is your safety net, so stick with the pairs that offer deeper pools of it.
In low-volatility markets, liquidity is usually stable. With tighter spreads and less risk of slippage, low-volatility conditions let you plan range-bound trades with more confidence. It’s one of the perks of low volatility: while big moves may be rare, the market structure tends to hold, keeping your trades smoother and more predictable.
The Bottom Line: Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword
High or low, volatility is something every trader has to contend with. The key is to approach it with strategy, patience, and adaptability. Anyway, here’s the advice you didn’t ask for: in high-volatility times, trade quickly, tighten your stops, and keep your leverage modest. In low-volatility environments, embrace the calm, focus on range trading, and don’t fall asleep on potential breakout signals.
The forex market rewards those who play by its rules, adapt to its moods, and respect its risks. So, what kind of trader are you? Do you chase the thrill of big moves, or find comfort in the steadiness of a quiet market? Share your thoughts below!
Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello,
Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down)
Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report
Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%.
Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction.
Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023
R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification
Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com
Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com
Opportunities
Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales.
The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide.
Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation.
Risks to consider
The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands.
The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging.
While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing.
Our recommendation
Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide.
Goodluck & all the best.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
Tesla's Next Move: Will 360 Be the Target, or Are We Going LowerGood evening, trading family.
Tesla is at an exciting crossroads, and we’re keeping a close eye on the key levels ahead. Let’s break it down:
Upside Potential:
325: First step if the market pushes upward.
338: A critical resistance—breaking this could lead to 360+.
Downside Risks:
298: A potential level for support if we pull back.
287: A deeper support level if selling continues.
At the MindBloome Exchange, we care about your success. Trade what you see, stay patient, and let the levels guide you.
Kris / Mindbloome Trading
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
The TradingView Show: Strategy Session with OKX Product PartnerWelcome, TradingViewers! 🚀
Get ready for an exciting and educational live stream designed to empower traders of all levels! In this broadcast, we’ll dive deep into markets starting with a top down research process, looking at the macro picture first, then zooming in to the moves that are shaping markets right now. We'll also dive into Pine Script, the election, recent moves as the year comes to an end, and much more.
Our partner OKX has brought on one of their product partners to walk our audience through the charts. Remember: OKX is a partner and integrated broker of ours. Connect your OKX account to your TradingView account to get started by clicking the Trading Panel below the chart.
Here’s what we’ll cover:
1. Top-Down Market Research: Start with a macro view of the markets and learn how to break down the big picture to make better, more informed trading decisions.
2. Crypto Market Updates: Get the latest insights and analysis on cryptocurrencies and what’s driving the market right now.
3. Pine Script Deep Dive: Learn how to leverage Pine Script to enhance your trading strategies and build custom indicators on TradingView.
4. Trading the Election & Year-End Moves: Understand how political events and seasonal market shifts are influencing price action as we approach the end of the year.
5. Live Q&A: Have your trading questions answered in real time by industry experts, and get tailored advice to level up your trading skills.
Follow OKX on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Sit back, ask questions, and enjoy the show! Please note: This show is only for education and entertainment.
XAU/USD : CPI is coming, Bull or Bear ?Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the highlighted demand zone, gold has delivered a return of over 270 pips so far and is currently trading around $2611.
It’s important to note that today we have the CPI data release, which could significantly impact gold prices. If the CPI figures come in higher than expected, we’re likely to see further declines in gold, and vice versa if the data comes in lower.
Key demand zones remain at $2586-$2593 and $2555-$2562, while important supply zones are $2610, $2619-$2626, and $2643. Additionally, the recent sharp declines in gold have created several liquidity gaps, marked in purple on the chart, which are expected to be filled in the medium term as the price recovers.
Stay cautious and keep an eye on these levels, as well as the CPI announcement, for potential trading opportunities!
The Last Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUD/USD sinks to new lows as focus shifts to Aussie jobs dataWhether you’re talking price action or momentum, AUD/USD looks terrible on the daily, taking out the intersection of the US election lows and downtrend support with ease on Wednesday.
Momentum is with the bears; RSI (14) has cut its uptrend like a hot knife through butter while MACD has crossed over from above, confirming the bearish signal. Selling rips and bearish breaks may prove more successful than buying dips in this environment.
The short setup would be to sell here or wait for a potential squeeze towards .6513 as traders anticipate another stellar labour force report – there have been plenty of those recently. That would allow for a tight stop to be placed above the level, providing appealing risk-reward for those targeting a retest of key uptrend support at .6375.
The last time the Aussie interacted with the level during the Japanese market meltdown of August, it resulted in significant bullish reversal, underlining its technical importance. As such, it looms as an obvious target.
Good luck!
DS
What if the USD rally is only just getting started?The USD rally has entered its seventh week and continues to defy its seasonal tendency to weaken in Q4. And that is simply because the macro backdrop 'Trumps' its average performance this time of the year. Today I take a step back to admire the bigger-picture view of the USD index, to show why I think this rally could still just be getting started.
MS
Verizon: Weak in a Strong MarketThe S&P 500 just had its biggest weekly rally in a year, but Verizon Communications didn’t participate. Are the bears moving in?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of drops following the last three quarterly reports. Those may reflect weakening sentiment towards the telecom’s fundamentals.
Second, VZ peaked below $45.55 in late September. That was a long-term low from May 2022, which may suggest old support has become new resistance.
Next, VZ has chopped around its 2023 high of $42.58 but is now below it. That could be a sign of resistance taking hold.
Fourth, last week’s slide below the 200-day simple moving average could mark an end to its longer-term uptrend.
Finally, MACD is falling.
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Dogecoin Outpaces Bitcoin with 180% Post-Election Boom. When $1?In a much-wow fashion, Dogecoin DOGEUSD broke out of the pack with a 180% post-election rally. It did way better than Bitcoin BTCUSD . But what’s really behind the speculative gains and is there more room for growth? Like, say, can Dogecoin hit $1? It’s a possibility. Let’s dig into it.
We’ve all heard about Bitcoin BTCUSD — the orange coin that shook up the fabric of global financial markets and rewired how we think about money and investments. But a small yet mighty cryptocurrency is befriending the small yet ambitious trader.
Dogecoin DOGEUSD , the people’s digital asset and Elon Musk’s favorite coin, has posted some howling returns after Election Day vaulted Donald Trump to the top job in American politics. The Shiba Inu-themed coin has soared 180% since November 5, outperforming the big guy Bitcoin with its 30% rise for the same time span.
How did that happen? It’s mostly Elon Musk and his lofty aspirations for Dogecoin. “Supporting Doge wherever possible,” the Tesla boss said back in 2022. Conveniently placed front and center for the meme-loving crowds, this iconic meme token is easy to scoop up in boatloads, empowering retail investors with a feeling of accomplishment. Dogecoin’s price was last seen floating near 40 cents, up from 15 cents before the election result.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is priced at just under $90,000 , powering higher in a record-setting run, and that makes it look much less affordable and less likely to appeal to retail traders. But looking at the plain price tag is misleading without factoring in the market cap, which shows you how much the token is worth.
In Dogecoin’s case, the 40 cents translate to something big. It’s no joke. Even though the sole purpose of Dogecoin was to be a joke. Back in 2013, Dogecoin was created as a satirical homage to Bitcoin. But if that coin back then had a puppy-like valuation of a couple millions, today it’s a $60 billion unleashed beast that's ready to chew up and spit out your portfolio. It holds about 2% dominance of the overall crypto market cap and it's worth more than Ford F , which churns out annual revenue of $180 billion and boasts a 121-year history.
Now digital-asset enthusiasts, especially the Dogecoiners around, are pinning their hopes on the iconic duo in the making — Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The two billionaires have apparently teamed up for the good of the crypto industry. Long story short — traders are betting on a crypto boom under President-elect Donald Trump.
And Dogecoin might get pulled into the mix. Elon Musk has already openly stated he’d be happy to get involved with politics. But not just any politics. DOGE politics. And it’s official — Trump said late Tuesday he’s tapping Elon Musk to lead a new department aptly called Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The Tesla CEO will be joined by Republican presidential candidate Strive Asset Management co-founder Vivek Ramaswamy.
“I am pleased to announce that the Great Elon Musk, working in conjunction with American Patriot Vivek Ramaswamy, will lead the Department of Government Efficiency (“DOGE”),” Trump said in the announcement , posted on his social media platform Truth Social.
The duo is teaming up to “pave the way for my Administration to dismantle Government Bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies,” the President-elect added.
All actions of the Department of Government Efficiency will be posted online for maximum transparency,” Musk said on his X platform . “Anytime the public thinks we are cutting something important or not cutting something wasteful, just let us know! We will also have a leaderboard for the most insanely dumb spending of your tax dollars. This will be both extremely tragic and extremely entertaining 🤣🤣”
Given Musk’s unfaltering devotion to Dogecoin, it’s not unrealistic to predict a function for his beloved token in the newly-whipped-up department. In this context, a $1 price tag, according to many crypto faithful, might actually come to fruition at some point in the foreseeable future, propelling the cryptocurrency to a $130 billion market cap.
But with all that hype, it could be difficult to go beyond the chatter and think clearly. And on the flip side, it may look easy to buy a dog-themed coin and retrieve some of those gains you see on the screen. Be careful, though — chasing down that game could lead to Great Dane-gers.
Do you own any Doge? Or are you looking to buy if you’ve missed out on the red-hot beast-mode rally? Share your thoughts below and let’s spin up the discussion!