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GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Can Gold Surge Past $3100?🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on 20 March 2025 📊 Market Snapshot Gold (XAU/USD) is riding a strong uptrend on the H1 chart, moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. After breaking the $3000 psychological barrier, bullish momentum remains intact 💪. However, with key resistance ahead and US economic data on the horizon, volatility could spike. Let’s break down the setup for today’s trading session! 🧠 🔍 Technical Analysis Ascending Channel: Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, confirming a solid uptrend. It’s currently testing the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $3070.612, a high-volume area (VPOC) where sellers may step in 🛑 A break above could target $3081.053, then $3097.774, with $3100 as the next psychological level 🎯 Key Support Levels: Nearest support at $3031.774, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary and a prior VPOC 🛡️. A deeper pullback might test $3024.254 or $3017.197, where buyers previously defended (marked by yellow circles) 📍 Additional Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧 Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡️ 🌍 Fundamental Insights US Dollar Dynamics: Gold often moves inversely to the USD 💱. Today, 20 March 2025, markets are focused on the US Jobless Claims data (due at 13:30 GMT) and Fed speeches, which could sway the Dollar 📅. A weaker-than-expected US report may weaken the USD, boosting Gold towards $3100 🚀. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East unrest, US-China trade talks) continue to support Gold as a safe-haven asset 🛡️. This underpins the bullish outlook for now. Interest Rate Environment: The Fed’s dovish tone in early 2025 has lowered the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting its upward trajectory 📉. Meanwhile, keep an eye on UK inflation data this week, as it could impact GBP and indirectly influence Gold. 📝 Trading Plan Buy Opportunity (Buy Zone: $3032 - $3030) 🟢 Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔ Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060 💵 Sell Opportunity (Sell Zone: $3069 - $3071) 🔴 Stop Loss (SL): $3075 ⛔ Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050 💵 ⚠️ Market Alert Gold has been hitting all-time highs following the FOMC meeting earlier today 🌪️. With US data due during the London session, expect volatility—stick to your TP/SL to safeguard your account! 🛡️💡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted buyers for the second consecutive day and strengthened to a new one-week high against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday. Expectations that strong wage growth could boost consumer spending and contribute to higher inflation give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) room to raise interest rates further. This has led to a recent sharp narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other countries, which continues to support the low-yielding yen. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy, as well as geopolitical risks and the political crisis in Turkey, are contributing to inflows into the Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is struggling to gain meaningful momentum amid increased economic uncertainty amid US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, in turn, is weighing on the USD/JPY pair and contributing to the intraday decline. However, interest rate differentials, the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, the trade balance differential and global market sentiment put pressure on the Japanese yen. The further direction of the USD/JPY pair lies on the upside. Trading recommendation: BUY 148.400, SL 147.600, TP 150.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sharp reversal in US marketsAmid market volatility and uncertainty, US stock indices experienced a sharp decline last week. The Dow Jones Index (#DJI30) fell by 3.5%, the S&P 500 (#SP500) dropped by 4.1%, and the Nasdaq-100 (#NQ100) lost 5.5%. Investors reacted nervously to new economic data, including rising inflation and expectations of interest rate hikes, leading to a sell-off in stocks and a decline in key indices. The drop was particularly significant in the technology and consumer sectors, where companies like Apple and Tesla lost around 6-7% of their value. However, starting March 13, 2025, the indices began to recover: #DJI30 gained 2.3%, #SP500 rose by 2.5%, and #NQ100 increased by 3.1%. The recent rebound in US stock indices has been driven by several factors that restored investor confidence. Let’s take a closer look at the main reasons: • Improvement in unemployment data: Labor market statistics played a crucial role in the market recovery. The US unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in February 2025, marking a record low in recent decades. This indicates strong employment levels and economic resilience, boosting investor optimism and supporting stock market growth. • Stabilization of inflation and interest rate expectations: Although inflation in the US remains high, recent data showed a slowdown in its growth. Reduced inflationary pressure gave investors hope that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. This was perceived as a sign of potential economic stabilization, positively impacting stock indices. • Growth in consumer spending: One of the key drivers of the recent market recovery has been the increase in consumer spending. In Q1 2025, consumer demand in the US showed strong performance, serving as an essential indicator of economic activity. Increased spending on goods and services supports business stability and enhances corporate revenues, which, in turn, stimulates stock growth. • Absence of new geopolitical risks: In recent weeks, there have been no major geopolitical crises or new threats on the international stage. This helped financial markets stabilize, as investors could focus on economic data and corporate earnings reports, contributing to stock index growth. • Positive corporate earnings reports: • #Microsoft (MSFT): Microsoft shares rose by 4.2% after reporting strong quarterly results, driven by growth in cloud services and software revenue. • #Google (GOOGL): Alphabet’s stock increased by 3.7% due to higher advertising revenue and improved forecasts for upcoming quarters. • #Apple (AAPL): Apple shares climbed 2.9%, supported by strong sales of new products and rising revenue from services. • #Tesla (TSLA): Tesla stock surged 5.6%, fueled by strong electric vehicle sales growth and optimistic profit projections for the next quarter. These companies demonstrated significant growth on the back of improved financial performance, strengthening investor confidence and aiding the stock market’s recovery amid volatility. So despite last week’s market downturn, the current situation in the US stock market signals a potential recovery and a more positive trend in the coming weeks.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
CAD/JPY Triangle (BoJ Interest Rate- Today) 19.03.2025The CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 105.50 2nd Resistance – 106.06 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
NZD/JPY Trendline Breakout (19.3.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 85.83 2nd Support – 85.10 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
XAUUSD- Gold will continue the Bullish upward (Read caption) XAU/USD is expected to maintain its bullish momentum in the upcoming week, driven by sustained investor demand, a weakening U.S. dollar, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties that continue to support safe-haven assets. Technical indicators suggest that gold may test key resistance levels, with buyers looking to push prices higher amid strong market sentiment. Traders should keep an eye on economic data releases and Federal Reserve commentary, as any dovish signals could further fuel the rally. As long as gold remains above crucial support zones, the bullish trend is likely to persist, with the potential for new highs in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
3
WELCOME 3000 GOLD WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH AGAIN!🔥 Attention Traders! 🔥 XAUUSD is heating up! Here's the latest analysis: 🔻 Bearish Setup: Watch for a potential decline if the price breaks below 2979-3003. Key targets: 2960 & 2945. 🔺 Bullish Setup: A breakout above 2911 could signal buying opportunities! Keep an eye on these targets: 3015 & 3030. 📉 Risk Management: Always protect your capital by setting stop-losses and adjusting position sizes based on your risk tolerance. Trading with discipline is key to success! 📊 Stay Engaged: Share your thoughts and strategies as we navigate through this volatile market. Let’s aim for new highs while managing risk effectively! 💵🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ANNA_EXPERT
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 18, 2025 EURUSDThe escalating trade war with further tariffs on European Union goods by US President Donald Trump is having a negative impact on the Euro (EUR). The US has imposed tariffs on steel and aluminium, the EU has drawn up plans to retaliate, and Trump has promised to impose retaliatory 200% tariffs on European wines and spirits. Any signs of an escalation in the tariff war between the US and EU could put pressure on the euro. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has agreed to a €500bn infrastructure fund and radical changes to borrowing rules, or stretching the so-called ‘debt brake’. That should ensure the package is approved in Germany's lower house of parliament on Tuesday and in the upper house on Friday. This, in turn, could boost the common currency against the US dollar (USD) in the near term. In addition, weaker-than-expected US retail sales data has heightened concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending. This report could put pressure on the USD and serve as a tailwind for the major pair. US retail sales rose 0.2% month-on-month in February, compared to a 1.2% drop (revised from -0.9%) in January, the US Census Bureau reported on Monday. The figure was weaker than market expectations, which had expected a 0.7% rise. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 3.1% compared to 3.9% (revised from 4.2%) previously. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.0920, SL 1.0840, TP 1.1040
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/GBP Bullish Flag (18.3.25)The EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8433 2nd Resistance – 0.8448 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
XAG/USD Breakout (17.3.2025)The XAG/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 34.31 2nd Resistance – 34.66 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated between moderate gains and minor losses against its US counterpart during Monday's Asian session amid mixed fundamentals. Optimism driven by China's stimulus measures announced over the weekend is evident in the overall positive tone in Asian stock markets. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant yen depreciation remains elusive amid diverging policy expectations between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). In addition, geopolitical risks and concerns over the economic impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs are supporting the yen. In addition, bearish sentiment around the US Dollar (USD) should restrain the USD/JPY pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive directional bets and prefer to step aside ahead of this week's key central bank events - the Bank of Japan and Fed decisions on Wednesday. This calls for caution from the yen bears and positioning for a continuation of the recent rebound in the USD/JPY pair from the multi-month low around 146.550-146.500 reached last Tuesday. Trading recommendation: BUY 148.900, SL 148.400, TP 150.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to decline for the second consecutive session, trading near 1.29400 during the Asian session on Friday. The pair faces challenges as the Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles amid weakening risk sentiment, exacerbated by concerns over global trade after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% tariffs on European wines and champagne, which worried markets. Traders are now awaiting the UK's monthly gross domestic product (GDP) and factory data for January, which will be released on Friday. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the UK GDP data as the Bank of England (BoE) has expressed concerns about the outlook for the economy. At its February meeting, the Bank of England revised its GDP growth forecast for the year to 0.75%, up from the 1.5% projected in November. The US Dollar (USD) is appreciating amid growing concerns about a slowdown in the global economy, with traders' attention focused on Friday's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, strengthened after Thursday's positive jobless claims report and weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data. At the time of writing, the DXY is trading near 104.00. U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ended March 7 came in at 220,000, below the 225,000 expected. Jobless claims fell to 1.87 million, below the forecast of 1.90 million, indicating a resilient U.S. labor market. Inflationary pressures in the US showed signs of easing. The producer price index rose 3.2% year-on-year in February, down from 3.7% in January and below the market forecast of 3.3%. The core producer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, up from 3.8% in January. On a monthly basis, the core price index was unchanged, while the underlying price index declined 0.1%. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29400, SL 1.29900, TP 1.28600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Channel Breakout (14.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2890 2nd Support – 1.2862 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
GBP/CHF Channel Pattern (13.03.25)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1490 2nd Resistance – 1.1540 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern (13.3.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0805 2nd Support – 1.0771 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge Pattern (13.03.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 32.45 2nd Support – 32.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
BTC/USDT Price Analysis: Reversal or More Downside?: 📊 BTC/USDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis 🔻 Current Trend: BTC is in a downtrend 📉, trading below the 30 EMA (🔴 84,270 USDT) and 200 EMA (🔵 88,644 USDT). The price is currently 82,406 USDT and approaching a key support zone (🟣 ~80,000 USDT). Support & Resistance Levels 🟣 Support Zone (~80,000 USDT) – Possible bounce area ⬆️ 🟣 Mid-Resistance (~86,000–88,000 USDT) – First hurdle 🚧 🟣 Major Resistance (~96,000 USDT) – Final target 🎯 Possible Price Movement (🔵 Blue Line Projection) ✅ Bullish Case: If BTC bounces off support 🏋️, it could move towards 88,000 USDT 🚀 and then 96,000 USDT 🎯. ❌ Bearish Case: If BTC breaks below 80,000 USDT, we might see more downside ⚠️. 💡 Trading Tip: Watch price action 📊 at support & resistance. Look for confirmation signals ✅ before entering trades. 🚀 Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 🔥
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses. In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise. Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – March 11, 2025Gold is currently trading near 2920 , showing bullish momentum after a strong recovery from recent lows. Price action suggests buyers are in control, but key levels must hold for continued upside. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Bullish Structure: The price has formed a bullish flag , signaling potential continuation toward liquidity above 2930.3 (swing high). ✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) 2907 - 2900: This zone should act as support. If price stays above it, we could see bullish continuation. ✅ Bullish Order Block (OB) 2891 - 2880: If price retraces, this area could serve as a high-probability buy zone for another push higher. 📈 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Support Zones: 2907 - 2900 (FVG, 4H) – Ideal for bullish continuation. 2891 - 2880 (OB, 4H) – Stronger demand zone if a pullback occurs. 🔹 Resistance & Targets: 2930.3 (Swing High) – Liquidity target for buyers. A breakout above 2930 could trigger further bullish momentum. ⚠️ Possible Scenarios: 📌 Bullish: A break above 2920-2925 could send price toward 2930+ liquidity. 📌 Bearish Pullback: A drop into 2907-2900 may present a buying opportunity before moving higher. 🛑 Final Thoughts: The trend remains bullish , and as long as price stays above key FVG and OB zones, further upside is likely. Keep an eye on these levels for potential trade setups!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GoldTraderKaan
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & PredictioDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis – Daily Chart 🔹 Recent Downtrend: The DXY has been in a strong decline ⬇️ after breaking key support around 104.5 📉. The price dropped sharply, showing bearish momentum 🚨. 🔹 Key Zones Identified: Resistance Zone (104.0 – 105.0) ❌📊 (Previously support, now acting as resistance) Support Zone (100.5 – 101.0) ✅📉 (Potential target for further downside) 🔹 Expected Price Movement: A possible short-term bounce 🔄 back toward the 104.0 - 104.5 resistance ⚠️. If rejected ❌, the downtrend may continue toward the 100.5 – 101.0 level 🎯📉. 🔎 Conclusion: ✅ Bearish Bias – Trend favors further downside unless the price reclaims 105.0. 📌 Watch for a retracement before another drop 📉. 📊 Key Levels: Resistance: 104.0 – 105.0 🚧 Support: 100.5 – 101.0 🛑
TVC:DXYShort
by Jameshead007
BTC/USD Breakdown? Bearish Target at $70K!🔥 📉 Bitcoin Downtrend Alert! 🚨 📊 BTC/USD (4H Chart) - BITSTAMP 🔻 Bearish Structure! 📉 Lower highs & lower lows – trend is down! 📏 Descending trendline keeping price under pressure. 📌 Resistance Zone (~ FWB:83K - $85K) 🛑 Price struggling to break past strong supply area (purple box). 📉 Support Levels: 🟡 $77,500 🏗️ – Weak support? Possible break! 🔴 Target: $70,000 🎯 – Major support level ahead! 🛠️ Possible Price Action: 1️⃣ Retest resistance 🚀? 2️⃣ Rejection & drop to $77,500 ❌ 3️⃣ Break below = CRASH to $70K 💥 ⚠️ Warning: Bulls need to reclaim trendline for reversal! Otherwise, bears in control! 🐻💪 📢 Conclusion: Trend = BEARISH! Until a breakout happens, shorting may be the best play! 🎯 🔥 What do you think? Bullish or Bearish? 🤔👇 #BTC #Crypto
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
Financial Apocalypse? Markets Crash as Billions Flow into Cash –A New Wave of Market Turbulence: How Trade Wars and Uncertainty Affect Investors The US stock market is currently undergoing a massive sell-off, which analysts compare to previous financial crises. Both institutional and retail investors are actively exiting equities and high-risk instruments, including cryptocurrencies. The accumulated anxiety is driven not only by the global economic cycle but also by specific political decisions: trade wars and protectionist measures are putting significant pressure on corporate earnings and market expectations. Early Signs: Tariffs and Escalation When Donald Trump announced increased tariffs on imports from China a few years ago, the stock market reacted sharply but briefly. Many analysts hoped the tensions would turn out to be short-lived negotiating tactics. Ultimately, however, the trade confrontation evolved into a prolonged phase, affecting not only the US and China but also European partners. Today we see a continuation of this policy, where new restrictions and tariff threats have been added to the previously introduced measures. This has prompted capital outflows and increased uncertainty, as global supply chains have come under question, and the prospects for global trade recovery are murky. Parallels with the 2008 Crisis Comparisons to 2008 are inevitable due to the scope and speed of the drop in stock prices. However, while the primary trigger in 2008 was the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and the banking sector, the current negative factors lie in the realm of trade and geopolitical tensions. Leading companies' financial results are declining because of rising costs for raw materials and logistics due to mutual tariffs. Global demand is weakening, and heightened instability is causing management teams to cut back on investment programs. All this is reflected in stock market indices, which continue to lose several percentage points in a single trading session. Buffett’s Role and the Cash Accumulation Strategy Warren Buffett, one of the largest and most conservative investors, prepared for such a scenario by amassing an unprecedented amount of cash. Buffett’s approach does not involve “catching a falling knife” at the peak of panic, but as soon as the situation stabilizes or compelling long-term opportunities arise, he will likely begin buying undervalued assets. This strategy is typical for major players who focus on fundamental indicators. They are not looking at short-term fluctuations but rather the potential gains when the market recovers and prices return to fair value. Cryptocurrencies: Expectations vs. Reality Many assumed that cryptocurrencies would serve as a haven during crises. However, experience shows that in periods of global uncertainty, risk-averse investors exit digital assets alongside everything else. Bitcoin and Ethereum have lost 20–30% since the latest “flare-ups” began, and even statements about a “national bitcoin strategy” have so far failed to influence their prices. Meanwhile, fundamental factors—limited supply, the development of blockchain technology, and IT-sector interest—have not disappeared. These arguments gain traction when investors’ risk appetite returns. But when the market is dominated by fear of further declines, they tend to avoid risky trades and prefer liquid, proven instruments. Where the Money Goes Unlike previous downturns, capital has not rushed into gold. While gold prices reached their peak a few weeks ago, their growth has since slowed, as some investors opt to keep their funds in cash, considered the safest choice. Such behavior may suggest that the sell-off is nearing its climax: when capital remains “on the sidelines,” it eventually starts seeking new opportunities—whether in bargain-priced shares of large industrial giants, the tech sector, or even the cryptocurrency market with its depressed valuations. The volume of outflows from the US stock market is colossal; over the last couple of weeks, the total market cap of leading indexes has fallen by several trillion dollars. It is expected that a substantial portion of this money will re-enter the market, though likely redistributed among different asset classes. Medium- and Long-Term Outlook Investors with a six-month or longer horizon often see the current levels as potential entry points. Historically, global conflicts and economic crises end sooner or later, opening opportunities for those who can tolerate temporary volatility. However, short-term trading remains extremely risky: as uncertainty persists, we may see more waves of sell-offs that knock out speculators with weak nerves or insufficient liquidity. During such moments, those who remain disciplined and steadfast can find profitable opportunities. Conclusion Today’s financial market conditions stem from a convergence of factors: aggressive trade policies, geopolitical risks, and the natural winding down of certain economic cycles. The mass sell-off of stocks and cryptocurrencies indicates that investors are unwilling to take on new risks until tariff disputes calm down, a clearer picture emerges for corporate profits, and major economic centers reach some form of agreement. Nevertheless, the market retains its cyclical nature: historical parallels show that after the steepest drops, recovery periods often follow. The only question is when the turnaround will occur and who will be the first to capitalize on it.
TVC:DJILong
by StarTradePro