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Fundamental Analysis

Gold Outlook: After Breaking 3,260 — Is 3,000 the Magnet?Gold Weekly Forecast Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level. We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000. Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base. Bias: Bearish Key Zones: • Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300 • Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000 — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading Drop your view in the comments. #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Sphinx_Trading
Filecoin Slips Below EMA 50 – Testing the BullsFilecoin just closed under the EMA 50 – a key short-term dynamic support. EMA 50 broken = short-term weakness EMA 100 overhead = trend pressure still heavy Volumes fading — conviction drop? This is a zone where weak bulls are forced out, and strong hands prepare. The trend doesn’t care about hope. Stay mechanical. Still watching $2.60 – $2.65 as the final defense line. #FIL #QuantTrading #AlgoSignals #EMASetup #Filecoin #CryptoTrading
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
Gold could reach 3420 today 📌 Gold Drivers Gold prices (XAU/USD) retreated slightly from intraday highs near two-week highs hit during the Asian session on Tuesday, but still held steady near $3,360, extending gains for a second day in a row. Improved U.S. economic data helped ease market concerns about a recession, providing mild support for the dollar. At the same time, signs that Sino-U.S. trade tensions may ease curbed gold's safe-haven demand, prompting some investors to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of the much-anticipated two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting. The Trump administration's imposition of tariffs of up to 25% or even 100% on semiconductors will further disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain, forcing many semiconductor manufacturers to look for alternative sources of supply or manufacture in the United States. 📊Comment Analysis Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached 3400 before the market expected a rate cut 💰Strategy Set 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425 TP1: $3410 TP2: $3400 TP3: $3385 🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316 TP1: $3330 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3358 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
EUR/USD Part 2 – Trade the Break, Not the ChopIn my previous post, I highlighted a massive double bottom on the EUR/USD monthly chart, potentially signaling the birth of a multi-month bullish cycle. Now, zooming in to the H4 timeframe, the pair is trading in a key decision zone ahead of the FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday. Decision Zone: 1.1200–1.1400 This range is technically dangerous for new entries: Below 1.1200, we risk confirming a local Head and Shoulders pattern → could trigger a bearish breakdown toward 1.11 or lower. Above 1.1400, we would see a local Double Bottom, in line with the larger monthly pattern → likely continuation of the uptrend. That’s why I believe the safest strategy right now is to wait for a breakout and confirmation — either above 1.1400 or below 1.1200. Trading inside this band means fighting uncertainty just days before a major macro event. Reversal patterns work best when used within trends, not against them. The current ascending structure on H4 supports a bullish continuation — if the market provides confirmation. Until then, let the range resolve. Smart money waits, not guesses.
Long
by borschenkovitc
1
GOLD XAUUSD, New ATH Target before major Panic DropIn my view, gold is currently targeting the 4080 level on the daily timeframe. I anticipate this move could unfold by the end of this month or the beginning of the next. However, before reaching 4080, a short-term correction is likely — potentially a pullback in the range of 50 to 80 points, but not exceeding that. The recent sharp decline of nearly 300 points has eased the panic in the market — a significant move by any standard. Throughout this phase, both sellers and buyers have experienced liquidations: sellers on the way up and buyers waiting for a pullback that has yet to fully materialize. Gold has been moving aggressively, offering very few opportunities and often leaving most participants behind. Until the 4080 level is reached, I believe the optimal approach is to stay on the buyers’ side and look to capitalize on trades along the way. That said, once the 4080 level is reached, I expect a major panic drop of approximately 400 to 500 points. This is based on my personal experience and analysis — the rest is up to your own judgment and decision-making.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ChartsReadingByFahad
1
PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation | (May 2025)PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation + Hype Exhaustion Risk | (May 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Palantir has been riding the AI hype wave, but valuations are extremely stretched. Despite strong growth, price action shows signs of slowing — making this a "watch closely" rather than "chase blindly" setup. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Watching for short setup — not entering yet Entry Zone: If price retests $19–20 and stalls again Stop Loss: Above $121.50 (breakout continuation risk) TP1 (potential short): $117.00 — minor structure support TP2: $15.50 — deeper pullback zone TP3 (optional): $113.90 — if broader correction plays out 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Fundamentals at a Glance: Revenue: $2.87B | Net Income: ~$460M Market Cap: $291B (!) — over 10x revenue, signals extreme overvaluation P/S Ratio: 19x Price to Cash Flow: 272x — typical range for healthy companies is 20–40 EPS and Book Value: Weak vs market cap (Tangible BV: $2.13) Beta: 2.45 — very volatile ✅ Business Model: Palantir builds AI-driven software for government and commercial use. Notably, government revenue and commercial segments both grew ~40% YoY — great performance, but possibly priced in already. ❌ Current Market Behavior: Everyone's talking about PLTR — hype levels are extremely high Price currently sitting near previous all-time highs Technicals show signs of exhaustion — money is slightly flowing out on 30min charts Daily chart still bullish, but 4H shows price stalling — a correction seems likely A dip to ~$19 or lower (4–5% pullback) would be normal, even healthy ❌ Short Setup Caution: Although the chart leans bearish short term, this is a hype-driven stock. Fighting it blindly with a short could be risky. If a correction does set in, it's more likely to be a measured move rather than a full trend reversal — for now. 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: I’ll be watching for a short opportunity if rejection confirms near $20–21. No position for now — observing price behavior closely as hype may still carry it higher in the short term. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by Risk_Adj_Return
AUDUSD READY TO LAUNCH: HTF Bias + OB + FVG + PRIME SETUPBias: We’re operating within a clear bullish higher time frame bias, confirmed by previous swing structure and continuous displacement to the upside. Price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows on the 4H and Daily chart. Entry Zone: ✅ 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a clean imbalance from prior bullish displacement. Price has now retraced into this inefficiency, a key area where smart money typically looks to re-accumulate. ✅ 1H Order Block (OB) — precisely overlapping the 4H FVG, strengthening the setup. This is the last bearish candle before the bullish move that created a market structure shift, now acting as a support zone. This dual confluence—FVG + OB at a retracement level—marks a premium setup.
Long
by INSIDER_INTEL
SOLANA (SOL/USDT) – Bullish Flag Forming on 4H!Hey traders! #SOLANA is currently consolidating sideways and printing a bullish flag pattern on the 4-hour timeframe – a classic continuation signal after a strong upward move! 🚀 Here's the plan: Wait for a clean breakout above the flag's resistance Enter on the retest of the breakout level to confirm support Apply strict risk management and target the next major resistance zone Watch for increasing volume to validate the move Why this matters? The bullish flag often leads to explosive moves when confirmed properly. Don’t chase the breakout — let price come to you. Patience = profits. 🧘‍♂️ Key Levels & Entry Plan marked on chart Drop your thoughts below – do you agree with this setup or see it differently? Like & Follow for more clean, no-hype trade ideas! #Solana #SOL #CryptoTrading #BullishFlag #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoSetup #BreakoutTrade
Long
by mudusir
Bitcoin: The Robot Taxi Driver We Didn’t NeedWhy Blockchain Is Driving the Future Without It In the 1990 sci-fi classic Total Recall, Arnold Schwarzenegger’s character hails a futuristic taxi only to be greeted by “Johnny Cab”—a creepy, clunky robot driver that awkwardly talks while struggling to navigate. Back then, audiences imagined a future where robotic taxi drivers would be commonplace. But instead, we got something far superior: fully autonomous, self-driving cars that render robot drivers unnecessary. The same is happening with Bitcoin. It was revolutionary, sure—but much like Johnny Cab, it’s outdated, inefficient, and rapidly becoming irrelevant in a world driven by advanced blockchain technology. Bitcoin: The Nostalgic First Step When Bitcoin burst onto the scene, it felt groundbreaking—just like the idea of robot taxi drivers in the Total Recall era. It gave us a new way to transact, free from centralized banks. People were thrilled, seeing it as the future of money. But here’s the problem: Bitcoin was never the endgame. It was merely the proof-of-concept—like Johnny Cab showing that, yes, you can put a robot behind the wheel… but does that mean we should? As financial systems evolved, Bitcoin’s shortcomings became glaringly obvious: ✅ Slow transaction speeds ✅ High fees ✅ Lack of scalability ✅ Energy inefficiency Meanwhile, blockchain technology—the real revolution—kept advancing, proving that we don’t actually need Bitcoin any more than we needed Johnny Cab. Enter Blockchain: The Self-Driving System Self-driving cars didn’t need robot taxi drivers, and blockchain doesn’t need Bitcoin. Blockchain is the foundation—an autonomous, self-sustaining system that underpins everything from finance to supply chains to digital assets. In fact, precious metals, equities, and commodities are all moving toward digitization—but not through Bitcoin. Instead, they’re being integrated directly into blockchain-based ecosystems that offer seamless, smart contract-driven transactions. The result? 💨 Faster 💡 More efficient 🛠️ Scalable & adaptable Bitcoin, on the other hand, is stuck in the past. It’s clunky, expensive, and increasingly unnecessary—just like a robot taxi driver frantically punching buttons while self-driving cars smoothly navigate the streets. Why Bitcoin Will Be Left Behind Much like how we skipped the “robot taxi driver phase” and went straight to autonomous vehicles, the financial world will soon skip Bitcoin entirely as blockchain technology takes over. Everything digital is moving toward streamlined, automated systems—systems that don’t require Bitcoin as an intermediary. So the real question isn’t, “Will Bitcoin survive?” It’s: “Why would we even need it?” Just like Johnny Cab in Total Recall, Bitcoin might be fun to look back on—but it’s not the future. Blockchain is the self-driving car. Bitcoin is the unnecessary robot driver. And in a world that values efficiency, guess which one we’re leaving behind? 🚗💨 INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER TVC:DXY SP:SPX NYSE:BLK NASDAQ:TSLA NYSE:GME INDEX:ETHUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD CRYPTO:ADAUSD
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
EURUSD Faces Political Risks After German and Romanian VotingEURUSD is trying to hold steady, supported by strong enough PMI data. The Eurozone composite PMI rose to 50.4 from 50.1. While the increase is modest, it is still important amid ongoing tariff-related turmoil. However, political risks that were believed to be easing now appear to be intensifying. In Romania, first-round election results showed anti-EU candidate Simion securing around 40% of the vote. This could create problems for both the EU and Ukraine. Meanwhile, today’s vote in Germany is raising concerns. Merz received only 310 of the 316 votes required from parliament. Given that the coalition holds 328 seats, this outcome sends a troubling signal about the coalition’s stability. If Germany’s government proves unstable, it may further weigh on the euro. Both developments are negative for the euro. Combined with the recent momentum shift in EURUSD after its strong surge from around 1.04, a correction may be on the horizon. The 1.1260–1.1275 area is a key support zone. It includes a major trendline and an important horizontal support level. If this zone fails, EURUSD could quickly retreat toward the white trendline around 1.11. That trendline, which broke in April, dates back to the 2008 top and represents a long-term structural level. More details on this trend can be found below:
Short
by ftdsystem
MSTR Shortvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very very nice short
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Rekt2Richez
HNT | Short | Bearish Flow + VWAP Rejection | (May 2025)HNT | Short | Bearish Flow + VWAP Rejection | (May 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Despite some recent bullish headlines, Helium is showing strong signs of distribution. Spot selling and money outflows suggest potential downside risk as price continues to reject key levels. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Short Entry: Near VWAP rejection (~$4.30–$4.50 range) Stop Loss: Invalidation above $4.70 — reclaiming this would suggest strength returning TP1: $3.38 — short-term structure support TP2: $2.48 — deeper demand zone TP3: Extended target towards zero if macro weakness continues 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Tech Overview: Helium operates a decentralized wireless network for IoT and mobile devices using a unique "Proof of Coverage" model. It migrated to Solana in 2023, raising some concerns about long-term conviction in its original tech. ✅ Partnerships: Names like AT&T and Dish Network have been associated in various stages, but recent SEC settlements and community skepticism have clouded sentiment. ❌ Current Flow: 30-minute chart: Slowing inflow 4H chart: Money is actively flowing out Spot selling and aggressive short liquidations indicate market maker-driven moves, not organic growth Rejections at VWAP confirm heavy sell pressure around $4.30–$4.50 ❌ Bearish Signs: Rejected twice at the VWAP level Lower highs forming, no clean breakout structure Correlation to Bitcoin — with BTC going sideways, HNT has lost momentum Price has dropped over 76% since Dec 2024 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: Will continue to monitor price action and volume near TP1 and TP2. A reclaim of $4.70 invalidates this setup. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Short
by Risk_Adj_Return
The Day AheadTuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance Key Data Releases: US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it. China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD). UK April Data: Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact. New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity. France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR. Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly. Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields. Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD. Major Earnings Releases (market movers): Tech & Growth Focus: Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues. AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space. Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending. Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals. Consumer & Travel: Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends. Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer. Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health. Autos & Industrials: Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum. Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends. Financial & Healthcare: Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials. IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook. Bond Market: US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength. Trading Relevance Summary: FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation). Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas). Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields. Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Beam Chain and RISC-V could boost simplicity in Ethereum's desigEther (ETH) saw a 1% decline on Monday following co-founder Vitalik Buterin's suggestion that Ethereum needs to make major tweaks to improve its protocol simplicity.Buterin stated that Ethereum suffers from security risks and high development expenditure because of several complexities in its design. According to Buterin, one of Bitcoin's main advantages is its simplicity. "Even a smart high school student is capable of fully wrapping their head around and understanding the Bitcoin protocol," noted Buterin. "A programmer is capable of writing a client as a hobby project." The post highlights that Ethereum could achieve a similar simple protocol design in five years by simplifying its consensus and execution layers. The Beam Chain is touted as a potential replacement to the consensus layer's current Beacon Chain to enable "a simpler and more robust p2p architecture."
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Alena-786