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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15’ order block created ✅15’ wick rejections via order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅1’ break of structure ✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill ✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Let’s see if sellers step in.GBP/USD Trade Update: Holding My Sell at 1.32480 I entered a sell trade at 1.32480, expecting a reversal based on key technical and fundamental setups. But with GBP/USD now sitting at 1.33814, I have to reassess market conditions while still staying true to my trading approach. Fundamental Overview – Why I Still Favor Downside This week’s economic events could create volatility, and I’m paying close attention to: UK PMI (April 23): Expected declines in Manufacturing (44.1) and Services (51.0) suggest economic weakness, which could weigh on GBP. US Durable Goods Orders (April 24): Mixed expectations—headline at +1.8%, but ex-defense and transportation are negative, meaning uncertainty in USD strength. UK Retail Sales (April 25): Forecasted at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as slowing UK economic data could trigger renewed selling pressure. If the UK data disappoints, GBP/USD could struggle to hold higher levels, reinforcing my trade. Technical & Price Action Analysis Resistance Holding at 1.342–1.345: Strong resistance is forming here. If bulls fail to push past this zone, my sell trade could still play out. Wick formations near this level suggest some rejection, but confirmation is needed. Key Support Levels for a Potential Drop: 1.330–1.331 (Flipped Resistance, Now Support) – Watching if price retests this zone. 1.326–1.327 (Major Support) – If momentum shifts, price could revisit this area. 1.321 (Stronger Support) – If price weakens further, this becomes my downside target. Momentum is slowing, but the bullish trend is still intact unless price rejects at 1.342–1.345. Volume Profile & Institutional Behavior – Are Big Players Selling? Signs of Institutional Unloading: Buy-side orders appear strong, but price is not breaking higher with conviction. This could mean large traders are selling into the rally. Watching for a delta imbalance where buyers dominate order flow, but price fails to rise. This is a classic distribution sign. Why This Matters: If institutions are offloading positions near 1.342–1.345, we could see price stall and reverse. My focus is on whether this resistance holds or breaks. That will define whether my sell trade remains valid. My Trade Management Plan – Staying Patient As a daily trader, I wait for the daily candle close before making adjustments. If price rejects 1.342–1.345, I’ll hold my position with targets back toward 1.330–1.327. If price breaks above resistance and holds, I may need to reevaluate my stop-loss placement. Final Thoughts – Trusting My Process I’m still holding my sell at 1.32480, but I recognize that buyers are testing key resistance. If institutions are quietly distributing, we could see a shift back to the bearish side, but I’m waiting for confirmation at the daily close. I’ll update once the daily candle closes. Let’s see if sellers step in.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Happy Easter Traders! 4/20 6:33pm. I’m currently holding a sell position on GBP/USD at 1.32480, and despite price climbing to 1.32942, I see several technical and fundamental factors that support my trade idea. Fundamental Perspective Looking ahead, this week presents major economic events that could drive volatility in GBP/USD. UK PMI (April 23): Manufacturing PMI is expected to drop to 44.1, while Services PMI may soften to 51.0—both indicators suggest economic slowdown, potentially putting downward pressure on GBP. US Durable Goods (April 24): Forecasts show mixed numbers—headline durable goods is projected at +1.8%, but ex-transportation and ex-defense figures are negative, meaning uncertainty surrounding USD demand. UK Retail Sales (April 25): The monthly figure is expected at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as deteriorating UK economic conditions could contribute to pound weakness. If the UK data disappoints while US figures remain mixed or slightly stronger, GBP/USD could face renewed selling pressure, validating my position. Technical Analysis - Historical & Indicator Confirmation Looking at the daily chart, there’s strong alignment between price action and indicator readings that suggest a potential reversal: Resistance Holding at 1.330–1.331: The Stochastic at 74.88 suggests GBP/USD is nearing overbought conditions. The Williams %R at -22.24 reinforces the idea that price is pushing into exhaustion territory. Support Structure (Where Downside Pressure Could Build): Immediate Support at 1.326–1.327: Previous lows from April 20 confirm this zone as a critical level for sellers. Secondary Support at 1.321: Multiple recent price reactions suggest this area could serve as a strong downside target. Deeper Support at 1.316–1.318: If bearish momentum strengthens, this area represents a key swing low. Additionally, while price is pushing higher in the short term, it’s trading well above long-term daily EMAs, suggesting the rally is a temporary overextension rather than a sustained breakout. If GBP/USD fails to break above 1.330–1.331, momentum could shift in favor of my sell trade. Trade Management & Outlook Despite the recent push higher, I remain confident in my sell position as long as GBP/USD does not break and hold above 1.330–1.331. If price starts rejecting this level, the next downside target could be 1.326, followed by 1.321, where I’d consider taking partial profits. With fundamental catalysts ahead, volatility will likely increase. If bullish momentum persists beyond 1.331, I may need to re-evaluate my position, but until that happens, my trade setup remains valid. Final Thoughts My sell at 1.32480 is built on strong reasoning—key fundamental risks, extended technical levels, and a solid structure of resistance all favor a potential reversal. If sellers step in soon, I’ll have the opportunity to secure profits on a well-planned move. Now, it’s a waiting game to see how price reacts to resistance and upcoming data.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders. On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
29
#GBPUSD: Massive Swing Sell Is In Making 1200+ Pips Worth? **FX:GBPUSD Price Analysis** GBPUSD price has recently experienced an overbought condition, primarily due to the significant decline of the DXY index. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has resulted in a drop in the DXY index to its lowest point in the past eighteen months. Conversely, the GBP has gained strength due to positive economic indicators indicating robust growth in the United Kingdom. This has made the GBP more attractive to investors. The FX:GBPUSD price is expected to continue its upward trend and potentially reach the 1.35 level. However, it is also possible for the price to reverse its direction from this point. **Targets:** If the trade is activated, three targets have been set for the FX:GBPUSD price. These targets can be adjusted based on your own analysis and trading strategy. We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support and well wishes. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
21
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended. On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction. Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further. Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance. That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens .. Have a great weekend! BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBP/USD: The Bear's Ride Down the TrendAs I assess the GBP/USD market today, I see that the current price is 1.32466, and I’ve taken a sell position at 1.32480, which is moving well. Based on recent fundamentals, technical indicators, and historical weekly data, here’s my full market breakdown: Fundamentals & Economic Outlook Recent US economic data has provided mixed signals for the dollar: Initial & 4-Week Jobless Claims: Came in lower than expected, signaling a stronger labor market, which supports USD strength. Continuing Jobless Claims: Higher than expected, showing some lingering unemployment pressure. Housing Starts: Significantly below expectations, hinting at weakness in real estate. Building Permits: Surpassed expectations, suggesting future construction remains strong. Looking ahead to next week, key events will shape price action: UK S&P Global PMIs: If manufacturing and services figures improve, GBP may gain traction. US PMIs & Home Sales: Expected to trend lower, possibly weakening USD momentum. UK Retail Sales (Friday): Anticipated to drop significantly, which could weigh on GBP. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Forecasted to decline, potentially putting USD under pressure. With these fundamental factors, GBP/USD faces mixed conditions—potential volatility ahead. Momentum readings show caution for bulls: Short-term (1-minute to 15-minute) indicators suggest mild consolidation. The 1-hour and daily charts indicate GBP/USD is overextended compared to historical averages. Weekly and monthly averages are much lower (~1.27047 and 1.23141), signaling the risk of mean reversion. Trading Strategy & Considerations Since I’m already in a sell position, I’m watching support levels closely for profit-taking zones. If price dips near 1.3100, I might secure partial profits before assessing further downside potential. I’ll keep an eye on daily EMA (~1.25176) as a deeper support that might act as a turning point. Technical divergences (such as the Accumulation Distribution Oscillator) hint at distribution pressure, reinforcing my bearish bias. With all this being said, i'm looking for a new pair to dive deep into. What do you recommend and why? Im all ears! also dont hesitate to reach out id love to talk about forex! :) im in the works of creating a youtube page and maybe a X account. Hope to reach some of you there as well. p.s i love this shit!
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD at Key Resistance - Time to Sell?OANDA:GBPUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
66
GBPUSD is in the Buying Direction after Testing SupportHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
GBPUSD I Short Opportunity Coming Soon Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN ! All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in. It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital. 15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action. Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion. We will let price show us, we will reaction with price. What are your thoughts... Are we dropping today? FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25 Morning Traders! Let's await price action to tap into the weekly order block! From then on, eyes open for 15' breaks of structure. Ensure that key higher low areas and double doubles for potential longs are broken before looking to short a fairly strong looking pound! We simply await the pull back into s 15' order block that should be created post bearish move we have spoken of above. Upon the turn around in price action, we can be satisfied the bullish trend has exhaust somewhat. Let's await the setup. No positions on GBPUSD until the above. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
4
GBPUSD Analysis 4/14 at 7:11pm I've been closely watching GBP/USD, and as of now, the pair is trading at 1.31771. Based on my technical analysis and upcoming market events, I believe the best trade setup is a short position, but only after confirming a rejection near 1.316–1.317. Why This Short Trade Makes Sense Overbought Conditions The daily RSI is at 76.08, meaning the pair is in overbought territory. This increases the likelihood of a pullback rather than a continued rally. Other momentum indicators (like Stochastic RSI) show that buying pressure is weakening, further supporting the case for a reversal. Key Resistance at 1.320 Price has tested 1.320 multiple times but failed to break above it, reinforcing this area as strong resistance. The recent high at 1.31998 showed rejection, indicating that bullish momentum is struggling. Upcoming Fundamental Events The UK retail sales data exceeded expectations, providing some short-term support for GBP. However, upcoming major US economic releases—including Empire State Manufacturing and Retail Sales—could shift sentiment. With Fed Chair Powell speaking on April 16, volatility is expected, and I prefer to wait for these catalysts before fully committing to a position. My Trade Plan Entry: I’ll wait to sell GBP/USD after confirming rejection at 1.316–1.317. Final Thoughts I’m waiting for clear price rejection before entering. If GBP/USD struggles to break higher and starts reversing at 1.316–1.317, that’s my signal to short. At the same time, I’ll watch how the upcoming economic events influence market sentiment—especially the US retail sales data and Powell’s speech. This approach ensures I’m trading based on confirmation rather than speculation, reducing the risk of entering prematurely.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Analysis 4/14/2025 1:35pmI've been closely watching GBP/USD, and as of now (with the pair trading around 1.31808), I see it moving within a tight consolidation range—roughly between 1.307 and 1.320. Given that I'm near the upper end of this range, I feel that jumping in right away could expose me to potential reversals or whipsaw moves. My plan is to take a short position, but only after the market pulls back to around 1.316. I view that level as a more attractive entry point since it’s toward the lower side of the current consolidation. This strategy offers me a better risk/reward setup; I can tighten my stops (placing a stop loss above recent highs around 1.320) while aiming for a move down toward the support area, which I expect could be around 1.304–1.305 if the sell-off continues. In addition, there are several high-impact economic events coming up for both the UK and US—ranging from GBP retail sales and employment data to key US manufacturing, retail sales, and even a speech from Fed Chair Powell. With all that volatility on the horizon, I prefer to wait and see how the news plays out. This way, I can avoid being caught in erratic moves and let market sentiment become clearer before I commit to my trade. To sum it up: I'm planning to short GBP/USD by waiting for a pullback to about 1.316, with a stop set just above 1.320, and a target closer to the lower support around 1.304–1.305. This approach takes into account the current consolidation, technical signals (like overbought conditions), and the upcoming fundamental catalysts that could swing the market.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Analysis Update 4/14 10:18am, pending confirmationI've been closely analyzing GBP/USD this week, and here's my updated view based on all the technical indicators and fundamental data. Price Action & Key Levels Right now, GBP/USD is trading at 1.31537, after rejecting 1.320 resistance earlier in the session. The market made a strong attempt to break above 1.320, but sellers stepped in, causing a pullback. Given this rejection, I'm watching 1.317 closely—if price fails to reclaim that level, a bearish continuation toward 1.312–1.310 becomes increasingly likely. Technical Indicators & Market Signals Momentum & Trend Strength RSI: Short-term signals suggest price is consolidating (RSI at 48.78), while the daily RSI (76.08) indicates overbought conditions, meaning a larger pullback may be ahead. Aroon Oscillator: Weakening bullish strength, suggesting trend exhaustion. ADX: At 10.1 (1-hour), showing weak trend momentum, meaning price might stay range-bound or reverse lower. MACD: Mixed signals—some divergence appears, showing signs of a potential downward move. Fibonacci Retracement Levels (From 1.320 High) 23.6% retracement: 1.3172 → Minor resistance zone. 38.2% retracement: 1.3158 → Current price zone. 50% retracement: 1.3143 → Potential short-term support. 61.8% retracement: 1.3129 → Stronger support level. 78.6% retracement: 1.3110 → Critical breakdown point. If GBP/USD fails to reclaim 1.317, I anticipate further downside toward 1.312–1.311, where stronger support exists. Bollinger Bands Confirmation Upper Band (~1.320): Acted as resistance—price rejected this zone, confirming sellers stepped in. Middle Band (~1.315–1.316): Price hovering here—neutral consolidation phase. Lower Band (~1.312–1.313): If price breaks below 1.314, downward momentum is likely toward this level. Fundamental Factors Supporting Bearish Bias GBP Weakness: Expected softer BRC Retail Sales, Employment Change, and Inflation Rate data, which could weigh on GBP/USD. USD Strength: Strong Retail Sales figures and upcoming Fed Chair Powell’s speech might bolster the Dollar, adding further downside pressure to GBP/USD. Trade Setup & Execution Strategy Bearish Case: If GBP/USD fails at 1.317, I’ll look to enter short below 1.3155, targeting 1.312 or lower. Bullish Case: If GBP/USD reclaims 1.317, buyers could push price back toward 1.320 resistance. Conclusion At the moment, GBP/USD is at a decision point—while short-term indicators suggest some consolidation, rejection at 1.320 confirms bearish pressure. If sellers hold control, I expect price to move toward 1.312–1.311 in the coming sessions, making a short setup favorable. However, if price reclaims 1.317, buyers may attempt another test of 1.320 resistance.
Short
by Sel_Ali