GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 03 - Feb 07]Gold prices have just completed an accumulation period and this week broke out to a record high. Specifically, gold price increased quite strongly from 2,732 USD/oz to 2,817 USD/oz, then decreased and closed the week at 2,799 USD/oz.
The White House announced that from February 1, 2025, the US will impose a tax of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on goods from China. This information caused global financial markets to fluctuate strongly. US stocks plunged, Treasury bond yields increased, while gold and USD became safe havens for cash flow.
Gloomy US economic data and the risk of tariff escalation have pushed gold prices to a record high. After a week focusing on interest rates and inflation, the market next week will focus on the labor market with the December non-farm payrolls report. Gold traders will also monitor many other important data such as ISM manufacturing PMI, ADP employment report, and Bank of England policy decision, along with a preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan.
Next week's gold price may still maintain an upward trend when supported by many factors, along with the positive views of investors who expect gold prices to reach higher levels in the near future.
📌Technically, after reaching a record price above the threshold of 2,817 USD/oz, on the weekly chart, the average price of gold has also exceeded the threshold of 2,335 USD/oz. This shows that the average price of gold is higher, creating room for further increases in gold prices.
A shorter-term perspective with the H4 chart, if next week's gold price benefits from worse economic data, the price will break out of the old peak of 2817 and rise above the 2850 threshold.
If the resistance level is not broken, the gold price will temporarily decrease and adjust to around the EMA89 moving average line of the H4 chart, around the 2738 mark.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,785 – 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,802 – 2,817 – 2,824USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2851 - 2849⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2855
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2737 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2733
Gc1
XAUUSD: Top of January Channel Up. Short term pull back ahead.Gold has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.055, MACD = 39.900, ADX = 58.383) and even though the long term trend remains bullish and that shouldn't affect it to a great extent, a short term Bearish Divergence on the 1H RSI (LH) and the fact that the price hit today the top of the 1 month Channel Up, calls for a quick sell. The two +4% bullish waves pulled back by at least -1% and we've always seen a 1H MA100 test on this pattern. Consequently, our short term target is near it (TP = 2,815).
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Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 4thIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD → Since the trend is still intact, gold may rise evekeeps getting stronger following a minor adjustment. A zone of interest is ahead, and before the price begins to storm the ATH, it can correct to the support.
The escalating risks associated with Trump's tariff battle are driving up the price of gold. He is prepared to keep doing so in spite of the dangers that the US citizens also present. The dollar also received strong support from his statement regarding the Fed, "The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates," while gold, which is on its way to the highs, was unaffected. The tendency is continuing, and as the risks associated with the metal increase, so does interest in it. The Fed announcement and US and Chinese economic data are the main topics.
Technically, the preceding ATH-2790 serves as a crucial support, and gold may test this region once more before extending its upward trajectory. However, it is worthwhile to monitor 2800 in the near future.
Support levels - 2795, 2790
Resistance levels - 2802, 2808
Before the price decides to attack this level once more to consolidate above the support before rising further, there can be a slight correction from 2802 or from the 0.7-0.79 fibo.
XAUUSD Channel Up unfazed by Tariff War.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising today following the Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This rise is taking place just before the price touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the absolute Support (hence buy entry) of January's Channel Up for the past month.
With the 4H RSI also making (so far) a V-shaped reversal, similar to all 4 previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up, we believe that this is once more a buy opportunity. All previous bottoms (Higher Lows) rebounded to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from High to Low). This gives us a 2845 Target for the next technical Higher High.
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GOLD corrected and recovered, as the US Dollar soaredOANDA:XAUUSD Spot prices fell below 2,780 USD/ounce and recovered slightly. As of the time this article was completed, gold prices were trading at around 2,783 USD/ounce, as the strong US Dollar overshadowed safe haven demand. after the United States announced tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China.
On February 1, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China. The United States will also impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Mexico and Canada. On the evening of February 2 local time, Trump announced that he would "definitely" impose new tariffs on the European Union.
While these developments typically boost safe-haven demand for precious metals, the stronger dollar and interest rate outlook have offset those pressures. The inflationary impact of tariffs could cause borrowing costs to remain high, which could put pressure on gold as it does not pay interest, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold expensive. red and less attractive.
However, the current price decline is not something to worry about for the uptrend of gold prices, and in terms of general fundamental assessment, it still has a positive outlook in the near future when there are too many risks. with the potential for a long-lasting trade war.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after approaching the 0.236% trendline Fibonacci extension and is currently trading around 2,783USD.
With its current position, gold still has conditions to increase in price with the price channel as the main trend and main support from the EMA21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still in the green uptrend. Although the room for growth is not much, it does not mean it is over.
If gold breaks above the $2,785 technical level it will have upside conditions with a target then around $2,800 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci extension.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,785 – 2,800USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2827 - 2825⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2831
→Take Profit 1 2820
↨
→Take Profit 2 2815
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2769⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2763
→Take Profit 1 2774
↨
→Take Profit 2 2779
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, DXY & Nasdaq for Feb 1 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
XAUUSD Technical correction on the Channel Up started.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up for the entire month of January.
This pattern has so far given 4 corrections/bearish waves, all of which hit their 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
Given that the price got rejected today at the top of the pattern, we anticipate that the new technical correction has started.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 2775 (on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, like all previous 4 corrections).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) already formed a Bearish Divergence, which confirms the sell signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meetingFX:XAUUSD is recovering ahead of Fed rates and Powell's speech. The price is consolidating as traders are not ready for premature action. What could happen?
Gold is holding near $2,770 in Asian trading in anticipation of Wednesday's Fed decision. Investors are cautious as the regulator may pause rate cuts and give hints on future policy. Markets expect two 25bp cuts this year, but Powell's rhetoric will determine the way forward.
Factors supporting gold: dollar correction, risk stabilization and holiday season in Asia. However, Trump's trade policy may increase inflation, forcing the Fed to keep high rates longer, which is negative for gold.
But! Further movement depends solely on Powell's rhetoric.
Resistance levels: 2765, 2771
Support levels: 2759, 2745
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure and updating the lows, the price is recovering in search of resistance and liquidity to continue the probable decline. But it depends on economic data. Possible false break of 2771 resistance before further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Channel Up intact and is targeting 3,000.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.990, MACD = 28.040, ADX = 55.806) despite consolidating for the past 7 days. The reason is that the long term Channel Up is intact and in fact has started its new bullish wave by crossing over the HH trendline. This has already happened twice inside the pattern and in those instances, as long as the 1D MA50 remained intact, the rise reached the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our target this time is a little lower (TP = 3,000).
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XAU: Gold's Supply Area: A Short Opportunity?As the market for gold fluctuates, there may be an opportunity to consider a speculative short position. Currently, gold appears to be retesting a supply zone, an area where selling pressure could drive prices lower. This retest may signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially leading to a retracement back to prior demand zones.
Technical Indicators: Observing price action and key technical indicators can reveal signs of weakness in gold's bullish momentum, supporting the case for a downward move.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Although taking an aggressive stance comes with risks, a well-placed stop-loss and clear profit targets can create a favorable risk-reward scenario.
Conclusion
Given these market dynamics, a speculative short position in gold, targeted at previous demand zones, could be worth considering. As always, it's essential to stay informed and manage risks effectively. What are your thoughts on this approach?
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GOLD → Character changes, bearish premise emergesGOLD updates the low and tests trend support, testing the market and traders' nerves. The dollar is rebounding, putting pressure on the metal.
Gold is moving into a correction, gradually changing the bullish nature of the market to bearish under selling pressure due to growing demand for the dollar amid fears of a trade war over Trump's policies.
The issue of tariffs by the US is still open. Meanwhile, traders' attention is focused on data on durable goods orders and consumer confidence in the US, as well as the Fed meeting, the outcome of which will be announced on Wednesday.
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure, the price is testing the channel support. It is quite difficult to break this line from the first time and the price may form a correction to 2745, or to the imbalance zone, for example, to 2750- 2760 Fibo, before the market desire to sell resumes.
Resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Support levels: 2735 (trigger), 2717
If 2745 does not miss price and gold returns to 2735, then we should prepare for a break of trend support. In that case, an impulse to 2717 could form.
But, if 2745 does not hold the price, gold may test 2750 - 2760 before falling further.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Major short-term Buy Signal just flashed!Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since exactly the start of the year. This structure has held clear the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) since January 06 and the most optimal buy entry of the last 3 times has been issued on the 1H MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the level that the metal touched today and is already rebounding past the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Along with the 1H RSI reaching its most efficient Support level (oversold barrier of 30.00) and rebounding, this is the strongest short-term buy signal.
Each such signal reached at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous High. As a result, our short-term Target is 2810.
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How to Enter a BUY In GOLD This Week! Step By Step!This is how I do it every trading day, and I want to share it with my viewers!
Make sure your time frame alignment is one of the following:
Weekly - 4H - 15m - 1m
Daily - 1H - 5m - 1m
Then make sure your bias is aligned on each one of those TFs.
Then enter your trade on the 15m or 5 minute.
You're all set!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD → A correction before the final spurt to ATH - 2790 ?FX:XAUUSD has been shaking against the support at 2762 since the opening of the session. Most likely, the chances of ATH retest are still high. Dollar in correction gives chances to yellow metal lovers
Traders faced profit taking as they await Fed statements and the Trump administration's actions on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff plans and PMI data continue to influence sentiment, the dollar and gold. Economically, the week ahead will be quite important with Fed rate, US GDP and PCE decisions.
Technically, gold tested a key support zone, but the price did not reach the risk zone where we could expect a trend reversal. We can assume that the extra passengers were dropped off the train, taking their money ;)
Resistance levels: 2762, 2790
Support levels: 2751, 2747
The focus at this point is on the 2762 level. If the gold can consolidate above this support, then we should wait for 2790. Still, this is an important zone that cannot leave speculators alone. We are waiting for ATH retest and false breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 27 - January 31]Last week, the gold market continued to benefit from concerns related to tariffs and US President Donald Trump's statements on interest rates, along with a decrease in US bond yields and the USD, and gold prices traded. trading near a 3-week high of above 2,750 USD/ounce.
Ahead of the monetary policy meeting next week, it is predicted that the US Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged and there will only be one interest rate cut this year, while Mr. Trump called on banks to Global central banks lower interest rates. This means there may be disagreements between Mr. Trump and the Fed. This is something that traders are paying attention to and gold prices are likely to benefit from its role as a safe haven asset.
This week's economic calendar will focus on central banks globally, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada announcing interest rate decisions on Wednesday, followed by an announcement from the European Central Bank. Europe on Thursday.
The market will also pay attention to some US economic data, including the December new home sales report released on Monday, durable goods and consumer confidence reports on Tuesday, GDP Fourth quarter weekly unemployment claims and pending home sales on Thursday, and PCE, personal income and personal spending on Friday morning.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, this week's gold price has broken out of the Downtrend line and the important resistance level at 2725, gaining momentum to near the 2790 resistance threshold. Next week, if the 2790 resistance mark is broken, broken, gold prices will continue to set record high prices for early 2025.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,730USD
Resistance: 2,770 – 2,762 – (All-time high)
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2831 - 2829⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2835
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2712 - 2714⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2708
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, Nasdaq & DXY for Jan 26 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
Weekly Market Forecast Jan 27 - 31stThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 27-31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices are still moving higher, as investors are moving money from the USD to the equity markets, riding the Trump Pump. We'll see how long the euphoria will last, and how the market responds to a bevy of policy initiatives and executive orders by the US President.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high.
Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision.
Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction.
Resistance levels: 2790
Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750
Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Still a great multi year investment. Why it can reach $40Gold / XAUUSD recovered the November-December 2024 correction and resumed the long term bullish trend.
On this 1W chart, it is evident that the yellow metal is incredibly bullish after crossing over the top of the multi year Cup pattern in March 2024.
This Cup started on the 2011 High (All Time High then) and was practically the Bear Cycle after the golden multi year rally that followed Gold's ETF lauch in the early 2000s.
Right now we have started Gold's new Bull Cycle and with the 1week MA50 supporting, we expect another 5 years of growth.
Gold remains a sound long term investment, especially in a highly inflationary environment.
If you are a long term investor, buy and hold until $4000.
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GOLD → The bulls are fighting for 2750. ATH is close!FX:XAUUSD is in a bull run phase due to rising risks. The price is testing new highs and trying to consolidate above key resistance. Trump's speech is ahead and high volatility should be expected.
Gold price is consolidating in the bullish zone after breaking through the three-top resistance. Traders are analyzing the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, which have caused uncertainty in the markets and weakened demand for the dollar and bonds. Meanwhile, support for gold prices is provided by optimism from China's measures to stimulate stock markets.
Investors' attention is focused on US economic data, including weekly jobless claims and Friday's PMI from S&P Global, which could affect expectations for a Fed rate cut. Weak statistics will reinforce forecasts of two rate cuts this year, which supports interest in gold.
Technically, the focus is on 2750. If bulls hold their defenses above this zone, gold could head towards ATH.
Resistance levels: 2750, 2762
Support levels: 0.5 fibo, 2732
Bullish trend, high risks, politics. Lots of reasons that support the metal. But, today is Trump's speech, and this man knows how to make noise in the market. High volatility is possible. But, in general, gold looks as if it is ready to go up, perhaps it can even renew ATH
Regards R. Linda!