3.3 Gold is under high pressure, beware of a pullbackThe gold four-hour line is also suppressed by the moving average, and the rebound is short-lived, and it is directly pressed on the floor. At the same time, the upper resistance of 2880 and 2890 is an obvious resistance. The K line is just a rebound and is definitely not a reversal. It is obviously still empty below the two resistances, and the K line is suppressed directly to the point of being unable to breathe, and is pressed on the floor. The K line goes down from 2955 to 2830. This big short is obviously still strong.
Short-term suggestion 2880 SELL
Goldlong
3.3-day gold latest trend analysis and online guidanceTrump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic growth slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. As of now, the lowest is around 2833. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. However, as countries reach an agreement through negotiations to ease trade tensions, risk aversion may weaken, the support for gold prices will decline, and gold may fall further in the market outlook.
Today, gold opened high, reaching a high of around 2876. It is currently in a state of shock. From a technical point of view, the gold market is currently in an extremely weak state in all cycles, especially the daily cycle has now fallen below the support point of the Bollinger middle track, and the K line has a large negative state. According to this state, gold has now turned from extremely strong to extremely weak. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the low point of last week near 2832, so at the beginning of this week, we need to pay attention to the continuity of the decline in the daily cycle.
After three consecutive trading days of decline last week, the lower Bollinger band opened. Logically, this strength should continue. The current rebound is suppressed near 2880. As long as this suppression point is not broken, there is room for continued decline, but the current indicators are likely to diverge. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, there is still room for the Bollinger band to close. Specific operation idea: first follow the trend and finish the short position. Although it opened higher on Monday, we will prompt the short position around 2865-2875 on the weekend. There is also a 10-point profit in the morning. The current low has stopped rebounding around 2832, which shows that this position still has certain support. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see the rebound. If it does not break 2880, it is still necessary to go short first. If it does not break 2880, you still have to go short first.
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Gold shorts are still at home next, and gold will continue to beIt is reasonable that gold rose in the early trading for risk aversion, but gold did not break through the resistance of 2877, but rose and fell. Then the rise of gold for risk aversion may be digested, and gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted!
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still dead cross downward short arrangement divergence. Although the gold bulls seem to rebound strongly in the case of risk aversion, the situation has not been reversed yet. Gold will fall directly under the resistance of the moving average. Then the strength of gold bulls to continue to rise is not strong. Gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted first.
The market changes rapidly. Gold bulls cannot turn the tide in the case of risk aversion. Then gold bulls may only be short-lived. Gold shorts will still be the main field in the future. Gold will continue to be short. However, gold should also pay attention to one thing today. If it does not fall for a long time, then the 1-hour moving average of gold may start to turn around, so it is necessary to give up the short first, and then readjust the thinking. If it can fall smoothly in the early trading, then gold shorts will continue to be the main field of shorts today.
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Advance analysis and strategic layout of gold next weekThe intensified conflict between Russia and Ukraine over the weekend and the surge in risk aversion may stimulate the continued rebound of gold to a certain extent. Gold closed at around 2858 on Friday. Gold may continue to rebound on Monday next week under the influence of risk aversion, so we will focus on the 2870-2880 area next.
If gold still cannot break through the 2870-2880 resistance area even under the influence of news, then the structural peak of gold will be strengthened and confirmed again, and gold will continue the bearish trend under the suppression of the technical structure. So at the beginning of next week, we might as well consider using the 2870-2880 area as resistance and try to short gold first.
The direction today is short!On Saturday, the United States and Ukraine had differences in their opinions on the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, which is definitely good for gold in the short term. The price rose in the early trading, which is a fermentation release of the news. After the price rush is over, the shorts will naturally turn back. Even if you want to short at a high level, the trend is tortuous. It is not that a wave of news can reverse the downward trend of gold prices. You must intervene at the key price and do it. At this time, you must dare to short. Today, the price is 2865-2875 and go short directly! The direction today is to identify the short! Many news in the short term are just smoke bombs, don't be affected!
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Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%).
Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.”
The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.”
In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors.
“However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."
3.3 Short-term technical analysis of goldThe gold market completed its February structure last week. Looking back at the market in February, the market fell back after opening at 2880.9 at the beginning of the month. The monthly line reached a low of 2770.47 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The monthly line reached a high of 2956.3 and then the market fell back due to profit-taking in the late trading. The monthly line finally closed at 2859 and closed in an inverted hammer pattern with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market will have certain pressure to continue to adjust in early March. However, the large cyclical bullish pattern is complete and the trend is still bullish.
Gold CFDs at Critical Juncture: $2,800–$2,900 Range Dictates Xauusd "Gold" is bullish in long term but in short tem it will be more downward and short positions are strong we have to trade accordingly. As it has break the trend line and make some candles in downward so we have to take proper entry for short time.
Wait for a confirmed breakout/breakdown before committing to larger positions. Scalping is viable if price oscillates within the $2,800–$2,900 range.
Gold operation strategy, strong short-selling continues to push Gold bearish trend, have you seen the power of trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing that the weaker the bearish trend of gold, the stronger the trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the trend may end and turn to shock again. The hourly moving average of gold continues to cross the bearish arrangement downward and diverge. Gold continues to hit a recent low. The bearish trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. If the gold bulls do not make a strong counterattack, it is an opportunity for shorting. On the contrary, if the rebound is too large, it means that the gold bulls have begun to counterattack. At that time, be careful not to go short all at once. Gold rebounds to 2870-2880 and can still be shorted.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2872 and a gap below at 2846. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2901
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2921
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2950
BEARISH TARGETS
2846
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2820
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2778 - 2753
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD )
💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 2789.95 to 2772.38 could trigger a rebound.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 2893.51
💡 H1 Timeframe:
2879.11 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 2893.51
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XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Play – More Downside Expected?### **Title: GOLD | Bearish Retest at Key Resistance – More Downside Ahead?**
### **Analysis & Description:**
This **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** presents a clear **bearish structure**, with price currently testing a key **support-turned-resistance zone**. The downward trajectory suggests a **potential continuation to the downside** after a minor pullback.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break and Retest Pattern:**
- Price has **broken below** a critical support level and is now **retesting it as resistance** (marked by horizontal lines).
- This classic **bearish retest** setup suggests that sellers may step in to push prices lower.
2. **Two Possible Scenarios:**
- **Scenario 1 (Primary Bearish Case):**
- If price rejects this resistance, we could see **a strong continuation downward**, targeting **$2,820 – $2,780 levels**.
- This aligns with the **trend structure of lower highs and lower lows**.
- **Scenario 2 (Less Likely Bullish Case):**
- If bulls manage to reclaim and break above **$2,860**, we may see a short-term reversal, with the next resistance near **$2,880 – $2,900**.
3. **Trading Strategy:**
- **Short Setup:**
- Look for rejection signals at resistance (**$2,850 – $2,860**), such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks.
- Enter short positions with **stop-loss above $2,865**.
- Target price zones around **$2,820 – $2,780** for profit-taking.
- **Alternative Bullish Setup:**
- A confirmed breakout above **$2,860** could open the way for a short-term rally.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains **bearish**, and this current pullback into resistance could provide a **selling opportunity** if rejection confirms. However, traders should monitor key **economic news events** that could impact gold’s movement.
📉 **Do you think gold will continue dropping, or will bulls take control? Let me know in the comments!** 🚀
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
Continue to short gold after the reboundToday, the fluctuation space of gold was compressed and fluctuated in the range of 2844-2854. Because there was no breakthrough, there was no continuous market, so gold did not reach the rebound position I expected. Although gold did not reach the rebound position I expected, I shorted gold many times with the support near the 2855 position, and I made a good profit in the short-term level.
Then we will focus on the breakthrough of 2845-2850. If gold successfully breaks through, the market will definitely continue to a certain extent. We only need to follow the trend to trade gold. However, according to the current market, we should not be too bearish on gold. It is expected that gold will rebound first and then fall back when it encounters resistance. Focus on the resistance area of 2850-2865 above.
Friends who have already entered the bottom article have all obtained very good returns as long as they followed my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, if you want to get out of the gold long order, if you want to learn the latest trading thinking and trading logic, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to prevent losses from happening again and make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my bottom article!
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again.
Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800.
At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of 2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high.
Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25.
History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself.
Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise.
I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips.
See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Analysis February 27⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar (USD) gained positive traction for the second consecutive day amid a slight rise in US Treasury yields and a further move away from the lowest level since December 10. This, coupled with the generally positive risk sentiment, turned out to be a major factor exerting downward pressure on the precious metal.
However, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and trade war fears could continue to act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates further amid signs of a cooling US economy and growth concerns could limit losses for the non-yielding bullion. Traders may also opt to wait for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index due on Friday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is pushed below 2900 by the sellers. The current notable border zone is 2890 and 2905 when the candle closes above or below this border, it confirms the next trend and we can fomo when breaking out. Gold in the European session does not close above 2898, there is a high possibility of continuing to fall until the US session enters the market. The 2872 zone is considered an important support zone that can push gold prices from a long slide. Resistance when breaking the border is noted at 2920-2943.
Key Liquidity Zone in Play – Sniper Bounce to ATH? (XAU/USD)Alright GTK Family! 🏆
Here are our key zones for today:
🔹 4H Bullish OB Holding… For Now – Price is currently respecting our 4H Bullish OB, but the chances of breaking through aren’t slim considering the extreme bearish momentum from market open. 📉
🔹 Liquidity Grab & Bounce? – If price breaks below the OB, I expect a sweep of liquidity at the Feb 10 Weekly Low, followed by a strong push back up towards ATH. 💧🚀
🔹 Bearish Scenario? – If price rejects upwards, the next key resistance is the 4H Bearish FVG, which could be a selling opportunity, but it would be a riskier trade. ⚠️
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ 4H Bullish OB – Holding as support (for now) 🟢
✅ Feb 10 Weekly Low – Major liquidity zone 💧
❌ 4H Bearish FVG – Potential sell area, but risky 🔴
🎯 ATH Target – If bulls regain control 🚀
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 27.02.2025Trend Analysis:
The price is moving within a descending channel (marked by parallel dashed lines).
The price is near the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting a possible bounce upward.
Indicators Used:
Bollinger Bands:
The price touched the lower band, which might indicate an oversold condition and a potential reversal.
Moving Averages:
A short-term moving average (blue line) is following the price closely.
The price is below the moving average, confirming a bearish trend.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: ~2,868.82
Resistance: ~2,908.39
The price is currently around 2,887.19, showing signs of bouncing.
Trade Setup (Highlighted on the Chart):
Long Position (Buy Trade) Setup:
Entry: Near the lower trendline (around 2,884/87)
Stop Loss: Below support (~2,878)
Target Profit: Near the upper trendline (~2,908.39)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (green box indicates a good upside potential).
Trading Signal:
📈 Bullish Reversal Expected
If the price stays above the lower boundary and shows bullish momentum, a buy trade is valid.
If it breaks below the support, expect further downside movement.
JOURNAL FOR MGC1!Today I placed two trades on MGC1! my first entry was a sell scalp which was strictly a technical entry and the second was the buy back up because it goes with the bias of gold being bullish, and inflation fears, so for each trade Ive wait on a area of consolidation (order block) then wait on a break out in this case after that impulsive move to the downside on gold I waited for an area of support to form with rejections of pushing lower at this point an order block should start forming, I tend to get a better structure of an order block forming on the 5min, once a bullish engulfing to print above the last high then I take the trade, today I had no draw down my entry was precise!