Next week's ups and downs analysis and operation ideasGold closed with a long upper negative line in the weekly chart last week, and retreated to the lowest level of 3260 after being under pressure at the integer level of 3500. So can the decline continue next week?
First, let's look at a few weekend fundamental news: The Federal Reserve's financial report said that global trade wars and policy uncertainties are the biggest risks to financial stability, and have also led to concerns about the value of the US dollar in most countries. Secondly, the Federal Reserve officials made remarks that interest rates may be cut in June, and the geopolitical situation has become unstable, which has also provided some support for the price of gold in the short term.
Technical aspect: The bald positive line closed on Friday's 4-hour and 1-hour lines. If it opens flat at the beginning of the week, it is likely to continue the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm. Note: After the daily level suppressed the decline of 3500, it has been fluctuating in a large range for three consecutive trading days.
The upper and lower edges are relatively clear 3385-3260. According to the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm, the bullish momentum will basically be released before 10 o'clock. Therefore, if the market cannot continue to rise after 10:00 at the beginning of the week, the European session will continue to fluctuate downward. In particular, it cannot break through the upper edge of the daily oscillation cycle before 3385.
Operation: Open flat at the beginning of the week. Short-term support focuses on 3300. Strong support: 3260-70
Pressure level: Gains and losses of key pressure near 3385
Goldprediction
Trump's remarks may cause a stir in gold
💲Let's comment on the price of gold next week from April 28, 2025 to May 2, 2025
🌐World situation
Earlier, it was reported that China has exempted some US goods from tariffs, a development that has suppressed the safe-haven appeal of gold.
But on the 25th, US President Trump told reporters on Air Force One that unless China makes substantial concessions, it will not cancel the tariffs imposed on China. Over the past week, the US has continued to send confusing and even contradictory signals on the issue of tariffs on China, and market sentiment has deteriorated.
On the 26th, after a brief meeting between US President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky in the Vatican, both sides also sent "positive" signals.
Will the Russian-Ukrainian conflict usher in a turning point?
The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported later that day that fighting in the Kursk region was still ongoing. The Ukrainian army held its ground and used a variety of weapons to carry out effective firepower strikes on the enemy, causing losses to the Russian army. The Ukrainian General Staff stressed that the Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and that Russia's statement on the end of hostilities in the region was "purely propaganda in nature." The Ukrainian General Staff also said that fighting by the Ukrainian army in local areas of Belgorod Oblast is still ongoing.
The escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict may also increase safe-haven buying of gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Earlier this week, investors withdrew $1.27 billion from the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest single-day outflow since 2011. At the same time, gold prices hit an all-time high above $3,500, suggesting that there may be some profit-taking factors. In 2011, similar outflows coincided with the peak of gold's last super cycle, marking the beginning of a long period of consolidation for gold, which was not broken until 2020. But this does not guarantee that this will be a turning point, and there are still many positive factors at work, including trade uncertainty, safe-haven demand, central bank demand, and Wall Street's calls for further increases in spot gold prices.
Next week, the gold market will welcome the release of the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, US President Trump's 100th day rally on Tuesday may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3,500 mark again or continue to fall from 3,300.
🔷Technical aspect:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3357, $3498
Support: $3228, $3155
✔Operational suggestions
Short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of $3,330-3,350, you can try to short, with a target of $3,250 and a stop loss of $3,355.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price holds the support of $3,260, you can go long with a light position, with a target of $3,330 and a stop loss of $3,240.
Long-term investors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy trends and geopolitical situation. If the gold price falls back to below $3,200, consider investing in batches.
💥Risk Warning
Liquidity risk: Market trading may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly announce tariff policies or personnel changes at the Fed, triggering violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3,350, so be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
Next week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Fed policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the expected fluctuation range is $3,250-3,350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
XAUUSD is ready to FALL below ? 3100through my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it.
is it the time to retracement?
our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles.
if market again surpass 3360 then ready for the next new ATH above 3500.
secondly if any h4,D1 close below 3360 stay bearish side and our setup
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday, closing at 3316. Although the price of gold closed above 3300 this week, the trend of London gold prices this week can be described as ups and downs. Intraday transactions have fluctuated by nearly $100 many times. Under the situation of trade tensions, the market has a high risk aversion sentiment, pushing the international gold price above 3500. The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, may significantly reduce the demand for safe havens. Although this is not the base case in 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on my country may be reduced! The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the US dollar, which also hit gold prices. Next week, the gold market will welcome the release of the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, Trump's 100th day rally on Tuesday may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3,500 mark again or continue to fall from 3,300. In the short term, gold prices may face technical corrections and profit-taking pressures, and the $3,260-3,300 area will be the key battlefield for long and short tug-of-war.
Technical Review:
From the perspective of market sentiment, interest-free gold as a safe-haven asset has performed strongly this year, and its price has soared by nearly $700 and refreshed its historical high several times. However, the recent optimistic expectations of easing global economic and trade relations have boosted market risk appetite, and the equity market has generally performed positively. Some funds have flowed out of safe-haven assets such as gold and turned to risky assets, which is also the main psychological factor under pressure on gold prices. If the market risk appetite continues to improve, global economic and trade relations further ease, and the US dollar strengthens, gold prices may face greater downward pressure and will first test the $3,260 support. If it fails, it may drop to $3,225 or even challenge the $3,200 integer mark. In addition, if the US economic data performs strongly, the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut may further cool, which will also put pressure on gold prices. From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, gold prices rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The weekly gold line is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow line at a high level. If gold does not have the support of big bullish news in the short term, then gold will still be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. Overall, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold.
Analysis for next week:
In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking through key points, the subsequent market will most likely continue to sell. From the current market structure, the position of $3260 has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the selling trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to sell, but after gold bottomed out near the first-line support of 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is difficult to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and sell. The resistance of the gold 1-hour moving average is near 3354, and the top of the gold negative line on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still fluctuate and sell.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3275-3278, stop loss at 3267, target at 3310-3330;
Sell short-term gold at 3363-3366, stop loss at 3375, target at 3300-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3285, third support level: 3260
First resistance level: 3327, second resistance level: 3343, third resistance level: 3366
Tariffs have not eased. How will gold trend in the future?Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday to close at 3316.26. Earlier this week, gold rose to a record high of 3500. After Trump's statement on tariffs eased, the market rose to 3500 and investors chose to close their long positions. The lowest gold price this week fell to around 3260.
At the moment when tariffs are deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs have not reduced the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market. Next week, the gold market will usher in the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, next week's gathering of Trump's 100th day in office may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3500 mark again or continue to fall from 3300.
This week, the international gold price as a whole showed a high and then fell, with the opening price at $3332.96, the highest price at $3499.92, the lowest price at $3260.2, and the closing price at $3316.2. After such a pattern appears, it indicates that the gold cycle will face violent fluctuations.
Quide's analysis:
If international news helps short selling, it is possible for gold to fall to 3100 or fall below 3000. Therefore, we should remain vigilant next week and pay close attention to the geopolitical situation and news such as tariffs, so as to make a buying or selling decision for next week.
At present, the Bollinger Bands continue to close, and the short-term market continues to maintain a range consolidation until the Bollinger Bands reopen and choose a new direction.
Before the upward and downward ranges are broken, the intraday short-term operation adopts the range high-altitude low-multiple operation.
There is currently no international news and comments that can analyze the trading signals for next week; Quide will pay attention to news and comments that may affect the trend of the gold market at any time, so as to bring analysis and strategies to everyone at any time.
Every calm analysis by Quaid is a step towards success. In the gold market, please trust Quaid's professional analysis. It can help you stand at the top of the gold trading market.
Start of Wave-(b) and Neutral Triangle As I said in the second paragraph of the previous analysis, wave-(a) ended at 3500 and the gold price fell by 7% (over 2000 pips) and now wave-(b) has started.
1M Cash Data Chart
I think that a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle is forming, with the completion of wave(b) we can somewhat understand which pattern is forming.
Gold Uptrend ContinuesThe higher degree diametric wave-(E) is expanding and we can consider the recent price correction that started at $3167 as a small X-wave, as a result, gold can grow as a combination pattern to the range of 3600-3800 and even gold can touch $4000.
The second triangle pattern will probably be a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle, where the wave-(a) triangle can end at 3500 or 3600.
The factor that caused the expansion of the wave-(E) is the US-China trade war, which caused investors to rush to buy gold.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3343 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly!
After we got the close above 3297, the gap up to 3433 completed exactly as we had analysed. However, without a further close or lock above 3433, the rejection was confirmed with a wick, and price then found support above the channel top, just as we always highlight.
With EMA5 still holding above the channel top, we’re likely to continue seeing support and price action playing above the channel. This opens the door for another retest of 3433. However, if price breaks back inside the channel along with EMA5, the levels inside the channel will reactivate for level-to-level plays.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Quick update on our weekly chart idea, it's been playing out beautifully, helping us track the move down and catch the move back up.
After hitting our final channel top target at 3281, we mentioned we would look for support forming above the channel. That’s exactly what happened, with price finding support outside the channel and giving us the bounce we anticipated.
We also got a body close above 3281, which completed the gap up to 3387. From here, we'll be watching for continued support above the channel, a retest of 3387, and a close above it to confirm the continuation higher.
If we fail to retest and close above 3387, we’ll likely see a reset back to the channel top. Should that support fail, we would expect a break of the EMA5 back into the channel, resetting the play inside the channel with all previous levels back in play.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Trend Weekly Review Operation strategy layout for next weekWhat news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil? How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?
Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday, closing at 3316.26. Although the price of gold finally closed above 3300 this week, the trend of gold prices this week can be described as ups and downs. The intraday transactions fluctuated by nearly $100 many times. Under the situation of trade tensions, the market was risk-averse, pushing the price of gold above 3500. After Trump's unilateral statement on tariffs eased, coupled with the 3500 mark, investors closed their long positions, and the lowest price of gold fell to around 3260 during the week. At the moment when tariffs were deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs did not reduce the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market and the volatility of gold prices. So far this year, gold has risen by more than 25%. Trump's repeated changes in his criticism of Powell this week are also a major factor driving the sharp fluctuations in gold prices. U.S. President Trump said on Monday that the U.S. economy may slow down unless interest rates are lowered immediately, and criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again. Powell said that interest rates should not be cut until it is clearer that Trump's tariff plan will not lead to a sustained surge in inflation.
The ADP employment report, known as the "small non-farm", will also be released next Wednesday, along with the latest PCE inflation and consumption data. The crucial core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.1% month-on-month in March, and the year-on-year growth rate will slow from the previous value of 2.8% to 2.5%; personal consumption is expected to maintain a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, indicating that US household consumption remains strong. However, the real focus will be the non-farm payrolls report scheduled for release next Friday, and speculation is currently very intense about when the Fed will cut interest rates. Non-farm payrolls growth is expected to slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, and the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.2%. Average wages may increase by 0.3% month-on-month in April. The disappointing non-farm payrolls, coupled with weak core PCE data, may reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June rather than July, but for May, the market generally expects the Fed to remain on hold. From a macro-trend perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, as real yields may continue to fall against the backdrop of the Fed's accommodative policy. But in the short term, if positive news about tariffs continues to come, gold prices may fall further as the market is re-adjusting expectations. In the long run, structural positive factors still exist, and emerging markets have further room for adjustment in the composition of foreign exchange reserves, and may gradually move closer to the reserve structure of developed countries in the future. Fed officials said they are not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy, and further observation is still needed to determine how the Trump administration's tariff policy affects the US economy.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, with a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about 3368-3370 US dollars), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like yesterday. The upward mode started in the Asian session, rising all the way to around 3370 US dollars. However, it encountered strong resistance here and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that on Friday, the gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by the European and American sessions yesterday, and rebounded after reaching the lowest point of 3265 US dollars.
From the current market structure, the position of 3260 US dollars has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the short trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current situation, there are two Yins enclosing Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3370 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3265-3260 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Interpretation of ideas after gold opensTechnical pattern: This week, gold closed in a "shooting star" pattern, which is a common peak signal, indicating that the price of gold may face a correction or decline.
Influence of news: This week, affected by Trump's tariffs and dismissal of Powell, gold first hit a record high of 3500 due to its safe-haven properties. Then Trump's remarks changed, and the price of gold plunged from the high point to around 3260. Overall, it ended in a volatile situation under the uncertainty of tariffs, Powell's stay and interest rate cuts. If there are no new safe-haven factors in the market news, there is room for further decline in the price of gold.
Short-term trend analysis
Four-hour level: After the safe-haven, the price of gold rebounded at the low point of 3260, but was unable to continue near 3370. It is believed that the high-level selling repair and low-level buying intervention have affected it. The opening of the gold price next week may continue to fall.
Hourly level: Since the decline in the price of gold, the rebound strength has been insufficient. It rebounded twice near 3260 below, and the overall center of gravity was downward before crossing 3380. Next week, pay attention to the 3330-3346 range to determine the nature of the rebound at the end of this week. At the same time, pay attention to whether 3260 can be broken. If there is a break, you can look down to 3221.
Operational suggestions: Overall, the overall idea for next week will continue to be bearish. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3330-3346 range on the top, and try to go short if it is touched; the initial support below is 3260, and the bearish trend can continue to 3221-3219 if it breaks.
Suggestions for being stuck at high positions: For investors who are standing guard at high positions, if they can withstand the pullback of gold prices, they can continue to hold and wait for the return of their capital; if not, it is recommended to recognize the loss and leave the market first, and then enter the market after the gold price has adjusted to the right level.
Bullish Setup on Gold: Correction hints continuation opportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction within the overall uptrend , allowing the market to potentially reset before continuing its upward trajectory within the ascending channel.
This pullback is offering a potential re-entry point for buyers, if key support levels hold. This would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,680 price, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king".
After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it.
Quaid's analysis:
Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term.
In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends.
The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold.
There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis.
Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart Analysis – Textbook Reversal Setup Unfolding 📈✨
Traders, let's break down what's happening on the Gold 4-hour chart right now because this is a very high-probability setup you’ll want on your radar.
🧠 What We're Seeing:
After a strong bullish rally, Gold topped around $3,500, followed by a sharp corrective move downward.
Price retraced back into a key demand zone (highlighted by the big black rectangle), where we are seeing repeated price rejections and buying pressure coming back in.
Notice how price respected this demand zone multiple times, forming a double-bottom-like structure — this indicates that bulls are actively defending this area.
We are also seeing a minor break of structure on lower timeframes (small bullish impulse inside the box), which is an early sign that momentum might be shifting back to the upside.
🛡 Key Levels:
Demand Zone: $3,260 – $3,280
Immediate Support: $3,280
Current Price: Around $3,319
Next Major Resistance: The previous highs near $3,500
📈 Trading Outlook:
As long as the price holds above the $3,260–$3,280 zone, the bias remains bullish.
We are looking for a breakout confirmation (higher highs and higher lows) to confirm momentum before loading up heavier.
Targeting a full recovery back towards $3,500 in the coming sessions.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Entry Area: Dips near the $3,280 support zone.
Stop-Loss: Below the demand zone (around $3,250 for safety).
Take-Profits: TP1: $3,400 TP2: $3,460 TP3: $3,500 (full recovery)
🔥 Key Takeaway:
This is a classic buy-the-dip setup inside a major bullish structure.
The risk-reward is extremely attractive at these levels — the market is offering an opportunity for those who are prepared.
Stay patient, wait for confirmations, and execute the plan smartly.
Let’s get ready to capitalize on this move! 🚀
And follow me for more analysis
Gold ended successfully, Where will the market go next week?The idea of keeping gold short at a high level is that after the winning streak of gold ended, gold continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. If there is no opportunity, then it will end early and rest. After all, it is Friday. After a hard week, it is time to rest. The news on the weekend has changed a lot, and it is full of uncertainty. Gold rebounded again in the second half of the night, which seems to be strong, but has gold reversed? It is too early to say now.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at the first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is hard to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and be short. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and short trend.
The weekly line of gold is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow at a high level. If there is no big bullish news to support gold in the short term, gold will be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. On the whole, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold.
The market is changing rapidly and confusing. Sometimes we cannot be confused by the illusion in front of us. Only by not being afraid of the clouds blocking our eyes can we see clearly behind the market. Before gold reverses, it is still bearish in the short term. It is light to follow the trend and messy to go against the trend. The market is always right. Going against the market will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. Don't have any fluke mentality in the face of the trend. The market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Next week's operation ideas: short gold 3350-60, target 3310-3300;
Gold fluctuates in a range and corrects sideways! Trend AnalysisAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like Thursday, and the Asian session started to pull up and rise all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after reaching a minimum of $3,265.
From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current form, there are two Yins enveloping Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3380 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is recommended to be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3265-3260. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3368-3370, target near 3300-3285, and look at the 3260 line when it breaks.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3265-3270, target around 3290-3330, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks.