Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup with High Reward-to-Risk Ratio1. Entry Point Zone: Around 3,271.79 USD
This is identified as a potential buy entry area, marked in purple.
2. Stop Loss: Below the entry point at 3,257.71 USD
Risk management level in case the trade moves against the setup.
3. Target Point One: Between 3,313.75 and 3,317.07 USD
A short-term take-profit level, likely based on previous resistance.
4. Final Target (EA Target Point): Around 3,373.04 USD
A more ambitious take-profit, possibly based on a major resistance level or Fibonacci extension.
5. Trade Range:
Risk: 3,271.79 - 3,257.71 = 14.08 USD
Reward to First Target: ~42 USD
Goldpreis
Is gold's safe-haven appeal waning or is it gathering momentum?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 30), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,318 per ounce. London gold prices fell 0.8% on Tuesday, and Trump said that China will absorb the new tariff shock. The weak labor market and consumer confidence data in the United States have raised market expectations for policy easing. This has put pressure on the price of safe-haven asset gold, while the US dollar has taken the opportunity to rebound.With the PCE inflation data and non-farm payrolls report about to be released, the market has entered a critical game period. On the one hand, the easing of tariffs has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold; on the other hand, signs of economic slowdown have strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut. In the short term, the rebound in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices; but if this week's data confirms the risk of a recession, the Fed may be forced to turn, and then international gold may usher in a new round of outbreaks! The current market sentiment shows a clear contradictory state. On the one hand, concerns about global trade tensions drive safe-haven demand, and on the other hand, expectations that the United States may ease its trade policy trigger profit-taking. This trading day will usher in the US first quarter GDP data and March PCE data, which are likely to be the winners and losers of the next trend of gold.
Technical Review:
Gold hit 3500 and began to fall. The current low is temporarily at 3260. The daily cycle has failed to break down after three trading days of testing. The pattern is a Yin-Yang line conversion, and it is a very obvious wide-range oscillation market. This trend should not be chased. The market has no continuity and is just going back and forth. The gold daily line has been alternating between Yin and Yang for 5 consecutive trading days, maintaining a wide range of oscillations. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart moving averages are glued together, the RSI stops and maintains the middle axis, and the Bollinger Bands gradually close, forming a box range oscillation of 3265/3385. The trading idea is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price to participate in the short-term.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate. The data in the second half of the week is dense. Gold is likely to wait for data to break through. It maintains a fluctuating trend before the data. Gold continues to rise and fall in the early trading. The rebound is still under pressure. Today's small non-agricultural data is also a key node for gold trading. So if gold chooses a direction, don't be obsessed. Gold continues to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the fluctuation range begins to narrow, which means that it is getting closer to a change. Gold is still fluctuating downward. Gold once again hit 3328 in the Asian session and fell under pressure. Tonight's small non-agricultural data, if gold breaks through the fluctuation today, then follow up at that time.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3298-3302, stop loss at 3290, target at 3330-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3275, third support level: 3260
First resistance level: 3340, second resistance level: 3355, third resistance level: 3373
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid.
Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold.
On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure.
However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market.
Current trend analysis:
The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall.
Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart: Long Setup Targeting 3,500 with Key Support Entry Point: Suggested near 3,301.51 USD (marked with the purple support zone).
Stop Loss Zone: Below 3,266.87 to 3,221.67 USD (marked in blue and purple). This is where you limit your loss if the trade goes wrong.
First Target (Target Point One): 3,376.65 USD.
Final Target (EA Target Point): 3,523.55 USD (~8.26% potential gain from entry).
Main Setup Idea:
The price is consolidating around the support zone.
There's a plan to buy (go long) at the purple zone (Entry Point) and aim for the two target points
Gold moves sideways ahead of US GDP news. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD Optimism about US trade talks with major partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury released a report that talks with India made good progress, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also boosted the dollar. Meanwhile, traders are on the sidelines ahead of the release of US first quarter GDP data. If the data is weak, gold as a safe haven asset may rise sharply. Therefore, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially in the context of market rebalancing at the end of April.
Currently, as part of the current momentum and correction, Quaid expects gold prices to rise from the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci area. Gold prices may test 3325-3330 in the consolidation range and then resume the correction.
Resistance: 3325, 3350, 3370
Support: 3290, 3270
Traders please wait for the resolution of the tariff dispute and the economic data to be released tomorrow. However, during price consolidation, Quaid expects the price to bounce off the support levels. If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, giving priority to the support level, the possibility of breaking out of the consolidation bottom may increase.
Gold------Buy near 3302, target 3319-3350Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's gold fluctuations were actually in line with our expectations. The 3291 sell price we planned in the Asian session was hit. We followed the buy orders in the European and American sessions and made a lot of profit. The buy orders were very exaggerated and reached 3352. This is the market. We must respect the market. The fluctuation range is very large. The daily line and the pattern finally closed with a hammer candle pattern, and the lower shadow line is very long. Let's take a look at the 4H pattern, which shows that it has been a large fluctuation in the high range. The fluctuation range is 3370-3258. The structural fluctuation is very obvious. The direction will appear after the structure is broken. Today, let's take a look at its fluctuation direction. The Asian session directly plunged. We should not rush to take over. The market in the past two days is that it is easy to die if we take over the big support. If we want to take over, we also need to look at stabilization and 2 steps. We try to follow the direction of the hour level directly, rather than the direction of the daily line. The big market is 20 points in one hour.
Technical analysis:
The daily moving average begins to hover, and the weekly and monthly lines will show directions this week. The weekly tombstone top is still there. If the closing price is negative this week, then the gold below will continue to fall and continue to dive. There is no big news about the short-term tariff policy. Gold needs a technical retracement. In today's Asian session, we will focus on the support of 3302. Let's see if it stabilizes at this position. If it stabilizes, there will be fluctuations and rebounds. The pressure around 3352 is today.
Support 3302, strong at 3280, suppress 3333 and 3352, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3310
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday. In addition, continue to pay attention to the situation of the US dollar and the changes in tariff policies.
Operational suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3302, target 3319-3350
Gold plunged $36 during Asian trading hours. What's the reason?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,310/ounce, a plunge of $36 during the day.
In the optimistic market sentiment, the recovery of US dollar demand seems to put downward pressure on gold prices.
Quaid believes that optimism about the possible progress in trade negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners supports risk appetite, boosts the performance of the US dollar against major currency competitors, and gold sellers are trying to regain control.
The Wall Street Journal said that weakening the impact of auto tariffs is the latest concession of Trump's trade policy after market turmoil and fierce lobbying by companies and other countries.
Looking ahead to this trading day, trade headlines and the re-adjustment of positions at the end of the month will play a key role in driving gold prices.
Trading analysis:
From a technical point of view, gold prices are currently trying to break down again after failing to confirm a break below the three-week rising channel on Monday. However, as the 14-day relative strength index is still above the midline, any decline in gold prices may be quickly bought.
During Asian trading hours, gold must close at the rising trend line support of $3,300/oz to confirm a break below the rising channel. Long-term important support for gold prices is in the $3,260/oz area.
If gold prices continue to fall below the above level, a new downward trend towards the $2,975 area will begin.
If buyers defend the above channel support of $3,300/oz, a rebound to the static resistance of $3,370/oz will be inevitable. If gold prices continue to recover, the target will be $3,400/oz, followed by the historical high of $3,500/oz.
The market is currently in a state of sideways fluctuations. I hope Quaid's analysis can help all traders understand the trend of gold in depth.
Gold's counterattack? Today's market analysisGold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the short term, so the short-term adjustment of gold may end.
Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the 1-hour, and the 1-hour moving average has also begun to gradually turn. If it can turn upward and form a golden cross, then the 1-hour bulls of gold will exert their strength again. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold in the U.S. market once again broke through and rose, and finally broke through Monday's high. Then the first-line suppression of gold near 3335 did not form effective resistance. When gold fell back in the Asian market, we first followed the trend and went long. Gold quickly bottomed out at 3320 first-line support in early trading and then rebounded quickly. Then gold should only be operated in the short term or go long on dips.
Operation ideas:
Short-term long: 3310-3315 long, stop loss 3300, target 3350-3370;
Short-term short: 3350-3360 short, stop loss 3365, target, 3315-3310;
Friends, don’t be afraid of missing the market, wait patiently for your own opportunity, the market will never neglect those who are prepared.
3360 neckline is being tested!
📊Comment Analysis
Short-term short positions need to rebound further and confirm the signal before following. After the US market breaks through the 3360 defense point, it is temporarily not possible to continue to be bearish. The US market will first look at the rebound, and then make further arrangements after approaching the 3360 line.
💰Strategy Package
Long positions:
The US market temporarily enters the market to go long when gold falls back to around 3297-3310 US dollars. Target 3340, stop loss 3345.
Gold short-term profit is more fun
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
India accused Pakistan of sheltering terrorist organizations, and Pakistan denied it and accused India of instigating separatist activities in Pakistan (such as Balochistan). The situation is difficult to control.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Market bullish sentiment cools down
📊 Commentary analysis
According to the trend of gold in the Asian and European sessions, the trading signals derived from technical analysis have helped many people achieve short-term victories.
🔷 Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3330-3292, and is currently around $3324.
✔Operational suggestions, short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
Short strategy: If gold falls back to the range of 3330-3350, you can enter the market to short, target 3270, stop loss 3355
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
Gold's second bottoming out shows a range, Layout direction!Gold fell back after reaching a high this week, and the highest reached 3500, which was under pressure. The weekly line finally closed with a Yin cross star. It is expected to be a wide sweep range next week, and the overall range will remain at 3370-3260. After breaking through, it will follow the trend. The daily line has bottomed out and rebounded, and the rebound strength is also strong. Finally, it closed with a long lower shadow Yin line. The repeated sweep of hundreds of points is still the main tone. There is no clear direction signal. The upper pressure is around 3348. If the rebound continues at the opening next week, pay attention to this position. If it breaks through, look at 3370-80. Pay attention to the support below 3288 and 3260. Treat it as a shock in operation, and try to participate in the band near the key position!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3285-95, and look at 3325 and 3248! Shorting is possible if the upper 3248 pressure is not broken!
Gold Trend Weekly Review Operation strategy layout for next weekWhat news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil? How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?
Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday, closing at 3316.26. Although the price of gold finally closed above 3300 this week, the trend of gold prices this week can be described as ups and downs. The intraday transactions fluctuated by nearly $100 many times. Under the situation of trade tensions, the market was risk-averse, pushing the price of gold above 3500. After Trump's unilateral statement on tariffs eased, coupled with the 3500 mark, investors closed their long positions, and the lowest price of gold fell to around 3260 during the week. At the moment when tariffs were deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs did not reduce the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market and the volatility of gold prices. So far this year, gold has risen by more than 25%. Trump's repeated changes in his criticism of Powell this week are also a major factor driving the sharp fluctuations in gold prices. U.S. President Trump said on Monday that the U.S. economy may slow down unless interest rates are lowered immediately, and criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again. Powell said that interest rates should not be cut until it is clearer that Trump's tariff plan will not lead to a sustained surge in inflation.
The ADP employment report, known as the "small non-farm", will also be released next Wednesday, along with the latest PCE inflation and consumption data. The crucial core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.1% month-on-month in March, and the year-on-year growth rate will slow from the previous value of 2.8% to 2.5%; personal consumption is expected to maintain a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, indicating that US household consumption remains strong. However, the real focus will be the non-farm payrolls report scheduled for release next Friday, and speculation is currently very intense about when the Fed will cut interest rates. Non-farm payrolls growth is expected to slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, and the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.2%. Average wages may increase by 0.3% month-on-month in April. The disappointing non-farm payrolls, coupled with weak core PCE data, may reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June rather than July, but for May, the market generally expects the Fed to remain on hold. From a macro-trend perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, as real yields may continue to fall against the backdrop of the Fed's accommodative policy. But in the short term, if positive news about tariffs continues to come, gold prices may fall further as the market is re-adjusting expectations. In the long run, structural positive factors still exist, and emerging markets have further room for adjustment in the composition of foreign exchange reserves, and may gradually move closer to the reserve structure of developed countries in the future. Fed officials said they are not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy, and further observation is still needed to determine how the Trump administration's tariff policy affects the US economy.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, with a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about 3368-3370 US dollars), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like yesterday. The upward mode started in the Asian session, rising all the way to around 3370 US dollars. However, it encountered strong resistance here and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that on Friday, the gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by the European and American sessions yesterday, and rebounded after reaching the lowest point of 3265 US dollars.
From the current market structure, the position of 3260 US dollars has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the short trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current situation, there are two Yins enclosing Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3370 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3265-3260 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Gold ended successfully, Where will the market go next week?The idea of keeping gold short at a high level is that after the winning streak of gold ended, gold continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. If there is no opportunity, then it will end early and rest. After all, it is Friday. After a hard week, it is time to rest. The news on the weekend has changed a lot, and it is full of uncertainty. Gold rebounded again in the second half of the night, which seems to be strong, but has gold reversed? It is too early to say now.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at the first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is hard to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and be short. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and short trend.
The weekly line of gold is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow at a high level. If there is no big bullish news to support gold in the short term, gold will be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. On the whole, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold.
The market is changing rapidly and confusing. Sometimes we cannot be confused by the illusion in front of us. Only by not being afraid of the clouds blocking our eyes can we see clearly behind the market. Before gold reverses, it is still bearish in the short term. It is light to follow the trend and messy to go against the trend. The market is always right. Going against the market will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. Don't have any fluke mentality in the face of the trend. The market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Next week's operation ideas: short gold 3350-60, target 3310-3300;
Gold fluctuates in a range and corrects sideways! Trend AnalysisAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like Thursday, and the Asian session started to pull up and rise all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after reaching a minimum of $3,265.
From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current form, there are two Yins enveloping Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3380 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is recommended to be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3265-3260. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3368-3370, target near 3300-3285, and look at the 3260 line when it breaks.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3265-3270, target around 3290-3330, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks.
Gold is under pressure and falls again Short again on rebound!Gold rebounded weakly during the European session, and fell twice during the US session, with the lowest price dropping to 3265. However, even though it is extremely weak at present, it is not recommended to blindly chase the short position. The support below is 3260, which is the previous low point and is close to the volatility limit. Instead, you can try short-term long positions with a light position. The short-term pressure above is maintained at 3306, and the breakthrough will gradually reach 3315 and 3328!
Operational suggestions: Gold is short near 3310-20, and look at 3300 and 3280! Long positions can be made if the support below 3260 is not broken!
Market trend analysis and unique operation layoutTechnical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The upward mode started during the Asian session, rising all the way to around $3,370, but encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after the lowest point fell to $3,265.
In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking down key points, the subsequent market is likely to consider the idea of swinging and shorting. From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the 4-hour chart, the intraday rebound is under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3260. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track currently moving down to 3338. Relying on these two pressures, there is still room for further decline in the short term, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260, so you can try to buy the bottom with a light position for the first time. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Oscillating downward! The bearish trend is beginning to emerge!【Gold Analysis】
Interpretation of news: The current market presents a "three-legged" pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark. The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. In terms of the trade war, the situation is not as good as Trump's remarks. The Asian giant issued a solemn statement on Thursday, emphasizing that if the US is sincere about solving the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be immediately cancelled. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
The current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. On the one hand, Finance Minister Bensont's statement that the trade confrontation may continue has triggered a rise in risk aversion; on the other hand, the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates has provided fundamental support for gold. This complex psychology is the main reason why the price of gold fluctuates in the range of 3260-3500 US dollars. There is one last trading day this week. Let's see how this week ends.
From the daily chart of gold, after the exaggerated reversal in the middle of the week, the current price of gold has not only lost the important support of 3350, but also formed an obvious bearish evening star in terms of shape, which means that there may be further correction space in the future. In addition, at this stage, the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 have been broken one after another, so it is not ruled out that they will continue to move closer to MA20, but their position is still below 3200.
From the 4-hour chart of gold, although it once fell nearly 200 US dollars from the high, the price of gold gradually stood firm yesterday and began to fluctuate and rebound. It has now returned to above 3270. However, given that the moving average group is in a sticky state and the MACD indicator is adjusted to near the 0 axis, the short-term long and short competition may become more intense. Therefore, it is recommended to keep selling high and buying low as the main strategy, which is more stable. Pay attention to the resistance of 3370-3375 on the top and the support of 3285-3280 on the bottom;
Investment strategy: short gold at 3310-3320, target 3265.
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations! Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: This week, gold prices fluctuated, opening at 3332. So far, the high is 3500 US dollars and the low is 3260 US dollars. On Monday, it soared by 100 US dollars. On Tuesday, it continued to rise to 3500 highs in the Asian session and then fell back. On Tuesday and Wednesday, it plummeted by nearly 240 US dollars. The volatility slowed down on Thursday. The overall intraday fluctuations remained within 3367-3288. Today, the weekly line closed. The weekly line will compete for the closing of the Yin-Yang cross K line. The short-term is more intense. From the consolidation on Thursday, there is no further decline, which also leaves room and suspense for today's weekly closing. If the weekly line closes lower, it is expected to adjust further next week. Pay attention to the closing strength and weakness of the weekly K line this week.
Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The Asian session started the upward mode, rising all the way to around 3370 US dollars. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low hit in yesterday's European and American sessions, falling to a low of US$3,287 before rebounding.
In view of the important trend of gold price breaking the key point, the market will most likely continue the short-selling idea in the future. From the current market structure, the position of $3260 has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the short-selling trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment.
From the hourly level, yesterday's low was at $3306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3315, and the upper level is $3328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3315 to arrange a short order and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3285-3260 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebound near 3310-3320, target near 3290-3285, break to see 3260 line.
Gold pullback near 3270-3260 long, target near 3290-3310, break to see 3330 line.
Falling into range oscillation, just get the rhythm pointAnalysis of gold market trend
On Thursday, the gold price remained in the 4H channel, and the middle and lower tracks were in the range of 3370-3260, with overall resistance to decline and correction; this trend is also normal;
1: In the early stage, the market fluctuated rapidly with a hundred points rise and fall, and the kinetic energy consumption was large, so the short-term trend returned to the consolidation trend later;
2: The fundamentals stopped, the technical demand was corrected, and the two resonated, and the gold price could only fluctuate and consolidate in the range; the analysis framework given yesterday was treated according to two intervals; they were 3370-3260 and 3370-3480; the strong and weak dividing point was 3370 above and below;
We can also see that at the position of 3370, the gold price has been under pressure for 2 consecutive times and fell for 2 consecutive times; it can be seen that the strong and weak dividing point of the position above and below 3370!
At present, the market:
1: Trend: There is no trend for the time being, and the range is high, the large range is 3480-3260; the bull trend is stagnant, and the bear trend stops falling. The trend cannot be judged for the time being;
2: Fundamentals, the future fundamentals will focus on the US debt crisis, trade war tariffs, and subsequent war issues, two core things; and uncertain fundamentals
Today's market:
1: 4 hours, the stochastic indicator golden cross, the main long signal; in terms of form, slow bull rise; the current pressure position of the central axis is near 3370, and the probability of breaking upward is relatively high; therefore, the 4-hour can be treated as a shock rise; but the overall situation remains in the large range of 3480-3260!
2: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator diverges periodically, and the death cross is downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the high-level sell-off forms a sideways resistance to the decline, and the sideways support is in the range of 3280-3260; the MACD double-line golden cross is glued, and there is no death cross; the indicators in the daily K-line are contradictory, so the long and short trends are difficult to continue, and more range oscillations and high-level consolidation signals are given;
To sum up: Today's short message is still processed according to the 4-hour range; 3370-3260 range and 3370-3480 range; if it stabilizes at 3370, the range processing will be changed; you can take a pullback to do more, and bet on the 4-hour range oscillation upward, and gradually break through the position of 3370;
Gold remains volatile, good opportunity for two-way operation
💹Fundamental analysis
Recently, many Fed officials have called for patience.
Regarding tariffs, they have repeatedly emphasized that although the increase in import costs has pushed up prices, the high prices are caused by shrinking consumption, declining employment and shrinking family wealth.
The final inflation increase may be lower than market expectations.
Is the current Fed in a dilemma?
On the one hand, we need to guard against economic downturn, and on the other hand, we need to be vigilant about inflation caused by tariff policies.
📊Comment analysis
On Thursday, the gold price rose rapidly to $3,365 in the Asian session, and then the European and American sessions were dominated by fluctuations. The current market fluctuations are not large, mainly based on corrections. This is also a temporary rest since the gold price plummeted from $3,500, giving everyone the opportunity and time to reorganize their ideas.
In addition, gold hit $3,370 again in the Asian session today. Recently, the Asian session is obviously larger than the European and American sessions. The main fluctuations are collectively in the Asian session. Whether this rebound will form a reversal depends on the breakthrough of $3,385. The bull market in the big direction has not encountered a breakout. What we need to pay attention to every day is the current intraday fluctuations, not the medium- and long-term layout.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3,300 points, with a profit target of around 3,340 points
Short position:
Actively participate at around 3,360 points, with a profit target of around 3,320 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 5-10% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How to break through the gold shock patternOperation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level near 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the position of 3380. Once it breaks through, it will open up the space leading to the 3400 mark.
From the daily chart of gold, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body Yin line K-line pattern. The peak pattern of the previous price high is more obvious, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further correction in the short term. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet. You can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving average. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has been fluctuating and falling since it came under pressure at the 3500 level. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 level, with a short-term decline of 240 US dollars. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator has issued a dead cross signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
Gold fell after rising in the Asian session, and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trends. In the big trend, the gold rally did not exceed 3380, so there is still a downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367. Now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper side is the support-to-resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for the area near 3345 to go short and see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3280 support.
Gold fluctuates and is under pressure, the trend is bearish!Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold fell by $240 in two trading days, but the rebound was also very strong, from yesterday's low of 3260 to 3367 in the early trading. The current volatility is still large, and the high and low points of $100 often appear. It is normal to fluctuate by dozens of dollars at random. So pay attention to the market. There is no shortage of opportunities. Just grab what you can grasp.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's closing was negative, slightly piercing the MA10 moving average, and losing the trend support line mentioned yesterday. Originally, today's technical theory should continue to be under pressure from the MA5-day, and the rebound confirmed that trend line, which can continue to be bearish, that is, 3338-40; but today's Asian session saw a strong wave of upward rush, reaching 3367 directly, which was quite unexpected. It was basically stimulated by short-term risk aversion news, and then it began to rise and fall, and then returned to below 3340; as long as the closing cannot break through and stand above the MA5-day resistance, it is still in a downward adjustment; today, it is still bearish, and the gold layout long orders were successfully harvested at 3316. Gold rebounded to 3343 and continued to be short. Gold fell again and harvested, and won two consecutive victories again. At present, the gold rebound is limited, and the US market rebound is still short.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, so the moving average has not turned upward, so there is still downward momentum, and the rebound can continue to be shorted. After the Asian session hit a high and fell, gold rebounded several times and fell back under pressure near 3345. The US session rebounded below 3345 and continued to be shorted. It can still be shorted near the rebound of 3340. At present, gold is just a rebound. If there is no special risk-averse news, it is still difficult to go up directly. At least it must fluctuate first, and it is still bearish and volatile now. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold still has the risk of adjustment in the short termAnalysis of gold market trend:
From the daily level, gold rose strongly during the trading session on Tuesday, touched the key price of 3500, then fell under pressure and finally closed with a negative line. This trend of rising and falling shows that the selling pressure from above is heavy, and the bulls are strongly blocked by the bears at high levels. Then, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed with a negative line again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive negative lines. This continuous decline further confirms that the short-term bears are dominant.
From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a fluctuating decline since it was under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line at its lowest, and the short-term decline has reached 240 US dollars. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross change signal, suggesting that the callback trend may have started. Pay attention to the pressure effect of the 3368 line during the day. For the current market, the rebound is just a flash in the pan, and it rebounded sharply again, reaching the highest point near 3367 and then retreated. It is currently maintained near 3330. In fact, the market is actually at a loss for long and short positions, and is simply unable to withstand its huge shocks. For the Asian session's highs and falls, we support it according to the shock retracement. For example, if the European session rebounds again near 3358-60, we will continue to try to short, with the target at 3320-10, and a loss of 3370. The market amplitude is so drastic that I need to strictly implement good operating habits, try with a light position, strictly stop loss, and don't have a fluke mentality! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3285. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.