Gold opening rise and fall prediction?The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
Goldpriceaction
GOLD Possible bearish movesGOLD Weekly Outlook – Waiting for a Clean Entry
My focus this week on gold is based around the recent mitigation of the 3H supply zone. It was a clean setup, but unfortunately I didn’t get tapped in — and with it being late Friday, I decided to wait for a better entry, potentially on Monday.
As bullish pressure begins to weaken, I’m also keeping an eye on the 4H supply zone above, which could offer a stronger bearish reaction and a better opportunity to sell.
On the flip side, for any potential bullish continuation, I can see price sweeping the liquidity sitting below and then reacting from the 5H demand zone I’ve marked out. That area could provide the base for a re-accumulation and another move to the upside.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Clear bearish reaction from the 3H supply zone with a completed Wyckoff distribution
- Liquidity to the downside remains untapped
- Weakening bullish momentum opens room for a possible sell-off
- DXY is showing short-term bullish strength, supporting a bearish bias on gold
P.S. If price reverses and takes out the current supply zone, I’ll be watching the next 4H supply zone for further reaction — but in the meantime, I’ll adapt by monitoring for a closer demand zone setup.
Have a great trading week ahead and stay sharp, traders!
Is GOLD still rising star? XAUUSD AnalysisHello everyone!
i Want share my idea about gold price action.
End of April we had some correction but beginning of May it still has buyer and why? at global market we see still misunderstanding, America and China still talk about rates, final talk will be soon between that to giant country, Russia-Ukraine war plus we have very hard situation between India and Pakistan, everyone was expecting peace, after trump inauguration, but how we see we are still far, no one knows what will be next and for big investors gold is safest place to invest money. If we look at gold for long term we can see it has pretty strong bull run.
For me i have other view - China and America will deal about rates, which will give market better view, i think before it will happen, Gold will test new High, where it will find sellers and from there we will have 2 quarter Bearish trend. New high will be between 3500 - 3550, also if we look at Dollar index (DXY) at 1D chart it found buyers and slowly showing reversal, but don't forget 1W chart because there we had 1W consolidation from 2023 and the last fall was stronger than other falls, at technical it tested weekly Fair Value Gap, but i cant see any reason yet for fall.
I think Gold will show us new high which will be between 3500 - 3550 and then we will get bearish trend and we will see correlation with dollar and dollar will start bullish trend.
With technical i will use simple technic, gold tested today daily fair value gap and it got strong reaction, we have resistance + 2h FVG but for me it will be not hard for gold to brake it.
This analysis is from my experience, i am not financial advisor.
FOR COLLABORATION TEXT ME !
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH !
Gold waiting for TomorrowThe sell signal was issued on the last candle when the red zone broke down. But I don't know how it will react to the green support zone in a short distance.
If I insist on trading, I will enter a short sell trade at the opening of the next candle with a short stop loss above the red zone and I will be alert to the price reaction to the green zone.
Will gold fall? Here comes the latest analysis.Technical analysis:
Gold fell rapidly in the morning and then bottomed out and rebounded. When the price broke through $3,324, it began to rise. The weak market will not rebound significantly. When the rebound that engulfed the decline appears, it will continue to rise. However, it should be noted that gold has been fluctuating at a high level for a week. It rose sharply on Monday and Tuesday, fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and it is still fluctuating sharply today.
For the current trading market, I think the price of gold will continue to rise in the fluctuation. After the hourly cycle breaks through the $3,324 position, the market will gradually increase today, and there is room for further upward continuation. I think short-term trading is still mainly long; after the rebound high, you can choose a short strategy.
Action suggestions:
Long strategy: Go long at US$3330, stop loss at US$3320, and take profit at US$3360-3370.
Short strategy: short at $3,365, stop loss at $3,380, take profit at $3,300-3,310.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets 3282, 3343 and 3404 yesterday; we stated that no further cross and lock above 3404 confirmed the rejection and that price will find support at lower Goldturns for the bounces.
- This played out perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. Price found support at 3282 Goldturn and gave the weighted bounce just like we analysed.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold prices face substantial short-term suppression
📌 Bearish drivers
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded from a multi-day low in early Asian trading, and are now at the psychological level of $3,300. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, heightened tensions in the Middle East, and renewed frictions on the India-Pakistan border continue to support gold prices. Even so, improved risk sentiment appears to have limited gold's upside due to renewed optimism around the US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
📊Commentary and analysis
As tariff trade negotiations become more active, gold prices are facing huge selling pressure. Gold prices may return to the 3233 price range and continue to rise.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3351-3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How to operate gold in the short term today
📌 Negative drivers
The trade peace talks have really entered a substantive period. Japan, the most active country, did not become the first country to sign the agreement. Instead, it was the United Kingdom and the United States, setting an example for everyone.
This also means that Europe, Japan, India, etc. will also enter the substantive stage, which will become a battlefield for Sino-US trade.
Gold, the surge since April, all came from the global trade war initiated by the United States, and the retracement node also fell because the trade war eased.
From the conclusion of the British and American talks this morning, more and more countries will sign, which will affect the rising rhythm of gold.
Divergence of geopolitical risk aversion: Although the escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict has boosted risk aversion demand, the market's expectations of the controllability of the conflict have weakened the risk aversion premium of gold. The current conflict has not yet reached the level of a full-scale war, and there is a risk of "dying in the light" in risk aversion demand.
📊Comment analysis
Short-term casual 20 US dollars +, follow the trend is very important, and follow the watershed.
The Asian session broke the low point of yesterday morning, and the tariffs also loosened for the first time. Don't go long.
💰Strategy Package
Gold price has continuously fallen below the moving average and has been falling all the way. How can we go long in such a market? Continue to stick to the high-altitude thinking. Now the 3320 line has become a pressure point. Below it, we insist on going short.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold still needs to be shorted after a sharp drop!
💢 Driving factors
Market sentiment was dampened by reports that US President Trump signed a potential trade agreement with the UK, while investors are awaiting the outcome of the US-China trade talks this weekend. In terms of trade agreements, any cooling of the trade war and reduction of uncertainty are bearish for gold. If the US and the UK announce a trade agreement, it will be good for the overall global economy.
📊 Commentary and analysis
In terms of trend, although gold soared in the morning, it continued to fall to 3320 in the afternoon. At present, gold has rebounded moderately but is still under pressure after the sharp drop.
💰 Strategy package
For the US market, it is still a rebound short. Pay attention to the resistance of 3370-74 above. You can directly enter the short position after the rebound, and bet on the second decline of the US market!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
The range is broken and the bulls are ready to go!📌Fundamentals:
1. In the Fed's decision, Powell maintained the 4.25%-4.5% interest rate expectation, which was exactly the same as the expectation I mentioned, and predicted the result of the entire decision.
2. The India-Pakistan conflict intensified, and global geopolitical risks continued to heat up. From Gaza to Russia and Ukraine, and then to India and Pakistan, risk aversion will continue to provide long-term support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
Affected by the interest rate decision, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall below the low of 3360. The daily line closed in the negative. The data had little impact. Of course, there are also concerns about the increase in inflation and unemployment caused by the increase in taxes. It is expected that there will be another interest rate cut in July, which provides support for gold. After the Asian session opened under short-term pressure at 3397, it broke through and increased in volume, and walked out of the shock range of the first half of the week. The previous article mentioned that squats and long jumps were realized. Today, we maintain a bullish mindset and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3400. If it can stabilize in the US market, we can continue to go long. The upper side will gradually look to 3423 and 3435, and it is not ruled out that it will go near the previous high.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold is long near 3387-3380, and look at 3423 and 3435! If it is strong, it is long based on the support of 3402-3398!
Gold prices remain volatile, where is the profit range?
💢 Driving factors
Gold prices plunged nearly 2% yesterday, mainly due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the optimism brought about by the upcoming trade talks between the United States and China. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but pointed out that the risks of rising inflation and unemployment increased, which further clouded the economic outlook as the Fed struggled to assess the impact of Trump's tariff policy. When the US dollar strengthens, it means that gold is relatively expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. But despite the decline in gold prices, it is still supported by global geopolitical risks and central bank buying.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Gold basically fluctuated in the 3400-3360 range today, which is a typical fluctuation. But for high-level fluctuations, we must worry about the breakthrough after the platform is sorted out, and we must also worry about the stagflation retracement, which depends on the time cycle. Therefore, the current trend, people who like fluctuations feel very good, and those who look at one-sidedness feel uncomfortable. Today's early trading operations are still temporarily carried out in the 3400-3360 range, and new layouts will be made after the break!
💰Strategy Package
The Asian session is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at the right time. Go long when the short-term retracement reaches 3370 support, and go short when the upper resistance reaches 3410.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals:
1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation
2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market
4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flow
📊Technical aspects:
At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls!
There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments!
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
XAUSD FOMC - Gold Sniper Plan - May 7 - 2025💥 XAUUSD FOMC Sniper Plan – May 7, 2025
"We Don’t Chase Breakouts. We Build the Trap Before the Noise."
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Context – What Really Matters Today
Markets are frozen in anticipation of tonight’s FOMC bombshell:
📌 20:00 UTC – FOMC Statement & Rate Decision
📌 20:30 UTC – Powell Speaks
Traders are split. Some expect a dovish tone to push gold through ATH. Others brace for a hawkish surprise.
But let’s get one thing straight:
Gold has already run thousands of pips. It doesn’t need help going higher — it needs a reason not to collapse.
That’s what Powell holds in his hands tonight.
Meanwhile, geopolitics stay hot in the background:
Middle East tensions simmer (again).
Trump pressure on Powell to step down adds political risk.
Global yields are compressing → gold remains macro-favored.
This is not a time for guessing. This is a time for traps.
🧠 Current Structure Snapshot (Price: 3431)
HTF is still bullish, but we're extended.
Last confirmed HH = 3488, with ATH = 3500
We're in a short-term retrace under a H4 CHoCH → excellent sniper conditions.
🧱 Key Structural Levels
Zone Type Price Range Context
🔼 R2 3488–3495 Last HH OB + extension sweep trap
🔼 R1 3448–3455 H4 OB + liquidity pocket under HH
🔽 S1 3378–3384 H4 OB + FVG + EMA 50 confluence
🔽 S2 3333–3340 D1 OB + CHoCH + imbalance zone
We don't use FIBO extensions for guessing entries. We use them to target the crowd who does:
Extension Price Range Use
1.272 3530–3535 TP3 only
1.618 3575–3580 Final exhaustion area
🎯 Sniper Setups – Real, Refined, Ruthless
🟢 Buy #1 – 3378–3384
Valid H4 OB
FVG tail fill + internal liquidity
RSI around 40 + EMA 50 bounce
SL: 3365
TP1: 3405 | TP2: 3430 | TP3: 3455
🧠 Our first reaction zone before news madness.
🟢 Buy #2 – 3333–3340
D1 OB + imbalance
Clean internal liquidity from 3300–3330
Confluence with CHoCH base
SL: 3315
TP1: 3370 | TP2: 3405 | TP3: 3448
💎 This zone is invisible to retail — perfect trap before spike.
🔴 Sell #1 – 3448–3455
H4 OB at premium
EMA rejection + FVG close
Pre-news stop hunt ideal here
SL: 3462
TP1: 3430 | TP2: 3405 | TP3: 3385
🎯 Don’t short gold randomly — short it here, where retail longs trap themselves.
🔴 Sell #2 – 3488–3495
Last HH OB before ATH
Strong fibo ext confluence
Sweeps = liquidity + exhaustion
SL: 3504
TP1: 3465 | TP2: 3430 | TP3: 3395
If they want to break ATH before Powell, we’ll be waiting above it.
⚙ EMAs in Sync
EMA Signal
21 Tested from below — sell confluence at 3448
50 Lining up near Buy #1
200 Far below — macro still bullish
🧠 Execution Plan
Stay flat before FOMC unless setups trigger with PA confluence
Anticipate whipsaws → SLs must be respected
If price consolidates above 3455 = bullish continuation likely
If it sweeps 3448–3455 and rejects = sell of the week
Drop a 🚀 and follow us: if you’re not trading emotion — you’re trading execution.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Intraday adjustment ends, follow up with low and long positions!📌Fundamentals:
1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation
2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market
4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flow
📊Technical aspects:
Affected by the trade negotiations, gold reached a high of 3434 and came out of the 70 US dollar drop. It took advantage of the trend to follow up the short order and reached the target profit stop as scheduled! Then it fell back and went long again to reap profits. The daily line continued to close in the positive direction, and there was room for fallback and adjustment during the Asian session. However, the daily cycle did not support a sharp decline for the time being. The data during the day tended to be treated as shocks. Therefore, the bullish trend remained unchanged, and the support below was 3335. You can go long if it hits during the day. The short-term support is around 3360 and 3350. In terms of operation, it will continue to be low and long. When it stabilizes, it will go to 3410 or even near the high point. However, if the second test does not reach a new high, there may be a larger correction.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold is long around 3350-55, looking at 3376 and 3410! If it is strong, go long based on the support of 3365-60!
Gold bides its time. Bulls are suppressed at high levels?
Gold is waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
analysis in Asian time period:
Gold opened with a sharp drop due to international news, and continued to fluctuate at a high level in the 3360-3400 range predicted by Quaid. I predicted in the early Asian session that the price of gold would rise to around 3390 and then fall back to around 3370-3360. And its trend is just as Quaid predicted and analyzed, with a correction after the predicted high point.
Now it seems that gold has fallen into a high-level fluctuation range after a sharp drop in the early Asian session, which is in line with my expectations. Quaid believes that the trend direction of the European session is very important. The current upward suppression range is between 3400-3415, and the downward support level is between 3360-3370;
On the contrary, if the European session falls below the downward support range, it may continue to fall.
But Quaid believes that the overall upward trend of gold prices has not changed. Gold prices are just accumulating strength now, and will continue to rise after the adjustment.
Overall trend analysis:
Quaid recommends that the long strategy is still the main one. If the support range of 3360-3370 can resist the downward trend, then we can still carry out the long strategy after the price falls back.
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Go long when the price falls back to 3365, stop loss 3350, take profit range 3400-3415.
Short strategy: Go short at 3395, stop loss 3405, take profit 3360.
XAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated VolatilityXAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated Volatility
The XAU/USD chart shows that the ATR (Average True Range) indicator has reached its highest level in several weeks, signalling increased market volatility.
In addition, trading activity is being fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions, now including an escalation of the conflict between India and Pakistan.
The price action analysis of the precious metal also provides valuable insight, highlighting the ongoing battle between supply and demand.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
On 23 April, we noted a sharp shift in sentiment after the price of XAU/USD peaked around $3,500.
Gold price fluctuations today suggest continued bearish pressure above $3,400, leading to a downward reversal at peak B, which sits below the previous high at A.
This forms the basis for outlining a descending channel and suggests that bears may attempt to keep the price within its boundaries. On the other hand, the $3,333 level was decisively broken by a wave of buying (shown with a blue arrow), and a bullish “cup and handle” pattern is emerging in the background — it is possible that, as part of the May rally, bulls may try to surpass peak B.
Whatever the outcome, elevated volatility appears likely to persist — especially with the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision due today at 21:00 GMT+3, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference at 21:30.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
3420, gold prices can reach today
📌 Gold driving factors
Driven by the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand, spot gold closed up $93.77 on Monday, up 2.9%, at $3333.32 per ounce.
On Monday local time, US President Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks.
Kitco Metals senior metals analyst Jim Wyckoff said: "We see continued inflows of safe-haven demand, keeping gold prices high. Gold prices will remain above $3,000 per ounce, at least in the short term."
Gold is often seen as a safe-haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical highs many times.
📊Comment Analysis
Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached above 3400 before the market expected a rate cut
💰Strategy Set
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3385
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316
TP1: $3330
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3358
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold could reach 3420 today
📌 Gold Drivers
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retreated slightly from intraday highs near two-week highs hit during the Asian session on Tuesday, but still held steady near $3,360, extending gains for a second day in a row. Improved U.S. economic data helped ease market concerns about a recession, providing mild support for the dollar. At the same time, signs that Sino-U.S. trade tensions may ease curbed gold's safe-haven demand, prompting some investors to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of the much-anticipated two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting.
The Trump administration's imposition of tariffs of up to 25% or even 100% on semiconductors will further disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain, forcing many semiconductor manufacturers to look for alternative sources of supply or manufacture in the United States.
📊Comment Analysis
Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached 3400 before the market expected a rate cut
💰Strategy Set
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3385
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316
TP1: $3330
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3358
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
Is the gold market ushering in betting?
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, it needs good economic data to boost it. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession is increasing.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
"After experiencing short-term fluctuations, the price of gold appears to be relatively stable around $3,250. If it is to rise further, it must break through the $3,300 mark. But whether the market is ready to break through this point remains to be seen."
At present, gold is still in a continuous adjustment trend. Although it retreated to the 3,200 line on Friday and then rose again, it is still under pressure below the opening of the 3,265 decline. This is also the pressure level we need to pay close attention to next Monday!
The sideways trading period on Friday is long enough, and it is time for a breakthrough. So how should we arrange the market next week? It should not rise, but it will fall instead. It is not difficult to understand the trend on Friday. If it rises in the morning next week, it should be noted that the upper 3,265 is the watershed. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, but if it is still under pressure, it is our opportunity to enter the short position!
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Short at 3265 gold, stop loss at 3275, target 3230-3220;.
The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry and exit are mainly based on real-time guidance!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3282 and a gap below at 3224. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
As expected, gold prices continue to fall
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs.
The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now.
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Non-farm data is released, and gold is still going to fall.
📌 Gold information
Today, the market will usher in the heavy non-farm data for April. From the expected value, there are only 130,000 people, far lower than the expected 228,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%.
If we refer to the unsatisfactory ADP data in April, then the number of non-farm people in April should have declined, or it is lower than expected, but the ADP data cannot fully correspond to the final non-farm data. This is the answer given to us by too many experiences in the past, so it cannot be concluded that the non-farm data this time will be lower than expected.
📊Comment analysis
Combined with the technical aspect, the strong technical pressure above the international gold price is around 3280, and then the 3300 mark. Even if it rebounds next, the pressure of the above two prices cannot be broken, and there is still a probability of a pullback adjustment. The initial support below is 3230, and after breaking through the position, it will follow the trend to explore 3205.
💰Strategy Package
If today's non-agricultural data cannot provide strong support for gold prices, the rise in gold prices in the short term will be difficult to sustain. The specific decision can only be made after the final release of the afternoon data and the guidance on prices. The trend fluctuations tonight will be very intense. Remember to strictly control your positions to prevent risks.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account