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Headandshouldersformation

(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation." Overview: The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness. Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone) 🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support) 🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level) 🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target) Analysis: ✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off. ✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts. ✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected. ✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044. Trade Idea: 📉 Sell below: $3,028 🎯 Target: $2,940 🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044 This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move. A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components: Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces. Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining. Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength. Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend. 2. Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected. This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline) The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern. Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal. 🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support) The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated. The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move. 3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern Initial Uptrend: The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern. Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows. Formation of Left Shoulder: Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market. Formation of the Head: A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head. However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement. Formation of Right Shoulder: The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder. This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion. Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation): The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal. This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup 📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps: Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward. Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations. Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation. 🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels: 1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline. 2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts. This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions ✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. ✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility. 6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD 🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal. 🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup. 🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists. 📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest. 📊 TradingView Tags: #JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Chart Bearish Move1️⃣ Chart Type & Timeframe: Market: Japanese Yen (JPY) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 1-hour chart (H1) Platform: TradingView This is an intraday chart used by traders to identify short-term price action and trend reversals. 2️⃣ Identifying the Key Chart Pattern – Head & Shoulders The dominant pattern on this chart is the Head & Shoulders (H&S), a well-known bearish reversal signal that forms after an uptrend. Let’s break it down: A. Formation of the Pattern Left Shoulder: The price forms a peak, then retraces down to a support level. Head: A higher peak is formed, followed by another decline, indicating buyers are losing control. Right Shoulder: The price attempts another rise but fails to reach the previous high, showing bearish momentum is increasing. B. Neckline & Trendline Support The neckline acts as a key support level. A break below it confirms the bearish move. The trendline, which has been supporting price action for a while, is also at risk of breaking. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (0.006750 - 0.006819): This is the previous high area where sellers are active. A stop-loss is placed above this level. Support Level (0.006567 - 0.006468): Key demand zones where buyers may step in. These are the take profit (TP) levels. 4️⃣ Price Action & Expected Movement 📉 Bearish Outlook – A potential breakdown from the neckline and trendline would confirm further downside. If price breaks the trendline, a pullback to retest resistance is expected before dropping further. Take Profit (TP) 1: 0.006567 – Minor support, possible bounce. Take Profit (TP) 2: 0.006468 – Stronger support, deeper correction possible. 🚨 Stop Loss: Above 0.006819, just beyond the right shoulder and all-time high (ATH). 5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 💡 Entry Strategy: Sell Breakout Entry: Short the market when the neckline/trendline is broken with strong volume. Retest Confirmation: Wait for a pullback to the broken trendline and enter when price rejects it. 📌 Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher for an optimal setup. Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits if TP1 is hit. 6️⃣ Market Psychology & Smart Money Behavior The Head & Shoulders pattern reflects buyer exhaustion and increased seller strength. Smart money often enters after the breakdown when weak hands get stopped out. Conclusion: Trade with Confidence! This chart presents a high-probability bearish trading opportunity based on a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, support/resistance dynamics, and trendline analysis. A disciplined approach with risk management will ensure better execution. 📉 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected – Sell the Retest! 🔥 Tags for TradingView Idea: #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #TrendlineBreak
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow. Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target. This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail. 📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are: 1️⃣ Left Shoulder Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level. A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support. 2️⃣ Head Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high. However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline. This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal. 3️⃣ Right Shoulder Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength. The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward. This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder. 4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level) This is the most critical level in this setup. It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder. Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move. 📌 Key Technical Levels Identified 🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High) The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times. This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation. 📉 Neckline & Support Level This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders. A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement. 🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777) The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise. If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis. 🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544) The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower. 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup 🔴 Short Trade Entry Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance). Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management) SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts. Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move. Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup. 📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position: ✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further. ✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure. ✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation. ✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion. 📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next? Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected: 1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance. 2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower. 3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level. 4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone. However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately. 📌 Final Thoughts & Summary Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) Market Bias: Bearish Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048) Take-Profit Target: $2,989 Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio 📉 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation. Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) - Head & Shoulders Breakdown & Bearish MoveOverview of the Chart & Market Context The 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reveals a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the recent uptrend has lost momentum, and a potential downside move could be in progress. Currently, the price is testing the neckline, which serves as a key support level. If a decisive breakdown occurs, it could confirm further bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline toward the projected target price of $2,995. Key Technical Analysis & Levels 🔹 Resistance Level & Reversal Zone (~$3,055–$3,060) The price attempted to break this resistance but faced strong rejection, forming the head of the pattern. The area was tested multiple times, confirming that sellers are in control. This level acts as a supply zone, preventing the price from moving higher. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline of H&S Pattern at ~$3,025–$3,030) This level represents the critical neckline, which has been tested multiple times. If price breaks and sustains below this support, the H&S pattern will be validated, signaling a deeper drop. A successful retest of the neckline as resistance could provide an optimal shorting opportunity. 🔹 Projected Target Price (~$2,995) The expected downside move is calculated using the measured move technique, measuring the distance from the head to the neckline. This target aligns with previous structure support, increasing its significance. Detailed Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern 📍 Left Shoulder Formation The market experienced an initial bullish push, reaching a local high, but sellers entered and pushed prices down. This formed the first lower high, hinting at potential weakness in the bullish trend. 📍 Head Formation After retracing from the left shoulder, buyers made another attempt to push prices higher. The price formed a new peak, but it was unable to sustain the breakout above the resistance level (~$3,055–$3,060). A sharp sell-off followed, reinforcing that sellers are dominant at higher levels. 📍 Right Shoulder Formation The price attempted another rally but failed to break the left shoulder’s high, creating the right shoulder. This failure confirmed a gradual loss of bullish strength. After forming the right shoulder, the price began to drop toward the neckline support. 📍 Breakout Confirmation & Bearish Price Action The price has now broken the neckline (~$3,030), indicating an early-stage breakdown of the H&S pattern. If the breakdown holds, further downside movement toward $2,995 is likely. A retest of the neckline as new resistance would be an ideal entry point for short positions. Trade Setup & Risk Management 📌 Potential Short Trade Setup: Entry: After a confirmed break and retest of the $3,030 neckline. Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$3,045–$3,050) to minimize risk. Take-Profit: Around $2,995, aligning with the measured move. 📌 Risk Factors & Market Conditions: If the price fails to hold below the neckline, it could indicate a false breakdown and a possible bullish reversal. Macroeconomic data (such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions) may impact gold prices. Traders should watch for volume confirmation – increased selling pressure strengthens the validity of the breakdown. Final Thoughts & Market Outlook 📉 The Head and Shoulders pattern signals that gold is losing bullish momentum, with a potential drop toward $2,995. 🔍 A break and retest of the neckline as resistance would confirm further downside movement. ⚠️ However, a failed breakdown could lead to a recovery, so traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. 💬 What do you think about this setup? Are you going short on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! ⬇️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
7
$AFRM $70 target into retest $80, pt. 1 chartI wish you could post multiple charts in the same size so you can see and I don't have to post twice. I looked at the D and W. This name should see it's IPO highs at some point this year, with the volatility it could be sooner than later as well. Resistance, in my opinion, looks to be $80 zone, a psyche area as well -- dating back to 3/2021, 1/2022, 2/2022, and 2/2025. Looks like $45-$50 which was once resistance now flipped to support. It touched the 200sma and riding the 200ema. & There almost seems like a huge cup and handle formed on the weekly as well... interesting. Also, look at the earnings on NASDAQ:AFRM ... lmao. Monstrous. WSL
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by wallstreetloser001
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out! Key Support Zone Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align: Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92. The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77. A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support. Trade Setup Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
Short
by SiDec
Head & shoulders pattern: a bearish reversal setupThe Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic bearish reversal formation that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a decline. Head: A higher peak forming the highest point of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A lower peak, similar in height to the left shoulder. Neckline: A support level connecting the lows of both shoulders. Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Confirmation: A valid pattern forms when the price breaks below the neckline, confirming a potential downtrend. 2️⃣ Entry Point: Traders typically enter a short position when the price closes below the neckline. 3️⃣ Target: The expected price drop is approximately equal to the distance from the head to the neckline. 4️⃣ Stop Loss: Placed above the right shoulder to manage risk. This pattern, seen in the NASDAQ 100 Futures (4H timeframe), highlights a strong reversal, leading to a significant downtrend after the neckline was broken. Do you trade the Head & Shoulders pattern? Let’s discuss in the comments!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SmartSignalss
FARTCOIN INVERSE H&S ??A clear head and shoulder pattern seems to be forming around a key HTF S/R Level. It is my belief that we are currently at the "right shoulder" which is level with "left shoulder" and notably higher than the "head". Should price climb back above the KEY S/R and above the 1H 200 EMA level (purple MA) that would mark a series of higher lows from the head onwards and a clear move up to the neckline. Should price clear the neckline I could see a mirrored price move of the way down going the other way working towards the bearish orderblock. Now like with all altcoins currently, this move does rely on BTC making a similar bullish move, if bitcoin were to roll over and go sub $91,000 then FARTCOIN and others will continue the bearish trend as shown in the chart. As always these are just my thoughts and could very well be wrong, if so it's best to have a plan in place and proper risk management.
by ProR35
Rising Wedge Pattern For SWFTCoin.... Hidden Ascending Triangle!The rising wedge is a chart pattern used to identify possible reversals. The pattern appears as an upward-sloping price channel featuring two converging trend lines. It's usually accompanied by falling trading volume. Wedges can either form in the rising or falling direction. A rising wedge is often considered a bearish chart pattern, meaning it indicates a breakout to the downside. Be careful of a shakeout-fake-out. It appears as though an Ascending Triangle is hiding in the shadows. It is very common for whales to accumulate at the bottom of these patterns.. glta
COINBASE:SWFTCUSD
by satoshi123
Tata Motors Forms Reverse H&S, Targets 61.8% Fibonacci Level?Tata Motors trying to form a reverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish indicator suggesting a potential price reversal. As the stock continues to rise, it is anticipated to touch the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level possibly before the upcoming announcement of Quarterly results (17% up move from current levels), a critical point often associated with significant price movements. Investors should watch for confirmation of this pattern to gauge potential upward momentum. View invalidates below 720 on Daily close. Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by Numan_SuriyaMohammed
New analysis on CADCHF OANDA:CADCHF we are have bullish push in last periods, ASCENDING CHANNEL is visible, its be breaked, price is make push around 40PIPS and its start reversing at end my ex. analysis on CADCHF i am CANCEL. Currently price again pushing on same zone from last idea-strong zone(violet line), +H&S pattern looks like will not be continued after its have confirmation, which for me here is one more sign for bullishness. NOTE: Analysis on CADCHF before this one will be attached SUP zone: 0.63200 RES zone: 0.64000, 0.64200
Long
by DepaTrading
HBAR’s Next Support and Resistance TargetsHBAR hit a key high at $0.3922 but faced rejection, suggesting the formation of a trading range or a potential ABC corrective structure. A developing head and shoulders pattern further signals possible bearish momentum in the short term. Key levels and trade setups: Short Setup: Entry: Around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave Stop Loss: Above the $0.3922 key high Take Profit: Targeting the Fib Retracement 0.382 at $0.34356 R:R: A favorable 5:1 if taken from the 0.618 retracement or 2:1 when entering after losing the dOpen Support Zone: Anchored VWAP, weekly level and Fibonacci speed fan 0.618, depending on timing, align near $0.34356–$0.33284. This confluence provides a robust area for potential price bounces. Long Setup: Entry: Within the support zone, contingent on bullish confirmation Stop Loss: Below the support zone
Short
by SiDec
CADCHF now having bearish expectations OANDA:CADCHF in analysis on CADCHF before this one, i am have expectations price will make stronger bullish push from ASCENDING CHANNEL, price is make push around 40PIPS and its start creating zone and in zone is created and H&S pattern, at end zone is breaked and after todays events we are not see price moving again bullish in zone (which will have bullish impact), price is start falling. Now in new analysis on CADCHF having bearish view. SUP zone: 0.63500 RES zone: 0.62700, 0.62450
Short
by DepaTrading
BTC Correction Incoming? Key Support Zones to MonitorOver the past 50+ days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a well-defined range, with the all-time high (ATH) at 108K marking the upper boundary and 90K as the lower boundary. The current price action has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline positioned around 90K. Volume and Recent Price Action Volume has notably decreased compared to the elevated levels seen in November and December 2024, signaling weakening momentum. Price rose significantly to 102.7K, reaching the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement level of the current downtrend, where it faced a sharp rejection. This rejection led Bitcoin to test the lows around 91.5K. Key Resistance Levels 97K (POC): The Point of Control (POC) of the current range sits around 97K, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP taken from the all-time high. 98.3K (Fib 0.618): The Weekly Open (wOpen) coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current downward wave, making it a significant resistance level. 100K (Psychological Level): A critical psychological barrier, also serving as a key level for setting stop-loss orders for short positions. Short Trade Setup A short position could be built in the range of 97K-98.3K, with the following parameters: Stop-Loss: Above 100K. Target: 84-80K range. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): A favorable 3:1 to 4:1, depending on laddered entries. Key Support Levels and Confluence Zone (80K-83K Region) The 80K-83K region stands out as a strong support zone due to multiple confluence factors: 1.) Fib Retracement Levels: 0.618 (82.7K): From the swing low of 67K to the ATH of 108K. 0.5 (80.45K): From the broader wave structure (52.5K to 108.35K). Negative Fib -0.618 (81.1K): From the current downward wave. 2.) Anchored VWAP: Anchored from 6th September 2024, currently aligning with the 82K level. 3.) ]Fib Speed Fan (0.618): Taken from the low at 52.5K to the ATH, intersecting with the 80-82K region around mid-to-late January. Long Trade Setup The 80K-83K support zone presents a strong opportunity for a long position for those who missed the previous uptrend: Entry Zone: Between 80K and 83K. Stop-Loss: Below 78K or lower. Target: 90K, which aligns with the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2:1 if entering from the 80K level.
Short
by SiDec
DOGE’s Next Move: Key Levels to WatchAfter a remarkable bull run from September to December 2024, DOGE concluded its rally with a rising wedge pattern, a sign of exhaustion. This structure also marked the completion of a 5-wave Elliott structure. The breakdown from the wedge came with a clean retest, followed by a significant drop. Current Market Outlook The new year began with a bullish rise, reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.364 (drawn from the high at $0.48434 to the low at $0.26216), a great short setup. Presently, DOGE appears to be forming an ABC corrective structure, with wave C in progress. Additionally, a Head and Shoulders pattern is developing, with the neckline sitting close to the yearly open at $0.316. Support and Confluence Zones 1.) Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the 5-wave structure is positioned at $0.2353, which aligns with the Head and Shoulders target for strong confluence. 2.) Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is an unfilled FVG and November’s untested high at $0.22888, which adds significant support confluence. 3.) Trend-Based Fib Extension: Using the Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave B, the 0.786 Fib lies near the $0.2353 - $0.22888 range for further alignment. 4.) Monthly Level: The monthly level at $0.22 strengthens the case for this zone being a critical support area. 5.) Fib Speed Fan: If price drops to the $0.2353 - $0.22 region between January 17th and the end of the month, the 0.75 Speed Fan Fibonacci will also align with the support zone, further emphasising its importance as the fair value trend line. Trade Setups Short Setup: Entry: Around the $0.397 0.618 Fib Retracement level Stop Loss: Above $0.43 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.25/24 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~5:1 Potential Long Setup: Entry: Within the $0.2353 - $0.22 support zone (confirmation needed) Stop Loss: Below $0.22 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.275
Short
by SiDec
Strong attractor to $BTC price around 88kWe can see a beautiful confluence of technicals around 88k 1- Blue dotted line; multiyear (since 2021) strong resistence trend 2- Orange dashed line; recently reseted volume-weighted average price 3- Green tick line; exponential moving average from last 200 12h periods 4- Purple arrow down; target from shoulder-derivated triangle 5- Green fine line; important multiyear Fibonacci-circle level If this important resistence made of lots of confluences doesn´t hold, we will see the CME gap closed after price plunges to the marked orange square
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by CCCLopes
Kalyan Jewellers H&S BOThe stock is exhibiting a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) breakout after a significant rally from 130 to 800. However, there is a risk of a false breakout for distribution purposes, so it's important to proceed with caution. small supply can be seen at 880 levels. A strong breakout would be more reliable if supported by good trading volumes. Additionally, a stop loss (SL) can be set at the low of the shoulder, with a strong daily candle close below 710 indicating a possible reversal. Always remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NSE:KALYANKJILLong
by ShivNetha