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Liquidation

BTC - Analyzing Order Blocks to Predict Liquidations / Stop HuntHello all, I’d like to provide a visual representation of a method we can use to understand and predict stop hunts / liquidation moves on bitcoin - these mysterious and hard to capture phenomenon we all experience at seemingly random times. Here I show blocks of orders - which I separate if we have a candle retracement overlapping the block. We can see this mass chain of red order blocks on my chart. What these are - are long position stop losses. To understand the significance of these orders let’s break down the mechanics of these orders. Long stop losses are: 1) Limit sell orders 2) Orders that don’t automatically fill if price is above the sell price (unlike limit sells) 3) Leveraged orders - using traders liquidity with a leveraged multiplier to increase position size When dealing with “leveraged” order sizes - we can also leverage / multiply the speed, power, and velocity of chart movement as these orders are filled. If we can assume an average leverage usage of 20x - We can speculate a price movement of 20x speed, power, and velocity. With this information - we can look at bitcoin on the large time frames - in this case the multi-day. Identifying chart patterns, we can estimate the timing of movements by dividing the suspected speed of these moves by approximately 20. This allows us to speculate these very fast moves on bitcoin, which are essentially as simple as this description: What are stop hunts and liquidations? 1) The result of retail traders stop loss orders being triggered and creating automatic chain reactions of order fulfillment 2) Order blocks being filled and triggered at multiplied speed and power 3) Not forced manipulation - but a natural occurrence of the consequence of a futures dominated market and large order gaps left intact on the chart Looking back at bitcoin we can see this phenomenon happen time and time again. 1) Consolidation / long steady movements accumulating stop loss orders 2) A fast and large candle in the opposite direction as these stop loss orders are triggered and executed Additionally we can understand the benefits of these pheonomons to the exchanges and market makers. Liquidations return your entire trading position to these for profit companies - so there is a clearly defined benefit to executing these moves to the platforms we trade on. Further more - creating automatic movements that generate high speed and velocity triggers an error known as slippage - price moves so fast that it doesn’t allow adequate time for the stop loss order to execute before the liquidation of a leveraged trade is triggered first - resulting in liquidation with a stop loss in place. HOPE THATS HELPFUL AND GOD BLESS
Short
by DickDandy
Mock Up Price Action for BTC | Near-Mid Term (12HR)Mock Up Price Action for BINANCE:BTCUSDT | Near-Mid Term (12HR) - Watching and waiting for THE opportunities to enter short - Anticipating highly volatile but still overall bullish upcoming week into end of month January before early February and throughout a proper market correction and pullback of BTC and top 200 ALTs - Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April - KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days - With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while - End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest May/June timeframe Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup - Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points - High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles - Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements - Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation - Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade - I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news Additional Remarks I don't think BTC is done yet. I think that the CME Futures on BTC that are set to expire end of month, have too much money on the table with bets around 50k and 60k. I think we're in the midst of bear trap soon to be turned to be bull trap, and a ridiculously volatile period up and down with retail traders positioned to get hit hard. I'll be on the sideline steadily accumulating my top 40 altcoins list to be held for the next 8 to 12 months. For my portfolio right now leading into the next 90 days, I currently have a heavier skew in active positions for Small Cap and Micro Cap ALTs like VELO VRA BAX and TEL which we know and have seen time and time again always perform well when broader market as a whole starts to pull back and money flows out of large and mid caps in the top 200, into guess what, small and micro caps that underperformed the market till now. Once a heavy market correction begins, nothing will be immune, and I'd expect all things to pull back.. However I believe these small and micro cap alts poised for bullish runs through April/May, will not be hit as hard, and will most certainly bounce back faster, harder, and likely this bounce back will kick off in earnest very big bullish movements for these. My Top Picks to Weather the Impending Storm VELO INVERSE VELO VRA INVERSE VRA BAX INVERSE BAX TEL INVERSE TEL
by Trevictus
2
How Manipulations will help us to get 50K ?? In the ever-evolving landscape of Bitcoin trading, the king of cryptocurrencies is showcasing a strategic dance within an ascending range. Bitcoin's adept utilization of liquidity grabs, especially the recent one from the lower end of the range, sets the stage for a potential surge towards the $50,000 mark. Key Observations: Ascension in an Ascending Range: Bitcoin is currently navigating an ascending range, a pattern characterized by higher lows and higher highs. This range-bound behavior provides a fertile ground for tactical maneuvers that capitalize on liquidity imbalances. Liquidity Grabs as a Strategic Play: Bitcoin has been adeptly executing liquidity grabs, feigning breakouts to capture liquidity from both ends of the range. These maneuvers not only create volatility but also serve as a means to accelerate price movements. Recent Liquidity Grab from the Lower Range: Fakeout Below Support: Bitcoin recently executed a fakeout below the lower boundary of the range, triggering concerns of a breakdown. This move lured in sellers and initiated a cascade of stop-loss orders. Strategic Liquidation and Bounce: The fakeout led to the liquidation of short positions, providing liquidity for savvy market participants. Bitcoin swiftly bounced back, recapturing the lower boundary and leaving in its wake a trail of squeezed short positions. Implications and Future Outlook: Speeding Towards $50,000: The recent liquidity grab from the lower range, coupled with the subsequent rebound, sets the stage for a potential surge. Bitcoin enthusiasts and traders are eyeing the $50,000 level as the next significant milestone. Volatility Breeds Opportunities: The series of liquidity grabs within the ascending range create an environment ripe for traders to capitalize on short-term fluctuations. Traders employing nimble strategies can leverage the heightened volatility for tactical entries and exits. Strategies for Traders: Range-Bound Strategies: Traders can consider range-bound strategies, anticipating bounces from support and resistance levels within the ascending range. Monitoring Key Levels: Keep a watchful eye on key levels within the range, as breakouts or breakdowns from these levels could signal the next directional move. Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's Liquidity Chessboard Bitcoin's adept utilization of liquidity grabs within the ascending range reveals a nuanced approach to market dynamics. As the cryptocurrency aims for the $50,000 threshold, traders should stay vigilant, ready to adapt their strategies to the unfolding chessboard of liquidity. 🌊 Ascending Range Tactics | 🚀 Strategic Liquidity Grabs | 💡 Navigating Volatility for Profits 💬 Share your insights on Bitcoin's recent moves and your strategies for navigating its journey towards $50,000! 🌐✨
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
BTC Trend Weekly w/ 9.86PF & 64%WR Backtest and some infoHello everyone, The strategy currently indicates a bullish trend on a 6-hour timeframe. Regarding the Backtest (1/1/2016 - Present, spanning 8 years): Profitability and Drawdown: The strategy exhibits a 64% success rate with a profit factor of 9.86, demonstrating robustness, as the profitable trades are, on average, nearly ten times larger than the losing ones. The maximum drawdown is recorded at 11.88% of the account, which is considered manageable within the realm of trading. *Each bet employs a consistent amount of capital. * Should there be an opportunity to enhance the strategy, I reserve the right to do so and will provide updates on the portfolio accordingly. Liquidation Status: Integrating this backtest data with the recent clearance of bearish positions, alongside significant bullish bets at the levels of 46,470 (150 million), 44,518 (230 million), and 41,865 (810 million), we can deduce a robust bullish sentiment within the market. The liquidation of bearish positions suggests that short-term negative wagers against Bitcoin have been ousted, potentially due to unforeseen bullish momentum or favorable news. The specified levels at which substantial bullish investments have been made are likely to serve as key support zones. The substantial trade volume at these price points is indicative of strong market confidence. Nonetheless, the advisory to "sell the news" implies that the current uptrend may be subject to correction should the recent developments fail to sustain the rally's momentum. As a trader or investor, one should: Monitor the Support Levels: The mentioned price points of 46,470; 44,518; and 41,865 should be closely watched for any signs of price stabilization or reversal patterns. Set Clear Targets and Stops for your big position: To manage risk effectively, set a clear profit target and stop-loss level before entering a trade.
by PresentTrading
XRP - THE ROAD TO 1.20-1.30$ EXPLOSION FOLLOWED BY CORRECTIONXRP is holding 0.55$ Support area after the recent liquidation. If it maintains at this level, we can continue with the movement and climb up towards 1$ at least. The conservative de-risk play, would be around 1.07-1-13$ . While most ambicious one is around 1.20-1.30$. This triangle is in play and we are in PHASE D. This is why is still have this impulse left towards a dollar and above. After that, I can say we may visit again the 0.60 territory. This may sound crazy, but this is how the overall cryptomarket is looking. We are in the Wave 3. Once this finishes, Wave 4 corrective, A,B,C comes. Therefore, we must prepare to capitalize even more. **PREPARE NOW. GET INTO POSITIONS. HOLD AND DO NOT DOUBT**
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by xReve
1
BITCOIN LIQUIDATION EVENT 01/03/24 - ALTCOINS MASSIVE GAINS OP!Today we've experienced a crazy liquidation event in the Crypto Market. Bitcoin moved from 45k until 40-41k depending on the exchange. Altcoins lost 20-40%, but many of them already recovered half and some up to 100%. ARB, GMX and ENS did pretty well. Right now, as long as Bitcoin holds this ORANGE TRENDLINE that goes back untli January 2023, on a daily closure, we are fine for continuation. Targets: 47-48K We are close to the near of the Wave 3. Wave 4 correction is near. Right now the best plays to buy Altcoins, since many of them still have to appreciate on value in the comming month. Altocins to watch: XRP THETA FIL XLM IOTA MATIC
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by xReve
ATA/USDT 1D. Basic trend. Secondary + local. Harmonic pattern. ATA/USDT 1D. Automata Network. In the secondary trend descending channel is forming(taken from weekly). The large and the small(the inner - more liquid - channel). Right now the price is trading near the support of the inner descending channel. Notice, that in the beginning of forming of this big channel volume has been accumulated. Shown on chart. Then the harmonic bullish pattern has form. Now the price in the final accumulation stage. Check out the false start which took a place just recently. Dumped with the market. Very huge probability it will continue to pump. Just not the right time right now. Locally we're in the descending accumulation channel, similar to APE idea i shared recently. Also check out the volume entering recently. First target will be 0.12$ zone. Then 0.15$. If the price dumps(market dumps) we can reack 0.06$ zone which is classically a bottom zone for cryptocurrencies(666).
Long
by TradingTsar
2
🔥 Bitcoin Liquidation: No Worries Here!Last night, BTC fell around 8% in a very short period of time. Sadly, this doesn't come as a surprise after a massive move from 27k > 44k. Investors are piling in with high leverage, which makes them prone to liquidations like the one of last night. These liquidation events have happened a couple of times in the last few weeks. Every time they marked a local bottom, after which the price continued to go up. It's likely that the liquidation even from last night was a "necessary evil" to wipe out over-leveraged traders and clear the room for a more stable uptrend. Furthermore, the price reversed strongly from the diagonal support line on the chart. As long as we're trading above said support, the bulls are in complete control. My 48k price target still stands.
Long
by FieryTrading
4
Analyzing a Potential Bearish Channel: BTCUSD Medium-Term IdeaDear TradingView Community, I share a medium-term outlook with you all. Please bear in mind that this prediction is subject to short-term price fluctuations, and its outcome hinges on how various technical factors align. Our AI system, having drawn insights from deep neural network analysis, has detected the potential emergence of a bearish channel pattern. O n the chart's left side, you'll find a historical record of the linear regression algorithm's past accuracy. These patterns held on the given dates. However, since October 23, 2023, we have observed the formation of a possible rising channel pattern, which typically indicates a bearish trend. It's essential to remember that historical results don't guarantee future returns of investments. S o, what technical indicators support the notion of a bearish channel pattern? Notably, the volume has declined since the mentioned date, hinting at consolidation or more. Historical data has shown that volume patterns often align with channel formations. It underscores the importance of the volume indicator about the channel pattern idea. F urthermore, on November 01, 2023, many traders opened short positions, leading to a market shakeup that resulted in numerous liquidations within 12 hours. In chart analysis, channels frequently feature candles of various colors, as illustrated by the colored boxes on our chart. If we encase the 4-hour candles since the initial date within a similar rectangle, we already see a diverse range of candle colors. This candle analysis complements our bearish outlook. I f the bearish channel materializes and Bitcoin (BTC) begins a descent on the BTCUSD market, standard patterns suggest the price could drop below $32,000 (marked by the horizontal white line). It might dip below $31,000 (indicated by the dotted horizontal line). While various indicators align with the possibility of a rising channel on the charts, it's crucial to recognize that this pattern is not confirmed yet. There's a chance that we may not witness this pattern at all in the coming months. T herefore, I encourage caution and prioritizing the safety of your existing funds over aggressive day trading. Your financial security should always be your primary objective. tl;dr Position: Short Target Price: $33000-$31000 Possible Pattern: Rising Channel Near Trend: Bullish Medium Trend: Potentially Bearish Indicators: Candles, Volume, Tops and bottoms, Trendlines, Liquidation Metrics Important: Don't forget your stop loss and trail profit if you decide to put any positions. Have any questions? If you ask, we answer. Warm regards, ELY
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Elysian_Mind
2
#bitcoin #btc will go to first 30K ?After large liquidations took in 30600 and 30800 zone, market makers will decide the new movement. Now there' s an important liquidation at 31K and even larger liquidation at 30K. Most of high leveraged longs will be liquidated in 32K area, so 31K may be the direction. But... #btcusdt made bearish pattern SHS in STF and had weakened. In LTF, #btcusd price has been forming a greater SHS too. If 32K will not be crossed permanently, this will happen with a GREAT dump season of weeks. And.. There' s even larger and larger long liquidations under 30K. 25K and 23K have billions dollars of liquidations. I don' t think market maker don' t want to miss these profits. But it will take time, don' t expect everything to happen in a day. It will take weeks. Finally, there are huge GAPs at both 20250 and 36K zone, so i expect a HUGE VOLATILITY incoming weeks. If #btc captures 32 33K zone permanently with weekly closings , the dump scenario will be invalidated. If i were the market maker, i would dump to take the treasure chest under 30K area. So, i wouldn' t be too greedy these days. Just a friendly warning. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR and have a nice week.
Short
by naphyse
EUR USD NowCurrently, our focus is on the volume profile's left side, where a single print and volume imbalance are evident. We're maintaining our position behind the daily fractal to avoid altering the market structure. It's our belief that market makers might be targeting the high liquidity zone around 1.0672, but this is just a theory. Furthermore, we find ourselves in a consolidation phase below resistance. This pattern is typically quite bullish. There's no need to rush; we should patiently wait for signs of structural weaknesses on the 4-hour and 1-hour charts before deciding on our next moves. PS. Indeed, we should exercise patience, especially since there's fundamental noise on the horizon in the coming days.
Short
by themarketknight
Market Update - September 15 📨 Franklin Templeton enters spot bitcoin ETF race: The asset manager with over a trillion dollars in assets under custody filed an application with the SEC to launch a spot bitcoin ETF, joining Blackrock, ARK Invest, VanEck and others. Web3 enthusiasts descend on Singapore for Token2049: Some of the largest names in the crypto space spoke at Token2049 this week, in what is set to be the largest Web3 conference this year. At the event, messaging app Telegram and the TON Foundation announced a new self-custodial crypto wallet. Binance.US executives leave amid regulatory scrutiny: It was reported that the CEO of Binance.US and other executives were leaving and that the company’s workforce would be cut by a third. The moves come as Binance, Binance.US, and founder Changpeng Zhao face suits leveled against them by the SEC and CFTC. FTX receives court approval to start liquidating crypto assets: FTX was granted permission from a bankruptcy judge to begin liquidating its crypto to start repaying creditors. The bankrupt exchange can sell up to $200 million USD in assets every week, pending creditor approval. FTX’s major crypto holdings include SOL, BTC, and ETH. Markets muted despite inflation numbers a touch above expectations: CPI was up 3.7% from a year ago (3.6% expected), while core CPI increased 4.3% (4.3% expected). Market expectations changed little as a result, with traders seeing a 97% chance that rates will remain unchanged at next week's September 20 meeting. ➡️ Read More Here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Understanding How Forced Liquidations / Stop Hunts are DesignedIn this write up I will explain how we can extrapolate our knowledge of stop loss orders to understand the automatic execution of what are known as forced liquidations or stop hunts. We will understand the mechanics of how Bitcoin can achieve such speed of movement and how to predict these events by reading the charts with a unique perspective of pre-design of these events. Our first goal with viewing the Bitcoin chart is to remain objective and without personal bias. We should have no emotional attachment or opinion when it comes to trading and asset effectively. Due to the lack of regulations in the crypto market and our knowledge of for-profit ventures benefiting off the liquidations of traders positions, we can strive to align ourselves with these forces so long as we decide to actively trade this market. We can begin by understanding what drives Bitcoins price up and down. Unlike equities that have relational value to real world output via job creation, product sales, infrastructure, P&L reports, etc - Bitcoin is in a different class of assets lacking intrinsic value and belong to what I like to call “perceived value assets”. This means the evaluation of price is based on an agreed upon value, defined only by liquidity flowing into and out of the asset. This creates the “volatile” nature you hear about in crypto assets. Prices are very fluid and move up and down extraordinarily fast at specific times that may seem random. The executable actions that impact the price is the fulfillment of orders; buys and sells. Where things get interesting is in understanding stop loss orders and their accumulation. Stop losses are effectively limit orders that reverse the position of traders by returning liquidity into the Bitcoin market cap or by pulling it out of the market cap; depending if the stop loss is for a LONG or SHORT. While it may be hard to grasp how the futures market has a direct effect on Bitcoins price, we must understand that in futures we are simply instructing Market Makers what to do with their assets by borrowing the leverage to our margin and in effect they will sell or buy Bitcoin. The stop losses of these trades are the direct opposition and not only is it in the Market Makers interest to ensure you aren’t taking money from them, attacking the stop losses and liquidations of your trades has a factual benefit to both the exchanges and market makers who collect your position margin once liquidation level is hit. Understanding this we can look at the bitcoin chart and make sense of accumulation of stop loss orders; shown here in my boxes (green are buy orders / short stops, red are sell orders / long stops). We can gauge for ourselves the amount of stop losses accumulated and predict the speed of bitcoins movement and clear interest in setting up a two way liquidation. Now why would a two way liquidation of such magnitude occur? The answer is to do with the US Dollar just underneath a major bearish retest on the 3 month chart. An entry into a bull market is would be a key time to execute a dramatic liquidation on Bitcoins chart, as we see here there is a chain reaction ready to hit both the top and bottom level I have marked. As the stop loss orders are hit, there is accumulating power sent into the next level, which creates exponential speed of movement and this is what we like to call “stop hunts”. Hopefully this article is helpful and allows you to understand how we can decipher the chart in a way that allows us to forecast out these movements and ideally prove that these “unpredictable” movements are in fact quite predictable after all. - Dick Dandy
by DickDandy
GBPUSD LONG FOLLOWED BY SHORTS *PREDICTION*As we can see on the charts the current trend is bullish - which in fact is the pullback in the higher TF (HIGHER TF - BEARISH). We are about to enter a buy zone - only will be confirmed by the reaction off the OB, if we see a solid rejection (which will implicate the confirmation of buys) we shall follow it up to the next OB zone seen on the left hand side. With this comes pullbacks as it reaches EQH (Equal Highs) - when an equal high occurs it will 9/10 follow with an pull back to an POI. This will continue to the most probable OB at the top of the zone, it will most probably sweep the liquidity from the top zone also so beware of where you end up leaving your SL. ENTRIES ONLY TO BE MADE ON LOWER TIME FRAME. The following after the touch we will also wait again for confirmations of the short position. If achieved we will expect the lows liquidity to be swept, giving us a massive swing opportunity.
Long
by AJV98
Bitcoin and the Engineering of a Mass 2-Way LiquidationBitcoin is set up to perform a two way liquidation any moment now - as it corresponds to DXY. The chart is loaded with stop orders shown respectively as buy orders in green and sell orders in red. This is how the chart engineers such moves to perform at such speed without reliance on retail traders at all - the orders are embedded in the chart itself. Think of lighting the fuse of a chain of explosives that accumulate more and more momentum in a big chain reaction. Look at my levels shown here for liquidation top and bottom - Bottom is the entry of a bull market to 60,000 or more. God speed and be safe.
by DickDandy