"USDJPY | Smart Money Premium Trap | Mitigation Block Rejection"⚡ USDJPY Analysis – 30M Timeframe | April 30, 2025
📊 Price Action Summary:
USDJPY has aggressively tapped into the Premium Zone, aligning perfectly with a Mitigation Block and Fibonacci 61.8% golden pocket.
We’re seeing early signs of Smart Money rejection — time to stay sharp! 🧐
🔥 Key Moves:
Premium Zone Entry: Price retraced right into the 61.8–70.5% fib region.
Mitigation Block respected: A known Smart Money zone where trapped sellers from previous moves get wrecked.
Liquidity Build-Up Below: Eyes on the unprotected lows — Smart Money LOVES to grab those.
🧠 What’s Really Going On Behind the Scenes:
Retail traders: "It’s bouncing! Let’s go long!" 🟢💸
Smart Money: "Perfect… let’s trap them for liquidity." 🧊📉
This move screams classic Premium Trap — draw them in, then nuke it. ☠️
🧩 Why This Setup Matters:
Mitigation Block + FVG combo = High-probability rejection zone
Sellers are likely reloading positions here
The Strong High has been established — room to target Weak Lows below
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
Entry: Inside or just below the Mitigation Block (confirmation from bearish rejection)
Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~142.813)
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: Mid-discount (~141.400)
TP2: Weak Low (~139.899) — the real liquidity target 🎯
💬 Pro Tip:
"Mitigation blocks are the sniper’s nest for Smart Money. Get in, get out, get paid." 🎯
Watch the reaction closely inside the purple zone. It’s not just a block — it’s a liquidity recycling station.
🚀 Summary:
✅ Price entered Premium
✅ Mitigation Block tested
✅ Liquidity below waiting
✅ High RRR bearish setup aligning
🧘♂️ Be patient. Wait for confirmation. Let Smart Money leave the trail — then follow.
✍️ Save this chart and study how Mitigation Blocks get respected over and over. It’s not magic — it’s mechanics.
➡️ Comment "SNEAKY SHORT" if you're watching the block trap unfold!
➡️ Tag a trader who still doesn’t believe in Premium/Discount theory. 😂📉📈
Liquiditytrap
Careful Trusting "News" | Fake News TradingOn Monday, April 7th, 2025 amidst incredible market volatility, you'd expect your most trusted news outlet to report on-the-minute news. But most importantly, accurate news .
With the markets down nearly 20% in ~4 trading days, every piece of information matters. But with the age of fast (social) media, news outlets will do anything possible to be the first to report. Even .... posting fake news. The way this works is they get news that's "probably true", they post it, then it's verified to be true. This may work often for them and when it doesn't, nobody really cares. But when you're talking about times of volatility unseen since COVID, all this nonsense gets exposed.
So - at roughly 10:10 AM EST, CNBC reported that there will be a "90-day pause on tariffs". A ground-breaking report that likely caused John Doe to buy $10M in NASDAQ:NVDA calls dated end of July because that's a no-brainer right? It surely cannot be false since CNBC is his go-to trusted news-source and there is just NO WAY that they would ever post any news without being 100% true and verified. ESPECIALLY news about TARIFFS -- the talk of the town (psh, the world actually) at the moment. 90 day pause? That's not something you report lightly. You know the ripple effect that'll have on the markets.
Result of that news report? The markets (e.g. CME_MINI:NQ1! ) jumped 6.60% in under 10 minutes.
Jane Doe likely saw that jump, looked at that news, and rebought her shares that she sold at the bottom earlier this morning.
Surely that news cannot be fake. It's a 90-day tariff pause. That's huge. Surely the White House will see "Yeah baby! We take credit for that".
Nope, at roughly 10:18 AM EST, the same CNBC reported that, "the 90-day pause on tariffs was fake news according to the White House". Results? Market right back down -6.5% in 20 minutes.
Suppose you FOMO'd into AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ calls.. well, you lost almost everything depending on the strike and date. In this market, manage your RISK and always hedge. Don't forget to thank CNBC, your most trusted news-source for that capital gain loss.
Welcome to trading in 2025. The age of report-first, verify-later. Welcome home.
Be careful listening to the news and take everything they say with a grain of salt. And as always, don't chase the news. KD out.
Liquidity - How to easily spot it!Here's how you can easily use liquidity to create wealth 🤑
Knowing how to identify liquidity is an important aspect of trading that shouldn't be overlooked, BUT contrary to popular belief, it's not the greatest thing since sliced bread...
It does have its significance and it's place, but understanding WHY "liquidity" is formed is more important than the WHERE ...
Once you know why, you can slay hard every single day!
Follow me for more educational posts and market analysis:)
Anyway, that's all for now,
Hope this post helps and as usual...
Happy Hunting Predators
🦁🐯🦈
BTCUSDT time to retracement?Recently, the market has created equal highs in the 25k area, where there is also a daily supply level. This indicates that there is strong resistance in this area, and that buyers have struggled to push the price higher.
However, there is potential for the market to grab new liquidity from the 22-23k area, where there is a 0.786 Fibonacci level. This level is often seen as a strong level of support, and if buyers are able to push the price higher from this level, it could signal a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
It's important to note that this scenario would only be invalidated if the price were to create a breakout from the 25k area with confirmations. A breakout above this level could indicate that buyers are able to overcome the resistance in this area and push the price higher.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
UPDATE #5 BTC/USD bull trap continuation - whale liquidity This is update # 5 of series to provide an outlook of the trap that took place.
We are past the critical area 21,900 - Whales are continuing to grab people on lower time frames.
ALERT WHALES ARE IN CONTROL
Areas of huge interest are 20,900 and 19,200
Drop a boost if you like the content.
I see potential in the start of the next month but short term within end of this week and start of the next it looks ugly.
Nothing I say is financial advice and/or should be taken as such.
I am just a nobody and you should not take anything I say/write into any consideration, as I am dumb as a tack.
BTC/USD bull trap continuation - whale liquidityThis is update 3 of my last two posts.
Bull traps are liquidity traps for whales, think of it like a shake out of weak hands on both spectrums of the trade. Be safe fellas if you don't have a plan and don't have the maturity this will feel like an emotional roller coaster.
Anything I say or write should not be taking into consideration for any means in life. I am dumb as a tack, don't listen to me.
BTCUSDT wants liquidity from 23k
The price is testing the monthly support on the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
The Market has two demand zones.
The first one between 30k and 20k, and the price could grab the new liquidity around the 23k for the reverse trade.
The second one is between 16000$ and 12000$.
How approach on it?
If the price is going to grab the new liquidity from the 23k demand zone, we could see a new pullback after a new breakout of 30k. According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈 (Short then Long)USOIL - Potential Shark forming, we've had a 3H BOS which price has rejected from multiple times, now on the LTF we have our confirmation for entry, HTF Bias is bullish but I'm looking for a quick scalp (Maybe a break in the momentum line to build liquidity before price breaks back to the upside)
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential 🦇 (Long then short)EURUSD - Potential Bat forming, I see bullish momentum with liquidity above, I want to see a bullish push (Take out LQ and fill some imbalance before then breaking the lows giving us a re-distribution and for price to then head towards the D point which has a very strong PRZ)
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
ORDER BLOCK - analysis on EURUSDLiquidity was grabbed on May 9th, forming an order block and a sub-sequent impulsive bullish move. that boke previous structures. The price is expected to go up again once it hits the order block.
Also, if you look at volume profiles, we have coincidence with a low volume node, that eventully would not support the price drop.
I would not take this trade though as there is liquidity just below the OB and another stop haunt is expected.
GBPJPY - Liquidity TrapLooking for a potential liquidity trap on Pound Yen today on this standout low.
This looks nice for a quick shakeout as it's the only low formed since breaking 138.2's so trying to hunt the stops here.
Will need confirmation to enter i.e. a break below and close above, showing that traders are trapped in positions.
Will target the FTA.
GBPUSD - Liquidity TrapStill looking at a trap for Liquidity on Cable going into this week.
There are some nice lows that I'm looking for failure around providing a high probability move to the upside (targeting the FTA - First Trouble Area).
Why do I trade these liquidity traps?
Reason 1 - Because when price breaks structure, the breakout traders have their pending orders (Sell/Buy Stops) activated to which the institutional players will trap by failing the break and pulling price back slightly to close above/below previous structure, invalidating the breakout traders ideas so they will either hit stop or pull out of their order due to fear or rules.
Reason 2 - Because any retail traders who are currently still holding positions usually have their stops placed beyond structure/swing points creating a mass of orders. If you're not aware if you're short the market you have to buy back your position and if you're long the market you have to sell back your position.
For both of these reasons this creates a high volume area of transactions in the market creating high liquidity. If you study what the big players do at these areas, watch your strike rate grow!
If you want to learn more about how we trade at Xclusive Trading, either message us or check out our membership plan online:
www.xclusivetrading-groupltd.com