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Marketsentiment

BTC is not an easy path for the most inexperienced!! "Bitcoin has depreciated by -12.37% since its peak on Thursday, March 14th, at 73.7K. BTC/USDT has fallen to the support level of 64.3K (25-period daily exponential moving average). From that level, buyers have defended the cryptocurrency against further declines, and it has recovered to the 69K level. At the time of writing this article, the flagship crypto is trading at 67.4K. If it closes above 69K, it could continue the bullish trend, aiming for the resistance at 73.7K and targeting the next level of 80K. Will central bank meetings impact BTC's price? The **Bank of Japan** is debating the possibility of ending its negative interest rate policy in its monthly monetary policy meeting. This comes after significant wage increases accompanying inflation. On the other hand, the **Federal Reserve** of the United States will keep its interest rates unchanged in its meeting this week, maintaining its benchmark rate at a 23-year high. Additionally, the **Bank of England** might pause rate hikes in its meeting this week, as August inflation data has been better than expected. In summary: - Bank of Japan: Possible end to negative rates. - Federal Reserve: Rates unchanged. - Bank of England: Possible pause in rate hikes. The daily technical analysis of BTC/USDT shows the MACD indicator with an ongoing red valley, which could lead to further declines for Bitcoin. However, if the 66.8K support level (0.786 Fibonacci) remains unbroken by the price, with a daily candle close above it, the price could experience a new pump toward new highs. The 25-period exponential moving average on the daily chart acted as support during the drop on Saturday, March 16th, providing relief to HOLDERS after less experienced crypto participants faced liquidation." "THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE AND SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SUCH. EACH INDIVIDUAL IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS AS A TRADER, INVESTOR, ETC..."
Long
by CRYPTONIA5
Decoding Market Mood: The Sentimental Drivers of Gold FuturesIntroduction In an era where information is as precious as gold itself, understanding the underlying currents that drive market sentiment has become crucial for traders and investors alike. Gold Futures, a standard in hedging against economic uncertainty and inflation, serve as a beacon for those navigating the volatile seas of the financial markets. This article embarks on an explorative journey into the realm of sentiment analysis, uncovering how shifts in global mood translate into movements in Gold Futures prices. Through a blend of case studies and theoretical insights, we will decode the signals broadcasted by market participants, hopefully offering a compass for those seeking to align their strategies with the underlying emotional and psychological state of the market. Understanding Sentiment Analysis The Essence of Sentiment Analysis: At its core, sentiment analysis in the financial markets involves the qualitative assessment of the collective mood or opinion of investors towards a specific asset or the market as a whole. It transcends traditional analysis by incorporating psychological and emotional factors, aiming to assess market movements based on the prevailing sentiment. This approach acknowledges that market prices are not solely driven by fundamental indicators but are also heavily influenced by human emotions and perceptions. Application in Financial Markets: In the realm of Gold Futures, sentiment analysis serves as a powerful tool to gauge investor confidence, fear, and overall market outlook. It encompasses the examination of various sources, including news articles, social media chatter, economic reports, and geopolitical events, to construct a sentiment score or index. This score reflects the general optimism or pessimism surrounding gold as an investment, influencing traders' decisions to buy or sell Gold Futures contracts. The Impact of Sentiment on Gold Prices: Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset makes it particularly sensitive to changes in market sentiment. During times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, a surge in pessimism can lead to increased demand for gold, pushing prices upward. Conversely, in periods of market optimism, where riskier assets become more appealing, gold may see reduced demand, leading to a decline in prices. Understanding these sentiment-driven dynamics is essential for anyone trading Gold Futures, as it allows for more informed decision-making, aligning trades with the broader market mood. Factors Influencing Gold Market Sentiment The sentiment toward gold is shaped by a myriad of factors, ranging from macroeconomic indicators to geopolitical events. Understanding these influences is paramount for traders aiming to navigate the Gold Futures market effectively. This section delves into these factors, reinforced by case studies that highlight their impact on gold prices. Economic Indicators and Central Bank Policies: Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Economic indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, and unemployment figures significantly influence investor sentiment toward gold. Central bank policies, including interest rate decisions and quantitative easing measures, also play a crucial role. For instance, a decision by a major central bank to lower interest rates can lead to a weaker currency, prompting investors to turn to gold as a store of value. Case Study 1: Gold finishes October on a high In October 2023, amidst heightened geopolitical tensions and central bank activities, gold rallied, marking its highest monthly close by the LBMA PM price. This movement was influenced by a combination of factors, including COMEX futures' net short positions and substantial ETF inflows. The case underscores how geopolitical uncertainties and central bank maneuvers can drive investor sentiment, steering the direction of Gold Futures prices. Geopolitical Tensions Geopolitical events and uncertainties can lead to increased volatility in the financial markets, with gold often benefiting as a perceived safe haven. Conflicts, elections, and trade negotiations can sway investor sentiment, leading to spikes in gold demand. Case Study 2: Geopolitical and economic uncertainty boost gold demand and prices The World Gold Council's report indicated a slight dip in annual gold demand for 2023 but highlighted that demand from OTC markets and central banks kept the average annual gold price at historic highs. Despite ETF outflows, sectors like bar and coin investment and the global jewelry market showcased resilience, illustrating how geopolitical and economic uncertainties can bolster gold's appeal. Social and Environmental Considerations The growing emphasis on responsible sourcing and environmental sustainability is influencing investor sentiment toward gold. Initiatives aimed at ethical mining practices and combating illicit gold trade affect the market's perception and, subsequently, gold prices. Case Study 3: Collaboration underway to develop consolidated standard for responsible mining Efforts to establish a global standard for responsible mining, involving major industry players, highlight the market's shift toward sustainability. This collaboration aims to create a unified framework that reassures investors about the ethical provenance of their gold investments, potentially impacting demand. Case Study 4: World Gold Council and DMCC Collaborate to Combat Illicit Hand-Carried Gold Trade This strategic initiative to strengthen international regulations around gold sourcing and trade showcases the industry's commitment to ethical practices. Such measures not only enhance gold's reputation as a responsible investment but also influence market sentiment by ensuring a more transparent and reliable supply chain. Central Bank Activities Central banks are significant players in the gold market, with their buying and selling activities offering insights into their confidence in the global economy. Their actions can serve as a barometer for gold's future trajectory. Case Study 5: Central banks maintain historic buying pace in Q3 The Q3 2023 Gold Demand Trends report highlighted continued robust demand for gold, with central bank purchases significantly contributing to quarterly demand. This activity underscores central banks' role in bolstering gold market sentiment and illustrates their confidence (or lack thereof) in the current economic landscape. Applying Sentiment Analysis to Gold Futures Trading Incorporating sentiment analysis into trading strategies for Gold Futures involves a nuanced understanding of market mood and its implications for future price movements. This section discusses the current sentiment influenced by geopolitical and economic uncertainty and how it sets the stage for trading decisions in 2024. Current Market Sentiment and Gold Futures As we edge into 2024, the geopolitical and economic landscape continues to shape investor sentiment toward gold. The World Gold Council's Gold Demand Trends report for 2023 highlighted a nuanced market. Despite a slight decline in annual demand, the total demand reached a new record, propelled by central bank buying and OTC investments. This paradoxical situation—where demand dips but overall interest remains high—underscores the complex interplay of factors influencing gold prices. The Future of Gold Futures and Sentiment Analysis As sentiment analysis becomes increasingly sophisticated, its application in trading Gold Futures is expected to evolve. The development of AI and machine learning tools will enhance our ability to gauge market mood, providing traders with deeper insights and more accurate predictions. The integration of sentiment analysis into trading strategies will likely become more mainstream, offering a competitive edge to those who can interpret and act on market sentiment effectively. Trade Plan for Gold Futures Given the current sentiment and market conditions, there's a compelling case for a bullish outlook on gold. As such, we present a trade plan to go long on Gold Futures, with specific attention to risk management and catering to traders with varying risk appetites. Point Values and Contract Options Standard Gold Futures (GC): Each contract represents 100 troy ounces of gold, and the point value is $100 per troy ounce. This means a $1 move in the gold price equates to a $100 change per contract. Micro Gold Futures (MGC): For traders with a lower risk tolerance, Micro Gold Futures offer a smaller-scale opportunity. Each MGC contract represents 10 troy ounces of gold, with a point value of $10 per troy ounce, providing a more accessible entry point into gold trading. Trade Plan Details Entry Price: 2045.2 Stop Loss Price: 2001.7 Target Price: 2156 Rationale: The entry is predicated on current sentiment indicators and technical analysis, suggesting an upward momentum. The stop loss is strategically placed below key support levels to mitigate risk, while the target price is set at a level that previous sentiment-driven rallies have reached. Micro Gold Futures for Lower Risk Appetite For traders looking to engage with the gold market at a reduced risk level, Micro Gold Futures (MGC) provide an excellent alternative. Utilizing the same trade plan but with MGC contracts allows traders to manage their exposure more precisely, tailoring their investment to their comfort with risk while still capitalizing on gold's potential upside. Risk Management and Consideration Effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading, especially in the volatile realm of Gold Futures. Trading based on sentiment analysis introduces unique challenges and opportunities, making it imperative for traders to employ robust risk management strategies. This section emphasizes the significance of managing risk to preserve capital and sustain profitability over the long term. Understanding Risk in Sentiment-Based Trading Trading on sentiment involves interpreting market moods that can swiftly change due to unforeseen events or shifts in investor perception. Such volatility requires traders to be vigilant and adaptive, employing strategies that protect against sudden market movements. Key Risk Management Strategies Setting Stop Loss Orders: A well-placed stop loss can prevent significant losses by automatically closing a position if the market moves against your prediction. For the trade plan outlined (going long on Gold Futures), the stop loss at 2001.7 is critical for limiting potential downside. Position Sizing: Adjusting the size of your trade according to your risk tolerance and account size can mitigate risk. For traders utilizing Micro Gold Futures (MGC), this means leveraging the smaller contract size to maintain control over exposure. Diversification: While our focus is on Gold Futures, diversifying your portfolio across different assets can reduce risk. This strategy ensures that adverse movements in gold prices do not disproportionately impact your overall trading performance. Regular Monitoring and Adjustment: Sentiment can shift rapidly; regular monitoring of sentiment indicators and readiness to adjust your positions accordingly is essential. This includes potentially moving stop loss levels or taking profits early if the sentiment begins to change. Utilizing Hedging Techniques: Options and other derivative products can be used to hedge against your Gold Futures positions, offering protection against adverse price movements. Incorporating Micro Gold Futures for Risk-Averse Traders Micro Gold Futures contracts provide a nuanced way to engage with the gold market while managing risk exposure. For those cautious about sentiment-driven volatility, trading MGC allows for participation in potential upside movements without the larger capital exposure associated with standard Gold Futures contracts. Conclusion: The Sentimental Journey of Gold Futures The intricate dance between market sentiment and Gold Futures prices underscores the dynamic nature of financial markets. By decoding the mood of the market, traders can align their strategies with the prevailing winds, navigating through periods of uncertainty with informed confidence. This article has journeyed through the application of sentiment analysis, from understanding its foundations to applying it in trading strategies, and underscored the paramount importance of risk management. As we look ahead, the role of sentiment analysis in trading Gold Futures is poised to grow, propelled by advancements in technology and a deeper understanding of market psychology. The traders who succeed will be those who not only master the art of sentiment analysis but also adhere to disciplined risk management practices, ensuring their trading journey is both profitable and sustainable. In the ever-changing landscape of the gold market, the wisdom lies not just in predicting the future but in preparing for it with a well-rounded strategy that embraces sentiment analysis as a powerful tool in the trader's toolkit. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
2
Illuminating the Path: Decoding Candlestick Patterns in Forex 🕯 Illuminating the Path: Decoding Candlestick Patterns in Forex 🕯️📈 ✅Candlestick charting is a fundamental tool for analyzing price movements in forex trading. Each candlestick provides valuable insights into market sentiment and can assist traders in making informed trading decisions. In this comprehensive guide, we will delve into the art of reading candlestick patterns in forex, offering practical examples to enhance your understanding. 1 candle on a daily time frame on Gold composes the price action for 24 hours. ✅ Decoding Candlestick Patterns: 1. Understanding the Basics: Candlesticks are comprised of a body and wicks (or shadows). The body represents the open and close prices, while the wicks show the high and low prices during the time frame. Different candlestick patterns convey varying market dynamics, such as indecision, trend continuation, or trend reversal. 2. Popular Candlestick Patterns: Recognizing patterns such as doji, engulfing, and hammer can aid traders in assessing potential market movements and formulating trading strategies based on these insights. 3. Multiple Candlestick Patterns: Identifying sequences of candlestick patterns, such as a doji followed by a strong bullish candle, can provide significant indications of market sentiment and potential price reversals. 1 candle on a 4H time frame represents the price action for 4 hours. ✅ Examples: Example 1: Bullish Engulfing Pattern in Forex A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a small bearish candle is followed by a larger bullish candle that engulfs its body. This pattern often signals a potential trend reversal, indicating a shift from bearish sentiment to bullish momentum. Example 2: Doji Reversal Signal in Forex A doji candle, characterized by its small body with wicks on both sides, signals market indecision. When a doji appears after a strong uptrend, it may suggest a potential reversal, prompting traders to exercise caution or consider implementing reversal trading strategies. Hourly candle shows the price action for 1 hour. By mastering the art of reading candlestick patterns, forex traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and improve their ability to anticipate potential price movements. Illuminating the path with candlestick charting can empower traders with a deeper understanding of market sentiment, facilitating more refined trading decisions. Happy candlestick decoding! 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AnabelSignals
1
ETHBTC: The Back Bone of Risk Appetite AnalysisIntroduction: Understanding the nuances of the cryptocurrency market is challenging, especially with its inherent volatility. However, seasoned investors often rely on specific charts to gauge the market's overall sentiment. One such crucial chart is the ETHBTC chart, which is a ratio of Ethereum's price to Bitcoin's price. This article delves into how this chart can be an essential tool for discerning risk appetite in the crypto market and identifying potential altcoin outperformance compared to Bitcoin. 1. A Brief Overview of ETHBTC: The ETHBTC chart represents the value of one Ethereum (ETH) in terms of Bitcoin (BTC). When the ratio rises, it suggests that Ethereum is gaining strength relative to Bitcoin, and when it falls, Ethereum is weakening relative to Bitcoin. Solana will be used as a representative for altcoins for live examples. 2. Gauging Risk Appetite: Bullish Sentiment for Altcoins: A rising ETHBTC ratio can be an indication that the broader altcoin market is bullish. Ethereum, being the second-largest cryptocurrency, often leads altcoin rallies. When investors are optimistic about the general altcoin space, Ethereum typically sees significant gains against Bitcoin. Bearish Sentiment for Altcoins: Conversely, a falling ETHBTC ratio may indicate a more risk-averse sentiment, where investors prefer the perceived 'safe-haven' of Bitcoin over altcoins, including Ethereum. 3. Identifying Potential Outperformance of Altcoins: Early Indicators: A rising ETHBTC ratio can serve as an early signal that altcoins might start to outperform Bitcoin. When Ethereum, a bellwether for altcoins, gains strength against Bitcoin, it can foreshadow a broader altcoin rally. (depicted earlier) Reversal Points: Sharp reversals or significant inflection points in the ETHBTC chart can indicate changing market dynamics. These can be pivotal moments where market sentiment shifts, providing opportunities for astute investors. 4. Correlation with Broader Market Indicators: To get a comprehensive view, investors can also correlate the ETHBTC chart with other market metrics like total market capitalization excluding Bitcoin or volume dominance of major altcoins. Such analyses provide a more holistic understanding of where the market is heading. 5. Caveats and Considerations: While the ETHBTC chart offers valuable insights, relying solely on it can be myopic. It's vital to: Combine with Other Tools: Integrate the insights from the ETHBTC chart with other technical indicators and fundamental analyses to ensure a well-rounded investment decision. Stay Updated: The cryptocurrency market is notoriously dynamic, with rapid changes. Regularly updating oneself on global news, technological advancements, and regulatory changes is paramount. Conclusion: The ETHBTC chart is a potent tool in an investor's arsenal, offering insights into market sentiment and potential altcoin performance. However, as with all investment strategies, it's crucial to employ a multi-faceted approach, integrating various tools and staying updated to navigate the tumultuous crypto waters successfully.
by AutomatedTradingAlgorithms
2
Déjà Vu of 2021's Bearish Shift? 📉📉📉The Eerie Resemblance: If you've been in the crypto game for a while, you might be experiencing déjà vu. In 2021, Bitcoin was riding high before it underwent a profound transformation from a bullish to a bearish trend. What followed was a period of intense volatility and uncertainty. 🐻 The Bearish Divergence: One of the key signals of concern is the emergence of a notable bearish divergence. This phenomenon occurs when an asset's price makes higher highs while an oscillator, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms lower highs. It suggests weakening buying momentum and is often a precursor to a trend reversal. 📊 What Lies Ahead: While history doesn't always repeat itself, it can offer valuable lessons. The current market sentiment, combined with the bearish divergence, is a reminder of the importance of caution in crypto investing. 🚦 Trading Strategy: Risk Management: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders and defining clear risk tolerance levels. Diversification: Consider diversifying your portfolio to spread risk across different assets. Stay Informed: Keep a close watch on market news and developments that could influence Bitcoin's price. Conclusion: The crypto market is inherently volatile, and it can shift rapidly. While the current situation may appear similar to 2021, it's essential to approach it with an open mind and a well-thought-out strategy. Remember, trading and investing in cryptocurrencies carry risks, but they also offer opportunities. Stay vigilant, stay informed, and adapt to the evolving market conditions. 🌟 The future remains uncertain, but it's our ability to navigate the unknown that sets us apart as crypto enthusiasts. ❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE❗️ Link below🔑
by AlexWhale
1
The Dance of Support and Resistance in Forex and Gold 💃🏦✨ Support and resistance levels are like the heartbeat of the forex and gold markets, constantly pulsating with potential trading opportunities. But what happens when these vital levels flip roles? In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore the intriguing phenomenon of how support can morph into resistance and vice versa. Through real-world examples, you'll discover the dynamic interplay of these key levels and how they can shape your trading decisions. Understanding the Flip: Support Becomes Resistance and Vice Versa Support and resistance levels are fundamental to technical analysis, often seen as static lines on a chart. However, the market's fluidity means that these levels can switch roles over time. Let's delve into why and how this flip occurs: 1. Support Becomes Resistance When a former support level switches to become resistance, it's often due to a change in market sentiment. Traders who previously bought at that support level may now turn into sellers, creating resistance. 2. Resistance Becomes Support Conversely, resistance levels can transform into support zones when market dynamics change. Traders who previously sold at resistance may now view it as a buying opportunity, creating support. 3. Psychological Factors Psychological factors play a substantial role in this support/resistance dance. Traders' perceptions of key levels can influence their behavior. Breakouts above resistance or below support can trigger a herd mentality, leading to a swift role reversal. Understanding the fluid nature of support and resistance levels is a valuable tool for forex and gold traders. These key levels don't remain static; they evolve with changing market sentiment and events. By recognizing how support can become resistance and vice versa, traders can adapt their strategies and make more informed decisions. This dynamic interplay adds an exciting dimension to technical analysis and can be a significant asset in your trading journey. So, join the dance of support and resistance, and let it guide your path to trading success. 💃🏦✨ Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
4
USD/CHF Weekly Analysis - Trading Insights for the Week AheadWelcome to our weekly USD/CHF analysis In this post, we'll provide you with a comprehensive outlook for the USD/CHF currency pair for the upcoming trading week. 📈 Key Weekly Analysis Points: - Strong Resistance Levels: Explore the critical resistance levels to monitor during the upcoming trading sessions. - Technical Indicators: Get insights into the technical indicators shaping the USD/CHF's potential movements. - Market Sentiment: Assess the current market sentiment and its potential impact on the pair. - Trade Strategies: Discover potential trading strategies and setups for the week ahead. If you're a trader or investor interested in USD/CHF, this post offers valuable insights to help you navigate the markets effectively on TradingView. Please remember to follow us for regular updates and analysis. Feel free to share your thoughts and questions in the comments section below. We value your feedback and interaction! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risks, and it's crucial to manage them wisely.
Short
by Forex_Int
Unraveling the Traits of Pivotal Bullish and Bearish Candles 🕯 In the intricate world of forex trading, understanding the nuances of candlestick patterns is akin to deciphering a secret code. Candlesticks are more than just price representations; they embody the ebb and flow of market sentiment. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the characteristics of crucial bullish and bearish candles, unveiling the stories they tell through real-world examples. By mastering these candlestick traits, you'll enhance your ability to spot trading opportunities and make informed decisions in the forex market. Unveiling Bullish Candle Characteristics 1. Long White Candle: A long white candle is a robust bullish signal. It signifies a substantial price increase during the candle's timeframe. The candle typically opens near its low and closes near its high, reflecting strong buying pressure. 2.Bullish Engulfing Candle: A bullish engulfing candle occurs when a smaller bearish candle is followed by a larger bullish candle that engulfs it entirely. This pattern suggests a shift from bearish sentiment to bullish sentiment. Unmasking Bearish Candle Characteristics 1. Long Black Candle: A long black candle is a prominent bearish signal, reflecting substantial selling pressure. It opens near its high and closes near its low, showcasing a significant price decline during its timeframe. 2. Bearish Engulfing Candle: A bearish engulfing candle forms when a smaller bullish candle is followed by a larger bearish candle that engulfs it entirely. This pattern suggests a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. Trading Implications 1. Confirmation of Trends: Bullish and bearish candles often confirm existing trends. Traders can use them to enter or add to positions in the direction of the trend. 2. Reversal Signals: These candles can also signal potential trend reversals when they appear at key support or resistance levels. Traders look for follow-up candles to confirm reversal patterns. 3. Volatility Assessment: The size and characteristics of these candles provide insights into market volatility, aiding traders in adjusting their risk management strategies. Candlestick analysis is an art that can help traders uncover market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. By understanding the characteristics of important bullish and bearish candles, you can gain deeper insights into price movements and enhance your ability to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of forex trading. 📊🕯📈 Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
6
Unveiling the Battle Between Buyers and Sellers🕯📈🤝 Introduction Candlestick charts are a cornerstone of forex trading, offering valuable insights into market dynamics. One key element of a candlestick is the size of its body, which provides crucial information about the strength of buyers and sellers. In this comprehensive article, we'll explore how the size of a candle's body reflects market sentiment, provide real-world examples, and equip you with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. Understanding Candlestick Bodies The body of a candlestick represents the difference between the opening and closing prices within a specific time frame. Its size and color convey essential information about the battle between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears). Interpreting Candlestick Body Size 1. Large Bullish Candle Body: A candle with a large bullish body indicates strong buying pressure. In such cases, the closing price is significantly higher than the opening price, suggesting that buyers have dominated the market during the given time frame. 2. Large Bearish Candle Body: Conversely, a candle with a substantial bearish body signifies strong selling pressure. The closing price is well below the opening price, indicating that sellers have dominated. 3. Small or Doji Candle Body: A small or doji candle body suggests indecision or a balance between buyers and sellers. The opening and closing prices are close, and the body may appear as a thin line or a small box. Relevance and Trading Strategies 1. Trend Confirmation: Large bullish or bearish candle bodies can confirm the strength of an existing trend. Traders may use such candles to enter or add to positions in the direction of the trend. 2. Reversal Signals : Small or doji candle bodies near support or resistance levels can signal potential trend reversals. Traders watch for follow-up candles to confirm reversal patterns. 3. Volatility Assessment: Candle body size can also provide insights into market volatility. Larger bodies often accompany higher volatility, while smaller bodies indicate calmer market conditions. Conclusion Mastering the interpretation of candlestick bodies is a valuable skill in forex trading. It enables traders to gauge the strength of buyers and sellers, confirm trends, identify potential reversals, and assess market volatility. By incorporating this knowledge into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and enhance your ability to navigate the ever-changing forex market. 📊🕯📈 Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
8
Candlestick Body Size: Forex Buyer Power Indicator 🕯💪 Get ready to unravel a powerful secret in forex trading – how the size of a candlestick's body reveals the strength of the buyers in the market! 📊💪🕯 In this comprehensive guide, we'll dive into the fascinating world of candlestick analysis and show you how to harness the body size indicator for smarter trading decisions. 📈💡 Understanding Candlestick Body Size Indicator 💡 The size of a candlestick's body – the rectangular area between its open and close prices – is a visual representation of the battle between buyers and sellers. A larger body signifies stronger buying or selling activity, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. The Power of Candlestick Body Size: Insights & Examples 🕯🔍 1. Example 1: Strong Bullish Sentiment 🐂📈 2. Example 2: Weak Bullish Sentiment 🐂📉 3. Example 3: Bearish Dominance 🐻📉 Empowering Your Trading with Candlestick Wisdom 💰🕯 Understanding the power of candlestick body size allows you to interpret market dynamics beyond mere price movements. Armed with this knowledge, you can make informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and navigate the forex market with heightened confidence. 💼📉📈 Don't let the market's mysteries intimidate you! Learn to read between the lines of candlestick body sizes, and watch as your trading prowess reaches new heights. 🚀🕯 Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
6
Trading precision!Please search for my previous post, where I anticipated the last available effective demand zone and how important it was. Sure enough, price reacted on Friday and it's already taking H4 highs as mentioned. This is not a flex, as it's possible to do this very often with high precision, but an attempt to demonstrate how important it is to have a clear analysis and the ability to read price. This way, you'll always know what to do, even when you're wrong and when that happens, it doesn't feel painful because you know exactly what's going on. FULL DISCLOSURE: I did not hold the position over the weekend, I closed it on Friday and took another long yesterday based on the same idea. How you manage the position is a different topic.
Long
by CirculoForex
DJI yearly CRASH or Sideways incoming??Looking at past times on DJI yearly time frame where Stoch rsi has crossed below the 80line it has resulted in major market crashes or dead sideways markets for long periods.. With how the economy is world wide at the moment id say things are about to get pre ugly for the markets. Monthly time frame also trying to set a Lower High.. Not feeling too optimistic Any thoughts on subject is welcome and would love to hear others opinions on the current state
TVC:DJI
by Wen2TradeOfficial
MARKETS week ahead: June 12 – 18Last week in the news It was quite a stressful week for the crypto market, as the SEC continued with its effort to put crypto business in the US under “regulation”. On the other hand, US equity markets continue with gains during the last month, with S&P 500 moving above 4.300 points. Bitcoin is ending the week modestly above $25.5K, while Ether manages to hold above $1.7K. Previous week started with bad news for the crypto market. Both Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC alleging unregistered business aside from a few other regulatory topics. As officially published on SEC`s website, the SEC filed 13 charges against Binance entities and its founder Changpeng Zhao. As noted, charges include “operating unregistered exchanges, broker-dealers, and clearing agencies; misrepresenting trading controls and oversight on the Binance.US platform; and the unregistered offer and sale of securities''. As for the lawsuit against Coinbase, SEC has officially published that the company is alleged for “unregistered offer and sale of securities in connection with its staking-as-a-service program”. Another issue is that SEC named at least 13 coins which they defined as “crypto asset securities' ', including Solana token, Cardano`s token ADA, Polygon`s MATIC and Protocol Lab`s Filecoin. Robinhood exchanger immediately took an action delisting all coins named in the SEC lawsuit. Market reaction was that altcoins crashed during the week. Still, BTC and ETH have not been significantly affected. All these companies made a statement during the week, strongly disagreeing with the SEC that these tokens are securities. On the other side, many analysts and investors are noting that this is all a result of lack of clear regulation in the US for crypto businesses. There are also those who find SEC lawsuits as positive for crypto, as they will finally bring some clarity into regulation. After the lawsuit from the SEC, Binance.US made an announcement that from June 13th they will be transitioning to all-crypto exchange, in which sense, they will no longer support deposits in USD, including USD-based trading pairs. All products currently offered will be available but only in crypto currencies. Markets in the US were generally supported by the recent debt-ceiling deal, and recent jobs data, where the US economy showed high resilience to the current macroeconomic environment and monetary measures imposed by the Fed. The US equity market indices were up to their highest level since August last year. However, not all economists are of the same opinion regarding resilience of the US economy. In an interview with CNBC, Bob Michele, Chief investment officer in JPMorgan Chase, noted that the previous recession in 1980 started after an average 13 months after the Fed`s final rate increase, and that current economic situation reminds him of that period. He also noted that industries which will suffer the most are “regional banks, commercial real estate and junk-rated corporate borrowers”. During the week ahead the inflation data will be released, and a FOMC meeting will be held, where potential for further rate increases will be discussed. Crypto market cap For one more time in the history of the crypto market, regulators were the ones to completely spoil a good game. Monday started with negative news about a new lawsuit from SEC against Binance, while already the following day another lawsuit emerged against Coinbase, one of the largest and also publicly listed crypto exchangers. Someone might say, there is nothing new with SEC, still, this time lawsuits were different and imposed significant market reaction. Namely, within the lawsuits SEC named at least 13 altcoins, treating them as the crypto asset securities. Some of the names mentioned include Polygon (MATIC), Sandbox (SAND), Filecoin (FIL), Axie Infinity (AXS), Chiliz (CHZ), Flow (FLOW), Internet Computer (ICP), Near (NEAR), Voyager (VGX), Dash (DASH) and Nexo (NEXO). This imposed significant run-off from these assets and also forced liquidations in margined open positions, pushing the prices further to the downside. Considering the circumstances, BTC, ETH and XRP were among rare coins which had a relatively good week, with a decrease in price below 9%. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 9% w/w, losing FWB:98B in total value. Daily trading volumes doubled from a week before, moving around $85B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase since the beginning of this year decreased to 33%, where it has added a total $253B to the market cap. It was quite a bad week for altcoins, which lost a significant portion of their previous value. Major coins, excluding BNB, lost less than 10%, which might be treated as positive considering general circumstances. BTC lost some 5.8% w/w, erasing almost FWB:31B in its total value. ETH was down by 8.3%, losing $19B in total market cap. XRP was also on the downside, with total cap decrease of almost 6% or $1.6B. BNB was strongly affected by the negative news, and lost more than 23% in value or $11B. ADA was mentioned in the SEC lawsuit, so its value dropped by more than 32%, loosing $4B in market cap. In this group belongs Filecoin, which was down by 31% , Polygon dropped by 37.6% w/w, while DASH was down by 31%. Majority of all other altcoins were down between 15% and 26%. The only coin which gained in value is Tether, with an increase in circulating coins by 0.26% w/w. As for other coins, there has been some increased circulation by 0.2% for Stellar and Polkadot, while Solana and Filecoin increased their circulating coins by 0.3% w/w. Crypto futures market Regardless of general negative news on the market, the BTC and ETH futures were holding relatively good during the week. However, it should be considered that CME is closed during weekends, so Saturday trading sessions on the spot market still have not been priced by futures on the organized market. BTC short term futures were closed on Friday less than 3% lower from the week before. December 2023 was traded at a 0.98% lower price from the week before, at level of $27.355. Futures maturing in December next year were down by 1.34% w/w, and were closed at a price of $27.990. ETH short term futures were traded down by some 3.6%, while futures maturing in December this year ended the week flat, with the latest price of $1.889. Longer term ETH futures were down by some 1.2%, with December 2024 ending the week at level of $1.919.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Will the NZD/USD still be able hold above the 0.60 lvl?The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reinvoked the power of the interest rate hikes to continue the battle in bringing inflation down. This news push the USD near the 106 lvl and hit the NZD/USD, pulling price below the 0.61 lvl. This was a hit to my position, but I ok with the floating loss currently. In order to reduce my risk, I added a stop at 0.60 because my thought is, if price pushes below the 0.60 lvl and holds by the end of the week, then I don't think I wrong on my R/A on this pair; I am just early. What I am going to do if I do get stopped out, I would wait a few days, see if price is still pushing lower, and then start building my position again. My objective is to have a max position before price pushes above the 0.65 lvl, so getting into a position below the 0.60 lvl, I think is an opportunity. There is also the thought of waiting until the USD NFP and CPI are released and the FED Rate Hike, as this could push the NZD/USD even further down. I do need to work on my conviction and hope lvl. My hope lvl is around 55% and my conviction lvl is less then 50%. Since that is the case, I am not going to add anymore positions unless I am able to get my conviction lvl to 60%. I am still thinking in the near to longer term, price on the NZD/USD will push higher, but these two - three weeks are going to cause a lot of volatility. I have another previous published thought on the NZD utilizing the Monthly chart. I wanted to add the NZD/USD update on the daily chart also, in order to see the daily moves in the market and see if my plan pans out. Again, this is what I am thinking of doing and I am ok with taking the risk. Conduct your own analysis and take on the risk that feels comfortable to you. Y'all have some good trading out there.
Long
by DollarSaenz
2
Price on the EUR/USD is likely to break the 1.05 lvlThe EUR/USD is pushing lower because of Friday's USD PCE coming out higher then expected, and the previous reading revised higher. This is supposedly the FED's favorite measure of inflation, which gives the FED additional evidence to increase rate hikes. I do not think that the FED will be inclined to raise rates in the March meeting by 50 basis points. It will likely stick to 25 basis points. I am holding onto my positions (short side) and I am looking to place a stop at the 1.06 lvl. If price does break 1.05 (which is likely), price will be able to test out the 1.0450 lvl. At this point, I am deciding on whether I want to keep holding or not because I have other pairs I am looking at.
Short
by DollarSaenz
1
On The 1.60 level is holding on the GBP/CAD, but for how long?Price on GBP/CAD is pushing a little lower, but is still trading above the 1.60 level. The GBP/USD was able to break lower, below the 1.20 support and was able to hold. It is only a matter of time before the GBP/CAD breaks lower and I still think price is going to be able to do that. It will take about 6 months for this to happen, but in the meantime if price just stagnates, that would be great (I have a trade on this pair).
Short
by DollarSaenz
Will the NZDUSD be able to hit the 0.70 lvl this Year?This pair is one of my top focuses for this year and I almost let it slip by. After conducting my R/A this weekend I came to find out that the New Zealand economy might start over heating and the RBNZ is possibly going to be in a position to keep rising rates. The RBNZ is looking to raise rates to around 5.5% (at least that is what is projected). The data on New Zealand is: Annual GDP: 6.4% and ranging Unemployment: 3.4% and declining Wage Growth: 4.3% and rising Inflation Rate: 7.2% and rising Industrial Production: 16.1% and rising Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 and ranging Retail Sales: -4% and declining Housing Index: 186.2791 and declining The technicals are also showing a double bottom and a descending wedge which adds to the probability that price might push higher. Sentiment is also pushing more towards neutral for the USD as there are starting to be increased talks about the FED slowing down on interest rate hikes and being more dovish. The Fundamentals, Technicals, and Sentiment are lining up which push my conviction lvl around the 60% lvl which got me to start planning on how to build a decent position on this pair. I have a position on this pair already at 10k (I am look to build to a standard lot for now). This is what I am look at. If price stays above the 0.60 lvl, then it is highly likely that price will push higher. If price pushes below the 0.60 lvl by the end of March, then I don't think I am wrong, but I would think that I was too early. I would take my loss and retrograde for now and then come back in. My objective is to build a position up on the NZD before the 0.65 lvl (possibly around the 0.63 lvl, if lower, that would be ideal). If I am able to get into a full position before the 0.65 lvl, see price push higher to 0.68, and place a stop around the 0.65 lvl, I would be in a good spot to just hold onto the NZD and see if it pushes up higher. If this doesn't work, like always, back to the drawing board to update my plan accordingly. But I think this is a high probability trade that will last for a while. Like always, these are my thoughts and this is how I trade. Please come up with you own plans and ideas and ways to trade. This can be extremely risky and with the uncertainty in the markets, I could potentially blow up my account if I am not careful. Y'all have some great trading out there.
Long
by DollarSaenz