💾 MicroStrategy Has More To Give!In the past, now many years ago, we would have the "wait for the confirmation" crowd which turned into "wait for the earnings"...
MicroStrategy (MSTR) is trading below EMA50 weekly.
Is this a bearish or bullish signal?
Should we "wait for confirmation"?
Meaning, wait for it to break and close above EMA50 before taking action!
In a way yes, this can be done and there are many different ways to approach a trade, a market... Different trading systems and strategies, so it isn't a bad thing but, with a wider perspective, with so many tools, with so many charts, confirmation can be gotten for other places.
The markets evolve and we have to also evolve and adapt.
Each year, each cycle it becomes harder and harder, the bots become smarter and the risk increases...
Anyway, knowing what we know and seeing the other charts/pairs/stocks already going ahead... The market is interrelated/linked/connected, so we know this chart will do the same.
The confirmation already happened with the strong RSI and the close above EMA10.
We can always wait for the next confirmation...
Or we can buy at the bottom (see 'Related ideas') and ride up the full bullish wave.
Check the "first (main target - high probability)" on the chart.
Instead of waiting for confirmation, you can use a tight stop-loss.
Namaste.
Microstrategy
ICP will thriveICP holders had a hard time after the FTX manipulation disaster, most of them are trapped in the 30-100$ range. A lot of people sold out of frustration. It will be a choppy road but if the right catalysts kick in this coin could go way past 150$ like MSTR (MicroStrategy) did back then to 400$.
MicroStrategy Buys $615 Million Worth of Bitcoin, $50,000 Soon?With the recent purchase, MicroStrategy's total Bitcoin worth on balance sheet has reached a staggering $6 billion.
As the Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) price managed to contain its losses to $42,00 after a sell-off earlier today, big players are making the most of the dip. In the latest announcement, MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor declared that his firm has made a fresh purchase of $615 million worth of Bitcoins.
MicroStrategy Buys 14,000+ Bitcoins
In a recent announcement, MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor revealed the acquisition of an additional 14,620 BTC for approximately $615.7 million. The average purchase price per Bitcoin stood at $42,110. As of December 26, 2023, MicroStrategy’s total Bitcoin holdings reached 189,150 BTC, acquired for around $5.9 billion. The average cost per Bitcoin in this extensive holding stands at $31,168. This move reaffirms MicroStrategy’s commitment to Bitcoin as a strategic part of its treasury reserve.
Everyone in the crypto community is awaiting the launch of the first spot Bitcoin ETF in the US. As per the tentative schedule, this shall happen by January 10 i.e. within a fortnight.
When asked about the potential negative impact of an ETF launch on MSTR, Saylor asserted that MicroStrategy stands apart due to its status as an operating company, unlike ETFs that are unleveraged and charge fees.
He underscored MicroStrategy’s ability to generate additional BTC through profit and loss (P&L) or capital markets operations. Using an analogy, Saylor likened MicroStrategy to an airline, highlighting its unique position compared to ETFs, which he compared to shipping lines. In essence, he suggested that MicroStrategy offers higher performance and leverage without associated fees.
BTC Price to $50,000?
The Bitcoin price has recovered to $43,000 at press time after facing a major drop earlier today. Currently, Bitcoin has been oscillating in the tight range of $42,000-$44,000. Breaking the upper resistance, the BTC price could make a move into the zone of $47,000-$50,000.
Buy MicroStrategy Stock With BTC, Blockstream CEO Adam Back SaysBlockstream CEO, Adam Back revealed that based on the current performance of MicroStrategy and Bitcoin, buying seem a good idea.
Blockstream co-founder and CEO Adam Back has reiterated the fact that many experts are beginning to take cognizance of MicroStrategy Inc.’s constantly increasing Bitcoin per share.
Based on this, he advised that investors to buy MicroStrategy stock with Bitcoin.
MicroStrategy is Winning
Back’s X post came as a reaction to an earlier insight from Ecoinometrics which pointed out that the business intelligence and software firm is winning as it relates to a chart showing MSTR’s stock price performance concerning the current performance of flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
The attention that MicroStrategy is getting presently does not come as a surprise especially as the firm has been raking in more Bitcoin in line with its Treasury Reserve Allocation policy. A few days ago, the Bitcoin-friendly firm purchased of 16,130 BTC at approximately $593.3 million. Each unit of the new Bitcoin acquisition had an average price of $36,785.
Markedly, the purchase brought the current Bitcoin holding of MicroStrategy to a total of 174,530 BTC, considering that the firm had earlier bought 155 units of Bitcoin for $5.3 million as announced in November. As of November 29, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin portfolio holds as much as 174,530 units of BTC valued at approximately $5.28 billion at an average price of $30,252 per Bitcoin. With the current price of Bitcoin at $41,875.79, the firm is in a major profit on its stack.
MSTR vs Bitcoin Performance
Bitcoin has been on a positive momentum for the last few weeks, driven by some events including the evolving anticipation for spot Bitcoin ETF approval from the United States SEC and the Federal Reserve’s decision to suspend interest rate hikes.
The leading cryptocurrency is stealthily approaching $40,000 and inching towards a new high for 2023. With its price of $38,792.97, the coin is now up 11% for the month
With the volume of BTC that MicroStrategy owns, the current market situation places the firm in an impressive position with profit enough to cover the senior convertible notes debt it has accrued as some of its BTC assets were purchased with the credit.
In addition, MicroStrategy’s (NASDAQ: MSTR) is equally performing outstandingly well in the market. According to data from MarketWatch, the stock price is now valued at $529.98 with a 0.44% per its close on Friday. This improvement is another indication that Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin strategy is a good choice.
By a large margin, the coin’s stock has outperformed its peers since it adopted its Bitcoin strategy.
Technical Analysis
MSTR is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Shorting Bitcoin via MSTRIf one wants to hedge against the current ETF inspired rally in Bitcoin without selling their Bitcoin a good candidate to 'short' would be MSTR (Microstrategy). The stock is "hard to borrow" meaning it is difficult to short the shares but the options chain is relatively liquid enough to accomplish the bearish thesis.
Technically, both Bitcoin and MSTR are hitting major Weekly Resistances today at the same time. Bitcoin is hitting its COVID low > ATH 50% Retracement level at 36439 while MSTR its November 2021 > May 2022 trend 50% Retracement at 512.73.
Expressing the trade with Puts is not only perhaps the only way for most traders to do so but also advantageous with the current Implied volatility being "low" relative to the last year. This means that if the trade goes in favor of the position IV should rise and add to the profitability.
Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About MicroStrategy (MSTR)MicroStrategy currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.60, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by five brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.60 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
While the ABR calls for buying MicroStrategy, it may not be wise to make an investment decision solely based on this information. Several studies have shown limited to no success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors to pick stocks with the best price increase potential.
Do you wonder why? As a result of the vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover, their analysts tend to rate it with a strong positive bias. According to our research, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" recommendation.
This means that the interests of these institutions are not always aligned with those of retail investors, giving little insight into the direction of a stock's future price movement. It would therefore be best to use this information to validate your own analysis or a tool that has proven to be highly effective at predicting stock price movements.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), is a reliable indicator of a stock's near -term price performance. So, validating the Zacks Rank with ABR could go a long way in making a profitable investment decision.
MSTR MicroStrategy Puts and the Cryptocurrency LandscapeIf you haven`t sold MSTR here:
Then you need to understand the recent crypto landscape:
Binance disputes the SEC's allegations of mishandling customer funds, deceiving investors, and violating securities laws.
The legal battle between Binance and the SEC has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community.
Binance and its affiliates assert that the SEC is overreaching its jurisdiction on digital assets, especially without any clear legislative guidance from Congress. The original lawsuit, filed in June, accused Binance of unlawfully listing unregistered securities.
Historically, the actions of whales have been instrumental in shaping the price movements of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Non-whale addresses, those holding less than 100 BTC, now account for over 41% of the total Bitcoin supply. Meanwhile, whales, entities holding between 100 and 100,000 BTC, have witnessed a decline in their collective holdings to 55.5%, marking their lowest ownership level since May.
The decrease in whale holdings could signal a potential change in the market's dynamics, potentially leading to increased volatility and uncertainty.
These developments collectively cast a shadow over the cryptocurrency market's near-term prospects.
In this context, I`m considering the following puts for MSTR MicroStrategy:
2023-10-20 expiration date
$307.50 strike price
$12.60 premium
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
MSTR next FTX bubble MicroStrategy owns 152,800 BTC bought for $4.53 billion.The company has $2.2 billion of debt issued by MicroStrategy, the parent company, consisting of $500 million of 6.125% senior secured notes due 2028 (the “secured notes”) and two series of convertible notes, one maturing in 2025 and the other in 2027 (together, the “convertible notes”). The secured notes are guaranteed by MicroStrategy’s subsidiaries (other than MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries) and are secured by substantially all of MicroStrategy’s assets, which include its software business and, as of Sept. 30, 2022, a total of 14,890 bitcoin.
Although MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries are technically restricted subsidiaries under MicroStrategy’s secured notes, in many ways they have the freedom of an unrestricted subsidiary, including their ability to incur debt secured by their bitcoin holdings.MacroStrategy is carved out from the limitations of the debt covenant, so it can incur unlimited debt. In addition, any crypto assets held by MacroStrategy at the time the secured notes were issued are carved out of the liens covenant; as a result, MacroStrategy may incur unlimited debt secured by the bitcoin that it held on the date the secured notes were issued.
The fact is that FTX and Alameda were created by one person - Sam Bankman-Freed. And from the very beginning, Alameda served as a liquidity provider on FTX. Alameda wallets interacted with FTX even before the launch in May 2019 and apart from other addresses, it was the only clearly identifiable counterparty. In 2020, the chief engineer of the FTX crypto exchange made secret changes to the exchange software. They allowed Alameda Research, owned by Sam Bankman-Fried, to continue to borrow funds from FTX regardless of the value of the collateral.
Weller said the prospect of such a fund coming to market after about a decade of trying by a number of issuers could pose a "big risk" for MicroStrategy.
“Many investors are buying MicroStrategy shares as a widely available proxy to gain exposure to bitcoin,” he said. “But if a simple, low-fee alternative emerges, much of the current demand for the stock could dry up, leaving a costly, slow-growing operating company to manage a cumbersome, unstable balance sheet.”
The Spot Bitcoin ETF, if approved, “won’t offer the same leverage returns as MicroStrategy,” Saylor said during the company’s Aug. 1 earnings announcement.
However, he acknowledged that a subset of institutional investors would choose Bitcoin ETFs to participate in this space.
I'll draw an analogy. Think of the rest yourself. The debtor company has doubled its capital. This is Carl's air, emptiness! Bitcoin-ETF no longer needs an intermediary in the form of this company, which can repeat the fate of FTX. Half of the Bitcoins will have to be sold on the market if the Bitcoin ETF spot is approved, because 2.2 billion debts and unlimited lending to yourself may end. Even now, investors will have a reason to doubt Michael Saylor and withdraw their funds, which will deprive the company of reliability. Will he repeat the fate of Sam? Time will show.
MicroStrategy Coiled: Are Bitcoin Bulls Ready for $35,000 in AugMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise analytics software platform that enables users to create visualizations, customize apps, and embed analytics directly into workflows; and MicroStrategy Cloud Environment, a managed software-as-a-service solution, which offers always-on threat monitoring and enables rapid analytics development and deployment to deliver security and data privacy requirements. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability
MicroStrategy Bitcoin PurchasesMicroStrategy Bitcoin Purchases on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
This chart includes the dates, amount, and average price, of Bitcoin purchases announced by Michael Saylor on Twitter and includes data from buybitcoinworldwide.com for purchases not announced by Michael Saylor.
MSTR BULL RALLY AHEADFor more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial.
Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
MSTR is a Discount Bitcoin Spot ETFYear to date Bitcoin has out performed the NASDAQ and GOLD but if you don't have access or knowhow to buy Bitcoin direct you can look into MSTR.
There is more risk to own MSTR since it's centrally controlled but if you want to have some Bitcoin exposure during these crazy time you might be able to play this strategy
Not Financial advise.
Be safe out there
~S
MSTR D1 UPDATE ( TECHNICAL )For more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial.
Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
December 29 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
Bitcoin is down 1.01% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $16,458.52. The largest cryptocurrency has been trading between $16,500 and its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $16,852 for the past few days, suggesting traders are not clear about the next directional move. The 20-day EMA is sloping down gradually and the relative strength index (RSI) is near 43, indicating a slight advantage to bears. The BTC/USDT is likely to stay in the $16,000-$17,000 price zone for the next few days.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
MicroStrategy to Launch Bitcoin Lightning Network Apps and Solutions in 2023
MicroStrategy executive chairman Michael Saylor said on Twitter Spaces that the company will launch software applications and solutions powered by the Bitcoin Lightning Network in 2023. Saylor mentioned that as part of his transition from CEO to executive chairman, the company’s Bitcoin division has been able to focus more deeply on how Bitcoin can not only be bought and held, but also contribute to the ecosystem. As MicroStrategy seeks to expand beyond conventional software applications into Bitcoin, it can leverage its existing knowledge to provide enterprises with tools for the Bitcoin and Lightning ecosystems.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other Digital Asset Companies"
Coinbase is a company that helps people buy and sell digital coins called cryptocurrencies. It became a public company in April 2021 and was worth a lot of money at the time. But lately, the value of cryptocurrencies has been changing a lot and it's made it hard for Coinbase to make as much money as it used to. Another company that helps people trade cryptocurrencies, called FTX, had to close down because it was having financial problems. This made people worried about investing in cryptocurrencies and caused the value to go up and down more than usual. Some people try to make money by betting that the value of a company's stock will go down, and they're called short sellers. They've been trying to make money by betting that Coinbase's stock will go down, and they've had some success because the stock has gone down a lot this year. Other companies that are related to cryptocurrencies have also seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. There is a tool that helps people see how much demand there is for borrowing a company's stock to sell it, and it's called "utilization." Utilization for Coinbase has gone up recently because more people are trying to borrow its stock to sell it. Short sellers have to pay a fee to borrow the stock, and this fee has gone up a lot for Coinbase recently. There are also other companies, like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital Holdings, that have seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. The fees to borrow their stock have also gone up.
FTX's collapse raises concerns for crypto-related stocks Bahamas-based cryptocurrency exchange FTX's filing of Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Nov. 11 have sent stocks of financial services companies dealing digital assets tumbling, further reducing the already dented confidence for the cryptocurrency industry.
According to Bloomberg News-compiled data, the implosion of FTX, which at its peak was the third-largest cryptocurrency exchange, and its spillover effects have wiped out nearly $5 billion in value across a range of other companies.
FTX filed for bankruptcy less than 48 hours after a supposed rescue takeover from rival Binance. After news broke of the company's collapse, Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao warned of the potential negative impacts of the event on the cryptocurrency industry, saying, "a lot of consumer confidence is shaken, and I think basically it sets us back a few years."
Indeed, not long after the filing of bankruptcy, the event has taken a toll on the shares of financial services companies involved in the trading and management of digital assets.
The aftermath
Some of the apparent publicly-listed victims are Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD), MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) and Galaxy Digital Holdings (TSX: GLXY), all of which have fallen at least 15% the week of FTX's bankruptcy filing. Another company affected was Silvergate Capital Corporation (NYSE: SI), which posted a record decline after news broke of FTX's collapse.
More than a week following the event, the price of Bitcoin dropped to $16,132, causing a decline in the stocks of Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN) and other crypto-related listed companies.
Meanwhile, Cointelegraph's tracking of companies up to Nov. 17 showed that the event also affected institutional trading firm Genesis, blockchain financial services company Galaxy Digital, venture capital company Sequoia Capital, hedge fund Galois Capital, crypto lending firm BlockFi, exchange Crypto.com, investment firm Pantera Capital and crypto lender Nexo.
On Nov. 29, BlockFi also filed for bankruptcy, citing significant exposure to FTX.
Tougher regulations to follow
"With FTX going down, we will see cascading effects. Especially for those close to the FTX ecosystem, they will be negatively affected," warned Binance's Zhao.
He said the industry will likely face more regulatory scrutiny focusing on capital requirements and handling of deposits, which he thinks is "probably a good thing, to be honest."
In a research report, JPMorgan said the collapse of crypto exchange FTX and sister company Alameda Research would likely prompt the acceleration of crypto market regulatory initiatives already underway. JPMorgan expects the FTX bankruptcy to also elicit a greater sense of urgency for regulation in the US, which is something that may actually help crypto-related stocks avoid future FTX-like shocks.
MicroStrategy Graph and Fundamental Analysis (MSTR)1. Graphic Analysis
Since March 2020, the company has been showing a strong correlation with Bitcoin (as shown at the bottom).
The price is "respecting" the white diagonal line in a big triangle 3 times.
It remains to be seen whether this line will be restored or whether it will now take off for good.
Perhaps the fundamentalist analysis below indicates a subtle change in operating results, to the point of enacting the bottom of this cycle.
2. Fundamental Analysis
The result was announced on November 1st.
2.1. Income Statement
2.1.1. Revenues
Sales increased by 2.69%, going from $122M to $125M.
2.1.2. Expenses
Operating expenses have been flat since inception, ranging quarterly from $111 million to $122 million.
2.1.3. Net Income
Net Income shows how much money a company earns after expenses.
Since the year 2020, net income has had a negative performance.
Despite sales increasing by 2.69%, this has not changed.
The positive point is that in relation to the previous quarter, the negative profit deteriorated, going from -$ 1.06 Billion to -$ 27.08 M
2.1.4. Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares.
Analyzing since the 1st quarter of 2021, this indicator has remained negative, signaling that those who bought the company's shares suffered a loss, in line with Net Income .
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2.2. Balance Sheet
2.2.1. Asset x Liability
2.2.2. Total Assets
The total value of assets decreased by 2.13%, due to a reduction in current and non-current assets.
2.2.3. Total Debt
Debts remain stable, in the range of $2.24 billion to $2.45 billion.
2.2.4. Net Debt
Net Debt represents the amount of debt that would remain after a company had paid off as much debt as possible with its liquid assets.
This value also remains stable.
2.2.5. Net worth
It is what's left after subtracting total liabilities from total assets.
Equity was positive until the first quarter of 2022.
But in the last two quarters it was negative by -$200 million.
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2.3. Cash flow
2.3.1. Cash From Operating Activities
Cash From Operating Activities represents the amount of cash that a company gets from its ongoing, regular business activities, such as the production and sale of goods or the provision of services to its customers.
Considering the period since 2021, Q2 2022 (the previous one) was the one in which there was a negative flow of -$18.37M.
In the current quarter, positively, this negative flow has stopped, standing at $1.10 M.
But still far from the last positive value of the first quarter of 2022 which was $ 46 M.
2.3.2. Cash From Investing Activities
Cash From Investing Activities represents the amount of cash that a company brings in from its investing activities.
It includes any cash inflows or outflows from the company's long-term investments.
A negative value of Cash From Investing Activities can show poor performance, but it can also be a sign of increased investment activities.
Spending on investments has been declining.
From a peak of -$1B in Q1 2021, in the current quarter of 2022(3) the amount spent was -$6M.
This signals a trend towards the end of investment activities.
It may be due to the higher cost of money, and/or the lack of need for such an investment.
2.3.3. Cash From Financing Activities
Cash From Financing Activities is the amount of cash that a company receives or pays to finance its activities.
That is, the company invests this money in itself, specifically in the development of its business.
A positive value may indicate an organization's intentions regarding expansion and growth.
A negative value may be a sign of improvement in the company's liquidity if debts are paid off.
A negative value can also provide information on the dividend policy of the organization.
In the same way as investment activities, the value follows a downward trend, that is, the company continues to prioritize the consolidation of its activities, or prioritizing the settlement of its debts.
2.3.4. Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates as a result of its activities, excluding expenses on assets.
Free Cash Flow is sometimes considered the hardest financial metric to fake because of its calculation and for that reason, it's a popular financial metric in the investor community.
The current value remains positive at $769k, but far from the peak of $64M in Q1 2021.
Last quarter the balance was negative at -$19M, so we could at least consider this reversal as something positive.
2.3.5. Price to cash flow Ratio
It measures how much cash a company generates relative to its share price.
Formula:
Market Value/Cash Flow from main activities
The indicator remains positive and peaked at 69.46 in this current quarter.