ETH Short (Short term)ETH has just completed manipulation on weekly time frame which just closed earlier (2 hours ago from writing). Expecting down move to 50% of the weekly range ($1695) before continuing it's overall bullish trend to higher prices.
Able to position a short from $1818 to $1720 (range low).
$1816 is the opening of the 4 hour fair value gap.
Reference to ICT peoples 1W-> 4H.
Will write another idea on the overall long position.
Community ideas
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week
The latest April non-farm payrolls report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has attracted much attention from the market. The report shows that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs that month, higher than the market expectation of 130,000, indicating that the U.S. labor market still shows strong resilience. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, in line with market expectations, while the previously released March data was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000. This data adjustment is an official routine operation. In terms of wages, the average hourly wage increased slightly lower than the market expectation of 0.2% month-on-month, and fell short of the expected 0.3%; however, the year-on-year growth rate remained at 3.8%, higher than the current inflation level, suggesting that real income is still showing an upward trend.
After the release of the non-farm data, the market reacted quickly but the trend was divided. Spot gold fell about $9 to $3,250/ounce within a minute after the data was released, but then quickly rebounded to $3,255/ounce, with an intraday increase of 0.56%. In the short term, the two price levels of 3,260 and 3,265 have become the resistance levels of market attention. Overall, the unexpected performance of the non-farm payrolls in April has boosted the market's short-term confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. Risk assets may still have some room for growth in the short term, but in the medium and long term, downside risks are gradually accumulating.
After the release of the non-farm payrolls, the price of gold fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. The impact of recent non-farm payrolls on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its volatility is even less than usual. The gold 1-hour moving average crosses the downward short position arrangement, and eventually continues to diverge downward. Gold is now under pressure to fall back at the 3270 line, so next week, around 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although gold has rebounded, the decline is not large. If gold is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will be a shock at most. Gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260 next week, with a stop loss at 3270 and a target of 3240
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
Crude Oil Outlook and Trading Tips for Next WeekThe expected production increase by OPEC+, trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the risk aversion sentiment in the global economy dominate the price trend of crude oil. On Saturday, OPEC+ confirmed a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in June, intensifying concerns about oversupply. Technically, the bearish trend dominates the crude oil market. Due to the low liquidity in the Asian market caused by holidays next Monday, the oil price is likely to fluctuate significantly.
Last week, crude oil continued to decline and closed with a large bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Next week, the focus is on whether the oil price will break below the previous double-bottom support. In the short term, the oil price has been fluctuating within a range. Currently, it is under pressure and adjusting around $64.88 per barrel, and there are signs of it encountering resistance for the second time around the $60.2 resistance level.
In conclusion, it is highly probable that crude oil will continue to be under pressure. On Monday, it is advisable to mainly consider shorting on rebounds and supplement with going long at low levels. Pay attention to the resistance levels of $59.3 - $60.3 per barrel on the upside and the support levels of $57.7 - $56.3 per barrel on the downside.
USOIL
sell@59.5-59.20
tp:58.00-57.50
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
How To Book 1,000%+ Profits From Home —AVAUSDTHere is how to make 1,000% sitting at home. This is too simple, just buy and hold.
This is too short so I will have to write some more. I don't even know if this is legal, to make money this easily.
Travala (AVAUSDT) produced a classic, long-term, higher low and is trading above once a resistance level turned support. This opens the doors for growth. This is coupled by the fact that market conditions are about to change. Conditions are changing bearish to neutral, neutral to sideways, sideways to bullish, bullish to a strong growing phase.
Here is how to make an easy 660% in a matter of months. Buy and hold.
This is enough.
I hope you can take this winning chart setup home.
➢ If it drops, hold.
➢ If it does nothing (more sideways), hold.
➢ If it starts to rise, hold.
➢ Once your target is reached, sell and that's done.
It is very simple. It requires patience and beforehand planning. The plan has been explained above. Whatever happens, you just hold —focus on the long-term. If you can wait 3, 4, 5, 6 months, this is it, it is a done deal. Sometimes it can take 8 months but that's ok, because the amount of profits is great. Sometimes the entire bullish wave can develop within 1 month. We prepare to wait long-term but if our target hits sooner, even better. We take the profits and move on.
There is no way to lose. You can only lose if you sell when prices are below your entry point. If you hold until it grows, that's it. This can be done with all pairs. If it grows, good, take profits and move on. If it drops, wait until it recovers. A simple strategy.
Namaste.
Alpaca Finance Bullish Cycle Not Over: New ATH $6.99 (PP: 3395%)Alpaca Finance (ALPACAUSDT) already grew a nice 4,367% in April 2025. The market bottom was hit 17-April and really high volume came a day before. Then more volume and strong growth started to happen on a daily basis. Total growth from bottom to the 30-April peak amounts to the number listed above, but it is likely this isn't the end.
This wave of bullish action was just a recovery from a break of a long-term consolidation channel structure. After this wave of growth, the action is "back to baseline." Alpaca Finance is now back to zero based on TA.
You can see clearly the sideways channel on the chart as well as the two rounded bottom pattern.
You can find a new All-Time High projection sitting at $6.99 with a massive 3,395% potential but wait, more targets are also available. There is one at $2.74 for 1,270% and two other targets with one that sits within the previous wick high.
These long wicks tend to remove resistance, and this becomes a bullish situation. All the sell orders that were present all the way to $1.28 were filled when the late April wick high showed up. Now, after some consolidation, the market can resume with additional growth.
In this case you can use a stop-loss, the 11-September 2023 low.
This pair should not be traded by beginners. Beginners should focus on the charts with a bottom entry and price, the ones that I share daily. This is for advanced traders only.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline.
🔍 Likely scenario:
If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5.
Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance.
🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive:
A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction.
A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond.
🟢 Key Zones:
📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000
📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215
📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5
📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups.
Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
$AVAAI Looks Ready to Explode — Don’t Blink!$AVAAI looks locked in for the next leg up.
After a clean breakout from the previous resistance zone, the price is now forming a solid base above its classic bullish structure.
The trendline’s been respected. Buyers stepped in early.
Volume’s healthy. Structure’s is strong.
In my view, the chart is screaming continuation.
$0.095 and $0.11 could come faster than expected.
Don’t blink, this move could get explosive.
DYOR, NFA
#ALTSEASON #CRYPTOMOJO_TA
OG Strong Chart Will Yield 888% Profits Within 6 MonthsI had to choose between this one and Milan's fan token. I went with this one because the chart is different. Milan (ACMUSDT) has the same chart as Atlético de Madrid (ATMUSDT). So you know what to look for there and you can also know now that ACMUSDT too is also bullish and coming out of major market bottom and low.
OG's chart is much more different though, the bottom was hit in May 2022 with a long-term higher low in August 2024 and another higher low on the 3rd of February 2025. This is a strong pair based on TA and guess what? It is ready now for a new wave of growth.
"Higher lows lead to higher highs," is a saying that I like to repeat over and over because it sounds nice. It doesn't necessarily have to be true but it will be true this time.
Most of the Altcoins produced a lower low in April compared to February or March, the fact that OGUSDT produced a higher low in April is a signal strength. This is enough to support a bullish wave.
The four weeks of bullish consolidation (prices moving slowly higher and the sessions closing green) supports the higher low signal.
Low volume in this instance—context is always needed for a signal to be interpreted correctly—means that the real action is yet to start. Not that the "growth is weak" but rather that there is no growth yet. So this is a positive signal. The fact that the market isn't dropping and is slowly growing and consolidating will lead to a strong bullish jump.
Ok. The technical analysis and signals are in place.
Now that we are done with the technological jargon we can move to the part we like most, take profits targets (TP for short).
Spoiler alert! I use the fibonacci tool to extract my targets against all other methods because this has been proven the most accurate over the years. Period.
» The purple target at ~$43 can yield 888% profits.
» The red target at $32 can yield 634% profits.
» The blue target at $21 can give an easy 380% profits if you were to buy at the current price and sell when this target hits.
Will these target hit or will they miss?
Just wait and see.
I can assure you that the market will turn green. That's all that matters to me.
It matters to me to give you a great entry price and great timing.
You are the one that should focus on securing your profits, it is a win-win-win.
Abundance, love, wealth, health and peace.
Thanks for being with me.
When I am gone, you will miss me.
Namaste.
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gas vs. OPEC+🔥 #GasHasNoMercy
📉 Gas is again following the main scenario closely. We stayed out of the market most of the time, as the movement was a correction within the primary downtrend, which remains intact.
The wave is nearing completion. Historically, gas rarely reverses after weekends—it typically continues the previous week’s trend until Tuesday-Wednesday. However, we now expect oil to gap down at the open due to OPEC+’s decision to accelerate production increases. This creates uncertainty in gas’s reaction:
▪️ Logically, gas should rise (lower oil prices → reduced U.S. production → less associated gas → higher gas prices).
▪️ But the market might temporarily ignore this correlation and follow oil’s lead.
Current tactic: Trade with the trend (downward). Not advice or recommendation.
💬 Your thoughts?
🔄 Agree with the plan? Comment below ➡️
⚠️ Disclaimer:
My analysis is for discussion purposes, not trading advice. Trading gas with leverage and no stop-losses is like playing with fire—high risk to capital and mental health.
BTCUSDTHello traders! A potential short signal is forming on BTCUSDT. However, it's not ideal to open the sell position right now — we need to wait for the price to reach a specific level. Once it does, we can execute the trade.
So, what are the entry, TP, and SL levels for this setup?
If you’ve just started following me, let’s get started!
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 95828.00
✔️ Take Profit: 95507.18
✔️ Stop Loss: 95988.00
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
CAKEUSDT Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring CAKEUSDT for a selling opportunity around 2.17 zone, CAKEUSDT is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.17 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD recovers to initial target, confirmation point continuesOANDA:XAUUSD surged in the first half of trading on Monday (May 5), briefly surpassing the $3,270/ounce mark and marking a daily gain of more than $30. as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs spurred safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in June is also boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Bloomberg reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films, which is not a huge deal, but it does escalate the trade war. "I am authorizing the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately begin proceedings to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films imported into the United States," Trump wrote on his Truth Social social media platform. "We want our movies made in the USA again!"
Gold prices have risen nearly 25% this year, hitting a record high above $3,500 an ounce in April, but have retreated in recent weeks. Bloomberg notes that factors driving gold’s recent rally include safe-haven buying fueled by Trump’s destructive trade and geopolitical policies, as well as speculative demand from China and buying by global central banks.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on May 5: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 63.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 35.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1.1%.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still bullish as the price action remains above the important support EMA21. At the same time, the price channel that is noted as the main long-term trend channel remains stable.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of weakness as it falls to approach the 50 level, which is noted as the closest support in terms of momentum.
Going forward, if gold rebounds above $3,245, it could rebound to the short-term target of $3,267, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, and then the full price point of $3,300.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its long-term trend remains bullish, but the risk of a deeper correction is when the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level is broken below, once this level is broken below gold is at risk of further selling to $3,163 in the short term. This also means that technically gold is in an ideal support area for bullish expectations, long positions should be protected below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the coming period, gold has technical conditions that favor a bullish recovery, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,267 – 3,270 – 3,292USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3302⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3310
→Take Profit 1 3296
↨
→Take Profit 2 3290
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3173 - 3175⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3169
→Take Profit 1 3181
↨
→Take Profit 2 3187
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.6418
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6394
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6466
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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BLUEUSDT – Early Trend Reversal with Strong R/R Setup!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
In-depth market analysis
Accurate trade setups
Early access to trending altcoins
Life-changing profit potential
Let' analyse BLUEUSDT:
After months of sustained downtrend, BLUEUSDT is showing early signs of a trend reversal — and the current price zone offers a clean technical entry with strong risk-to-reward potential.
Technical Highlights:
MA Structure Shift: Price has reclaimed the green (short-term) and orange (mid-term) moving averages.
The purple MA (long-term) overhead now acts as the next resistance.
Minor consolidation above MAs indicates potential accumulation before continuation.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $0.08827 – $0.10085
Stop Loss: Below $0.07525 (beneath MA cluster and local support)
Target: $0.24389
→ Offering >2.5x R/R — ideal for both swing and mid-term spot positions.
What to Watch:
A clean daily close above the previous local high could trigger momentum toward the target zone.
Failure to hold above the green/orange MAs could invalidate the structure — hence, SL is key.
This is a “Buy the Retest” setup in a fresh reversal — those who missed the breakout have a second chance here.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!