Gold at Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? Dont Miss It!Technical Breakdown for XAUUSD
Impulsive Move and Correction:
The price made an impulsive move upwards, indicating strong bullish momentum initially.
After reaching the peak, the price began to form a correction pattern, which typically suggests that the trend might continue in the same direction after the correction is complete.
Descending Channel:
Within the correction, a descending channel formed. This pattern often indicates that once the correction is over, the price may break out in the direction of the original move (downwards in this case).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
1HR LQZ / Reversal: The current price is around the 1-hour Liquidity Zone, a critical area where buyers or sellers are likely to step in, potentially causing a reversal or significant price movement.
4HR LQZ: A longer-term liquidity zone that acts as a strong support level, where price may react and change direction.
Daily LQZ: Another significant support level on a daily timeframe that can influence long-term price movements.
Key Observations:
Lower High (LH): The chart shows a lower high, suggesting a potential bearish trend continuation.
Correction Pattern: The price forming a correction pattern within the descending channel indicates that traders should watch for a potential breakout, likely to continue the downtrend.
Trading Insights:
Trend Continuation:
The correction pattern within the descending channel suggests a possible continuation of the downtrend. Traders might look for breakout signals below the channel to confirm this move.
Reversal Potential:
If the price holds at the 1HR LQZ or breaks above the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing an opportunity for upward trades.
Key Levels to Monitor:
1HR LQZ: Watch for price reactions around this level for potential short-term trading opportunities.
4HR and Daily LQZ: These levels are crucial for identifying long-term support and resistance, offering potential entry and exit points based on how the price interacts with them.
Summary
Understanding impulsive moves, correction patterns, and liquidity zones can significantly enhance your trading strategy. By observing how price reacts at these key levels and patterns, you can make more informed trading decisions. Watch for breakout signals from the correction pattern and monitor the liquidity zones for significant price reactions to identify potential trading opportunities.
Patternsandstructure
Is Gold About to Surge or Drop? Handle XAUUSD's Next Big MoveChart 1: 15-Minute Timeframe
Key Observations:
Trendlines: The chart displays an ascending channel pattern. The upper and lower trendlines are drawn to capture the price action within this channel.
Resistance Zone: There is a marked resistance zone around 2470-2480, where the price has faced rejection multiple times.
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the ascending channel acts as immediate support.
LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, there is a significant level indicated, likely a liquidity zone or a potential reversal point from a higher timeframe.
Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe
Key Observations:
Higher High (HH): The chart indicates a higher high formation at the recent peak, suggesting an uptrend.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance zone around 2480 and holds, it could target higher levels around 2520 and potentially 2550.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and instead breaks down from the ascending channel, it could move towards the LQZ/Reversal points at 2429.19 (1-hour) and 2391.39 (4-hour).
Support Levels:
1-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, providing a potential support zone for a bullish reversal.
4-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2391.39, indicating a deeper support level from the 4-hour timeframe.
Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the current ascending channel.
Summary:
Immediate Focus: Watch the price action around the resistance zone (2470-2480) for potential breakout or rejection.
Bullish Confirmation: A breakout and retest above 2480 could signal a continuation towards higher targets.
Bearish Confirmation: A breakdown from the ascending channel and below the immediate support levels could trigger a move towards the lower LQZ/Reversal points.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2470-2480
Support: 2429.19 (1-hour LQZ), 2391.39 (4-hour LQZ)
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Gold Breaks 4HR Liquidity Zone: Reversal or Continuation?We provided a really clear outlook on XAU/USD yesterday evening at the start of Asia Session to look for a move to the top side or a possible start to reversal depending on reaction to the support zone being offered.
Today we have a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ being shown in this chart that we are currently participating inside of. Will price reverse after hitting our TP or Do we continue to follow the trend that is being given.
CORE LESSON:
When gold is in areas of unknown price that you have never traded before the TREND is your friend. You can find yourself wanting the market to do something because it fits your BIAS and plan better but the market is the wild west and it doesn't have to do anything you want. You anticipate and don't get caught on the side of just reacting to price.
Yesterday evening at the start of the Asia Session, we provided a crystal-clear outlook on XAU/USD. We were looking for a move to the upside or the potential beginning of a reversal, depending on the reaction to the support zone.
Today, we are witnessing a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ on this chart, and we are currently trading within it. The big question now is: will the price reverse after hitting our TP, or will it continue to follow the existing trend?
CORE LESSON:
When gold trades in uncharted territory, the trend is your friend. It's easy to develop a bias and want the market to fit your plan, but remember, the market is like the wild west—it doesn’t have to do what you want. Stay ahead by anticipating market moves and avoid getting caught reacting to price action.
ADDITIONAL INSIGHTS:
Understanding market psychology is crucial in these scenarios. Traders often get trapped in emotional decisions, influenced by fear and greed. Maintain discipline and stick to your trading plan. Watch for key levels and patterns that can indicate potential reversals or continuations.
Utilize proper risk management strategies to protect your capital. Setting stop-loss orders and taking profits at predefined levels can help mitigate risks and secure gains. Always be prepared for multiple scenarios and adjust your strategies accordingly.
Remember, successful trading is about adapting to market conditions and making informed decisions based on thorough analysis. Stay patient, stay focused, and keep learning from each trade to improve your skills and outcomes.
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect:
Risk Management Techniques
Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover:
Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ.
Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach.
The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability.
Market Perception in Key Zones
I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes:
Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472).
How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points.
Time Frame for Trade Execution
Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss:
Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames.
Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context.
Trading Sessions Participation
Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share:
My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities.
The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns.
Chart Analysis Overview
We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include:
Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ).
Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ).
Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower
levels.
Potential Trade Setup
Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ.
Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk.
Key Takeaways
Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades.
Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones.
Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution.
Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
Live Gold Trade Analysis: Catching the Breakout! Did I Miss It?Key Levels and Zones:
4hr LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at around 2437.909 - 2440.000.
This is a higher timeframe liquidity zone which often acts as a strong resistance or support level.
1hr TP 4 / LQZ:
Marked at 2419.433.
This level is a target point or liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, indicating a significant level where price may react.
15M LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at 2404.619.
This is a key level on the 15-minute chart, suggesting an area where there is liquidity, and price may find support or resistance.
LQZ 1hr:
Marked at 2396.143.
Another liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, which acts as an important support or resistance area.
Other Levels:
2390.821
2386.644
2379.627
Chart Patterns and Movements:
The price has shown a significant rise recently, breaking through multiple levels of resistance.
There is a noticeable ascending channel marked with blue dashed lines, indicating an overall uptrend on this timeframe.
The highlighted blue zone around 2390.821 - 2396.143 indicates a previous consolidation or support area that has now been broken through.
The most recent price action shows a pullback after hitting the 1hr TP 4 / LQZ level at 2419.433.
Key Observations:
The price is currently hovering around the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, which could act as immediate support.
The significant rise and sharp move up might indicate a bullish momentum in the short term.
The break above the blue highlighted zone suggests that the price might find support here if it pulls back.
Potential Trading Strategies:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, consider looking for buying opportunities with targets at higher liquidity zones such as 2419.433 and beyond.
A break above 2419.433 could further validate the uptrend, aiming for the next liquidity zones.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above 2404.619 and breaks below, consider looking for selling opportunities targeting the next support levels at 2396.143, 2390.821, and lower.
Range Trading:
If the price consolidates between 2404.619 and 2419.433, consider trading within this range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
Weakness in Bullish momentum. Did we see the top for Nasdaq?Lets look at CAPITALCOM:DXY
Currently with a Bullish structure and slow build up Long.
Seems it is attempting to reach that Monthly Area low.
Bullish Dollar=Bearish Equities....Right?
Well this has not been the case these particular past couple of weeks.
We have not seen with clarity the inverse correlation between DXY and Equities. In fact everything has been manipulated up.
Yes! I wrote manipulated do not get hung up on the word.
Back to Indices.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
CME_MINI:ES1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
These have a strong Bullish structure. NQ is showing signs of repricing with this pullback.
-Is it sufficient to slow down current Bullish momentum?
-Is NQ leading the indices in a reversal?
These are all valid questions, yet we do not have enough data to validate either or.
Bearish Equities seasonality could have kicked in.
This is the week of confirmation or at the very least for price to provide some sort of hint.
My targets for NQ providing price action confirms it are either a repricing to 17107.25 or a break of Highs.
-If we take out lows first then I would expect price to rally once again and make another attempt at Highs.
-An attempt at highs at the beginning of the week will look favorable for the Bears salivating over the Volume Void right at 17107.25
Here is a view of Weekly Charts for:
ES
YM
NQ
XAUUSD Geopolitical Tensions❤️Forex Besties❤️
INFORMATION
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East further lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD.
Delayed Fed rate cut bets could underpin the USD and cap gains for the non-yielding metal.
💲BUY GOLD 1980-1975 💲
SL @ 1970
TP 1 @ 1985
TP 2 @ 1990
TP 3 @ 2000
💲SELL GOLD 2013-2017 💲
SL @ 2022
TP 1 @ 2007
TP 2 @ 2000
TP 3 @ 1993
Everyone success..👍👍👍
❤️FOREX BESTIES WEB - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS
❤️NOTE
Gold price attracts some buyers amid sliding US bond yields and subdued USD price action.
❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital
⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On
⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage
⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat
⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed
⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital
⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
'Slow December' is a Myth.In this video I break down just two positions that shaped up last week on EURCAD and GBPNZD, both sells with a minimum return of 10% on both positions. Why is there always an industry gimmick of 'don't trade in December' when people have not even tested the data. Go back to December 2022, 2021, 2020, you will find positions in the market. Keep your focus on the task at hand and not on 'myths'.
V-BOTTOMTrading V-Patterns
The recognition of patterns and its body of knowledge of how to react and what to expect helps a trader's success.
Traders are always analysing 'Trends' and 'Reversals.' Their eternal question for traders is 'Can the trend continues?'. Knowing trends and trend reversals are critical for any trader’s success.
Chart patterns classification of 'Continuous' or 'Reversal' patterns helps
traders to identify specific patterns and expect their outcome from current price action.
Traders move prices between key support and resistance areas (a tug of war) as their perception shifts between optimism and pessimism. This movement of price adhering to key support and resistance areas create chart patterns.
Reversal patterns exhibit a total shift of trends from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish in a single pattern structure.
Examples of the reversal patterns are 'Head and Shoulders, Double Tops and Bottoms.
A knowledge of reversal patterns helps traders to estimate the 'end of trends' to execute trades in a timely fashion for maximum gains. This knowledge also helps traders to time the trades in the opposite direction and to place smaller stop levels.
Here I discuss one of the key reversal patterns ('V Chart Pattern') and present examples of how to trade them.
Please note, all V patterns are classified as a bullish 'V-Bottom' and complimentary
bearish patterns ('V-Top').
V Patterns As the name implies, the 'V' chart patterns have the letter 'V' shape and prices shift their momentum from an aggressive sell-off (Bearish) to aggressive rally (Bullish) in its structure.
The 'V' pattern consists of rapid price action and may not be suited for all
casual investors.
The 'V' patterns are formed when its trend is sharply switched from bearish to
bullish (in case of V-Bottom) or bullish (or sideways) to bearish (in case of V-Top patterns).
Trading V-Patterns.
EURUSD Chart it’s a mirror example of how a V-bottom structure looks like.
How to Trade:
Long Above the breakout Neck Line 1.07868
Stops:
Below the low previous to the breakout 1.04819
Targets:
38% Depth 1.12545
62% Depth 1.15479
79% Depth 1.17569
100% Depth 1.20230
NZDUSD CHART UPDATEHey everyone,
In our previous analysis price failed to give us the sharp impulse and retest/correction we were expecting after the break but instead price took the break out and rejected back into the patterns. Now we are approving the 3rd touch confirmation of the structure where we need to see patterns only or rejection candle formation.
WHAT ARE WE EXPECTING:
pattern formation(reversal patterns) or candlestick reversal formation.
TRADE BIAS:
BULLISH
HOW DO WE ENTER:
when pattern forms a sharp impulse followed by a retest/correction
SETUP INVALIDATION:
bearish pattern formation
TRADE CRITERIA:
#3 touch confirmation
#3:1
#double bottom and reversal pattern
thanks for reading
AS ALWAYS TRADE SAFE AND STAY SAFE!!
Yemi_Fx1 | Short for CADJPYSame bias for the pair but looking from the 1HTF perspective we can see a more clear Price action pattern rather to be caught up on wrong side of the market if focusing on lower timeframe.
I'll be considering
A Risk entry type at the top of the rising wedge structure at an area of value.
Reduced risk entry after the impulsive back down followed by a tight flag or break of the structure.
Share your thoughts in the comments and show your support for the idea by liking it. Thank you for your help.
BTC -Day 2015 and Covid Crash Correlation A follow on to our chart before this: “Please read the analysis below to make better sense of this chart.”
As we can see, our pattern for each time the 21 crosses above the 50MA, price tops out and retraces.
Also hitting our 100 EMA resistance in 2015 just as we are seeing in the charts Now - 2023!
However, unlike the 2021 cross, top and pullback followed by a bounce, this time price action plummets right through forming a second bottom in 2015 and a slightly higher double bottom in 2020 (Covid Crash!)
I have also added where the 1D Golden Cross occurred roughly the same area as we topped out.
We know the 1D Golden Cross is very exciting, however, we must always be aware for false signals!
This analysis is pattern charting purposes only. 😊
Most Misguided PatternsHello Traders!
Welcome back to another trade with Analyst Aadil1000x.
Today I am posting some education posts which I found necessary to post and share with the public.
Have you ever wondered if you figured out a pattern perfectly and try to trade it and you lost and then you wait for the same pattern to reappear and try to trade that pattern in a more perfect manner and you still lose? The reason is you have been taught wrong. Nearly 100% of the patterns that are roaming on the internet are wrong and it will lead to a loss.
I have posted some patterns to make money easily. Trading is a game of probability and if you trade my way then the win probability will be higher than 70% and if you follow the traditional way then I am sure your probability will not be more than 30%.
Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected
USDJPY - 240 MINS TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Gold indecisive Hi Traders,
As far as I am concerned Gold is yet to decide which way to go. It is not advisable to get caught with FOMO. I will wait for the breakout below or above the wither of the yellow zones as confirmation to buy or sell. Not advisable to take a trade within the triangle but better to wait for confirmation. I need a convincing break and closure below 1915 to sell and above 1940 to buy.
Happy trading...
update on bitcoin poised to dumpSo been stepping out on time frame and looking at the current run up as a smaler fractal of the run up to the ATH, and found some amazing confluence and patterns emerge as i drew this chart up, which shows that we are in a mirror image but on smaller time frame of the run up to ATH