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Bearish momentum on CADCHFTechnical analysis on CADCHF CADCHF is showing signs of a potential reversal toward the previous support around 0.60500 or the resistance around 0.6200.The overall momentum of the CADCHF is bearish as it's being for months. We are expecting it to continue trading below the 100 EMA on the daily chart Key levels Support- 0.6050 Resistance- 0.6200 Fundamental analysis on CADCHF - Canadian dollar remains under pressure due to bearish oil prices and dovish BoC rhetoric - CHF is holding strong on the safe heaven demand that it possess especially with the uncertainty around the global markets and risk off sentiment -Until the BoC signal a policy shift or oil prices increases.The Canadian dollar will likely continue to weaken. Conclusion CADCHF is bearish unless the resistance around 0.6200 is broken will clear bullish momentum
Short
by amahlebonga28
1
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025 🔴 Inside Bar Alert—Calm Before the Storm? 📊 Market Recap: Nifty opened at 24,284, marking a Gap Down of 51 points (-0.21%) from the previous close. The day began on a surprisingly calm note, but that didn’t last long. Within just 15 minutes, Nifty spiked over 100 points, rushing toward PDH (Previous Day’s High)—only to reverse sharply in the next 15 minutes and create a new intraday low. 📉 This wild back-and-forth action in the first hour was nothing short of a nightmare for intraday traders—especially those trying to catch a trend early. If anything, scalpers might’ve had the best time, capitalizing on the swift movements in both directions. For the remainder of the session, Nifty oscillated within the CPR zone, with a few false breakout candles that quickly retraced. The structure remained range-bound, indecisive, and tricky to navigate. 📅 Expiry Day Check: Deja Vu, Minus the Volatility If we set aside the unusually directional move of April 17th expiry, today looked like a textbook expiry day, much like the past 10 before it: Movement hugging VWAP Small false breakouts on either side No follow-through Today’s range: 132 points Avg range of last 10 expiries: 192 points This time, however, the volatility was muted, despite early session fireworks. 🕯 Daily Candle Structure: Inside Bar + Shooting Star On the Daily chart, today’s price action has formed a bearish Shooting Star–like candle, but here’s the kicker—it’s also an Inside Bar setup. 📌 What’s an Inside Bar? An Inside Bar pattern occurs when today’s high and low are completely within yesterday’s range (the “mother bar”). This signals consolidation or indecision, and often precedes a strong breakout. 📖 How to trade it? Wait for a decisive breakout above the mother bar high or below the mother bar low. Add confirmation with volume surge to gauge the strength of the breakout. 👉 Remember: The Inside Bar doesn’t predict direction—it just tells you a move is brewing. 📌 Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 328.34 IB Range: 108.40 (Small IB) Market Structure: Balanced 🎯 Trade Highlights: No Trade Opportunity Presented — The structure didn’t offer any valid setups within strategy rules. 🧠 Index Performance Snapshot: Nifty 50: -82 Points (-0.34%) Bank Nifty: -168.65 Points (-0.30%) Nifty 500: -57 Points (-0.26%) Midcap: -71 Points (-0.13%) Smallcap: -6 Points (-0.04%) 📌 Key Levels to Watch 📍 Resistance Zones: 24,330 ~ 24,360 24,480 ~ 24,540 24,800 📍 Support Zones: 24,190 ~ 24,225 23,950 ~ 24,000 (Immediate) 23,820 23,660 ~ 23,710 23,500 23,400 ~ 23,430 23,200 ~ 23,190 🧭 Final Thoughts: "Inside Bars are like market whispers—subtle, quiet, but worth listening to. The next breakout might just surprise you." ✏️ Disclaimer ✏️ This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
US500 - Will the stock market go up?!The index is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for the next Nasdaq buying positions with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The channel breakdown and the index entering the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position. The chief economist at Citigroup has stated that the imposition of tariffs in the United States constitutes a stagflationary shock to the economy. According to his estimates, there is a 40% to 45% chance of a recession. It is expected that GDP will increase in the second quarter, as consumers rush to make purchases ahead of the new tariffs. However, the most significant negative impact on U.S. economic growth is projected to unfold in the second half of the year. You may have noticed that recent economic statistics are no longer moving markets. The reason is simple: markets are forward-looking and trade on expectations rather than past data. Economic figures reflect what has already occurred, while market pricing focuses on what lies ahead. At this stage, current data has yet to fully reflect the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Even if weaker numbers emerge, markets may have already priced in the potential resolution of the trade war and an eventual recovery. Experienced traders understand that today’s developments are already factored into prices. What matters now is the outlook for the coming months—the real driver of market direction. Ryan Petersen of Flexport noted yesterday that, three weeks after the U.S.imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, bookings for ocean freight containers have dropped more than 60% industry-wide. He explained that the U.S. imports around $600 billion worth of goods annually from China, with those items valued at approximately $2 trillion at the retail level. He stated that the first ships carrying goods fully subject to the new tariffs arrived on Monday, and shipping volumes are expected to decline in the coming weeks. However, due to high inventory levels, the impact on the retail sector may be delayed. Petersen also expressed concern that a potential rollback of tariffs could introduce a new set of challenges. With ships currently being repositioned globally, a sudden wave of new orders could disrupt logistics networks—especially if markets perceive the suspension of tariffs as only temporary. In my view, no one really knows how this situation will evolve, as a large portion of imports consists of intermediate goods and components used in final products. My guess is that this could lead to a surge in transshipment and even smuggling, though it could just as easily echo the unexpected consequences seen during the COVID era. We are truly venturing into uncharted territory. Petersen concludes: “This is a strange era for global logistics, as we must simultaneously prepare for the unimaginable—like full U.S. self-sufficiency—while also planning for a return to something closer to normal trade relations.”
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
ARB Secondary trend. 24 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days (less is not necessary). ⚠️ Currently a decline from the maximum of -90% . For assets of such liquidity, these are not the lowest values, but perhaps the previous hype played a role in this. Work from the average price, or on a breakout , and you will not care when the reversal occurs. The main thing is to distribute the entry and exit points after the purchase in advance, that is, distribute the risk and profit. And, after that, no longer be interested in the asset, or opinions, or fictitious positive / negative news to stimulate demand / supply of “stupid money”. Do not get stuck in market noise and unnecessary, fear-driven or greed-driven opinions. Main trend (the entire history of cryptocurrency trading), for clarity of pricing and the zone for work now, which is discussed. ARB Main Trend 24 04 2025 🟣 Local trend. At the moment, a wedge-shaped formation has formed in it, there is an attempt to break through it and the price is clamped. 1️⃣ If this zone of minimums is held — for a start, the potential for a downward trend of the secondary trend (shown with a red line). 2️⃣ Then, when it is broken through , — to the channel median (green dotted line).
Long
by SpartaBTC
ARB Main Trend 24 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Previously a very hyped coin, "killer" of something there... Now - the dominant opinion is that this is a scam, a scam, "whales are selling now", and so on. It's funny to look at all this and how the opinion changes with the price. Crypto is a mess, there are no other words... That is, now is the time to take a closer look at the asset, and the start of the set. If the price drops to lower values ​​(shown on the chart), from the position of the trend, and potential percentages of the pump, the price is now acceptable, and the profit will be significant, but not "hamster". Set adequate goals, fix in parts as the trend develops, protect your profit. When there is an aggressive pump "with a stick", by a large %, - completely exit the asset, or protect the profit with a stop. There is a small probability that an asset of such capitalization, and the unrealization of "buy a candy wrapper", will be knocked down in advance before the full 3rd alt season of this cycle, without distributing "prospects" on the "revival of faith". ⚠️ Now the decline from the maximum is -90% . For assets of such liquidity, these are not the lowest values, but perhaps the previous hype played a role in this. Work from the average price, or on a breakthrough and you will not care when the reversal occurs. The main thing is to distribute the entry and exit points after the purchase in advance, that is, distribute the risk and profit. And, after that, no longer be interested in the asset, or opinions, or fictitious positive / negative news to stimulate demand / supply of "stupid money". Do not get stuck in market noise and unnecessary opinions driven by fear or greed. 1️⃣ If this zone of minimums is held — for starters, the potential for a downward trend of the secondary trend (shown with a red line). 2️⃣ Then, when it is broken , — to the channel median (green dotted line). 🟣Local trend At the moment, a wedge-shaped formation has formed in it, there is an attempt to break through it and the price is clamped.
Long
by SpartaBTC
1
DXY Long to 100 off bullish news from Trump 1. Current Data and research Macro Regime Business cycle - moving into recession territory. S&P is down from 6125 to 4842 at its lowest. That's a 21% drop - this crosses the 20% drop threshold. Inflation - Headline 2.4%. Slightly above 2% target. Core PCE is at 0.4%. This is higher than expected. Monetary Policy - Still at high interest rate levels of 4.5%. There's more room for cuts than hike in general. However, Tariffs is a spanner in this logic as it introduces inflation that needs to be controlled, and limits the cuts. Growth - Consumer sentiments - 50.8. This is a drop from 57. Not a good sign for confidence in the US markets Central Bank Outlook - Forward Guidance & Policy Path - "Wait and see" approach to see the full effects of the tariffs and will tackle. Unlikely to cut rates quickly due to inflation risks from tariffs. Flow & Positioning Factors - LDN and NY opens List of upcoming data German PMI - today US PMI - today Expectations German PMI - 47.5/50.3 - Unsure, but doubt there will be a huge surprise to the upside US PMI - 49.3/52.9 - Expect a downtrend here and close to the 49.3. It will invalidate longer-term trades if there's a huge surprise to the downside US Unemployment claims -NA -Expecting higher Bullish arguments - More pumping by Trump to prop the market up while the fundamentals are still likely to bad as tariffs are still there Bear arguments - The tariff is still the biggest elephant in the room and nothing has changed there. If anything, China has taken steps to prepare for a worse response in the future if US does not reach a negotiation. 2. Trade Thesis Directional Thesis I am expecting DXY to go back up to 100 due to a temporary strength in the USD from the good news for Fed Powell and Trump backing down in tariffs. Supporting Logic - Structural -- The DXY was holding 100 level before the Powell news. -- If the current news stays status quo, I expect prices to rise back up to that fundamental level after a brief pullback from 99.4 to 99.2 -Tactical A significant lower-high pivot point set on H1 chart. I need prices to remain above that 99 level. If it drops below, then the tactical levels do not work. - Flows Look for entry at either LDN or NY session open Expected Path - Pull back to 99.0 and now slow ascend back to 100 - There's a resistance level at 99.6. That would be TP1, and 100 would be TP2 Invalidation Logic - Fundamental Invalidation -- Trump tweets another fire Fed -- China escalates the trade war -- US PMI has a huge downside surprise (unlikely) - Price-Based Invalidation -- Price breaking below 99 Asymmetric Setup If I enter at 99.1X, this is a potential 1:4R trade with high confidence Trade Setup Entry level - 99.1 to 99.2 Scale-in plan (if any) - I can enter full size here Position sizing - 1% of account TP zones - TP1 - 99.6 - TP2 - 100 - TP3 - 101 (significant psychological level) Time stop Kill trade if a) Prices drop below 99 b) Prices do not bounce to the upside within 2 hours of LDN and NY open
TVC:DXYLong
by yuhaocooper