BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Signals
Lingrid | EURUSD possible REVERSAL from Critical RESISTANCE FX:EURUSD is currently testing a significant upward trendline while consolidating in a narrow sideways range just above this crucial support. Notable bearish signals have emerged, including a clear divergence pattern and a false breakout attempt above the previous higher high level – a classic trap for bullish traders. Adding weight to the bearish case, price action has formed a long-tailed rejection bar on the daily timeframe precisely at the key resistance zone that corresponds with the 2022 high level. This powerful rejection at historical resistance shouldn't be overlooked. I anticipate a meaningful pullback once price decisively breaks below the upward trendline support. This corrective move appears increasingly probable given that price has now completed a textbook ABC pattern on the daily timeframe. The completion of this pattern, combined with the other technical signals, suggests we're likely at an inflection point where momentum could shift significantly to the downside. My goal is supprot zone around 1.11550
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97K and 88KMorning folks,
So picture almost has not changed since our last talk. Now we get great setup on monthly chart with upside potential starting from 110K and up to 127K. And our task now is to join this coming action.
It would be great to get a pullback, but the shape of intraday market has changed slightly and it seems that BTC is forming 3-Drive "Sell" with target around 97K. Hopefully this pattern will trigger the pullback that we need.
If it happens, then the next area that we will be watching is around 88-90K, which is nice support area .
That's being said, our strategy for now is action to ~97-97.3K first and pullback to 88-90K second.
I mark this update as "bullish" due to our first point, but you've got the idea.
Lingrid | BTCUSD weekly BULLISH Closure Above KEY LevelsThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target level. Last weekly candle closed bullish showing bulls stepped in, and previous week BINANCE:BTCUSDT closed above the last 6 week highs. The market completed the ABC movement, therefore the market is moving sideways around the 95,000 level. At this point we can see the pullback in the market since it's testing the previous week high and ABC completion. This pullback would give us the opportunity to go long from the support zone in expectation of continuation. Looking left on the daily chart, we can see the price kept rebounding from the support level around 90,000 from November and February, which shows the importance of this zone. If the price pulls back toward this key level, the chance of bouncing off is pretty high. This historical support combined with the recent bullish momentum creates a compelling case for potential upside continuation after the current retracement completes. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 99600
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AVAX Analysis: Building Up for a Potential Breakout🔹 Since mid-December, AVAX dropped hard, losing more than 70% from the highs.
🔹 Recently, the coin found strong support around the $15 zone, testing it twice — possibly forming a double bottom pattern.
🔹 At the time of writing, price is consolidating right under the neckline and seems to be building momentum for a move.
Key technical points:
• Massive drop from $55 opens room for a stronger relief rally.
• A breakout above the $23 resistance would confirm bullish continuation.
• $18 is now the new support zone — as long as it holds, the bias remains bullish.
• Major target for bulls: $30–31 area.
🚀 Plan: Watching for a confirmed breakout above $23 for potential continuation higher. As long as $18 support holds, dips could be seen as opportunities.
Bitcoin: Short-Term Bullish, but Herd Mentality ReturnsAfter reaching my 75K target, Bitcoin started to recover nicely. In its comeback, it delivered two important bullish confirmations:
➔ First, it broke above the descending trendline around 84K.
➔ Then, it made a small consolidation, followed by a new leg up that pushed the price above the critical 92K technical zone — also reclaiming the psychological 90K mark.
At the time of writing, the price holds well above horizontal support. From a technical perspective, as long as the 90-91K area remains intact, we can expect higher prices. The next big resistance is around 100K, and if support holds, we might see Bitcoin testing that zone again in the coming days.
Speculators could look to buy dips as long as the structure stays healthy.
My take:
Even though the setup looks technically decent, I'm personally staying out for now. Once again, the crowd is shouting that "the correction is over" and "it's time to buy" — a classic red flag in market psychology.
S&P500: Rebound or Bull Trap?Over the past week, the S&P500 weekly chart showed a key technical signal: the formation of a bullish engulfing.
This pattern emerged after several weeks of strong monthly bearish pressure, suggesting a potential reversal attempt or, at the very least, a technical rebound.
Analyzing the key levels, the price reacted inside a major demand area (visible on the monthly timeframe), positioned between 5,450 and 5,500 points.
The reaction from this zone reinforces the validity of the engulfing and suggests the market could now aim for the first resistance targets around 5,600 - 5,650.
Further upside targets are located at 5,837 and 6,023, previously marked as high-confluence zones.
From an institutional positioning perspective, the latest COT Report (April 22, 2025) reveals interesting developments:
Commercials (big players) increased their long contracts by +22,226 units, showing strong interest in upside protection.
Non-Commercials (speculators) also increased their longs (+8,754), but added even more to their shorts (+20,667).
The Net Positioning for Non-Commercials remains negative but has stabilized at less extreme levels compared to March, suggesting a possible phase of accumulation or preparation for a sentiment shift.
📊 The Net Positions chart shows a reduction in net short pressure — a warning sign for those still heavily short.
Summary:
The weekly engulfing is a technical signal not to underestimate.
We are trading within a strong monthly demand zone.
COT data suggests a decrease in bearish pressure, although not yet a full sentiment reversal.
However, caution is necessary: a firm break below 5,450 would invalidate the bullish signal and reopen the path toward corrections at 5,200 and 5,000.
Current Strategy:
Slight bullish bias above 5,500.
Short-term target: 5,600 → 5,650.
Next targets: 5,837 and 6,023.
Invalidation level: weekly close below 5,450.
Watching the price action around key resistance levels will be crucial: the market will decide whether this rebound consolidates or becomes just a trap for new buyers.
GBPJPY Reclaims 190 – Ready for 195?After breaking below the 188.00 support zone and testing 184.50 support, GBPJPY quickly reversed, signaling strong buying interest and a classic false breakdown.
Last week, the pair also reclaimed the key 190.00 level – an important technical and psychological area – showing clear strength and readiness for a potential continuation higher.
The key question now: Is GBPJPY ready to launch towards new highs?
Here’s why I stay bullish:
- Strong rejection at 184.50 confirms buyer dominance.
- Recovery above 190.00 is a major bullish signal.
- Market structure now favors buying dips
T rading Plan:
I’m looking to buy dips, staying bullish as long as 187.00 remains intact.
🎯 Targeting a move towards 195.00.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Downtrend Continues- Is 3,175 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflects sustained bearish momentum, and sellers continue to dominate the overall direction.
The recent upward move appears to be a technical rebound, with price approaching a potential resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel. This area may now serve as a supply zone after acting as previous support, making it an important region for potential rejection.
If the resistance holds, a rejection here could lead to the continuation of the bearish trend, with a potential move targeting the support area around 3,175, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
However, failure to hold below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a retest toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Traders should monitor for clear rejection signals at resistance, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, or alternatively, wait for breakout confirmation before considering a trend shift. As always, proper risk management remains essential.
GBPUSD Rejected at Key Resistance – Bearish Outlook StaysLast week, in my GBPUSD analysis, I highlighted that the pair had reached a major resistance area – a level that has acted as both support and resistance over the past few years. I mentioned that a correction from this zone was very likely.
The market reacted perfectly: GBPUSD dropped from that resistance, and after the initial move, it entered into a consolidation phase.
The key question now: Is the correction finished or will the downside continue?
My outlook remains the same – I still expect further downside towards the 1.3000 level.
Here’s why I stay bearish:
- Strong historical resistance rejected the price.
- No real bullish momentum above 1.34 zone.
- Consolidation after the drop looks more like a pause, not a reversal.
Trading Plan:
I will look to sell rallies, staying bearish as long as the 1.3400 area (recent high) is not broken.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBP_NZD SWING LONG|
✅GBP_NZD dropped to
Retest a horizontal support
Level around 2.2200 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound so as we are bullish
Biased further growth
Is to be expected
LONG🚀
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CHF_JPY GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Around 172.500 and we are
Already seeing a powerful
Rebound so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
LONG🚀
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NZD-JPY Short From Falling Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is going up
And will soon hit a falling
Resistance line from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish pullback
And a move down
Sell!
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Lingrid | TONUSDT support REBOUND Confirms POSSIBLE Reversal The price has perfectly fulfilled my previous forecast . OKX:TONUSDT market bounced off the support level and is now showing clear signs of reversal. Additionally, price action broke and closed above the psychological level at 3.00, confirming bullish momentum. The price action is creating an ABC pattern, suggesting the market may reach the upper border of the channel. Currently, the price is testing the weekly high level, and from this zone, a short-term pullback may form. If the price retraces toward the swap zone, we can expect it to rebound and continue pushing higher. We should look at the current test of the weekly high for signs of temporary resistance before the anticipated pullback. My goal is resistance zone around 3.40
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HEIUSDT Falling Wedge Pattern Targets 150%-160% Gains!HEIUSDT is currently forming a strong falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal. The price has been consolidating within this wedge for some time, and we are now starting to see a breakout attempt with good supporting volume. This setup is gaining attention among investors who are looking for promising opportunities in the altcoin market.
Volume has notably increased, suggesting strong buying pressure is building up. Historically, falling wedges often lead to explosive upward moves once a breakout is confirmed. In this case, the projected gain is around 150% to 160%, which makes HEIUSDT a very interesting pair to watch in the coming days and weeks.
Many traders are keeping a close eye on HEIUSDT due to the solid technical pattern and growing market interest. If momentum continues and broader crypto sentiment remains positive, this breakout could lead to substantial price appreciation. Risk management is key, but the potential reward here looks highly attractive.
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✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
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XRP / RIPPLE | 30M | IMPORTANT LEVELSFriends,
I valued your requests and prepared the following Ripple analysis: If Ripple drops below the level of 2.1807 for 30 minutes, the target will be the 2.1424 level. This level holds a very significant support zone.
The most critical support level is located at 2.1085.
If Ripple does not fall below this support zone, my target level for Ripple will be 2.2495.
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Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
GBP_USD SWING SHORT|
✅GBP_USD has retested a key resistance level around 1.3400
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 1.3228 is likely
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a bearish correction
So after it hits the horizontal
Support area around 1.1280
We will be expecting a
Bullish move up on Monday
Buy!
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SILVER Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a local
Uptrend and the price made
A retest of the horizontal
Support level around 32.83$
From where we will be
Expecting a rebound and
A move up on Monday
Buy!
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ETHUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.800.9 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.828.4.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 94,137.25Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 94,804.43.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️