Smcconcepts
4R BTC Trade Idea4R BTC Trade idea...
After a big sell of yesterday, volume is very low.
To me, the 4HR has a bullish market structure within an overall 1D bearish structure.
BTC potentially formed a HL on the 4HR here and 15m CHOCH showed that it could be a confirmed HL.
So i am targeting the 15m swing high with tight stops.
4R trade...
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EURUSD Bullish OrderblockAfter yesterday's disastrous CPI news, EURUSD tanked from the strengthening of the USD and we can see a PDL OB formed on the EURUSD.
Although it is a strong bearish trend on the intraday timeframe, I know that price doesnt go in one straight line direction and counter-trend moves are needed to build liquidity for the inevitable bearish move down.
Recognising that this is a counter-trend trade, I manage my risks and set the buy limits on 50% fulfillment of the PDL OB.
What ensues is a no frills and nothing fancy outcome of 4.14R
There is still a current M15 supply above so perhaps could have taken partials or held the trade longer but I want to start off the week on a positive note since this is a counter-trend trade as well.
Abbreviations :
PDL - Previous Day Low
OB - Order Block
EURUSD ChoCH after CPI releaseToday we can observe a ChoCH aka "Change of Character" of the EURUSD trend from bullish to bearish on the lower intraday timeframe since the higher low was broken because of the high CPI news.
What this means is that the higher timeframe bearish trend is set to resume officially after the retracement we had in the past 2 weeks.
As an SMC trader, I see potential shorts at the new supply area created after the CPI news today.
As usual, sell limits will be placed at the 50% fulfillment of the new supply area with stop loss just above the PDH (previous day high) to give the trade some breathing room.
There is a high chance that price might not retrace to that supply area but if the trade does indeed get triggered, we can ride it down to potentially new ATL (all-time-lows)
Cheers !
ICT SMART MONEY CONCEPT (FVG/IMBALANCE) SELL SETUPBINANCE:SOLUSDT www.tradingview.com
On the Daily Timeframe, there is a Liquidity Sweep just above an old high before price has a Displacement to the downside breaking structure(BOS) leaving behind a fair value gap(FVG) or Imbalance if you will.
Currently, the price is making its way up (Retracement) to fill the Imbalance/FVG before having another leg down to take out the old swing low.
DISCLAIMER : THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE AS THIS IS MEANT FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
EUR/USD 15M Markup15M assessment:
remembering that the overall assessment is for price to drop to the 4H demand to then fuel the move towards the Daily supply, the POI's within the discount are the HP zones to look for longs for the continuation move which will in turn break the 15M structure to the upside.
GBPUSD LONDON/NY OUTLOOKPrice was creating lower highs and lower lows on the 4H which indicates a downtrend.
After a 4H break of structure, price retraced to a 4H bearish orderblock. I went down to the 30min timeframe and spotted another break of structure and currently awaiting a retracement to the orderblock that caused the bos doing london or New York.
$BTC 4.5R Short Trade IdeaLooking to short $BTC in the area shown on the chart..
4hr and 1D orderflow is still very bearish, so looking for BTC to form at LH at our point and ride it down into 4HR swing lows creating that BOS.
4hr, 1HR supply zone shown on chart.
4.5R trade...
Will be taking profits aggresively.
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AUD/USD Sell potential15M:
Price has broken the previous swing high and therefore is Bullish and the PA could be seen a a pullback.
Not the cleanest PA for the move up and price now look to be making a supply chain to the downside.
Price is within the premium which isn't the best probability for sell, but if price breaks through the internal low the sells could be looked for from the Supply zone created.
eur/usd sell potential 15M:
Overall Swing Leg is Bearish having reacted off the 4H and 15M extreme supply range.
Price has since been within a complex range. Currently price has fell and shown Bearish structure to the downside.
Assessment:
Wait for the IH or IL to break signifying further Bearish intent, identify the supply that broke the structure and see for potential sell off this zone.