Get started

SPX (S&P 500 Index)

SPY - dump or bull market is back?hi traders, Some months ago, we shared the idea where we explained that SPX will experience a correction: The targets were reached, and next we saw a decent bounce, which is very well visible on the monthly candle. Today, I see a lot of excitement about the monthly close, and many people call for a new all-time high soon. I want to bring to your attention the monthly close in 2000. It looks very similar to what we got yesterday. A long, lower-shadow wick resulted in a bearish imbalance characterised by an excess of sellers, exerting downward pressure. I still can see SPY/SPX retesting 570-580 levels, but it doesn't change the fact that lower levels may be tested in the next few weeks/months. We got a bearish cross on the monthly time frame, which is not a joke. If bears take control, I expect SPY to visit 460~ levels and later even lower: 410-408. Long story short: 1. Short-term bounce may continue. 2. Mid-term - bears will take control, and we will see a bigger correction. Do you agree? Share your opinion in the comments section
AMEX:SPYShort
by vf_investment
4
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 1, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Q1 GDP Contraction Raises Recession Fears The U.S. economy shrank for the first time in three years, down 0.3% in Q1. Weaker government spending and a rise in imports ahead of Trump’s tariff policies are weighing on growth outlook. 📈 Big Tech Lifts the Market Strong earnings from Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) and Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) have boosted sentiment. Meta’s revenue guidance and capex surge point to aggressive growth positioning in AI and infrastructure. 🏛️ Treasury Refunding Outlook in Focus Markets are watching the quarterly refunding announcement for clues on upcoming bond issuance. This could influence rate volatility as the Treasury balances deficits and market demand. 🌐 Risk-On Mood Despite Macro Headwinds Global stocks notched a 4-week high as traders bet on resilient earnings and central bank policy steadiness, even as U.S. macro data softens. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 1: 📈 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) Tracks new unemployment filings – a key gauge of near-term labor market stress. 📈 Continuing Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) Measures ongoing unemployment benefit recipients, reflecting persistent joblessness. 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET) Reports monthly change in total construction outlays — a direct measure of real economy investment. 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET) Provides a snapshot of U.S. factory activity. Readings below 50 suggest contraction. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
April 30 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis EOD accountability report: -1310 on a Eval. + 125 on Funded Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: I used a trailing stoploss ATM order by mistake, and got rid of the stoploss, because market zig zagging it up. BAD BAD Idea Market humbled me by showing me why i should always have stoploss on. Back to doing manual stoploss and getting rid of trailing stops because they are horrible during chops **Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System** 10:48 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal, — 2:29 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (triple sell) 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 (False signal, got cancelled right away) Next day plan--> Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
2
Will April Close with a Bang?You ever get that feeling the market’s just waiting for a reason to move? That’s where we are. It’s been a quiet start to the week – barely a pulse. And Tuesday? One signal. Just one. But it was a bullish pulse bar, and it paid. Price is still coiling, compressing tighter, and Bollinger Bands are pinching harder than a crab on Red Bull. We’re seeing the classic signs of range contraction – which usually means a range expansion is coming. So what’s the move? Stay bullish. Stay patient. And be ready to pounce the moment price breaks free. Today’s calendar gives us a few nudges – ADP, GDP, ECI, PCE – nothing major, but enough to cause a wobble or spark. The bias is bullish. The system’s ready. And if we break out of this pinch, I’m looking at 6106 on the swing. Even a dip to 5400 wouldn’t change the structure – just another spot to reload the bulls. Let’s finish April strong. Let’s grab another one by the horns. --- SPX Market View Let’s call it like it is – the market’s been locked in a deep freeze. Monday and Tuesday barely moved. Why? No real news. Month-end positioning. And a crowd of big players too busy doing their internal accounting gymnastics to push buttons. But while it looked like nothing happened, Tuesday’s single bullish pulse bar delivered the goods. One bar. One setup. One result: Profit. Now as we roll into Wednesday, things get spicy – not because the economic data is explosive… but because compression like this doesn’t last. The Bollinger Band width is pinched tighter than a tax refund cheque. And we know what that means: Tight range = pressure building. Breakout = opportunity waiting. So today’s plan? Stay bullish until proven otherwise. Use the pulse bar system to play range edges or trigger entries. Look for breakout confirmation to ride it toward 6106. Remain calm if we dip toward 5400 – structure still holds. Economic data today (ADP Jobs, GDP, Employment Costs, and Core PCE) might trigger volatility, but it’s not about reacting to the numbers… It’s about watching how price responds. We’re not forecasting. We’re not feeling. We’re waiting for the setup – then pulling the trigger. Price is whispering right now. Soon, it’ll yell. Be ready. --- Expert Insights: Mistake #1: Assuming news equals movement. Just because data drops doesn’t mean price pops. Fix: Always wait for price confirmation. Pulse bars > economic guesses. Mistake #2: Ditching the bias at the first wobble. A dip isn’t a collapse. Fix: Know your structure. Dips to 5400 are still within a bullish regime. Mistake #3: Forgetting the role of compression. Tight ranges often precede big shifts. Fix: Don’t ignore the squeeze. Bollinger Band pinch = breakout fuel. --- Rumour Has It… In a desperate bid to solve market stagnation, Wall Street has reportedly hired a motivational speaker named Terry the Turnaround Candle. His credentials? He once convinced a doji to become a dragonfly. Sources say he opens every session with, “Are you going to let that Bollinger Band define you?!” Meanwhile, the Fed is beta-testing new AI price models based on squirrel hoarding patterns in Central Park. Traders remain cautiously optimistic. Squirrels remain heavily long acorns. This section is entirely made-up satire. Probably. --- Fun Fact Did You Know? The term “month-end rebalancing” sounds official… but it’s really just fund managers shuffling things around so their spreadsheets look prettier. They often trim winners, pad laggards, and balance sector weights. But in low-volume markets like this week, even tiny shifts can cause weird little waves that trigger setups. So when price “randomly” spikes or dips late in the session on month’s end? It’s often not news – it’s bookkeeping chaos in disguise. Which is why we trust setups, not headlines.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Palantir Goes to Repeat Tycoon Buffett Early 1990s AchievementSomewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas. 1️⃣ What was your best trade this year? 2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025? Here's what we answered: 1️⃣ What was your best trade this year? - Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖 I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here . Current result is 5X, to $80 per share. Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here . Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share. 2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025? - Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖 It's gone 4 months or so... (Duh..? Ahaha.. 4 months, really? 😸😸😸) Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean. Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is better vs SPX Falling (Red) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is worse vs SPX Conclusion Palantir. The stock that outperformed S&P 500 Index, 11 consecutive months in a row. Palantir. The stock that printed 11x since inception. 5.5x over the past twelve month and 1.5x in the year 2025 (the best one result so far over the all S&P 500 Index components). Palantir. The stock that goes to repeat Tycoon Buffett achievement early 1990s (in 1992-93 Berkshire Hathway outperformed S&P 500 Index for a straight TWELVE MONTHS. Palantir. Were we right with this stock on contest and won it? Exactly! Even though our prize has been toadly strangled. 🤭 -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Bessent's Trade Remarks Stir Markets Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the U.S.'s readiness for a significant trade deal with China, suggesting potential easing of the ongoing tariff war. His comments have heightened investor anticipation for developments in U.S.-China trade relations. 📉 China's Factory Activity Contracts China's April manufacturing PMI is projected to fall below 50, indicating contraction, as recent U.S. tariffs impact production. This downturn raises concerns about global supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown. 💼 Major Earnings Reports on Deck Investors await earnings from key companies including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), and Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ). These reports will provide insights into how tech giants are navigating current economic challenges.​ 🏛️ Treasury's Borrowing Plans Under Scrutiny The U.S. Treasury is set to release its quarterly refunding announcement, detailing borrowing plans amid economic uncertainties and the impact of recent tariffs. Market participants will closely analyze the guidance for implications on interest rates and fiscal policy. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 Q1 GDP (8:30 AM ET) Forecast: 0.3% QoQ Previous: 2.4% Initial estimate of U.S. economic growth for Q1, reflecting the early impact of new trade policies. ​ 📈 ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) Measures private sector employment changes, offering a preview of the official jobs report.​ 📈 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET) Assesses business conditions in the Chicago area, serving as an indicator of regional economic health.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
April 29 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +686.25 Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: Overall a decent day, but signals felt iffy today. **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** — 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :x: 1:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x: 1:51 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 2:20 PM VX Algo ES X1 Sell Signal :x: — 3:38 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (Double signal) Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by WallSt007
S&P500 repeating the 2019 recovery-Can hit 7000.The S&P500 index (SPX) is making a remarkable recovery as it completed yet another strong 1W green candle last week following the rebound on its Higher Lows Zone, near the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This is a mirror price action with the last 1W MA200 rebound of the 2016 - 2019 Bullish Megaphone pattern, which not only recovered its previous All Time High (ATH) but also peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension before the eventual 2020 COVID crash. As a result, we believe that a 7000 Target is a very plausible one on the long-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
April 28 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +1228 Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: Signals were pretty on point today, almost all of them worked out effectively, I mainly use the signals to guide my direction and 20pt stoploss to prevent the position from blowing up. **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** — 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (B+ Set up, triple sell) 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 12:35 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal) — 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal 2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Fundamental — Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry. Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form. Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE. This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums. This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Anticipation Builds for Key Economic Data: Investors are on edge as they await a series of critical economic reports this week, including GDP growth figures and the April jobs report. Concerns are mounting that recent tariff policies may have begun to weigh on economic performance, with forecasts suggesting a significant slowdown in growth. ​ 💼 Earnings Season in Full Swing: Major corporations are set to report earnings today, including AstraZeneca, Honeywell, Regeneron, PayPal, PACCAR, Kraft Heinz, Ares Capital, SoFi, Zebra Technologies, Incyte, Repligen, and Commvault. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into how companies are navigating the current economic landscape. 📉 Market Volatility Persists Amid Trade Tensions: The stock market continues to experience volatility as investors grapple with the implications of ongoing trade disputes and tariff implementations. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could further dampen economic growth and corporate profitability. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 29: 📦 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET): Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. These figures provide early insights into trade balances and inventory levels, which are critical for assessing economic momentum. ​ 📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. A decline in confidence could signal reduced consumer spending, impacting overall economic growth. ​ 💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. This data helps assess the health of the job market and potential wage pressures. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Bull in a China Shop. The S&P 500 Index After 100 Days of TrumpPresident Donald Trump's first 100 days in office were the worst for the stock market in any postwar four-year U.S. presidential cycle since the 1970s. The S&P 500's 7.9% drop from Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 to the close on April 25 is the second-worst first 100 days since President Richard Nixon's second term. Nixon, after taking office as President of the United States (for the second time) on January 20, 1973, witnessed the S&P 500 index fall by 9.9% in his first 100 days in office, due to the unsuccessful economic measures he took to combat inflation, which led to the recession of 1973-1975 when the S&P 500 index losses of nearly to 50 percent. It all started in January 1973 in the best soap opera traditions of Wall Street, at the historical peaks of the S&P 500 index.. ..But less than two years later it quickly grew into a Western with a good dose of Horror, because the scenario of a 2-fold reduction of the S&P 500 index was unheard those times for financial tycoons and ordinary onlookers on the street, since the Great Depression of the 1930s, that is, for the entire post-war time span since World War II ended, or almost for forty years. Nixon later resigned in 1974 amid the Watergate scandal. On average, the S&P 500 rises 2.1% in the first 100 days of any president's term, according to CFRA, based on data from election years 1944 through 2020. The severity of the stock market slide early in Trump's presidency stands in stark contrast to the initial "The Future is Bright as Never" euphoria following his election victory in November, when the S&P 500 jumped to all-time highs on the belief that Mr. Trump would shake off the clouds, end the war in Ukraine overnight, and deliver long-awaited tax cuts and deregulation. Growth slowed and then, alas, plummeted as Trump used his first days in office to push other campaign promises that investors took less seriously, notably an aggressive approach to trade that many fear will fuel inflation and push the U.S. into recession. The S&P 500 fell sharply in April, losing 10% in just two days and briefly entering a bear market after Trump announced “reciprocal” tariffs, amid a national emergency that gave him free rein to push through tariffs without congressional oversight. Then Trump began yanking the tariff switch back and forth, reversing part of that tariff decision and giving countries a 90-day window to renegotiate, calming some investor fears. Many fear more downside is ahead. Everyone is looking for a bottom. But it could just be a bear market rally, a short-term bounce of sorts. And it's not certain that we're out of the woods yet, given the lack of clarity and ongoing uncertainty in Washington. Time will tell only... -- Best 'China shop' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
S&P500: Buying accelerating as the bottom is confirmed.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.628, MACD = -41.490, ADX = 32.588) as it has been volatile during the day but on the long-term, it has resumed the bullish trend, making a strong recovery last week. The bottom is now confirmed (above the 1W MA200) and as the oversold 1W RSI was bought, the index eyes a +28.50% rise on the medium term, same as in early 2024. This falls practically on the previous ATH level (TP = 6,150). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
S&P500 - The bottom we have been waiting for!The S&P500 - TVC:SPX - officially created the bottom: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) This month we officially saw one of the craziest stock market fakeouts of the past decade. With a drop and reversal rally of about +15%, the S&P500 is about to even close with a green monthly candle, which then indicates that the stock market bottom was created. Levels to watch: $120, $250 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
13
S&P 500 correction before the global fall.S&P 500 correction before the global fall of the usa stock market. Hey traders! I’m sure many of you have noticed that after the introduction of retaliatory tariffs, the markets started getting pretty choppy. The S&P 500 took a serious dive. • On the weekly chart, I’ve marked a support level + the 161.8% Fibonacci level, where we might see a bounce back to the $5680–$5800 range. • But from there, I think we could see the start of a major crash—both in equities and crypto—that could last 1–2 years. • Based on my estimates, the S&P 500 could drop back to 2020–2021 levels, a wide range of 2200–3000. • For Bitcoin, we’re talking around $5000; for Ethereum, $100–$300; and for Solana, $2–$12. 3D Chart: 3W Chart: Real-world events that could tank the stock market this hard: Global Recession: If major economies (US, China, EU) slide into a recession at the same time—think trade wars, rampant inflation, or a debt crisis—investors will dump risky assets like hot potatoes. Trade War Escalation: Harsher tariffs between the US and China/EU could wreck supply chains, crush corporate earnings, and spark a full-on market panic. Geopolitical Conflict: A big blow-up—like a full-scale war or crisis (say, Taiwan or the Middle East)—could send capital fleeing to safe havens (gold, bonds), while stocks and crypto get slaughtered. Collapse of a Major Financial Player: If a big bank or hedge fund goes bust (Lehman Brothers 2.0-style) due to an overheated market or bad debt, it could trigger a domino effect. Energy Crisis: A spike in oil/gas prices (from sanctions or conflicts, for example) could kneecap the economy and drag risk assets down with it. Market Bubble Burst: If the current rally turns out to be a massive bubble (and plenty of folks think it is), its pop could pull indexes down all on its own. Looming Wars: A potential Russia-Europe war starting as early as 2025, or an Iran-Israel conflict that drags in multiple nations, could destabilize global markets, spike energy prices, and send investors running for the exits.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SergioRichi
April 28, 2025 - Broken Supply Chains, and the DC CircusHello everyone, it’s April 28, 2025. The week ahead promises to be spectacular (or a complete disaster) depending on which way the wind blows out of Washington. So far, the futures are down about 0.6% this morning, as everyone’s trying to cut risk ahead of a week crammed with Big Tech earnings ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:META ), a mountain of macro data (PCE, GDP, ISM, jobs), and of course, the never-ending Trump tariff soap opera. On the US politics front, Trump stayed uncharacteristically quiet over the weekend, no new bombshells. But whispers about “talks” with China surfaced, without any real confirmation. Meanwhile, several countries are supposedly rushing to negotiate tariff deals with the US. Expect headlines (and chaos) throughout the week. Supply chains are starting to crack. Container traffic from China to the US has plunged 60%, and if deals aren’t made by mid-May, we could be staring down empty shelves and layoffs in transport and retail sectors. Think “Black Friday” without anything to buy. Meanwhile, the drama at the Fed continues. Kevin Warsh, still salty about not replacing Powell, attacked the Fed’s “media circus” style, blaming it for post-Covid inflation. Warsh wants the Fed to go old-school: shut up, protect the dollar, and stop playing superhero. No forecasts, no endless press conferences. Just cigars and silence. On the macro side, this week’s economic data could turn into a horror show: weak jobs numbers, soft GDP, slowing PCE, all raising the probability of recession. If that happens, expect markets to start begging the Fed to cut rates sooner rather than later. Assets snapshot: • BLACKBULL:WTI : $63.36 • OANDA:XAUUSD : $3,307 • INDEX:BTCUSD : $94,000 In short: expect maximum volatility, endless surprises from DC, and a market that could spin on a dime. Stay sharp, stay skeptical, and brace for anything.
SP:SPX
by SmartApingAI
Stromm | S&P 500 & NASDAQ a RESISTANCE is NearThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are basically moving in lockstep right now — their structures look almost identical. Starting with the S&P 500: We’re currently trading into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap between $5,546 and $5,634, Sitting just under a 4-hour Order Block that could trigger a short-term reaction. At the moment, though, it doesn’t really look like we’re going to flush all the way back down toward the $5,000 level (2-hour Order Block sitting much lower). More likely? This 4h Order Block just gives us a brief pullback, a minor reaction — and then price pushes higher again. This would line up perfectly with my original scenario of Wave A completing around $4,805. Personally, I’m already positioned around $4,800, so obviously, I'd love to see that level hold and price continue moving higher — ideally heading toward $6,000. That would be the perfect extension — but nothing is guaranteed yet. Still, structure right now leans bullish unless we see a sudden breakdown. Now, for the Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! : Almost the same setup — We have a 2-hour Order Block just above the current price, acting as short-term resistance, And another 2-hour Order Block way lower, which now seems less likely to be tested unless something drastic happens. So for the Nasdaq, the most realistic short-term scenario: Hit resistance at the current 2h Order Block, Maybe a small pullback toward 18,900–19,000, Then continuation higher toward 20,000 or even 21,000 over the next few weeks.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
1
SPX: confusion will continueFinally some positive sentiment on the US equity markets. The S&P 500 marked a weekly gain of 4,6%, while investors are waging the relaxation of the ongoing trade tariffs war. Regardless of estimates of the future impact of imposed tariffs, the US tech companies are still posting relatively good results. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.525, which was the market low in March and beginning of April this year. Alphabet gained 1,5% during the week, on the wings of posted relatively good results above estimates. Other big tech companies were also supported, like Tesla, Nvidia and Meta. Only on Friday, Nvidia gained 4,3%, while Tesla advanced by 9,8% within one day. Regardless of positive weekly results, it is still not time to celebrate. The news regarding trade tariffs coming from the US Administration still continues to be mixed, bringing a high level of confusion among market participants. In this sense, it could be expected that volatility on the equity markets will continue also in the future period.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
$SPX Sell in May, Go Away, $5k, Dead Cat to $5.3k, $4.8k by EOMAlrighty. My forecast is as follows. I made a video explaining just a quick thought and here's the video in a written version for the most part. Basically, I'm a pattern chart trader and I spend the majority of my days looking for specific candlestick patterns that match candle for candle. I cannot find anything remotely close to today's Price Action besides October 2001. I have been and will continue to be doubted and that's okay. I am not here for anyone except myself and anyone that wants to gain a fresh unbiased perspective. People have called me a Permabear but that only pertains to my personality, which is that of a realist. I do not believe investing for the next 20-50 Years will work for everyone. You'd have to do it well and continuously contribute even during the down days. Either way. This is the analog I will be following. Fib is Extended way beyond Blow Off Top measurements imo. The market gained 50% in One Year and Three Months. I'd like to think that the uncertainty being priced in will cause these Deeper Fib Retracements. We already crashed down to the 1.61 GOLDEN POCKET from above and now bounce back to Secon Golden Pocket at 2.61. Based on the past behavior, now we move back to 2.0 for a move to the original extension of the 1.00 Fib. If we lose this, we start moving back to the 1.27 near $4.74k on SPX where I will then be looking for one final dead cat to $5300 by mid August, Every July dip being grabbed up ... Final Sell in August for an End of Year Crash to Mark 2025 as one of the worst years ever in Life as far as the Market goes. Good Luck everyone. Tips always welcome.
SP:SPXShort
by TazmanianTrader
3
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 28 – May 2, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 President Trump's 100th Day in Office: Wednesday marks President Trump's 100th day of his second term. His administration's protectionist tariffs continue to influence global markets and political landscapes, with notable impacts observed in Canada, Australia, and the UK. 📉 Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators: Investors are closely monitoring the effects of recent U.S. tariffs on economic performance. Key data releases this week, including GDP and employment figures, will provide insights into the economy's resilience amid these trade policies. ​ 💼 Major Corporate Earnings: This week features earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, ExxonMobil, and McDonald's. These reports will offer a glimpse into how large corporations are navigating current economic challenges. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, April 28: 🏠 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership (10:00 AM ET): Provides data on rental and homeowner vacancy rates, offering insights into housing market dynamics. ​ 📅 Tuesday, April 29: 📈 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET): Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. ​ 📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. ​ 💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 GDP (Q1 Advance Estimate) (8:30 AM ET): Provides an early estimate of economic growth for the first quarter. ​ 💳 Personal Income and Outlays (10:00 AM ET): Includes data on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. 🏭 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET): Assesses business conditions in the Chicago region, reflecting manufacturing sector health. ​ 📅 Thursday, May 1: 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Reports total spending on construction projects, indicating economic activity in the sector. ​ 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Measures the number of new filings for unemployment benefits, reflecting labor market conditions. ​ 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): Provides insight into the manufacturing sector's health through a survey of purchasing managers. ​ 📅 Friday, May 2: 👷 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Reports the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector. ​ 📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Indicates the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. ​ 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Measures the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao