S&P LongS&P has hit below its 50 year mean average meaning investors and institutional buyers are going to be delighted to get back into S&P, we're waiting for a higher low to present itself before buying into S&P, Volume flow on the weekly chart has crossed 0 and we're expecting this to now hold above it, Squeeze indicates it is dying out for sells, exciting times ahead if everything goes to plan. We have several TP's set to secure profit but we will be keeping on our buy long term if price reacts the way we hope it to.
GL
Spxanalysis
US500 LongHey traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 4220 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed.
Trade safe, Joe.
$SPX Correction Level PotentialAsset & equity valuations are elevated across the board given unfettered QE. Loose monetary policy and a dovish Fed are no longer sustainable in the face of rising inflation at levels not seen since the late 1970's.
Major SPX retracement levels since 2020:
1. dot.com bubble realized >50% retracement
2. 2008 housing bubble realized >57% retracement
3. 2020 pandemic realized >35% retracement
Bringing these levels forward, SPX has realized nearly 15% correction from ATH... further correction is likely.
Given 3 previous corrections, this gives approximate correction targets of:
1. 35% retrace: 3140
2. 50% retrace: 2400
3. 57% retrace: 2050
S&P 500 A study of Market Cycles: Will History Repeat Itself?This video is a study of the history of The stock market when it comes to bull cycles and consolidation/ranging periods, which I think is a very educational thing to investigate in a period of market correction like the one we are currently living in. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice.
SPX - Relief rally soon? Key highlights:
1. Bounced off weekly demand
2. Closed just above 50MA on weekly
3. Bounced off weekly support level
4. Formed a high volume Hammer on weekly
5. Formed a bullish engulfing on daily
6. Trying to reclaim 200MA cluster
7. RSI oversold on daily and is curving back upwards.
Conclusion : Expecting a relief rally in the coming week.
Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
SPX's William % & Stoch weekly conflicting results !!!I could not find a set-up for both indicators ? for tops they both can stay up their hitting the Roof for months !!! .
it is like a dog chasing his tail !!! literally . For bottoms William is much better in searching for one. but, as usual
it gives quite early signal !!! which make it risky if used alone and quite frankly you could get caught in the middle or miss !!!
wish u all the best.
$SPX possible ABC correction $SPX hit a rejection at the 0.702 retracement fib 4745 and potential could be in an ABC correction that could be the start of a larger selloff down to 4400 eventually. $SPX is now currently battling the 4645 area, a break above 4650 should take it to 4700 next where it’ll face resistance and likely resume a downward trend. $SPX breaking above 4745 will invalidated the bearish setup
SPX & OCTOBER 1995-2020 60 % DOWN 40 % UP WATCH FOR TRAPS !!!This month seems another month of H.V . Also, it seems we can not go sideways either up or down 60 - 40 favoring down side .
Another observation is that more than 15 % we get a trap just around the first 1-9 days +- .
BE SMART NEXT SERVRAL DAYS !? BE NIMBLE ! LOSING AN OPORTUNITY, IS BETTER THAN LOSING CASH :-)
wish you all the best.
SPX Leading the wayAs SPX has been leading the way this week, today was no different. Starting off with some downward pressure seaking liquidity it found some @61.8 level and gave a really nice reaction pushing towards the previous 2 day highs but not closing above. this leads me to believe were going into a bit of a range so im looking for this rally to be short lived and possible downside Thursday. watch for a positive retail sales number as this could drive the price higher.
Interesting correlation between S&P 500 and VIXI have noticed this correlation between S&P 500 and Vix.
1. Whenever there is a spike in volatility and volume, that seems to mark the bottom for SPX.
2. This theory seems to be holding for the last 7-8 months.
3. Currently, we are facing a similar kind of situation. The Vix has spiked and the price is tanking.
4. If the theory holds its value, the bottom may be reached soon.
5. However, this is just a probability like every other theory. Hence, we will have to wait and see it out.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This chart is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
S&P 500 still going up !! Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
The SPX keeps going on as the Index price moved from 4147.36 to the range of 4371.08 in the last month alone almost a 5.4% increase in 30 days , the price seems to be moving in an rising wedge with no breaking of the trend line, the bulls trying not to lose control to the bears and they hope to keep working to keep this uptrend going and so far it looks like its still on the move.
Using different indicators confirm this movement where we see that :
1_The SPX is at 4327.15 moving above the MA at 4139.02 and EMA at4140.38 (bullish sign)
2_The RSI is at 67.54 showing great strength in the market almost reaching overbought levels, no divergences between the RSI and the market price (bullish sign)
3_The ADX at 26.09 showing that the market is trending with a positive crossover with DI+ at 26.09 above DI- 13.34
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1_ 4315.42 1_4397.65
2_ 4261.28 2_4425.74
3_ 4233.19 3_4479.88
Fundamental point of view :
The prior week saw a bit of excitement around the S&P 500, with the index pulling back on Thursday to trendline support. But the move on the Friday following that sell-off was a pronounced bullish engulfing candlestick that propelled price action to another trendline, helping to mark resistance on a rising wedge pattern.
That bullish engulfing candlestick led into another move of strength on Monday, with prices setting that fresh all-time-high, with another showing up in US markets on Tuesday a few hours after that 5.4% CPI print.
While rising wedge formations will often be approached with the aim of bearish reversals, given the length and force of the move, there’s not yet a bearish trigger nearby. For that scenario to begin to set up, traders would likely want to look for a test below near-term support around 4280, followed by a test of longer-term support around 4127. That could begin to set a reversal framework into motion.
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This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view , not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
SPX500USD 2021 July 12 WeekOANDA:SPX500USD
SPX500USD 2021 July 12 Week
Bar 1 confirmed as SOW and move was manifested on 06 Jul. Theme last week was similar
to Nasdaq - trapping longs and shake out
Weekly chart: Net gain from previous bar has diminished, volume has picked up slightly..
Daily chart: No significant weakness observed
H4 chart: Shortening of trust, weakness manifesting
Strategy:
Long on retracement is preferred.
1) If price returns to test bar 2, long when price is supported
2) Last bar shortening of thrust. If price hovers around that zone, we may have short opportunity
3) If you see a sudden spike in price and bar closes on its low, forming an upthrust, don't chase
Like and follow if you find this useful :)
Have a successful week ahead in whatever you do