Spyanalysis
SPX TOP!! Final leg to 6100 by July 22nd 2024This just lines up so perfect for me. A measured move from the March 2020 lows would be 6100 in July 22nd ish 2024. That would line up with the tops from 1929 and 2001, oh man. At that point I'm selling it all and running for the hills cuz it could get REAL nasty.
SPY $ Target 2023we got rejected for the 5th time at our bearish channel, if we don't clear that channel above the 400$, is means we going to have a test first for the support above the 355$ then to the bottom price around the (320$/340$) .
on the other hand if we broke that channel , is means that will be the first sign for bullish reversal , and the second signal which is the most strongest one is breaking the 430$ resistant .
SPY - Price Targets & Stop Loss📈 What’s up investors! 📉
Welcome back to another one of
💡“Mike’s Ideas”.💡
I post as I find signals… these signals are based on the personal rules I have built and follow in order to make up what I call the “SST Strategy”. Follow for more ideas in the future!!
I have 4 levels marked and colour coded on the Chart.
These levels are:
⚪ White = Entry Point
🔴 Red = Stop Loss
🟢 Green = 1.2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🟡 Yellow = 1.5:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🔵 Blue = 2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
👀 So what are we looking at today…!!!
🚨( SPY ) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust🚨
The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the "Portfolio"), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.
The Fake Out Break OutQuick post to those of you who've been following some of my ideas. I had previously drawn the similarity between now and 2008 in terms of chart patterns, but what's playing out seems to be much more like 1968 and 2001. Notice the double tops in green before the crash both had, which closely resembles what we're headed for now. These were also the starts of boom bust cycles happening in sets of 2. With this in mind, I'm adjusting to the 2001 timeline. My new PT is $265 which would hypothetically be at the end of August.
SPY S&P 500 ETF Santa RallyU.S. stocks tend to rise during the Santa Claus rally period.
The Santa Rally is considered the last five trading sessions of the year and first two of the new year.
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has traded higher 78% of the time during the Santa rally period for an average gain of 1.3%.
My price target for SPY is $384.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023 SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.93%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 65th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 2.64% movement
Bearish: 2.47% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 4025
BOT: 3800
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79.22% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
26.76% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 53.33% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 13.33% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -13.33% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
Dec Jobs Report Preview - SPY SPX ES1! C Wave Short - 010523 Wanted to quick share a SPY chart ahead of the December Jobs Data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning Friday, January 6th: UNEMPLOY USNFP
Unemployment Rate (UNRATE)
Unemployment Level (UNEMPLOY)
Non Farm Payrolls (USNFP)
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (USAHE)
Participation Rate (USLFPR)
Manufacturing Payrolls (USMP)
Average Weekly Hours (USAWH)
Looking at the 4-Hour Chart, looks like we have a C wave playing out. Also looks like the 4-Hour MACD is getting ready to roll over:
MACRO NOTE: Good news (hot jobs) = Bad news (tighter Federal Reserve) aka "Higher for longer"
SPY Daily Chart 📊 (C wave short)
SPY 4-Hour Chart 📊 (C wave short)
SPY 1-Hour Chart 📊
SPY 15-Minute Chart 📊
What do you think about this setup into the December Jobs Data tomorrow? Let me know in the comments below! 👇🏼
SPX January Monthly Volatility Analyis 2023 SPX January Monthly Volatility Analyis 2023
Currently the IV for SPX is at 6.25%, down from 6.67% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 58th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish : 6.544%
Bearish : 6.106%
With this in mind we have currently 81.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 4154
BOT Limit: 3635
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
38.18% to hit the previous monthly high
56.52% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from the technical analysis point of view, currently ( going from -100 to +100)
Weekly Timeframe : -26.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
Monthly Timeframe : -13.33% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
SPX 2023 Trade idea...Simply follow the supertrend indicator for SPX quarterly ITM calls/puts at the given buy/sell signals. Follow the volume on larger time frames. Use any profit to first pay off 2022 debts then start building a diverse ETF portfolio with high dividend yields. 80% of portfolio going into equities 20% used for options.
SPY Several Possible Outcomes For Fall 2023 Longs/ShortsGreen indicates Bull Thesis
Red indicates Bear Thesis
We have seen a rejection from our well-respected channel that began at the start of 2022.
Best Case Scenario (Bulls)
Dip to lowest point around 3800s, then retest previous highs of 4180.
Best Case Scenario (Bears)
Dip to lowest point around 3600, then slight leg up towards 0.5 fib around 3800, reject 3800 leg down to test new lows.
R.I.P. The S&PAs you can see, History repeats itself. To my technical eye, The S&P is loosing momentum at a price of major resistance AND(+) a Major trend line where price has previously ended its bull rally to return to its overall bear market downtrend. Second possibility attached. I see The S&P returning to the 350's if not much much lower. Its divergent sister, the VIX is showing similar confluence because it is also at a price area of major lows where it has previously reversed overall direction longterm. I see The VIX returning to 34.32.
SPY Bearish Flag | Put Options After the Midterm Elections price target was reached:
Now the S&P 500 Etf SPY is ready for a breakdown from the Bearish Flag Chart Pattern highs.
In the light of recent unemployment data reports, i would buy the $387 Puts expiring 2023-1-20 for $4.89 Premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.