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EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months. 🔍 Technical Analysis The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points: Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart). Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow). Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected. Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10. 📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12. 📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June. Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy. Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation. 🎯 Conclusion Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond. Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken. EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals!🎭 The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals! 📊🚀 📢 Ever entered a trade thinking you caught the perfect trend , only to get stopped out as the market reversed? You're not alone. The market has a way of fooling traders—but if you understand its “two-faced” nature, you can stay one step ahead. 🔥 Why Trends Reverse (and How to Catch It Early!) Most traders believe trends reverse due to "news" or "randomness." But in reality, the market gives signals long before the turn happens. Here’s what to watch for: 🔹 Momentum Divergence: The price makes a new high, but indicators like RSI/MACD don’t. 🔹 Volume Anomaly: The trend continues, but volume dries up—a sign of weakness. 🔹 Failed Breakouts: Price breaks a key level, only to fall back inside—trapping traders. 🔹 Candlestick Clues: Reversal patterns like engulfing candles or wicks rejecting key levels appear. 🚀 Mastering these signals can put you ahead of 90% of traders. 📊 Real Example: XAU/ USD Trend Reversal in Action 🔎 Breakdown of the setup: ✅ Step 1: Identify a trend (through market structure, trendline or moving average). ✅ Step 2: Look for failed breakouts against the trend ✅ Step 3: Look for trend-following setups 🎯 The Market’s Game: Recognizing The Shift Trends don’t die suddenly—they fade before reversing. The best traders spot the early signs and position before the crowd. 💡 Have you spotted these reversal signs before? Drop a comment with your experience! 👇🔥 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
3
Never Miss An Entry! Layered Crossover Strategy Explained🚀 Over 6000% Profit in 8 Months? Mastering Layered Entries with the Multi Crossover Strategy! 📈 Getting the perfect entry is key to maximizing profit. The Multi Crossover Strategy uses a layered entry system to ensure no opportunity is missed—delivering over 6000% profit in backtests with a 77% win rate on DOGEUSDT (15-minute chart). 🔹 The Layered Entry Approach: Not all trends are the same. Whether it’s a bottom reversal, a bullish retracement, or a small pullback, setting the right long entry criteria is crucial. This strategy dynamically adapts using three key crossovers: ✅ Stochastic Crossover – The first signal, designed to catch the lowest point of a bullish reversal. ✅ 9 SMA Crossover – If the Stochastic entry is skipped, this crossover captures the move early. ✅ MACD Crossover – If both previous crossovers are missed, MACD serves as the final confirmation to enter before it’s too late. By layering these crossovers, the strategy increases the chances of entering strong trends while minimizing false signals. 📊 Backtest Results (DOGEUSDT 15M Chart): 📌 Win Rate: 77% 📌 Profit Factor: 3.5 📌 Max Drawdown: 11.81% 📌 Avg Win: 2.2% | Avg Loss: 1.67% 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.33 📌 Profit Factor: 3.79 🚀 Can be Fully Automated with CryptoHopper – No manual execution needed! Just set a strategy alert and link to your preffered signal handler, like CryptoHopper. 🔍 Want to see it in action? Check out the strategy here:
Education
by Broyeriko
MSTR📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis 1️⃣ Technical Analysis 🔍 Overall Trend Analysis Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak. Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend. Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover. 📌 Key Levels ✅ Support Zones: $230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support. $180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails. $120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level. Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels). 🚀 Resistance Zones: $280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection. $340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks. $420 - $500 → All-time high resistance. 📉 Indicators & Volume 📊 Moving Averages: 9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance). 20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend). 50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support). 200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact). 📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory. 📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing. 📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet. 🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical) ✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280. ⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower. 2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis NASDAQ:MSTR (Simplified) 📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024. 📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion). 📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases. 📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months 📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024. 📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction. 🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental) ✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR. ✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses. ✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off? 🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by monkreet
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk) The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection. The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike. 2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation) The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback. If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable. 3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern) The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down. A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower. 4. Momentum Shift RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path): If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840: Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760. Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED while rest of the market crashes$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED today after being mentioned in chat many times Sweet catch on NASDAQ:HMR 👏🤑 All while the rest of the market continues to hits new lows on a big red day NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOG Got to love these type of stocks AEON 1.26 - 1.33 (+5.5%) HMR 3.02 - 3.16 (+4.6%) Total profit today: +10.1% Nice profit today again while the rest of the market goes into deeper red. Bulletproof strategy delivers again, no matter the overall market conditions. Congrats! See you in the morning!
NASDAQ:HMR
by ProfitTradeRoom
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name. Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know. 1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%. 2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35. 3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for. 4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3. 5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors. So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook. Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks. Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying. Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October. As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets. On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level. As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense. And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news. So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
NYSE:GSLong
by addatheriver0808
Lunar Signal Generator My Lunar signal generator uses a sinusoidal wave which is matched in frequency to the sinusoidal motion of the moon. The indicator is based on research which suggests that there are increased returns on days surrounding the new moon and decreased returns on days surrounding the full moon. The indicator represents a two week trading strategy and prints buy signals before the new moon, and prints sell signals on the full moon. If used as a trading strategy the 5 & 10 year win rates are 70%, profitability is dependent on your choice of stoploss. I suggest a 9% Stoploss however this is discretionary. Can be used on any financial product, however it works best on large cap equities. Just place on any chart, and trade according to the buy and sell signals Check out my website, (press the little globe below my profile description) Please reach out for any questions/concerns
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Kinetic-Capital
OMNICHART presents => NFLX - long term trendNetflix is still in an upward channel - in a long term bullish trend. In the coming months if it meets the support line and bounces off then that would be the time to buy leaps or scale into additional long term positions. Or start scaling in along with a put spread/s until the support line for a year. A tweak in the trade do make additional income would be to sell put at the support line for every week or month and most likely it will expire worth less and then sell a subsequent put (for week or month) at a point higher on the support line , basically keep selling your puts on the support line as time moves along and the price is above the support line. This was you might just cover the price of the long put you bought today and even make additional income. And if the stock goes up you are still making money. This buys you additional protection for free based on how disciplined you are with managing the put spread (especially the short end of it).
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by omnitrade
Multi-Timeframe XGBoost Approximation Templatewww.tradingview.com Template Name:XGBoost Approx Core Idea: This strategy attempts to mimic the output of an XGBoost model (a powerful machine learning algorithm) by combining several common technical indicators with the Rate of Change (ROC) , MACD, RSI and EMA across multiple timeframes. It uses a weighted sum of normalized indicators to generate a "composite indicator," and trades based on this indicator crossing predefined thresholds. The multi-timeframe ROC acts as a trend filter. Key Features and How They Work: Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF): This is the heart of the strategy. It looks at the price action on three different timeframes: Trading Timeframe (tradingTF): The timeframe you're actually placing trades on (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, 1-hour, etc.). You set this directly in the strategy's settings. This is the most important timeframe. Lower Timeframe (selectedLTF): A timeframe lower than your trading timeframe. Used to catch early signs of trend changes. The script automatically selects an appropriate lower timeframe based on your trading timeframe. This is primarily used for a more sensitive ROC filter. Current Timeframe (tradingTF): The strategy uses the current (trading) timeframe, to include it in the ROC filter. Higher Timeframe (selectedHTF): A timeframe higher than your trading timeframe. Used to confirm the overall trend direction. The script automatically selects this, too. This is the "big picture" timeframe. The script uses request.security to get data from these other timeframes. The lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on part is important; it prevents the strategy from "peeking" into the future, which would make backtesting results unrealistic. Indicators Used: SMA (Simple Moving Average): Smooths out price data. The strategy calculates a normalized SMA, which essentially measures how far the current SMA is from its own average, in terms of standard deviations. RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Normalized similarly to the SMA. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A trend-following momentum indicator. The strategy uses the difference between the MACD line and its signal line, normalized. ROC (Rate of Change): Measures the percentage change in price over a given period (defined by rocLength). This is the key indicator in this strategy, and it's used on all three timeframes. Volume: The strategy considers the change in volume, also normalized. This can help identify strong moves (high volume confirming a price move). Normalization: Each indicator is normalized. This is done by subtracting the indicator's average and dividing by its standard deviation. Normalization puts all the indicators on a similar scale (roughly between -3 and +3, most of the time), making it easier to combine them with weights. Weights: The strategy uses weights (e.g., weightSMA, weightRSI, etc.) to determine how much influence each indicator has on the final "composite indicator." These weights are crucial for the strategy's performance. You can adjust them in the strategy's settings. Composite Indicator: This is the weighted sum of all the normalized indicators. It's the strategy's main signal generator. Thresholds: The buyThreshold and sellThreshold determine when the strategy enters a trade. When the composite indicator crosses above the buyThreshold, it's a potential buy signal. When it crosses below the sellThreshold, it's a potential sell signal. Multi-Timeframe ROC Filter: The strategy uses a crucial filter based on the ROC on all selected timeframes. For a long trade, the ROC must be positive on all three timeframes (ltf_roc_long, ctf_roc_long, htf_roc_long must all be true). For a short trade, the ROC must be negative on all three timeframes. This is a strong trend filter. Timeframe Filter Selection The script intelligently chooses filter timeframes (selectedLTF, selectedHTF) based on the tradingTF you select. This is done by the switch_filter_timeframes function: Trading Timeframe (tradingTF) Lower Timeframe Filter (selectedLTF) Higher Timeframe Filter (selectedHTF) 1 minute 60 minutes (filterTF1) 60 minutes (filterTF1) 5 minute 240 minutes (filterTF2) 240 minutes (filterTF2) 15 minute 240 minutes (filterTF2) 240 minutes (filterTF2) 30 minute, 60 minute 1 Day (filterTF3) 1 Day (filterTF3) 240 minute (4 hour) 1 Week (filterTF4) 1 Week (filterTF4) 1 Day 1 Month (filterTF5) 1 Month (filterTF5) 1 Week 1 Month (filterTF5) 1 Month (filterTF5) How to Use and Optimize the Strategy (Useful Hints): Backtesting: Always start by backtesting on historical data. TradingView's Strategy Tester is your best friend here. Pay close attention to: Net Profit: The most obvious metric. Max Drawdown: The largest peak-to-trough decline during the backtest. This tells you how much you could potentially lose. Profit Factor: Gross profit divided by gross loss. A value above 1 is desirable. Win Rate: The percentage of winning trades. Sharpe Ratio: Risk-adjusted return. A Sharpe Ratio above 1 is generally considered good. **Sortino Ratio:**Similar to Sharpe but it only takes the standard deviation of the downside risk. Timeframe Selection: Experiment with different tradingTF values. The strategy's performance will vary greatly depending on the timeframe. Consider the asset you're trading (e.g., volatile crypto vs. a stable stock index). The preconfigured filters are a good starting point. Weight Optimization: This is where the real "tuning" happens. The default weights are just a starting point. Here's a systematic approach: Start with the ROC Weights: Since this is a ROC-focused strategy, try adjusting weightROC_LTF, weightROC_CTF, and weightROC_HTF first. See if increasing or decreasing their influence improves results. Adjust Other Weights: Then, experiment with weightSMA, weightRSI, weightMACD, and weightVolume. Try setting some weights to zero to see if simplifying the strategy helps. Use TradingView's Optimization Feature: The Strategy Tester has an optimization feature (the little gear icon). You can tell it to test a range of values for each weight and see which combination performs best. Be very careful with optimization. It's easy to overfit to past data, which means the strategy will perform poorly in live trading. Walk-Forward Optimization: A more robust form of optimization. Instead of optimizing on the entire dataset, you optimize on a smaller "in-sample" period, then test on a subsequent "out-of-sample" period. This helps prevent overfitting. TradingView doesn't have built-in walk-forward optimization, but you can do it manually. Threshold Adjustment: Experiment with different buyThreshold and sellThreshold values. Making them more extreme (further from zero) will result in fewer trades, but potentially higher-quality signals. Filter Control (useLTFFilter, useCTFFilter, useHTFFilter): These booleans allow you to enable or disable the ROC filters for each timeframe. You can use this to simplify the strategy or test the importance of each filter. For example, you could try disabling the lower timeframe filter (useLTFFilter = false) to see if it makes the strategy more robust. Asset Selection: This strategy may perform better on some assets than others. Try it on different markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and different types of assets within those markets. Risk Management: pyramiding = 0: This prevents the strategy from adding to existing positions. This is generally a good idea for beginners. default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity and default_qty_value = 100: This means the strategy will risk 100% of your equity on each trade. This is extremely risky! Change this to a much smaller percentage, like 1 or 2. You should never risk your entire account on a single trade. Save Trading Always use a demo account first. Use a small percentage of equity. Use a stop-loss and take-profit orders. Example Optimization Workflow: Set tradingTF: Choose a timeframe, e.g., 15 (15 minutes). Initial Backtest: Run a backtest with the default settings. Note the results. Optimize ROC Weights: Use TradingView's optimization feature to test different values for weightROC_LTF, weightROC_CTF, and weightROC_HTF. Keep the other weights at their defaults for now. Optimize Other Weights: Once you have a good set of ROC weights, optimize the other weights one at a time. For example, optimize weightSMA, then weightRSI, etc. Adjust Thresholds: Experiment with different buyThreshold and sellThreshold values. Out-of-Sample Testing: Take the best settings from your optimization and test them on a different period of historical data (data that wasn't used for optimization). This is crucial to check for overfitting. Filter Testing: Systematically enable/disable the time frame filters (useLTFFilter, useCTFFilter, useHTFFilter) to see how each impacts performance.
by fenyesk
CAD/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Market Drivers📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 108.32 Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone. Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance. Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00 Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal. A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone) Significant buyer interest in this area. If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur. Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00 If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support. 📉 Current Market Outlook: CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events. A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025 Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD. A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower. If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue. 🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025 Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY). A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness. If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness. Target 1: 102.00 Target 2: 100.00 Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play): Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00 Target 1: 105.00 Target 2: 108.00 Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk. 📌 Final Thoughts: The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY. The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend. 102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00. 🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level. If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward. 2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00. US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend. 3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection. Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish 4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower. Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength. 2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in. If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout. 3. Lower High Formation If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally. Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure. 4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery. If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength. 2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation. A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher. 3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone. Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower. 4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline. 2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K). 3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+. 4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 2,934.00 Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected. Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure. Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925 Price is consolidating near this zone. A rejection could lead to a downward move. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone) Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in. Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area. Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680 If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area. Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence. 📉 Current Market Outlook: Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence. However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance. If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection. Target 1: 2,846 Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720. Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario): Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation. Target 1: 2,960 Target 2: 3,000+ Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report: The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment. However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD. 2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness: Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment. While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite. This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise. 3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision: The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction. If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: 2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction. A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower. Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty. 🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
1