Support and Resistance
HSI on the climb—ride the waves with your own strategy!6May2025
Hello everyone! how was the HSI trade so far?
From the previous updates trust everyone likely knows how the movement of the Index.
Paying attention on how it moved and the forecast of futures movement seems predicted. Of course, some times it may not go according to what you forecasted. Hence, to develop your own trade plan is essential.
From previous posts:-
MACD - Deadcross formed 20/3/2025 on D Chart.
MACD - Goldencross formed 21Apr2025 on D chart, although still within bearish zone but it did a short bull run since then; opened at 21015 on 22Apr and as of writing 22613; it gives around 1598pts ~7.6% gained.
CAPITALCOM:HK50
Fast forward to now:-
4H chart
at point of writing ✍️: the Index uptrend mode is on track again.
Trade for profit requires persistency and consistence. The constancy is kind of boring.
Buy into support Sell at resistance.
Set your TP/SL & protect your capital.
currently on D Chart -
20EMA:22065; 50EMA:22080 (both are sticking together at the moment and curving up)
🚨 as of ✍️ :
🗝️ Resistance Level : 22700-22730
🗝️ Support Level : 22360-22400
🗝️ Strong Support Level : 21950-21990
W Chart:- HSI:HSI
HSI continues its Bullish mode with strong pullback! Recovery could expected to see in end Jun - early Jul'25.
17Mar2025 -
24Mar2025 -
7Apr2025 -
6May2025 -
Continue the Long call for HSI:HSI with the forecast and repetitive of history the next 4-6weeks might be a good profit taking level; hold any long position and manage the risk as well.
Target to take profit: 24630-24910 (it may break 25000 level, and paused at 25300 strong resistance level, you may crosscheck with Month chart for the Bullish trend; last week the MACD signal line break above the zero level.)
For current markets condition, the CHN & HKG continue to be volatile with the continuing noise from tariff and on macro the numbers could be mixed.
🎯 Reminder: For long term (6-18 months) continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. Again, everything is impermanence. Manage your risk, position sizing. Take only the risk that you can afford.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
Stay sharp, trade smart, and let consistency be your superpower. 📈🍵📙
Continue to trade; continue your life as it is!
Happy Trading!
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Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold returns to the bull market as expected, follow-up layout🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
From a technical point of view, the 4H gold bulls are once again making an impact. At the top, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 3380-3390 line, focusing on the suppression of the 3400 line. Below, we focus on the short-term support of the 3350 line, and the important first-line support of 3335-3340. In terms of operation, we mainly go long by stepping back on 3350-3360, and the target is temporarily looking at 3380-3390. In the middle position, we should watch more and move less, pursue orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
USOIL trading opportunities.After the "OPEC+ continued to increase production" on Monday, USOIL continued to fall to a four-year low near 55. However, it rebounded after opening low on Monday. It continued on Tuesday. Is it no longer able to fall?
Ludvig believes that it will continue to fall. Because the decline is caused by the growth of production capacity. The rise is caused by geopolitical strategic reserve materials. One of these two directly affects the trend of OIL, and the other indirectly.
The trend of economic data API/EAI will continue to be released. If the geopolitical weakening situation, the oil price data released is roughly negative, so it will continue to fall. But if the impact of geopolitics intensifies, this is a positive factor.
So the current trading direction that can be determined is to continue to short.
In terms of trading, traders with large funds can sell at the current price, and those with small funds can wait until the market returns to above 59 to sell.
The band trading center continues to update new real-time trading opportunities. If you don’t know how to trade, or don’t want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
LONG ADA/USDT | Bullish Reversal SetupADA/USDT | Bullish Reversal Setup
📊 Market Structure
Context: After a retest of April highs, ADA pulled back into a shallow down-sloping support line (blue).
Implication: A series of higher-low tests into that line suggests buyers are defending this area.
🔹 Demand Order Block
Zone: 0.6350 – 0.6500 USDT (shaded blue)
Key Entry Levels:
0.6500 USDT
0.6436 USDT
0.6350 USDT
⚔️ Long Entry Strategies
Aggressive: Scale into longs on a bounce off 0.6500 USDT with a strong bullish candle.
🛑 Stop Loss
Close below Level: 0.6157 USDT
Placed just below the demand block to absorb noise yet protect capital.
🎯 Profit Targets
TP1 0.6853
TP2 0.7192
TP3 0.7568
🔧 Trade Management
Scale-Out: Take partial profit at each TP to lock in gains.
Trail Stop: Move to breakeven once TP1 is reached.
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.6157 USDT negates the setup—exit and reassess.
Little Rest For SPXI think the SPX structure is more prone to bearishness. There is a structure that will probably move quickly in one direction. I don't think a good structure has been formed for a bottom. And the rise does not seem very strong. For this reason, I expect an increase after the first fall.
Since this situation will probably reflect on crypto, my bearish contracts are still in place. But I am thinking of buying a bullish contract until the FOMC time.
FNMA: great looking consolidation Price is showing impressive relative strength during recent market weakness with 3 weeks of tight closes
• W-bottom structure forming
• Fund accumulation increasing
• EPS estimates for 2025–26 rising sharply
• Regulative catalyst + Bill Ackman backing
Next mid-term resistance zone: 12–16
Macro/Weekly structure
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday
Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004.
Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5.
Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta.
Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone)
🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615
🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift)
🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below)
🔼 Upside Path
IF > 5670 → transition cleared →
➡️ 5700 stall / reaction
IF > 5725 → call wall breached →
➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI)
IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down →
➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up
🔽 Downside Path
IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered →
➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX)
IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely →
➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400
IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime →
➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike
⚖️ Neutral Setup
IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced →
➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays
➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔍 Final Thoughts
We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations.
That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider:
Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads)
Volatility-based strategies
Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+
Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
S&P 500 Tests Key Zone Ahead of FOMCThe S&P 500 has reached the 5,700–5,800 zone after a nearly 18% rally in just half a month. This zone could determine whether the rally marks the end of the bearish trend or if more pain lies ahead for the stock market.
The 200-day simple moving average, several previous horizontal support levels, and the most recent top all converge in this area. The upward move has been driven by correction dynamics, optimism around potential trade deals, signs of de-escalation with China, and rising expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025.
This week, the FOMC may either temper those optimistic rate cut expectations or hint at a more dovish tone. In either case, some profit-taking may occur ahead of the meeting, and the 5,700–5,800 zone is a strong candidate for that to happen.
How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible.
🎁SELL 3315-3325
🎁TP 3280-3270
🎁BUY 3270-3280
🎁TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Avalanche (AVAX) RectangleBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is trading within a well-defined rectangle, after breaking out of a steep falling channel earlier this year.
Key Observations
• The current range has two clear touches on both support ($15.50) and resistance ($23.00), forming a valid rectangle structure.
• This follows a sideways channel breakout, suggesting a consolidation phase which is often a precursor to a larger move.
Range Levels
• Resistance – $23.00: Capped price twice in April, marking the upper bound of the rectangle.
• Support – $15.50: Held firmly on two separate pullbacks.
• Midrange Bias – As long as AVAX remains within this box, directional conviction remains limited.
Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
• Bullish Breakout: If AVAX closes decisively above $23.00, the measured target would be ~$30, based on the rectangle height projected upward (linear scale).
• Bearish Breakdown: If it loses $15.50 support, the downside target becomes $10.50, calculated using the same rectangle height on log scale (to reflect proportional downside risk).
Until either side breaks, this remains a range-trading environment.
BankNifty levels - May 06, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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XAUUSD: Strong Bullish (Intraday & Swing)Gold closed Friday with indecision, rejecting both 3230.00 and 3274.00 as NFP remained muted. That led to an explosive 936 pip candle yesterday, ripping straight through 3274.00 and closing just shy of the major 3333.00 level.
Today, price has already pushed 400 pips higher and is currently hovering around 3365 on the 4H chart.
Key Buy Setups:
Break above 3380 → Target 3428
Pullback & successful retest of 3333 as support → Target 3428
Pip Range Opportunity:
500 – 900 pips depending on the entry
Summary: Bullish bias remains intact on all timeframes. I’m watching for a clean break of 3380 to ride the next leg up, or a healthy pullback to 3333 before continuation.
AMSC | Bullish Momentum Building Breakout in Progress?📈 NASDAQ:AMSC 🚀
American Superconductor (AMSC) is quietly showing strength, and it's time to pay attention. After bouncing off the support zone near $18.80–$19.30, the stock has reclaimed the $20.50–$21.10 entry range, with volume picking up as it challenges key resistance.
🧠 Why it's interesting now:
✅ 56% YoY revenue growth last quarter 📊
✅ LSE:80M in cash, no urgent need for dilution
✅ Clean energy + grid modernization = tailwind
🧩 Technical Setup:
✅ Entry Zone:
$Market price
$19.5-20.5
$18.5
✅ Breakout Trigger: $22.38
🎯 Target 1: $23.50
🎯 Target 2: $25.70
🎯 Stretch Target: $28.00 +
This is a high-beta, high-volatility name — perfect for swing traders who can manage risk. Watch that breakout above $22.38; it could open the door to a fast move toward mid-$20s.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions. I'm not a financial advisor.
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern).
Pattern Insights
• The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic.
• This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance.
• While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead.
Key Levels
• Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern.
• Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone.
• Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k.
• Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs.
Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.