US30 Approaching Key Resistance–Potential Reversal Setup in Play🧠 Chart Overview
Asset: US30 (likely the Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Timeframe: Appears to be 1H or 2H
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): 40,119.5
EMA 200 (Blue): 39,897.3
Price at time of chart: Around 40,503
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🔴 Resistance Zone
Range: ~40,750 to 40,850
Price has tested this level multiple times and is currently hovering near it.
The resistance is holding, and no strong breakout has occurred.
🟦 Support / Focus Zone
Range: ~39,200 to 39,600
Marked as the “FOCUS POINT” – likely the expected target on a breakdown.
EMAs Insight:
Price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, suggesting short-term bullishness.
However, since it’s stalling at resistance, it could flip bearish on rejection.
🧭 Price Action Narrative
The chart suggests a potential fakeout above resistance, followed by a sharp rejection.
The path drawn shows a short-term dip, targeting the FOCUS POINT (support zone).
Rejection at resistance aligns with typical distribution behavior.
📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias)
Entry Idea: Short near or just above the resistance level (~40,800)
Target: 39,400 zone
Stop-Loss: Above the resistance level (~40,900+)
Risk/Reward: Favorable if price fails to break above resistance convincingly
📉 Bias: Bearish Reversal
Unless price breaks and closes above resistance with strong momentum, the chart favors a pullback scenario.
Technical
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Setup – Key Support Levels 📊 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
50 EMA (red): Currently at 3,199.009
200 EMA (blue): Currently at 3,123.168
Support Zone: Around 3,157.786 – 3,123.168
Current Price: Approximately 3,211.90
Focus Point (Target Zone): 3,283.810
🧠 Technical Analysis
🔹 Trend Analysis
Overall Trend: Bullish
Price is trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
The EMAs are sloping upward, indicating strong momentum.
Golden Cross previously occurred (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA).
🔹 Key Support & Resistance
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,240
This area is acting as a potential rejection zone, with minor consolidation.
Support Zone (Highlighted): 3,157 – 3,123
This zone was previously a breakout level and now serves as a retest support.
It coincides with the 200 EMA, adding to its strength.
🔁 Scenarios Presented
Scenario A – Bullish Rejection from Immediate Support (3,199)
Price could hold above or near the 50 EMA.
Break and retest of minor resistance could lead to a push toward 3,283.81 (target).
This is a higher-risk entry as the support is not deeply tested yet.
Scenario B – Deeper Pullback to Major Support (3,157 – 3,123)
A drop below current price into the main demand zone.
Bullish engulfing or strong reaction in this zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
Ideal entry point for swing traders, especially if confirmed by volume or bullish candlestick reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Suggestion
✅ Long Setup
Entry Option 1: On bullish rejection above 3,199 with confirmation.
Entry Option 2 (Preferred): At strong support zone 3,157 – 3,123 with bullish reversal signal.
Target: 3,283.81
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 3,157
For Entry 2: Below 3,100 or 200 EMA, depending on aggressiveness
📌 Conclusion
This chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup with two potential entry scenarios:
A minor pullback and bounce from the 50 EMA.
A deeper retracement into a strong support zone aligned with the 200 EMA.
The uptrend remains intact as long as the price holds above the 200 EMA and the major demand zone. A break below 3,100 would invalidate the bullish outlook short-term
EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone.
Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop.
Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup.
Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs.
Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders.
This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
CHFJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNADEMENTALS DETAILS ANALYSISCHFJPY has just broken out of a long-term descending channel on the daily chart, currently trading near 174.09. This breakout is technically significant, as it marks the end of a prolonged downtrend and suggests the beginning of a potential bullish reversal. The price action shows a clean breakout above the upper channel resistance, followed by a healthy retest—textbook price behavior when momentum shifts to the upside. With this structure flip, we are now positioning for a continuation towards the 182.40 zone, which aligns with a previous key resistance and measured move projection.
This breakout is supported by strong fundamentals. The Swiss Franc remains firm, driven by Switzerland’s resilient economic data and the Swiss National Bank’s cautious monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy, despite recent signs of inflation picking up. The yield differential and risk-on sentiment are weighing heavily on JPY, making it an ideal quote currency for this bullish CHF move. Traders are increasingly favoring CHFJPY in the current macro landscape due to this divergence.
What makes this setup even more attractive is the clean technical structure paired with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The stop below the retest area around 171.63 offers tight risk management, while the upside potential toward 182.40 presents a strong 1:3+ R/R swing opportunity. These types of breakouts—especially after extended consolidation—often lead to trend-following momentum plays that institutions favor.
CHFJPY is now on many watchlists across TradingView due to this breakout from a descending channel, which is a highly searched pattern by technical traders. This pair is poised to deliver a profitable swing trade backed by both technical strength and macro alignment. If momentum continues, we could see a strong bullish leg throughout Q2.
USD/JPY(20250417)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels:
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
USD/JPY(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.41
Support and resistance levels:
146.00
145.03
144.40
142.41
141.79
140.82
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.40, consider buying, the first target price is 145.03
If the price breaks through 143.41, consider selling, the first target price is 142.41
DXY NEXT MOVE AND MARKET EFFECTThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing a major multi-year support zone around the 99.70–100.00 level. This level has held firm multiple times in the past, acting as a strong demand area during key macroeconomic cycles. Right now, price action is showing indecision with a clear do-or-die moment forming. If bulls defend this zone, we could witness a significant bullish reversal, potentially targeting the 103.00–105.00 range. However, a decisive break below this support could trigger a bearish wave toward the 96.00 handle or even lower.
Technically, this zone is not just psychological, but also a structural demand region, aligning with previous swing lows and price pivots. We’re seeing a potential for either a double bottom reversal or a breakdown structure forming, depending on how the market reacts in the coming sessions. Price is extremely oversold on higher timeframes, which could fuel a relief rally if momentum shifts. The reaction here will be key for broader market direction, especially as the dollar plays a pivotal role across forex majors.
Fundamentally, the DXY is under pressure as recent U.S. macro data reveals weakening momentum. March CPI printed hotter than expected, but other indicators like core PCE, NFP softness, and signs of slowing consumer demand are fueling expectations that the Fed may be nearing a policy pivot. At the same time, global risk sentiment is improving and yields have pulled back slightly, putting pressure on the greenback. However, rising geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices continue to support USD as a safe-haven asset.
As a professional trader, this is a critical level to watch. I’m keeping an eye on price action confirmation for either a bullish engulfing setup or a clean break and retest of the 99.50 level. Both scenarios offer high-probability trades. Patience here is crucial — let the market reveal its hand, then align with the momentum. Dollar volatility is likely to remain elevated heading into next week, so managing risk with clarity is key.
GBP/JPY short🧩 GBP/JPY Swing Short Setup
📍 Entry:
Sell Limit: 194.75
🛡️ Stop Loss (Above Resistance Wick):
SL: 196.20
→ Covers minor breakout/fakeout above 195 zone while protecting against invalidation
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 190.00
(Structure floor + first major reaction zone)
TP2: 185.00
(Clean horizontal support and demand zone)
TP3 (Swing Target): 180.00
(Large macro target — monthly structure retest)
🧠 Rationale Recap:
Price is consolidating just under multi-year resistance (195–200)
Fundamentals align: GBP weakening, JPY strengthening in risk-off environment
Strong R:R, clean rejection zone, and macro pressure potential
USD/JPY(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
145.38
Support and resistance levels:
149.05
147.68
146.79
143.97
143.08
141.71
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.38, consider buying, the first target price is 146.79
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider selling, the first target price is 143.08
CADJPY WILL BULLISH OR BEARISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISCADJPY is currently forming a clear descending wedge pattern on the 12H chart, which historically signals a high-probability bullish reversal. The price has respected both the upper descending trendline and the lower support line with precision over the past few months, but the recent reaction near the wedge support is showing signs of buying interest. With the current price trading at 103.10, we are at a critical juncture where a breakout to the upside could initiate a strong momentum rally toward the 109.00 target.
Technically, this setup is supported by multiple touchpoints on both trendlines, suggesting a mature wedge structure ready to break. The risk-reward ratio is extremely favorable here, with clear invalidation below 100.90 and upside potential aligned with the upper structure of the broader consolidation zone. A confirmed breakout and candle close above the 104.00 resistance area would likely signal the start of a bullish impulse wave targeting 109.00 in the medium term.
On the fundamental side, CAD is supported by firm oil prices, which have remained elevated due to ongoing geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production cuts. Meanwhile, the JPY continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan remains firmly committed to ultra-loose monetary policy, even as inflation expectations globally stay elevated. This divergence in monetary policy between the BoC and BoJ is fueling carry trade flows, further boosting CADJPY's bullish outlook.
Looking ahead, any signs of risk-on sentiment in global markets, combined with resilient Canadian data, could act as a catalyst for the breakout. With the market positioning leaning heavily on JPY shorts and crude oil demand remaining strong, CADJPY is technically and fundamentally poised for a breakout rally. I'm watching the 104.00 zone closely—once cleared, I anticipate a swift move toward 109.00 with momentum on our side.
USD/JPY(20250410)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.66
Support and resistance levels:
150.90
149.32
148.29
145.03
144.01
142.42
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.29, consider buying, the first target price is 149.32
If the price breaks through 146.66, consider selling, the first target price is 145.03
WHY CADJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS CAD/JPY is currently trading around 104.200, forming a falling wedge pattern—a technical indicator often suggestive of a potential bullish reversal. Traders are closely monitoring this setup for a breakout, which could potentially propel the pair toward the target price of 107.000, indicating a prospective gain of approximately 300 pips.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar's performance is closely tied to global oil prices, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter. Recent stability in oil markets has provided underlying support to the loonie. Conversely, the Japanese yen, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, has experienced fluctuations influenced by shifts in global risk sentiment and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance. The divergence in economic indicators and central bank policies between Canada and Japan may contribute to the anticipated bullish momentum in the CAD/JPY pair.
Technical analysis reinforces this outlook. The falling wedge pattern observed on the charts is characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, indicating diminishing bearish momentum. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge, accompanied by increased trading volume, would serve as a confirmation of the bullish reversal. Key resistance levels to monitor include 105.000 and 106.000, with a sustained move above these thresholds enhancing the likelihood of reaching the 107.000 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications from both Canada and Japan will be crucial in navigating this trade effectively. By aligning technical insights with fundamental developments, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential bullish breakout in the CAD/JPY pair.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.32
Support and resistance levels
149.17
148.11
147.41
145.22
144.53
143.46
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41
If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown
The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD.
Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur.
Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target.
2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone
Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD).
Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction.
Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD.
3. Weak Rebound from Current Level
The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery.
Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding.
Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution.
4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk
Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC).
Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices.
Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility.
5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels
The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones.
Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones.
Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
USD/JPY(20250404)Today's AnalysisToday's long and short boundaries:
146.84
Support and resistance levels
150.91
149.39
148.40
145.27
144.28
142.76
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.84, consider buying, the first target price is 148.40
If the price breaks through 145.27, consider selling, the first target price is 144.28
Why EURGBP Bullish ?? Detailed Analysis EUR/GBP is currently trading around 0.8470, having recently completed a breakout accompanied by increased trading volume. This surge suggests strong bullish momentum, with the pair targeting a potential gain of over 300 pips, aiming for a price level of 0.8700.
Fundamental factors contribute to this bullish outlook. The euro has shown resilience amid recent economic developments in the Eurozone. Notably, Eurozone inflation decreased to 2.2% in March from 2.3% in February, driven by a significant reduction in energy costs and slowing service inflation. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, also fell to 2.4% from 2.6%, which was below expectations. This easing of inflation is likely to reinforce expectations for another interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) later in April. The ECB has already reduced rates six times since last June.
Conversely, the British pound has experienced fluctuations due to recent trade developments. On April 3, 2025, the pound surged to a six-month high against the U.S. dollar amid global market concerns following the announcement of new U.S. trade tariffs. Despite facing elevated duties on exports such as cars, steel, and aluminum, optimism surrounding a potential UK-U.S. trade agreement provided a positive outlook for sterling. citeturn0news24 However, ongoing trade negotiations and potential fiscal adjustments by the UK government may introduce volatility, influencing the pound's performance against the euro.
Technical analysis supports the bullish sentiment for EUR/GBP. The pair's breakout above previous resistance levels, coupled with increased volume, indicates strong buying interest. Key resistance levels to monitor include 0.8500 and 0.8600, with a sustained move above these levels potentially paving the way toward the 0.8700 target. Traders should also observe support levels around 0.8400 to manage potential pullbacks effectively.
In summary, the EUR/GBP pair exhibits a bullish trajectory, underpinned by favorable technical patterns and evolving fundamental factors. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
USD/JPY(20250403)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
149.61
Support and resistance levels
150.97
150.46
150.13
149.08
148.75
148.24
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.75, consider buying, the first target price is 149.08
If the price breaks through 148.24, consider selling, the first target price is 148.00
USD/JPY(20250402)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
149.55
Support and resistance levels
150.70
150.27
149.99
149.11
148.83
148.40
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 149.99, consider buying, the first target price is 150.27
If the price breaks through 149.55, consider selling, the first target price is 149.11
USOIL Daily Analysis: Bullish Reversal from Key Support USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) daily chart showing price action analysis.
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
A strong demand zone is marked around $65-$66, which has acted as a reversal area in the past.
The price has recently bounced off this zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $68.25.
A bullish move started from the support region, with a higher low formation suggesting potential upside momentum.
Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a pullback before continuation to the upside.
If the support holds, $70-$72 could be the next target.
If price fails to hold above $66, further downside towards $64 may be possible.
Outlook:
Bullish Bias 📈 as long as the price remains above the demand zone.
Watch for a higher low confirmation before entering a long trade.
Breakout above $70 could signal a stronger rally.