Trendlineanalysis
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold - All eyes on Wednesday 08 May - FED🟡 Gold Traders: Nothing Matters Until Wednesday! ⏳💤
Hey traders! 👋
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday... and everything before that? Mostly noise.
Let me break it down for you. 👇
📊 Technical Outlook
Gold is chilling above a key resistance level right now.
Trendlines suggest we won’t see any major moves before Wednesday unless big news drops. 📰
🕐 Asian session is kicking things off above resistance.
If bulls show up there, we could break Trendline 1 (Image below) and head towards the $3300 🎯 target.
📉 RSI across multiple timeframes? Pretty neutral.
If Asia trades flat or slightly bearish, gold might range between $3210–$3250.
Break below $3201, and things could get shaky... but the European session might push us back above that support.
U.S. session on Monday? Likely a sideways snoozefest 😴 (unless surprise news hits).
🎯 Trade Setup (Mon–Wed)
I’m looking to play the range between:
$3261 (Trendline 2) 🔼 and $3169 (Trendline 4) 🔽
That’s a comfy $90 window I’m aiming to trade before Wednesday's fireworks. 🚀
🔮 After Wednesday – The FED Factor 💣
Here’s the real catalyst:
Wednesday, May 7 at 2:00 PM EST – FOMC Rate Decision
If the FED cuts rates (not likely, but possible under pressure), gold could tank hard. 💥
I’m talking a potential drop to $3150 or lower 🕳️📉
That’d be a -$90+ move easy.
FED has been holding the line 💪, resisting pressure (especially from Trump back in the day), but if the economy flashes red, that rate cut might come sooner than expected.
🧠 Final Thoughts
FED paused hikes, but left the door open for 3 rate cuts this year.
Until we get more clarity, no strong bullish signals on gold.
My bias stays: Bearish unless proven otherwise. 🐻💬
Stay sharp out there, and watch those sessions. Wednesday’s the real deal! 💼📉
And last but not least, look at this and let us know what you think about please:
Some would say its impossible but as we know, gold can do everything!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
"Nifty 50 at a Crossroads: Rising Wedge Signals Breakout or Brea* A **rising wedge** pattern is clearly forming, marked by two upward sloping blue trendlines.
* Inside this wedge:
* Multiple **price swings** (higher highs and higher lows) are visible.
* Recent breakout attempts are marked with zig-zag arrows showing potential breakout direction
📈 **Bullish Signals:**
1. **Strong Uptrend:**
* A sustained rally from \~23,000 up to the current levels (\~24,500) indicates strong bullish momentum.
2. **Breakout Potential:**
* Price is attempting to break out above the rising wedge pattern.
* Immediate **bullish target zone** is around **24,596 to 24,754**, marked with a green "Target" label.
3. **Volume Surge:**
* Recent bullish candles are supported by increased volume, suggesting real interest in the breakout.
📉 **Bearish Risks:**
1. **Rising Wedge Risk:**
* Rising wedge patterns often lead to **bearish breakdowns**.
* If the support of the wedge is broken, the **first downside target** is marked at **24,369**, and **next support** at **24,291**.
2. **Volume Divergence:**
* Although there's some volume on bullish moves, the consistency is lacking compared to the strong rally before April 23.
**Key Price Levels:**
| 24,754.90 | Resistance | Upper range of rising wedge (target) |
| 24,596.40 | Resistance | First bullish target zone |
| 24,520.00 | Minor Resistance | Recent swing high |
| 24,369.45 | Support | First bearish target if wedge breaks |
| 24,291.25 | Key Support | Critical support, below wedge trendline |
| 23,786.80 | Strong Support | Previous consolidation breakout zone |
**Conclusion:**
* The Nifty is in a **tight rising wedge**, typically a **bearish** reversal pattern. However, if bulls can push past **24,520–24,596**, it may invalidate the pattern and open further upside.
* Until a confirmed breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should remain cautious and wait for **volume-backed confirmation**.
WTI TRADE IDEAhello everyone
From the previous oil movement, the entry at 58.52 moved up by 80 pips before hitting breakeven. For the upcoming open market, if the trendline and support or resistance break out as shown on the M30 chart, it could signal an opportunity to enter the market.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure.
Thanks a lot for your support & best of luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
XAUUSD UPDATE : FED INTEREST RATE DECISION hello & happy weekend everyone
For coming week trade forecast. From the left side, the daily chart indicates that a breakout has occurred, and the current increase is a temporary pullback. If a rejection happens at the 0.236 daily retracement and the trendline on 1 hour chart successfully pushes the price downward, I see an opportunity to short towards the upcoming Fed interest rate decision.
And I am very grateful for the support given, especially in some of the previous trades. I hope that my trade plan can help traders identify the direction to enter the market.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
EURCHF new bearish push expecting
OANDA:EURCHF FALLING WEDGE we are have, in moment its be breaked, price is also be and on trend line with FW, i am expect price will continue pushing, but looks like we will have break of trend line and bounce on sup zone 0.93950
SUP zone: 0.94000
RES zone: 0.92450, 0.92000
Nu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical AnalysisNu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout, EMA/MA Confirmation, Recovery Toward Key Levels
On the daily chart, Nu Holdings has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling a potential structural reversal. The breakout was confirmed by a close above key exponential and simple moving averages (EMA 50/100/200), with the EMAs beginning to align in a bullish sequence. The price has held above the critical Fibonacci retracement level at $11.73 (0.618), which now serves as a key demand zone. Volume shows signs of increasing during upward impulses, suggesting accumulation interest. The current recovery structure indicates potential targets at $12.58 (0.5 Fibonacci), followed by $13.42 (0.382) and $14.46 (0.236). A more extended move could lead toward the previous supply zone near $16.15 if momentum persists.
From a fundamental standpoint, Nu Holdings continues to attract investor attention within the fintech sector, especially amid broader rotation back into growth and tech-driven financial platforms. The company's expanding market presence and improving financial metrics may support the current technical setup. As long as the price holds above the broken trendline and maintains strength above the key $11.73 level, the bullish scenario remains in focus with targets pointing toward the $13.42–$14.46 range and potentially higher in the medium term.
AUD/USD, Are Bull Set for a Breakout ?This analysis dates from the 3rd of May, this is in no way financial advice and should be taken into account in an objective way. Make your own opinion about it, don't take it for granted.
- AUD/USD is trading around the 0.64000 area on the daily chart, it has been consolidating around that area since April 21st following a 7 consecutive bull rally. Where it is heading to next still needs to be determined. Nevertheless, there is a clear Expanding Triangle dating since the start of 2025. (see image attached),(13th January, 03rd of Feb, 09th of April for the lower bar and 27 January, 20th Feb, 17th March, 23rd of April for the upside channel).
- This expanding triangle is similar to the one identified on NZD/USD which had an upside breakout and is now consolidating around the 0.59200.
- Whether there is an upcoming BO on Aussie Dollar is still TBT, but odds slightly favor the bulls following the strong rally in the first half of April. Nevertheless, it has been trading in a trading range since April 21st and there are no confirmed breakout yet. Needs to be closely watched in the coming days!! If bulls manage to get consecutive strong bull bars, this could set the stage for an measured move up for at a minimum a test of the 0.66000 area (downside channel from Feb 2021 to Nov 2024 on the Monthly).
- The Bear reversal case is harder to argue for, as they only managed to get one strong bear bar (04th April), with no follow through selling, The market has been trading for longer on the upper bracket of the extending triangle which means the market participant agree more on higher prices. Stay tuned for further updates !! Peace.
Micron Technology - The Chart Is Still Perfect!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will reverse right here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
If you actually want to explain technical analysis to somebody, just show them the chart of Micron Technology. Almost every structure makes perfect sense, with this stock respecting all major trendlines and horizontal levels and with the current support area, the bottom is now in.
Levels to watch: $70, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD UPDATE : NFP hi everyone
I hope you were able to ride the market based on the previous trade idea.
Gold has broken below the daily support level, and the current upward movement is likely just a retracement. Therefore, both my Plan A and Plan B focus on short positions. For a stronger bullish move, the price needs to form a lower low—at least on the H1 timeframe.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
WTI TRADE UPDATEhi all
Based on the current situation for WTI, with the stop loss hit from the previous trade idea, Plan A now relies on a breakout of the trendline and the support turning into resistance as confirmation for taking a long position.
However, if rejection occurs at the trendline or at the support-turned-resistance level, there's a possibility that the price will decline again, given that a breakout has already happened on the daily timeframe. Therefore, closely monitoring price movements around these key levels is crucial before making any trading decisions.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure. Feel free to share any new updates, and best of luck with your strategy!
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Meta - The Correction Is Officially Over!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is retesting the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than 7 years, Meta has been perfectly trading in a reverse triangle formation. And just three months ago, Meta once again retested the upper resistance trendline and reversed towards the downside. But with the retest of the previous all time high, this correction is over.
Levels to watch: $500, $800
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD UPDATEHi all
The rejection at the 3202 level, Plan A remains a strong possibility, especially if the trendline also shows signs of resistance. However, if the trendline breaks, then Plan B would be the preferred approach—waiting for a confirmed breakout on the 30-minute timeframe before considering a long position.
Keep a close watch on price action and ensure strong confirmation before making any moves. Feel free to share any updates or additional insights. Wishing you success in trading!
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Gold 1H Breakdown: Top Confirmed, Trend ReversedJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Start / Structure Reclaim — Price regained key support and moving averages with momentum. Structure flipped bullish and trend began.
⛔ Top Exhaustion — Price reached new highs but began to stall. Volume dropped, and candles began curling — signaling a loss of momentum.
⚠️ Bounce Setup — After the pullback, buyers attempted to step back in — but structure never confirmed. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Trigger — Sellers regained full control. Price broke below key levels with conviction. Volume confirmed the shift.
👀 Current Move — Price is pushing into new lows. Breakdown structure remains active until proven otherwise.
Always happy to be helpful.
SPX Play-by-Play: From Trap to Trend and Back AgainJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Early Short Trap / Failed Breakdown — Sellers tried to press lower early, but price held key levels and reversed. That shift became the foundation for the entire move that followed.
✅ Breakout Long Trigger — After reclaiming structure, price drove into new highs with strong follow-through. Volume confirmed the breakout.
⛔ Top Rejection — Price pushed into resistance but couldn’t hold. Momentum faded, candles hesitated, and sellers stepped in.
✅ Fib-Based Bounce — After the pullback, price responded cleanly off fib-based support. The bounce was sharp, and volume backed it.
✅ Steady Uptrend Structure — Price moved in an orderly fashion. Small pullbacks held structure, and volume stayed supportive — a textbook controlled climb.
⛔ Range Resistance — Price returned to a previously rejected zone. Wicks and hesitation reappeared.
👀 Current Breakout Watch — Price is testing that resistance again. A reclaim with strength signals continuation. Another fade? Let it go.
Always happy to be helpful.
LYFT, 3D Daily Breakout Confirms Potential Mid-Term ReversalOn the 3-day chart of Lyft, price action is developing within a potential mid-term reversal structure. The key trigger was the breakout of the descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a shift in momentum after an extended downtrend.
The asset bounced from the long-term ascending support zone around $9.66, and the structure now points to a possible expansion toward key Fibonacci retracement levels:
Upside targets based on Fibo levels:
– $14.36 (0.5)
– $15.47 (0.618)
– $17.05 (0.786)
– Extended: $24.88 (1.618)
Technical Highlights:
– Breakout confirmed on daily chart trendline
– 3D chart shows tightening triangle pattern
– Stochastic momentum turning bullish from oversold levels
– Volume profile supports accumulation, not distribution
– Resistance zone: $14.30–$17.00
– Holding above the breakout trendline keeps the bullish setup valid
Fundamental Context:
Lyft is restructuring operations, with narrowed losses, improved efficiency, and customer retention focus. The company is regaining share in the ride-hailing segment, and investors are beginning to price in operational stabilization. The improving sentiment is reflected in growing institutional interest and mid-term positioning.
This is a potential mid-term bullish scenario, activated by the daily breakout and confirmed if price holds above the trendline. A push above $15.50–$17.00 could unlock the full target at $24.88. As long as structure holds, this remains a strong trend reversal setup.
Bitcoin Testing 95k as Resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
Bitcoin Testing 95k as Resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
Bitcoin Testing 95k as resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)