USD/CHF Bearish Flag (06.3.25)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8826
2nd Support – 0.8787
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Usdchfshort
USDCHF - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price may now retest this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 0.88640 target, which serves as a logical level for this setup. Conversely, a break back above the zone could signal a potential bullish reversal.
Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Sell opportunities on USDCHF H4This is a practice from a new DAY TRADING course I'm taking, for logging purposes.
Normally I would look for this kind of patterns on M15, but in this instance, on H4 it is very clear.
Here are my ideas for USDCHF shorting.
Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect.
I encourage constructive feedback.
If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another.
Explanations:
MIN - last minimum point
MAX - last maximum point
BOS - break of structure
SMS - shift in market structure
SL - stop loss
TP - take profit
RR - risk reward
OB - order block
OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
USD/CHF Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead?Analysis & Description:
The USD/CHF pair is currently testing a **strong resistance zone**, which previously acted as a significant **supply area**. Price has approached this **key level**, and a potential **rejection** could lead to a bearish move.
#### **Key Observations:**
✅ **Resistance Area (Supply Zone):** Price is retesting a previously respected **resistance** zone.
✅ **Bearish Setup:** If the price fails to break above the **0.90607 level**, a **reversal** could take the pair lower toward the **target area**.
✅ **Volume Confirmation:** Increasing volume near resistance indicates potential selling pressure.
### **Trading Plan:**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
- A rejection at **resistance** could lead to a move down toward **0.89267**, aligning with previous support.
- **Stop-loss** can be placed above **0.90607** in case of a breakout.
⚠️ **Bullish Risk:**
- If the price **breaks and holds above the resistance**, the bearish setup could be invalid, and further upside may occur.
### **Final Thought:**
USD/CHF is at a **crucial decision point**. Traders should **watch price action closely** for confirmation of either a **breakout or a rejection** before making a move! 🚨📊
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support level of 0.8965 broken.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987.
We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012)
Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905
Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020
Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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USDCHF shortMy analysis was on the 1 hour timeframe and a small position. When I looked at the daily timeframe, I came across a range that could work very well. I have a Fibonacci line that is 86 and I love this line. In one of my tutorials, I came across this line that in range bounds, the trend reversal always comes and touches 86. It has touched the high level and is changing the trend downwards and we can ride this wave.
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper
Scenario on USDCHF 13.2.2025In this market we are approaching the vwap level below this level, I would like the sfp below the low if there is no reaction here, then the next valid target for entering the long is the support zone where the previous peak is also located at the price of 0.89215, if I should consider a short position, then the first one is considered around the level of the previous high at the price of 0.91833, the next one is up to the monthly level at the price of 0.92320
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.90300) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89310 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Analysis
- The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates negative to curb the Swiss franc's appreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve has also maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🔴Macro Analysis
- The US economy has shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 2.1% in Q4 2022.
- The Swiss economy has also shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 0.9% in Q4 2022.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 52% being bearish.
- Hedge funds have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 15%.
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 55% being bullish.
🟡COT Analysis
- The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that large speculators have increased their short positions, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
- Commercial traders have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 5,000 contracts.
🔵Positioning
- The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a decrease in net-long exposure, which could be a sign of a potential trend reversal.
- The market positioning is also influenced by the US dollar positioning, which has seen a reduction in net-short exposure against G10 currencies.
🟢Overall Outlook
-Based on the analysis, the USD/CHF pair is expected to move in a bearish trend, with a 55% chance of a downtrend and a 35% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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UsdChf sell Insight Maybe not today maybe it is going to be the coming week. I'll be patiently waiting for price to come to my point of interest at 0.91062 to short this pair.
I select that zone due to wanting to sell at the Premium zone. I might get tagged or not doesn't matter.
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴
USDCHF Updatethis pair has formed and ascending channel on a higher timeframe
and formed also a double top
so now we're waiting for this pair to hit the down trendline of the channel so we can look or a long position on a lower timeframe
once the channel is broken and the candle lose below the last touch we will enter a short position also targeting take profit on 0.76 fib retracement
Follow for more
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading near a strong resistance level, where selling pressure has historically increased. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed in this area, indicating a potential bearish reversal. This pattern suggests that sellers may take control, leading to a possible move lower.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price faces rejection from resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of strong resistance and a sell engulfing pattern suggests bearish sentiment. Confirmation of further downside movement strengthens the case for a short position while ensuring alignment with market trends.
USDCHF short biasI'll be anticipating to short usdChf from 0.91643 taking the Old New York high 0.91611
I didn't see the sell opportunity that happens today to I'm anticipating a pull back to my point of interest then I ride it down.
A believe it's going to be a bearish week.
Please share if you find this insightful 🫴
USDCHF - Bullish continuation !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect price to continue bullish price action after filling the gap and rejecting from support zone + institutional big figure 0.91000.
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USDCHF - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: On Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate in USA, news with high impact on currency.
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USDCHF H4 Projection!Price breaks the trend line and closes below. Now, the price retests the trendline and pushes down sharply with an FVG (fair value gap). We expect the rice to mitigate the FVG and then decline further. So initiate short positions partially near the supply and FVG zone after finding a bearish price action structure.