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Vixfutures

VIX - Volatility is set to skyrocketWith the FOMC only a week away, the volatility index is set to rise again. Our conclusion is based upon the premise that the upcoming rate hike will negatively impact the U.S. economy, which already started to manifest a return of selling pressure. In our opinion, this marks the resumption of the downtrend. We expect the selloff to accelerate in the coming weeks. Therefore, our short-term price target for VIX stays at 35 USD. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
14
New VIX Cycle Continues - 6/5/22VIX at the daily view. It looks like the red resistance has been working, for now. I've been shorting VX futures whenever the VIX crossed the red line. However, this red line has a time limit. It becomes less relevant as we get closer to September. It might be sooner... but that's too hard to tell. As stated before, it will be hard for the VIX to achieve 50 - much to the dismay of the social media crowd. They treat the VIX like a purely inverse index (it's not). The VIX will get muted spikes due to one big reason: cash is a position too. The VIX really spikes when there is increased price range in ES and increased hedges in the options market. When cash is trash, options as a hedge is much more viable. However, during quantitative tightening (QT), cash is king. When cash is king, options as a hedge is not as attractive. Also as stated before, it will be hard for the VIX to stay below 20 due to longer-term, legally required hedging. Hedge funds are legally required to hedge their positions. During QT, the hedges stay there quite a bit longer. During a bull market, the hedges cover and reposition. What's next? The VIX is generally range bound for the near future, but it's also winding up. Would there be a big spike? Likely, just not now. I'm not 100% certain when. However, if I were to pick a general time, it would be around September, maybe slightly earlier. That is when there is a lot of rebalancing of the portfolios, fiscal year end for many funds, midterm elections (with some election hedging), and tightening would be in full swing. Near term? Well, June FOMC and Quadruple Witching OPEX are coming up. Usually, about 1.5 weeks lead up to them, there is a local VIX spike. That said, according to the VIX term structure, those hedges were there for several months. I've noticed them back in January 2022 when there is an unusual amount of hedges for July OPEX (which implies hedging for June). That said, I'd rather wait for VIX spikes to short from. As stated before, during quantitative tightening, timing the VIX spikes becomes harder to predict. Going long in VX for a spike to 50 is the same type of greed as going long for a speculative small cap stock for the potential of similar gains. It's reckless and foolish.
TVC:VIX
by Itsallsotiresome
VIX on Triangular Track!Expanding triangle Target: 49.5 In Elliot-Wave theory, triangles have 5 sides and each side is usually subdivided into 3 waves. Analysis valid as long as the channel stays intact. Equities will micro-bottom mid-June before the commencement of the melt-up rally! Earlier analysis: 48.5/49.5 achievable with an extended market correction. Implied volatility uptrend due to fundamental reasons ( Inflation /War). S&P 500 target would equate to 3950-4000 in this projection! NASDAQ: 12K (Wave 1 top) or 11K (200 Week EMA / 50 Month EMA )
CBOE:VIX
by ILuminosity
VIX LONGS - RISK OFF ✅✅✅✅ Expecting bullish price action on VIX from a technical perspective as price made a huge move to the downside and rejected the 20$ price area with a bullish GAP this could potentially sign a market reversal or the start of the retracement move within the bearish structure. I think in the upcoming days we will see the volatility going to the ,,moon,, during un-succesfull talks between Rusia-Ukraine. RISK OFF in the markets What do you think ? Where we go next from there?
TVC:VIXLong
by AnonimFXRO
VOLX bullish momentum! | 14th March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and consolidating in a parallel channel. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 28.89 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 35.98 in line with 100% Fibonacci Projection. RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website
FX:VOLXLong
by Rockqet
VIX potential for bounce! | 4th March 2022Prices are consolidating in a triangle pattern. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 29.48 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension towards our Take Profit at 31.49 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are trading above our ichimoku cloud support, further supporting our bullish bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:VOLXLong
by Rockqet