GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionAfter testing a fresh record high around the $3,500 zone, gold made a sharp U-turn, erasing much of its gains and dropping toward the $3,260 support zone.
This reversal came as the US Dollar found fresh strength, following US President Trump’s major backtracking on tariffs against China and the dismissal of Fed Chair Powell.
Markets have since stayed volatile, swinging between "risk-on" and "risk-off" sentiment.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and it is unclear whether buyers or sellers will take control.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrice #TradingPlan #GoldVsDollar #WeekendMarketAnalysis
Xauusd4h
Market changes? Gold plummets, hedge fund positions suddenly chaIn the early morning of the Asian market, spot gold fell sharply in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3,295/ounce, which has fallen by $52 from the intraday high of $3,336.98/ounce hit at the beginning of the session.
Gold prices fell further from last week's record high as traders closed their positions due to signs that the "explosive rise" in gold prices may be too fierce and too fast.
Since breaking through $3,500/ounce last week, gold prices have fallen by more than 5%.
At the same time, the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that hedge fund managers cut their net long positions in gold futures and options to the lowest level in 14 months.
Quaid believes that signs of easing trade tensions may have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal.
Quaid's analysis:
From the perspective of the two larger cycles of daily and weekly lines, gold may fall further. On the one hand, the daily line continues to close negative on the short-term moving average, and the rebound is not strong, forming a pattern of continuous negative and single positive. The previous two times were adjusted to the 30-day moving average. If this time is calculated in this way, the bottom position is about 3165-3170, which is both the golden section and the previous high top and bottom conversion position.
On the other hand, the weekly line formed a "K" line at a high level last week, which is generally a top signal, meaning that there is still a possibility of decline. And it deviates too far from the short-term moving average, and there is a need for further technical adjustments.
Comprehensive analysis:
This week, gold focuses on the upward resistance position of the 3370-3260 range. A strong breakthrough of 3370 will see the continuation of the bulls, and a break below 3260 will open up downward space.
Gold in April is worthy of being written into history!!!The gold price trend in April can only be described as extreme and crazy, with a single day's volatility equivalent to half a month or even a month in the past.
At the beginning of April, gold started at $3,130 and fell to a low of $2,957. With the outbreak of the tariff war, gold prices rose all the way, with frenzied weekly gains. Finally, after hitting a peak of $3,500 last week, it began to plummet sharply, dropping to the current $3,318.
After the tariffs between the United States and China were gradually escalated, there was once news of a relaxation this week. However, Trump threatened over the weekend that he would not lift the tariffs on China unless China made substantial concessions, which may support the gold bulls.
In the constantly fluctuating market trading, we need to have enough patience to wait for suitable entry points and avoid chasing rises or cutting losses in panic.
The Fed's dilemma keeps gold prices dormantAt the daily level, this decline pierced the 10-day moving average and rebounded. Yesterday, the U.S. market fell to a low of 3306, which happened to be close to the 10-day moving average. It can be seen that the effectiveness of the 10-day moving average support has become the key to today's market. In the short term, we can rely on the 10-day moving average to continue to see a shock rebound. If today's rise breaks through and stabilizes the 5-day moving average, then this wave of adjustment will be over, and the market will return to a strong position again. If the 10-day line is lost, the market will be at risk of accelerating its retreat to 3228.
In the short term, at the 4-hour level, the market showed signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing at 3260. The K-line is currently above the moving average, but it has not stood firmly above the middle Bollinger rail, which is not an extremely strong state. Below the middle rail, we can still see adjustments at high altitudes. If it falls downward, pay attention to 3315 and 3306, near last night's lows, and look for a rebound. In the short term, operate in the 3306-3356 range, focus on the strength of the European session and then arrange the US session.
Real-time Operation Explanation of XAUUSDLooking back on our previous analyses, we have repeatedly emphasized the close correlation between the easing of tariff issues and the pullback in the price of gold 🔍 Now, based on the judgment of the latest market dynamics, today's trading strategy for gold still maintains short selling as its main tone 📉 Here, we solemnly remind all freelance traders that to avoid the risk of account liquidation caused by drastic market fluctuations, it is advisable to stay away from taking long positions as much as possible ⚠️
From a technical analysis perspective, 3340 has formed a solid resistance barrier 🚧 Once the price of gold rises and reaches this area, it is highly likely to encounter strong selling pressure and decline 📉 This is precisely the optimal time to place a short order 📝 If the price breaks through 3340, look up to the range of 3360 - 3380, and continue to place short orders. In addition, the price range of 3330 to 3320 deserves special attention 👀. As the starting point of a large bullish candlestick on the hourly chart, it is also a potential support level for long positions during retracements 📈 At the same time, the gain or loss of the key support level of 3280 below is of great significance 📊 If this support level is effectively broken, it indicates that the bearish forces have full control of the market, and the price of gold may initiate a new round of decline ⬇️ The next target price can be focused on around 3195 🎯. It is crucial to keep in mind that in the actual trading process, formulating a rigorous SL and TP strategy, as well as reasonably managing the position size, are the keys to achieving stable trading 🔑
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3380 - 3360 - 3340
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3300 - 3280
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
Good luck and trade safely.
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The gold shorts aren’t over yet
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
How is gold going? What to do now?After reaching the psychological high of $3500, it entered a correction phase, which was also affected by the slight easing of the US-China tariff conflict...
After failing to hit the 3250 area of concern, gold prices will be slightly stronger. Meanwhile, the market is looking forward to the US PMI data. Earlier, gold prices hit an all-time high of $3500, but fell back on hopes of a easing of the US-China trade war and the US Treasury Secretary's remarks about a possible "detente".
The dollar recovered in the correction, but investors doubted Trump's predictability and gold prices began to pull back at this time. The focus is on the S&P Global PMI index: the results of this index may affect expectations for the federal funds rate and bring a new direction to the market.
From a technical point of view, gold prices are in a correction and confirm the bearish structure. But any unexpected remarks from Trump may attract a lot of buying.
Quaid data analysis:
Upward resistance: 3340, 3360
Downward support: 3280, 3250
Quid believes that buying can be considered when retesting the support level or closing above 3370.
Traders, do you agree with Quaid's idea? Please leave your thoughts. I'll be happy that way.
Gold is falling wildly, is a key position coming?As of press time, spot gold has fallen wildly to below the support level of $3,300, having hit a record high of $3,500.05 the previous trading day.
At present, gold has fallen more than 5% from its historical high, and the fundamentals seem to be changing.
Quaid believes that gold has reached a key "turning point". After a strong rebound, the precious metal not only gave up all its gains, but also fell to a new low.
The sharp rise in gold prices is mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal. From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the real yield may continue to decline against the backdrop of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if good news about tariffs continues to be released, gold prices may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Daily chart analysis
From the daily chart, gold has given up all of Monday's gains. From a risk management perspective, buyers may look for a more cost-effective entry position at 3290 in the hope of further gains, while sellers hope that prices can break further down, thereby increasing bearish bets.
4-hour chart analysis
In the 4-hour chart, prices found support around 3300 and rebounded. Buyers intervened at this position and set risks below this support level in an attempt to push prices higher again. Sellers hope that prices fall below this level to push prices further down.
Quaid's analysis:
The current market is crazy. If it can fluctuate and adjust around the 3300 support level, the downward trend will stop and it may rise to 3400.
If this support level fluctuates and falls, it may plummet to around 3150.
Traders can wait and see for a short period of time before trading.
I hope Quid's analysis can help you get out of your current predicament. I also wish that all traders can fight for their own money waves in the market and achieve financial freedom under Quaid’s advice and analysis.
Gold short position wins streak, waiting to continue shortingThe 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a downward dead cross pattern is formed, then there is still room for gold bears to fall. Gold is under pressure to fall near the resistance line of 3340.
Gold's current rebound is not very strong. Although it seems to rebound a lot every time, that is because the market volatility has increased. Gold is still a bearish trend in the short term, and the rebound continues to be bearish.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3338, stop loss 3350, target 3318
How to grasp the ups and downs of market conditions?Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 line, and the 3400-3410 line for short-term suppression. Be careful to pursue orders in sharply rising and falling markets, let alone heavy positions, and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3310-15 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to 3300 line, stop loss 3297, target 3400-3410 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
Gold rose by 100 points to a new highAs the former US Treasury Secretary pointed out, the Trump administration's erratic rhetoric and ever-changing tariff policy measures are gradually eroding the global market's trust in the US dollar. Investors are therefore seeking asset allocations with safe-haven properties. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven tool, naturally becomes the first choice. From the perspective of technical analysis, the bullish trend of gold prices is strong. After the opening, it has shown a unilateral upward trend, with significant intraday gains. In this market situation, it is particularly important to follow the price trend, and counter-trend operations often face greater risks. Based on the current market trend, the gold bull market is still expected to continue, and may even further hit higher points. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to take a dip and buy more after a pullback to the key support level as the main strategy.
Today, gold rose to a new high, reaching 3317, and the increase was close to 100 points. The strength is beyond words. After the previous sideways accumulation, it continued to rise by inertia. It continued to be bullish and long. In the 4H cycle, it broke through the upper track of Bollinger, driving the moving average to turn upward, but the indicators diverged. It is prudent to buy more on the decline. The support below is maintained at 3288 and 3270. Buy more according to the strength of the decline. The upper side will gradually look to 3300 and 3320. Don't blindly guess the top!
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy more gold near 3270-72, stop loss at 3264, and target at 3300 and 3320! If it is very strong, rely on the support of 3288-90!
Daily chart MACD double lines upwardThis week, the market focused on three core events, namely, the direction of Trump's tariff policy, the progress of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, and the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Based on the evolution of these events, it is recommended that everyone should pay close attention to the trend of the US dollar. As for the performance of gold this week, we continue with our consistent views and adhere to the strategy of bullish but not guessing the top. The specific trading strategy is to wait for a callback before arranging long orders. Once there is an adjustment opportunity, we can go long on the bullish trend.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the lower support is near the 3385-3393 line, and the upper pressure is around the 3440-44 line. Given that the current price is at a historical high, it is recommended to be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to go long at the 3385-93 line, with a stop loss at 3378, and the target is the 3435-3440 line. If it breaks, continue to hold;
Gold trading ideas for todayHello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. It can be seen that gold has retreated to around 3452, and 3452 is also the support position of the AM10 moving average.
The next operation is actually very simple. If gold stabilizes at 3445-3430, it should continue to buy.
If it falls below 3430, then you need to wait for around 3400 to buy.
There is no need to look too far for the upper target price. Continue to look at the high point of 3500, or even the new high of 3520.
Gold is continuously making historyToday, gold has reached a new high again, reaching 3,430 points at its peak. As for the current trend of gold, it is no longer technical. It is all about the safe - haven demand due to the tariff conflict. When the tariff issue escalates, gold prices will continue to rise. If the situation eases slightly, gold prices will also fall rapidly.
Next, maintain the strategy of going long on pullbacks, refuse to guess the top, and reduce trading risks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3400-3410
sl 3380
tp 3430-3440
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Is there a chance that gold will fall?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold. Currently, the support of gold is around 3380. If the correction of gold is weak, it may continue to rise after testing 3380.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then gold has a probability to continue to test the low support position near 3370.
Finally, there is the 4-hour support position of 3360-3350.
Therefore, try to pay attention to the support situation here at 3380 first. If there is a chance to reach this point and stabilize, gold will have the opportunity to continue to look at 3420 and 3435.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then you need to continue to wait for the low point of 3370, or even the high point of Friday at 3360-3350 to buy.
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨
Wyckoff Methodology:
Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply.
ICT Concepts:
Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept.
Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher.
Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact.
Technical Trade Setups:
Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436.
Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up.
Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers:
Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors:
CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold.
USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal.
Summary & Trade Plan:
Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Analysis of Gold Trading Strategies for Next WeekThe current key support level below is the low point of the rebound on Thursday night at the 3,288-3,293 level. If this level is broken at any time next week, the gold price may officially start a correction. At the opening of next Monday, focus on the support level at 3,310-3,315. Pay attention to the short-term high at 3,340-3,345 above. A break above 3,345 will accelerate the rebound to the historical high near 3,357. Be cautious about chasing long positions at high levels.
If the tariff conflict is alleviated next week, gold is unlikely to break through its high again in the short term and will most likely remain in a range-bound oscillation. The operational advice is to go long on pullbacks, with a target of 3,340-3,345. If the position is broken, continue to hold.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3210-3215
sl 3180
tp 3235-3240
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Will gold experience a sharp drop?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold today. If you have other ideas, you can express your different ideas in the comment area. Today, gold continued yesterday's upward trend and set a new record high of 3357!
But we need to be extra careful at present, because tomorrow Friday is closed all day, which means that today Thursday is the last trading day of this week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be profit-taking.
Once the long positions are profit-taking, it is easy to have a large retracement, so you must be careful about this and do not buy too much.
From the hourly chart:
Today's high point was 3357 and once retreated to around 3313. It can be found that since it fell below the opening price of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong short-term retracement signal, especially when the long positions are about to be profit-taking.
Moreover, the hourly chart is currently a bit of abc wave retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
At present, the MA10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3280.
Therefore, it is not recommended to chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3280 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain the entry and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3280.
#XAUUSD:Time to Sell Gold ? Gold experienced a record high after touching $3358, but it subsequently declined. We anticipate further price drops until it reaches $3250, representing a 1000 pips move. We expect the price to remain bearish until it reaches a specific level. We appreciate your continued support.
Wishing you a joyous Easter.
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#XAUUSD: Possible Easy 600+ Pips Buying OpportunityFollowing a substantial decline in gold prices, which dropped more than 1000 pips, there is a possibility that the price may experience a minor correction before resuming its downward trajectory. It is imperative to acknowledge that trading gold in the current market conditions carries significant risks, and there is a substantial likelihood of incurring substantial losses.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD: $3400 On The Way! Get Ready For Record High! Gold has rebounded to previous highs, maintaining a bullish trend. We expect it to continue this momentum, potentially reaching $3400 in the long term. To set take profit, consider $3250, $3300, and $3400. Use accurate risk management and conduct your own research before trading gold.
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