Gold Bullish Frenzy? Watch for Reversal SignalsAt present, it seems that the situation for the bulls is promising. However, the market is not necessarily so. This kind of behavior to induce more long positions is quite normal in the market.
Market makers often operate in a strategic way. After they have reaped the profits from the bulls, it's highly likely that the next target will be the bears.
Looking at the gold market specifically, the price of gold is currently at a high level and is bound to decline. This frenzied bullish trend simply cannot be sustained, and this is an inevitable outcome. The current gold price has seriously deviated from its normal track. One could even
say that it has completely derailed or "strayed from the norm". Such a situation is clearly unreasonable, and a return to a reasonable level is inevitable.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Xauusdbuy
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Next Week Big Move?The daily chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a well-structured triangle pattern breakout, a strong uptrend, and a critical resistance zone near all-time highs (ATH). The price action suggests that gold is in a bullish phase but approaching a key decision point where it could either break higher or face a temporary pullback.
This analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the pattern, key levels, potential scenarios, and trading strategies for the coming week.
1. Technical Chart Breakdown
A. Triangle Pattern Breakout (Bullish Continuation)
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, which typically signals a consolidation phase before a major price movement.
After a period of accumulation within the triangle, gold broke out upwards, confirming a bullish continuation pattern.
This breakout was supported by strong volume and buying pressure, reinforcing the trend strength.
B. Trendline & Support Levels (Key Areas for Buyers)
A rising trendline has been acting as dynamic support, confirming that the market remains in a bullish structure.
Major Support Levels:
$3,000 – A psychological support level that may act as a bounce zone in case of rejection at resistance.
$2,885 – A well-defined horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times.
If the price falls below $2,885, it could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction.
2. Key Price Levels & Market Sentiment
A. Resistance & Target Levels (Where Sellers Might Step In)
Primary Resistance Zone: $3,137 - $3,150
This level represents a combination of all-time high (ATH), historical resistance, and a key breakout target.
If the price breaks and holds above this zone, it could trigger further upside towards $3,200 - $3,250.
However, if sellers dominate at this level, a pullback or correction could occur.
B. Stop-Loss & Risk Management Considerations
Traders should be cautious around the resistance zone and place stop-loss levels strategically to manage risk.
Stop-Loss Suggestions:
For Long Trades: Below $3,000 (to protect against fake breakouts).
For Short Trades: Above $3,150 (if price rejects resistance and starts a reversal).
3. Trading Strategy for Next Week
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If gold breaks and sustains above $3,137, it will confirm a bullish continuation.
Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the breakout level ($3,100 - $3,137) before entering long positions.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $3,200
Second Target: $3,250+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,000, to protect against sudden reversals.
Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance & Pullback
If gold fails to break $3,137 and forms a bearish rejection candle, it may indicate a short-term pullback.
Short Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection with bearish price action signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, long upper wick).
Downside Targets:
First Target: $3,000
Second Target: $2,885 (major support)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,150, to avoid being trapped in a false breakdown.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (Break Below $2,885)
If gold falls below $2,885, it could signal a potential trend reversal.
Short Trade Setup: Enter below $2,885, targeting $2,800 - $2,750 in the medium term.
Stop-Loss: Above $2,900, in case of a false breakdown.
4. Indicators & Confirmation Signals
A. Volume & Candlestick Patterns
Watch for high volume during breakouts to confirm strength.
Candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing, hammer (for support bounces), or shooting star (for resistance rejection) can provide strong confirmation signals.
B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) & Overbought Conditions
If RSI is above 70, it could indicate that gold is overbought, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
If RSI stays above 50 but below 70, it confirms bullish strength.
C. Moving Averages for Trend Confirmation
50-day and 200-day moving averages can act as additional support and resistance zones.
If the price is above both moving averages, it confirms the bullish trend.
5. Conclusion – What to Watch for Next Week?
✅ If price breaks and holds above $3,137 → Expect continuation towards $3,200 - $3,250.
✅ If price rejects at $3,137 → Watch for a pullback towards $3,000 or $2,885 for re-entry.
✅ If price drops below $2,885 → Expect deeper correction with a shift in trend structure.
📌 Key Takeaway: Gold remains bullish, but traders should watch the resistance level at $3,137 closely for confirmation of a breakout or a possible reversal. Risk management is crucial in case of unexpected market shifts.
Would you like me to add more insights using Fibonacci levels or historical trends? 📊🚀
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
The short-term short positions in gold are now yielding profits!Currently, the market continues to maintain a range - bound oscillation pattern. In the short term, there are no conditions for a significant unilateral upward or downward movement. In terms of short - term trading, the price is currently trading at $3032. From the perspective of intraday trading strategies, this price level can be regarded as an entry point for short positions. Today, special attention should be paid to the $3020 level, which serves as the daily demarcation line between bulls and bears. If the price drops from a high level as expected, effectively breaks below the $3020 level and closes below this price, the short - side is expected to witness a sharp acceleration in the bottom - seeking trend.
Since the week began, considering global economic trends and gold market volatility, we've steadily shorted gold. All signals, from our in - depth analyses, have proven accurate. I'll keep giving accurate signals, factoring in market changes.
XAUUSD
sell@3030-3035
tp:3025-3015
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
GOLD Bullish Continuation - Will Buyers Push Toward 3,084$?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
With momentum favoring the upside, the price could move toward the 3,084$ level, which aligns with the midline of the channel. However, a failure to hold this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Trade Setup Overview
This 1-hour Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, which has successfully broken out to the upside. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, setting up a potential rally towards $3,107 and beyond.
The analysis below will cover:
✅ Triangle Pattern Formation & Breakout Explanation
✅ Key Technical Levels (Support, Resistance, ATH)
✅ Entry, Stop Loss, & Take Profit Strategies
✅ Risk Management Considerations
✅ Final Trade Setup & Market Sentiment
Let’s dive into the details.
1️⃣ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
What is a Symmetrical Triangle?
A symmetrical triangle is a common continuation pattern in technical analysis that forms when price consolidates within two converging trendlines. This structure indicates a period of indecision in the market before a potential breakout occurs.
When price breaks above the upper trendline, it signals a bullish continuation.
If price breaks below the lower trendline, it suggests a bearish move.
In this case, gold has broken above the upper resistance trendline, signaling a continuation of the existing uptrend.
Pattern Breakdown (Step by Step):
Triangle Formation: The price made higher lows and lower highs, compressing within the pattern.
Price Squeeze: As the market approached the apex of the triangle, volatility decreased, indicating an imminent breakout.
Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the resistance trendline, validating the pattern and confirming bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Zones
🔹 Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Level: $3,012 - $3,020 (Highlighted as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in).
Resistance Level: $3,080 (Previously acted as strong resistance but has now turned into support post-breakout).
All-Time High (ATH): Marked just below $3,090, where price previously struggled to break through.
🔸 Breakout Target & Price Projection
Breakout Level: The breakout happened above $3,080, confirming an uptrend continuation.
Target Calculation:
The height of the triangle is projected upwards from the breakout point.
This gives us a price target of $3,107 - $3,120 in the short term.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy Based on Breakout
✅ Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately after the breakout candle closes above $3,080, riding the momentum.
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a potential pullback to $3,080 (now acting as support) before entering a long position.
⛔ Stop Loss Placement:
Ideal Stop Loss: Below the previous support zone at $3,012, ensuring protection against fake breakouts.
Tighter Stop Loss: Just below the breakout point at $3,065, in case of a minor retracement before moving higher.
🎯 Profit Target Strategy:
Short-Term Target: $3,107, based on the triangle’s measured move.
Extended Target: If momentum sustains, $3,120+ could be achieved, aligning with previous bullish trends.
4️⃣ Risk Management & Market Considerations
Risk Factors to Monitor:
🔸 Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high trading volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume.
🔸 Market Fundamentals: Events like US inflation data, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions can impact gold prices.
🔸 False Breakout Risk: If price falls back below $3,080, the breakout might be invalid, signaling a potential reversal.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
📌 Entry: $3,080
📌 Stop Loss: $3,012 (Approx. 68 points risk)
📌 Target: $3,107 - $3,120 (Approx. 27-40 points reward)
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2:1+, making this a favorable trade setup.
5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Final Trade Setup
📈 Bullish Outlook:
The successful breakout above the symmetrical triangle signals continued bullish strength.
Price is holding above the previous resistance zone at $3,080, now acting as support.
The next resistance target is $3,107 - $3,120, aligning with previous swing highs.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Invalidated):
If price falls back below $3,080, it could indicate a false breakout.
A break below $3,065 might lead to a retest of the $3,012 support zone.
📊 Final Trading Plan:
✅ Buy (Long) at: $3,080 - $3,085
🎯 Target 1: $3,107
🎯 Target 2: $3,120+ (Extended Target)
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,012
🔥 Conclusion: Bullish Bias with Caution
Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a strong bullish continuation. As long as price holds above $3,080, the bias remains bullish, targeting $3,107 - $3,120.
💡 Key Takeaway: Watch for a pullback and retest of $3,080 before entering, ensuring confirmation before committing to the trade.
🚀 Final Outlook: Bullish – Gold is positioned for further upside if momentum continues!
GOLD: Short, Target 3041-3036After yesterday's rise, some gold indicators have formed a relatively obvious short position, so in today's trading, I personally recommend focusing on the short position.
During the trading process, we need to pay attention to the support points of 3046/3037/3032, the high point of resistance of 3060, and the possible new high of 3067.
From the overall situation, it is unlikely to break through 3067 today, but it is more likely to fall to around 3037.
Gold breaks out for new highs. Ideal for shorting!Today, major funds in the gold market are rapidly covering their short positions, triggering a short - term technical rebound. Despite the bearish outlook remaining solid from a fundamental perspective, investors should prioritize prudent position sizing and effective risk management. Notably, once this corrective upward movement concludes, the market may face a more pronounced downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3050-3055-3060
tp:3035-3025
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How d'we beat 'em? Sell@3060Energy Accumulation during Sideways Consolidation
The consecutive days of sideways consolidation represent a temporary equilibrium between the bulls and the bears. During this period, the bulls are constantly accumulating strength, while the bears' strength is gradually being depleted. Just like a compressed spring, the longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the greater the upward momentum accumulated, which creates conditions for a subsequent breakout.
Breakthrough of Key Resistance Level
The $3040 level is an important resistance level. When the gold price successfully breaks through this level, it triggers follow - up buying from a technical perspective. According to technical analysis theory, breaking through a key resistance level is an important signal of trend continuation or reversal. Once the resistance level is broken, it will attract a large number of technical investors to follow suit and buy, driving the gold price to rise further. Meanwhile, after the resistance level is broken, the original resistance level will turn into a support level, providing support for the further rise of the gold price.
Market Sentiment Aspect
During the period of sideways consolidation and oscillation, although the price fluctuations are relatively small, the bullish sentiment in the market may gradually accumulate. Once the gold price breaks through the resistance level, this bullish sentiment will be ignited, triggering more buying behaviors from investors. In addition, some large institutional investors or professional traders may, through means such as technical analysis, lay out long positions in advance. When the gold price breaks through the resistance level, their long positions start to generate profits, thus attracting more investors to follow suit and buy, forming a situation where the bulls take the lead.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3055 - 3065
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
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GOLD: Bullish pattern, Short first then LongIn the 4H chart, the bulls have not completely unloaded their strength. From the perspective of the pattern, it should be possible to reach the area around 3050-3058.
In the 30M chart, it is currently near resistance, focusing on the resistance of the 3037-3044 range. You can consider shorting around 3043, and the target is temporarily set around 3033.
Today there is initial jobless claims data, and I personally expect it to be bullish for gold, so I plan to hold long positions when the data is released.
Today's analysisFrom a market - wide perspective, the XAUUSD market is firmly bullish. It has twice tested and held 3,000 level, signaling strong buying sentiment.
The key now is the validation of the 3,000 “W” bottom. A break above 3,035 resistance may test 3,045, with 3,057 all - time historical high in sight. If today’s upward momentum fades, prices will likely remain in the 3,000 - 3,030 range.
On the 4 - hour chart, a double - bottom has formed near 3,000. Consecutive bullish candlesticks indicate a strong uptrend, with the K - line above the short - term moving average. Notably, the middle Bollinger Band resistance is breached. If prices stabilize above this level, an upward move to the upper band is likely. The 3,013 level is a crucial bull - bear line. The next candlestick’s close will determine if the market retraces before rising or continues range - bound.
Overall, Ben suggests a short - term XAUUSD trading strategy: short on rallies, long on pullbacks. Monitor the 3,030 - 3,035 resistance and 3,000 - 3,005 support.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Latest XAUUSD Price Analysis: Short High, Long LowAnalyzing from a holistic market perspective, the gold market is firmly in a bullish upswing. Twice, it has tested and successfully held the 3,000 mark, vividly demonstrating robust buying sentiment.
At present, the crucial factor lies in the validation of the “W” bottom pattern at 3,000. A successful breakthrough above the 3,035 resistance level will likely trigger an attempt to test the resistance near 3,045, with the historical high at 3,057 also in sight. Conversely, if today’s upward momentum fails to continue, the price will likely remain within the 3,030 - 3,000 trading range.
On the 4 - hour chart, a small double - bottom support has emerged near 3,000. Today, consecutive bullish candlesticks signal a strong uptrend, with the K - line firmly above the short - term moving average. Notably, the middle Bollinger Band resistance has been breached. Should the price consolidate above this level, upward movement towards the upper Bollinger Band becomes probable. The 3,013 level now serves as a key dividing line between bullish and bearish sentiment. The market’s future direction—whether it retraces for confirmation before continuing its ascent or retreats for further range - bound trading—hinges on the closing price of the next candlestick.
Overall, Ben recommends adopting a trading strategy for today’s short - term gold market. Prioritize short - selling on price rebounds and use pullback - based long - positions as a secondary approach. In the short term, closely monitor the resistance zone between 3,030 and 3,035, along with the support area between 3,005 and 3,000.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3040 - 3030
🎁 TP 3010 3000 2990
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Gold: Bearish Swing, $3032 Key, Short Now!From the daily chart perspective, gold closed with a bullish candlestick yesterday, putting an end to the previous consecutive bearish candlestick decline. Currently, the gold price is situated between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10. These two moving averages are now showing a trend of being on the verge of forming a death cross. Overall, the price trend remains in a range-bound and slightly bearish state.
It is necessary to closely monitor the resistance situation around the $3032 - 3034 level. Initially, pay attention to the support strength of the low point area around $3002 / $2999 at the lower end. Once this support area is effectively broken through, the bearish trend will continue. In terms of trading operations, it is still advisable to go short on rebounds. For the medium-term short position layout, the profit is still accumulating, and the position should still be held.
XAUUSD
sell@3025-3035
tp:3010
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Evening operation suggestions and market analysisToday, the gold market experienced multiple fluctuations. In the morning, the price dropped from 3027 to 3013, and then quickly rebounded to 3032. In the European session, it fell from 3032 to 3017, and then rebounded to around 3025. Overall, the gold price is still fluctuating around the 3035-3013 range on Monday. The current upper resistance of gold is at 3032-3035, and the lower support is at 3017-3013. The operation suggestion for the evening is mainly to short on the rebound.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to short when it rebounds to 3029-3035, with a stop loss at 3044, and the target is 3020-3005.
Gold will continue to break out and riseGold opened at 3024 in the morning, briefly rose to 3026, and then fell under pressure, hitting an intraday low of 3013. Subsequently, the gold price stabilized at a low level and is currently hovering around 3025. With the European session approaching, the market focus is on the resistance range of 3030-3032 above.
From a technical point of view, if the gold price can effectively break through this resistance, it is expected to further climb to a high of 3045-3050. The lower support is located in the solid area of 3013-3009. The gold market still maintains a bullish trend in the big cycle, and it is recommended to continue to buy on dips in the medium and long term. For the short-term market, the current gold correction is nearing its end, and it is expected to fall into high-level fluctuations during the European session. In terms of operation, it is recommended to try to buy on dips with a light position.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy more near 3022, stop loss at 3012, and the target is 3035-3040 and break to 3050.
Is there still room for gold to fluctuate and fall?Technical analysis of gold: Last Friday, gold rose slightly and fell, and once fell to the 3000 line during the session. The daily chart closed at 3023 with a negative line with a lower shadow. From the current market, although the bulls recovered half of the daily chart in the late trading, the overall adjustment is still at a high level. At least the daily chart is a continuous negative line. For today, from the daily chart, the price pierced the upper line on Friday, but the guide line did not follow. It is expected that it will continue to fluctuate and consolidate downward. It will not be able to get out of the unilateral pattern until all are closed. The weekly line closed with an upper shadow after three consecutive positive lines, and the short-term upward trend slowed down slightly. The daily K-line turned negative and retreated for correction, and the cross K-line received a correction and correction from the mid-yin line, with partial adjustment.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the 3028-3030 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2999-2980 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3026-3028, stop loss at 3055, target around 3015-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it falls back to around 2998-3000, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;
How to break the gold shock pull?Judging from the overall situation, gold is definitely rising in a bull market. It has already tested the 3,000 mark twice and found support, indicating that buying is still strong. What needs to be focused on now is whether the "W" bottom pattern of 3,000 can be effectively established. If it successfully breaks through the 3,035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3,045 and the historical high of 3,057. On the contrary, if the slight upward trend cannot be continued today, it will continue to maintain the 3,030-3,000 oscillation range. The 4-hour level currently forms a small double bottom support near 3,000. Today, the intraday rise has continued, and the K-line has re-stood above the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is strong. The current middle rail resistance has been broken. If it is stabilized again, the upper side will further see the upward rail pressure. The lower side 3013 will become the short-term long-short watershed. Whether the market will step back to confirm the continued rise or return to the bottom to continue to oscillate, focus on the next closing situation.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3036-3038 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3015 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3036-3038, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3020, and look at the 3015 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3013-3015, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3025-3030, and look at the 3038 line if it breaks;
Gold: Safe - Haven Drop, Short - Term BetsGold remains buoyed by safe - haven sentiment. Nevertheless, subsequent to a substantial rally to a high, gold underwent a swift retracement. In truth, the support for gold emanating from safe - haven requirements is a rather commonplace occurrence. Given that the bullish impetus in the gold market failed to persist, this implies that the upside potential for gold bulls is circumscribed. During the US trading session in the gold market, gold initially rallied and then declined. We directly initiated a short position on gold at $3032. As projected, gold declined, enabling us to realize profits. Should gold rebound to an elevated level during the US trading session, a short position should still be contemplated.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart
This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups.
Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach.
Key Technical Components in the Chart
1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout
One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern.
The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred.
This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside.
The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally.
📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase.
2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure
The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend.
Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum.
A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying.
📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact.
3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation
The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move.
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher.
Price Movement Post-Breakout:
After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace.
Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders.
📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal.
Trading Plan & Strategy
1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones
Buy on Pullbacks:
Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements.
This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals.
Confirmation Signals:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles).
Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation.
2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661
Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk.
If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction.
📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level?
It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations.
3. Take-Profit & Target Projection
📍 Target Price: $3,170
The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance.
If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts.
4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias
✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels.
✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones.
✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue.
5. Risk Management & Market Conditions
Market Sentiment:
If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely.
If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors:
Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties.
Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend.
Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup
This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout.
🚀 Trade Setup Summary:
✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels
✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support)
✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation
🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup.
Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈