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XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD will reach 2800 in the short termCurrently, the XAUUSD price has further ascended after three consecutive days of gains, reaching a historic high of $2711. At the same time, the price has touched $2727, nearing the $2730 threshold! The ongoing interest rate cuts by several global central banks, combined with heightened tensions in the Middle East and uncertainties in U.S. politics, provide robust support for the rise in gold prices. Recently, the risk-averse sentiment driven by U.S. political developments and conflicts in the Middle East, along with the accommodative monetary policies of major economies, have continuously supported buying in the XAUUSD market. In this context, the dollar's pullback has further enhanced the appeal of XAUUSD, becoming one of the key drivers of gold's rise this week. It is anticipated that this momentum will carry into the first half of next week, leading to a predominant focus on long positions in XAUUSD today and throughout the latter half of the week. However, technical analysis indicates that XAUUSD may experience some adjustments during its upward trajectory. The resistance level around $2720 could serve as a short-term target. If the gold price corrects, support may emerge in the $2700 region; a breach below this level could lead to a further retracement towards $2680. The $2680 area is viewed as critical support, expected to attract significant buying interest, making it a strategic point for bullish positions. In summary, from a short-term perspective, if the gold price pulls back to the $2700 region, it remains a viable opportunity for continued long positions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAUUSD: Sell@2710-2720 Gold has broken above 2700, followed by a slight retracement. Currently, a potential double-top pattern is emerging. Mid-term indicators still show bullish momentum, but short-term factors favor the bears. The trade strategy is to continue shorting. If the price reaches the 2718-2724 range, increase short positions, with a target near 2700. Double-Top Pattern: This is a potential bearish reversal signal, especially if the price fails to break above the previous high and begins to decline, signaling a possible trend change.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Golden Investment Strategy: Opportunities Amidst TensionThe current international situation is indeed tense, leading to a continuous rise in gold prices, which are now nearing $2700, compared to under $2000 last year. It is striking that "when the cannon fires, gold weighs heavy." Until international relations stabilize, a significant drop in gold prices seems unlikely, so our investment strategy should favor a bullish approach. Based on current conditions, MA30 will serve as a crucial support level; as long as this level holds, we can pursue long trades. However, a slight adjustment is expected today, potentially dropping to around $2684. For the highs, we should look towards the $2704-$2712 range—if we reach that point, a decisive sell is advised. If $2700 remains unbroken for an extended period, consider a small short position, and upon a pullback to MA30, execute a minor long trade to see if a breakthrough occurs. If a breakthrough happens, significant selling should take place, aiming to close positions around $2688.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
XAUUSD 18/10/2024 Is the uptrend over? Looking at H1 with the price making a new ATH yesterday this confirms to us that the corrective wave 4 has ended and the price is currently in red wave 5 - Looking at the smaller wave level we are seeing that in red wave 5 the structure of wave 1 and wave 2 is being formed and the price breaking through the top of wave 1 proves that the price has confirmed that the corrective wave 2 has ended and it is currently wave 3 - In wave 3 the uptrend is the main trend for us to place orders - The price zones that return based on Volumeprofile I have identified 3 price zones in which the price zone 2696 - 2693 and the price zone 2669 - 2666 are the important price zones we pay attention to - For the Sell zone we expect the first target of wave 3 at the price zone 2736 - 2739 which is the sell target price zone Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2696 - 2693 SL: 2688 TP1: 2709 TP2: 2737 BUY ZONE: 2669 - 2666 SL: 2664 TP1: 2685 TP2: 2695 TP3: 2717 BUY ZONE: 2657 - 2654 SL: 2647 TP1: 2668 TP2: 2685 TP3: 2694 SELL ZONE: 2736 - 2739 SL: 2746 TP1: 2717 TP2: 2697
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
After making a profit, how to plan the next strategyWe strategically positioned ourselves a few hours ago ahead of the U.S. data release, successfully capitalizing on a significant profit wave. Following the data-driven volatility, we anticipate a transition to a more technical-driven market. Analyzing the hourly candlestick chart, we observe that XAUUSD remains in an upward trend; however, the potential for further gains is diminishing, indicating an impending shift in market momentum. Key resistance is identified at 2700, with support around 2688. Absent any major news or data releases, the trading range appears constrained, making it essential to accurately gauge market movements to achieve profitable outcomes. Our forthcoming trading strategy is as follows: XAUUSD: Short near 2700; Long near 2688.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAUUSD: After a New High, a Support Retest is Needed Following a recent pullback, gold is now in the midst of a rebound, riding the momentum of its newly achieved all-time high. However, the difficulty of sustaining further upside increases at this stage. Therefore, it presents a strategic opportunity to establish short positions in the 2680-2690 range, anticipating a fresh support retest. If the price holds above 2668 during this pullback, it could signal another buying opportunity, allowing traders to re-enter long positions with confidence.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Bulls Take Profits, Await Shorting Opportunities Today's long position within the 2652-2646 range has been successful—congratulations to those who followed my strategy! In trading, identifying strong signals is critical to profit. Without it, the market can be unforgiving. Currently, the bulls are in control, but as soon as momentum shows signs of weakening, it will be time to shift focus and prepare for a short position. Stay vigilant and ready to act when the opportunity presents itself.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MichaeliaDefoe
XAUUSD 16/10/2024 Is the uptrend over? Looking at H1 we see that the price has completed a 5-wave structure and a 3-wave corrective structure, so in the larger wave structure we have that wave 1 and wave 2 have been completed - In the current wave structure, after a 3-wave bearish structure there will be an uptrend - Looking at the current price line we have a red 5-wave bullish structure forming - Our problem is to determine the target of the red wave 5 - I measure the expected area of ​​the red wave 5 is the price zone 2674 - 2677 - After completing the red 5-wave bullish wave there will be 3 corrective waves, the target area of ​​this corrective wave is the zone 2653 - 2650 - In case the price breaks below this zone to approach the zone 2639 - 2636, this is the price zone where the recovery may not be as strong as the zone above Trading plan SELL ZONE: 2674 - 2677 SL: 2684 TP1: 2661 TP2: 2655 BUY ZONE: 2653 - 2650 SL: 2645 TP1: 2663 TP2: 2673 BUY ZONE: 2639 - 2636 SL: 2629 TP1: 2649 TP2: 2655
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Gold Bears Secure Profits, Ready To Enter Long Position Today, gold successfully reached our target range of 2644-2637, delivering strong profits for short positions. In trading, clear signals inevitably lead to profitable outcomes. Now that gold has broken above the MA20 and is showing a bullish formation, we will follow the trend and shift towards long positions. Using the MA20 as our reference line, a buy order should be placed around 2652-2646. However, given the current high price near resistance, it's important to manage risk. I recommend setting a stop-loss (SL) around 2632, but adjust according to your individual account management strategy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
XAUUSD: The risk of shorting is less than that of going long After finding support around 2638, gold has rebounded and is now approaching the critical resistance zone at 2663-2668. If prices linger here without breaking through, it could weaken the bullish momentum. From a trading perspective, the risk of going long at the current price outweighs that of shorting. For those entering long positions, caution is advised—avoid overextending and close positions promptly if the previous high isn’t breached. As for shorts, the risk is manageable; smaller initial positions can be opened, with the option to add more if prices rise. In the medium term, I believe a break below 2600 is inevitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold : A Prime Opportunity for Short Positions Today, gold remains under significant pressure within the 2660-2668 range, with the resistance around the 20-day moving average (MA20) proving to be a formidable barrier. The bearish momentum is clearly in control, presenting a prime opportunity for short trades. The recommended strategy is to focus on selling near the MA20 resistance level, targeting the 2645-2637 range. This approach leverages the technical weakness, as the market favors a downward move in the near term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MichaeliaDefoe
XAUUSD: Mainly short trading, target 2637-2629 During tomorrow's Asian trading session, the primary range is expected to be between 2654 -2644. There is significant resistance around the 2654 level, and if this resistance holds, the market should favor short positions. Support is seen near 2643, and if this level breaks, the next target range would shift to 2637-2629. The market's inability to push through resistance at 2658 reinforces a bearish outlook in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAU/USD 15 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in yesterday's intraday expectation that due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation with price currently reacting to a well positioned M15 supply zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK